Tennessee at Georgia - 2024 Matchup Preview
Tennessee logo (#23)Tennessee Volunteers at Georgia Bulldogs(#5)Georgia logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Georgia -8.5 (47.0) (-305)  Open: -16.5
Georgia 31 - Tennessee: 17  (SEC)

 
Volunteers (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (27 - 12)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (22 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Georgia -7.5  (SP+ UGA -2)
Projected Score: TENN: 20 - UGA: 28 (48)
UGA Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
TENN Travel: 142 miles
Bulldogs (11 - 3) (4 - 10 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (94 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Tennessee vs Chattanooga-38.556.5W 69 - 3OY
Sat 9/7 Tennessee vs NC State-10.060.5W 51 - 10OY
Sat 9/14 Tennessee vs Kent State-49.561.5W 71 - 0OY
Sat 9/21 Tennessee at Oklahoma-6.057.0W 25 - 15UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Tennessee at Arkansas-14.057.5L 14 - 19UN
Sat 10/12 Tennessee vs Florida-13.554.5W 23 - 17UN
Sat 10/19 Tennessee vs Alabama+3.557.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Tennessee vs Kentucky-17.545.5W 28 - 18ON
Sat 11/9 Tennessee vs Mississippi State-26.561.5W 33 - 14UN
Sat 11/16 Tennessee at Georgia+8.547.0L 17 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 Tennessee vs UTEP-41.554.0W 56 - 0OY
Sat 11/30 Tennessee at Vanderbilt-9.545.5W 36 - 23OY
Sat 12/21 Tennessee at Ohio State+7.547.0L 17 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Georgia's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia vs Clemson-10.549.0W 34 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Georgia vs Tennessee Tech-54.562.5W 48 - 3UN
Sat 9/14 Georgia at Kentucky-24.045.0W 13 - 12UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Georgia at Alabama-2.050.0L 34 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 Georgia vs Auburn-21.050.0W 31 - 13UN
Sat 10/12 Georgia vs Mississippi State-34.053.5W 41 - 31ON
Sat 10/19 Georgia at Texas+4.057.0W 30 - 15UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Georgia vs Florida-14.552.5W 34 - 20ON
Sat 11/9 Georgia at Ole Miss-1.554.5L 10 - 28UN
Sat 11/16 Georgia vs Tennessee-8.547.0W 31 - 17OY
Sat 11/23 Georgia vs Massachusetts-42.555.5W 59 - 21ON
Fri 11/29 Georgia vs Georgia Tech-17.548.5W 44 - 42ON
Sat 12/7 Georgia vs Texas+2.550.5W 22 - 19UY
Thu 1/2 Georgia vs Notre Dame+1.546.5L 10 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)35.748% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)16.136% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)31.546% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)20.639% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)48% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)36% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6
UGA#37 (.24)47% (25)46% (46)2.91 (91)12147% (16)2644.68 (12)#49 (.14)39% (32)39% (34)38% (37)3.22 (19)51.11.31.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1335.721.847.4%4.021.2234482272215.157%43%48%47%12%.23
UGA Defense1420.621.238.8%3.221.4 - - - - - 49%51%39%38%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense1316.12637.6%3.031.6 - - - - - 48%51%36%39%21%.07
UGA Offense1431.542.346.6%4.681.3213851212644.343%57%46%47%15%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1329:3523.347%61%8.166.81.21.67.22.2231.6
Georgia1427:4320.641%75%5.451.11.31.46.12.6029.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1357% (23)48% (23)44.7226.85.134 (10).18 (39)3.4 (13)86% (2)8% (33)0.87 (115)
UGA Defense1449% (48)39% (34) - - - - .1 (59)2.81 (39)80% (107)12% (21)0.96 (53)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1348% (42)36% (9) - - - - .01 (17)2.61 (17)62% (15)14% (5)0.98 (65)
UGA Offense1443% (112)46% (46)28.1120.64.324 (45).12 (76)2.91 (91)73% (67)9% (47)0.88 (109)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1343% (111)47% (19)18.228.7221.27.712.221 (51)7 (26).29 (51)1.5 (113)29% (25)34% (41).38 (50)4% (13)1.9 (114)
UGA Defense1451% (89)38% (37) - - - - - - 8 (93).17 (37)1.6 (59)35% (27)26% (13).23 (36)5% (110)2.1 (86)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1351% (87)39% (48) - - - - - - 12 (39).16 (32)1.5 (38)33% (46)31% (74).33 (80)7% (39)2 (44)
UGA Offense1457% (22)47% (16)22.634.4264.37.711.728 (15)13 (103).34 (31)1.5 (111)28% (15)36% (19).39 (47)7% (95)1.8 (127)

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 15.13  #14
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.60  #61
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 3.79  #16
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 44%  #12
Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.0  #9
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7  #23
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5  #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 15.13   Georgia: 26.03

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 22.0   Georgia: 24.3




Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 26.03  #7
Georgia's Offense Rating: 26.08  #13
Georgia's Defense Rating: 4.43  #25
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73  #3
Georgia's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Georgia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3  #6
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3  #10
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9  #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia 28
Tennessee 20


Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia 22
Tennessee 20

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Georgia 29
Tennessee 25

Total Points: 54
Georgia Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2

Georgia's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Tennessee41Georgia44Georgia -3.5Tennessee50.5Over
202411/16Georgia31Tennessee17Georgia -8.5Georgia47.0Over
202311/18Tennessee10Georgia38Georgia -9.0Georgia59.0Under
202211/05Georgia27Tennessee13Georgia -9.5Georgia65.5Under
202111/13Tennessee17Georgia41Georgia -19Georgia56.0Over
202010/10Georgia44Tennessee21Georgia -12.0Georgia43.0Over
201910/05Tennessee14Georgia43Georgia -24Georgia51.0Over
201809/29Georgia38Tennessee12Georgia -30.5Tennessee55.0Under
201709/30Tennessee0Georgia41Georgia -10Georgia47.0Under
201610/01Georgia31Tennessee34Tennessee -2.5Tennessee51.5Over
201510/10Tennessee38Georgia31Georgia -2.5Tennessee59.5Over
201409/27Georgia35Tennessee32Georgia -18Tennessee0
201310/05Tennessee31Georgia34Georgia -10.5Tennessee0
201209/29Georgia51Tennessee44
201110/08Tennessee12Georgia20
201010/09Georgia41Tennessee14
200910/10Tennessee45Georgia19
200810/11Georgia26Tennessee14
200710/06Tennessee35Georgia14
200610/07Georgia33Tennessee51
200510/08Tennessee14Georgia27
200410/09Georgia14Tennessee19
200310/11Tennessee14Georgia41
200210/12Georgia18Tennessee13
200110/06Tennessee24Georgia26
200010/06Georgia21Tennessee10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia2077 Overs
Tennessee664 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 136 - 73 - 23 - 5
Road Teams13 - 137 - 65 - 32 - 3

(#14) TENN at (#7) UGA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTENNUGA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #14 #7
SP+SP+ #9 #6
Perf GradeGrade #21 #19
OffenseOff #57 #32
DefenseDef #19 #22
Spec TeamsST #42 #59
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #12 #3
Georgia Notes
(11/30) Mauled by GT. Beck/Refs great comeback. D bad
(11/24) Def all 226 yds, 5.7 ypc to UMass? With GT next?
(11/18) Beck torched Tenn, TE's weapons, Death star Def
(11/15) RB Etienne out for Tenn game
(11/13) Beck awful, Rgame worse, Def torched (Ole Miss)
(10/19) DL bullied Tx. Beck/Rgame meh but enough
(10/19) Bama gm looks like anomaly, still class of SEC
(10/12) Pass Def a massive issue. Rgame meh, Beck great
(9/16) Star OG Ratledge out until at least 11/2 vs UF
(9/15) 3.4 ypc, allowed 45/170 @ UK. WR/playmakers?
(8/31) Mauled Clemson, Def great, Off good w/o Etienne
(7/30) Only 4 road games, only Tenn test @ home.
Georgia Injury Report
Tennessee on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
TENN OffUGA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #57 #22
SuccessSuc #18 #32
ExplosiveExp #128 #64
PPAPPA #46 #49
PowerPwr #61 #25
SP+SP+ #23 #9
Pts POPPO #55 #19
HavocHav #15 #57
Tennessee Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
TENN OffUGA Def
Run GameRun #25 #12
Run SuccessRSuc #23 #34
Run ExplRExp #115 #53
PPAExp #39 #59
Run BlockR Blk #89 -
OL YdsOLY #13 #39
Stuff RateStuff #4 #59
TackleTak -  #14
Tennessee Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
TENN OffUGA Def
Pass GamePass #21 #58
Pass SuccessPSuc #19 #37
Pass ExplPExl #113 #59
PPAExp #51 #37
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #75 #51
F7 HavocF7 #33 #21
DB HavocDB #13 #110
Georgia on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatUGA OffTENN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #32 #19
SuccessSuc #25 #17
ExplosiveExp #97 #58
PPAPPA #37 #13
PowerPwr #13 #16
SP+SP+ #10 #6
Pts POPPO #12 #10
HavocHav #60 #5
Georgia Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
UGA OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #24 #14
Run SuccessRSuc #46 #9
Run ExplRExp #109 #65
PPAExp #76 #17
Run BlockR Blk #32 -
OL YdsOLY #91 #17
Stuff RateStuff #104 #15
TackleTak -  #29
Georgia Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCatUGA OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #20 #27
Pass SuccessPSuc #16 #48
Pass ExplPExl #111 #38
PPAExp #31 #32
Pass Block/RushP Blk #12 #13
F7 HavocF7 #47 #5
DB HavocDB #95 #39
Program Comparison
UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'24 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'24 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sanford Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 53°
Rematch from Week 12
Georgia -8.5 (47.0)
Georgia won vs Tennessee this year (31-17)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Tennessee last year (31-17)
Georgia beat Tennessee in 2023 (38-10)
Georgia beat Tennessee in 2022 (27-13)

  
TENN's OC Joey Halzle (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nico Iamaleava21333464%26161957.8
Gaston Moore162759%201227.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Sampson2581491225.856
DeSean Bishop7445536.153
Nico Iamaleava10936433.331
Peyton Lewis6433935.335
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dont'E Thornton26661625.486
Bru McCoy39472212.142
Squirrel White34381211.245
Chris Brazzell II (Tr)29333211.553

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arion Carter687036
Will Brooks594115
Jermod McCoy (Tr)441007
Jeremiah Telander434111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Pearce Jr.38138101
Omarr Norman-Lott184430
Jaxson Moi (Tr)165201
Tyre West165220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermod McCoy (Tr)441007
Arion Carter687036
Will Brooks594115

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck29044865%348528127.8
Gunner Stockton456470%440116.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Frazier13367185.040
Trevor Etienne (Tr)12260995.048
Dillon Bell9107111.933
Branson Robinson257332.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Arian Smith48817417.067
Dominic Lovett59607610.338
Dillon Bell43466410.867
Lawson Luckie24348314.537

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Glenn Schumann (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malaki Starks774003
C.J. Allen763054
Dan Jackson642003
Jalon Walker6111772
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chaz Chambliss4110720
Jalon Walker6111772
Mykel Williams219531
Damon Wilson Jr.226340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Allen763054
Julian Humphrey100004
Malaki Starks774003