Georgia at Ole Miss - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#5)Georgia Bulldogs at Ole Miss Rebels(#6)

Saturday, November 9th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Georgia -1.5 (54.5) (-125) Open: -2.5 | 54.5
Ole Miss 28 - Georgia: 10 (SEC)

Bulldogs (11 - 3) (4 - 10 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (94 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (22 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Ole Miss -5.5 (SP+ MISS -4)
Projected Score: UGA: 23 - MISS: 29 (52)
UGA Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
UGA Travel: 353 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Rebels (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lane Kiffin (34 - 15)
Avg Score : 39 - 14 (40 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UGA Players
MISS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Georgia vs Clemson	-10.5	49.0	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Georgia vs Tennessee Tech	-54.5	62.5	W 48 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia at Kentucky	-24.0	45.0	W 13 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Georgia at Alabama	-2.0	50.0	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/5	Georgia vs Auburn	-21.0	50.0	W 31 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Georgia vs Mississippi State	-34.0	53.5	W 41 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/19	Georgia at Texas	+4.0	57.0	W 30 - 15	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Georgia vs Florida	-14.5	52.5	W 34 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/9	Georgia at Ole Miss	-1.5	54.5	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/16	Georgia vs Tennessee	-8.5	47.0	W 31 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Georgia vs Massachusetts	-42.5	55.5	W 59 - 21	O	N
Fri 11/29	Georgia vs Georgia Tech	-17.5	48.5	W 44 - 42	O	N
Sat 12/7	Georgia vs Texas	+2.5	50.5	W 22 - 19	U	Y
Thu 1/2	Georgia vs Notre Dame	+1.5	46.5	L 10 - 23	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule

Ole Miss's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Ole Miss vs Furman	-45.5	58.5	W 76 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Ole Miss vs Middle Tennessee	-42.5	60.5	W 52 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Ole Miss at Wake Forest	-20.5	65.5	W 40 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Ole Miss vs Georgia Southern	-35.0	68.5	W 52 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Ole Miss vs Kentucky	-15.0	51.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/5	Ole Miss at South Carolina	-10.0	53.0	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Ole Miss at LSU	-3.5	64.5	L 26 - 29	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Ole Miss vs Oklahoma	-19.0	50.0	W 26 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/2	Ole Miss at Arkansas	-8.0	54.0	W 63 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Ole Miss vs Georgia	+1.5	54.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Ole Miss at Florida	-13.0	57.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/29	Ole Miss vs Mississippi State	-26.5	63.5	W 26 - 14	U	N
Thu 1/2	Ole Miss vs Duke	-17.5	50.5	W 52 - 20	O	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA	#37 (.24)	47% (25)	31.5	46% (46)	2.91 (91)	121	47% (16)	264	4.68 (12)	#49 (.14)	39% (32)	20.6	39% (34)	38% (37)	3.22 (19)	51.1	1.3	1.4
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)	38.6	44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)	14.4	35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA	#37 (.24)	47% (25)		46% (46)	2.91 (91)	121	47% (16)	264	4.68 (12)	#49 (.14)	39% (32)		39% (34)	38% (37)	3.22 (19)	51.1	1.3	1.4
MISS	#4 (.34)	47% (19)		44% (76)	3.02 (72)	164	51% (3)	317	4 (58)	#6 (.04)	35% (3)		35% (6)	36% (13)	2.98 (8)	68.5	0.9	1.6

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Offense	14	31.5	21.8	46.6%	4.68	1.3	21	385	121	264	4.3	43%	57%	46%	47%	15%	.24
MISS Defense	13	14.4	10.6	35.3%	2.98	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	35%	36%	25%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Defense	14	20.6	24	38.8%	3.22	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	39%	38%	17%	.14
MISS Offense	13	38.6	39.6	47.4%	4	0.9	23	481	164	317	4.6	50%	50%	44%	51%	15%	.34

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia	14	27:43	20.6	41%	75%	5.4	51.1	1.3	1.4	6.1	2.6	0	29.7
Ole Miss	13	26:04	22.7	41%	59%	6.8	68.5	0.9	1.6	8.9	4.1	0	29.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Offense	14	43% (112)	46% (46)	28.1	120.6	4.3	24 (45)	.12 (76)	2.91 (91)	73% (67)	9% (47)	0.88 (109)
MISS Defense	13	47% (25)	35% (6)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (4)	2.49 (7)	74% (71)	16% (1)	0.88 (23)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Defense	14	49% (48)	39% (34)	-	-	-	-	.1 (59)	2.81 (39)	80% (107)	12% (21)	0.96 (53)
MISS Offense	13	50% (75)	44% (76)	35.8	164.2	4.6	27 (30)	.15 (58)	3.02 (72)	71% (85)	10% (68)	1.09 (26)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Offense	14	57% (22)	47% (16)	22.6	34.4	264.3	7.7	11.7	28 (15)	13 (103)	.34 (31)	1.5 (111)	28% (15)	36% (19)	.39 (47)	7% (95)	1.8 (127)
MISS Defense	13	53% (115)	36% (13)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.12 (20)	1.6 (85)	37% (5)	23% (1)	.1 (3)	8% (3)	2.1 (68)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Defense	14	51% (89)	38% (37)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.17 (37)	1.6 (59)	35% (27)	26% (13)	.23 (36)	5% (110)	2.1 (86)
MISS Offense	13	50% (59)	51% (3)	20.5	30.5	317.2	10.4	15.4	27 (20)	6 (10)	.53 (3)	1.6 (46)	29% (28)	38% (7)	.63 (2)	5% (54)	2.3 (12)

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 22.76 #7
Georgia's Offense Rating: 26.08 #13
Georgia's Defense Rating: 4.43 #25
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73% #3
Georgia's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Georgia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #10
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 22.76 Ole Miss: 28.83

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 24.3 Ole Miss: 27.9

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 28.83 #4
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 27.20 #8
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 0.53 #4
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #19
Ole Miss's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Ole Miss's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.9 #2
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Georgia's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Ole Miss 29
Georgia 23

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia 24
Ole Miss 24

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 31
Georgia 20

Total Points: 51

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.6
Defense: 14.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.6

Ole Miss's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	01/01	Georgia	34	Ole Miss	39	Georgia -6	Ole Miss	53.5	Over
2025	10/18	Georgia	43	Ole Miss	35	Georgia -7.5	Georgia	56.5	Over
2024	11/09	Ole Miss	28	Georgia	10	Georgia -1.5	Ole Miss	54.5	Under
2023	11/11	Georgia	52	Ole Miss	17	Georgia -11.0	Georgia	59.0	Over
2016	09/24	Ole Miss	45	Georgia	14	Ole Miss -6	Ole Miss	61.0	Under
2012	11/03	Georgia	37	Ole Miss	10
2011	09/24	Ole Miss	13	Georgia	27
2007	09/29	Georgia	45	Ole Miss	17
2006	09/30	Ole Miss	9	Georgia	14
2002	11/09	Georgia	31	Ole Miss	17
2001	11/17	Ole Miss	15	Georgia	35
2000	11/17	Georgia	32	Ole Miss	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ole Miss	3	3	3 Overs
Georgia	9	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	4 - 1	3 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 8	1 - 4	0 - 1	1 - 3

(#7) UGA at (#4) MISS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UGA	MISS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#7	#4
SP+SP+	#6	#2
Perf GradeGrade	#19	#6
OffenseOff	#32	#15
DefenseDef	#22	#3
Spec TeamsST	#59	#81
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#3	#19

Georgia Notes(11/30) Mauled by GT. Beck/Refs great comeback. D bad
(11/24) Def all 226 yds, 5.7 ypc to UMass? With GT next?
(11/18) Beck torched Tenn, TE's weapons, Death star Def
(11/15) RB Etienne out for Tenn game
(11/13) Beck awful, Rgame worse, Def torched (Ole Miss)
(10/19) DL bullied Tx. Beck/Rgame meh but enough
(10/19) Bama gm looks like anomaly, still class of SEC
(10/12) Pass Def a massive issue. Rgame meh, Beck great
(9/16) Star OG Ratledge out until at least 11/2 vs UF
(9/15) 3.4 ypc, allowed 45/170 @ UK. WR/playmakers?
(8/31) Mauled Clemson, Def great, Off good w/o Etienne
(7/30) Only 4 road games, only Tenn test @ home.
Georgia Injury Report

Ole Miss Notes(11/29) Rgame good enough for Egg Bowl win. Dart meh
(11/23) Gagged season @ UF, 3 TO's, short yd disasters
(11/13) Killed UGA, Def great, Dart tough, Off good
(11/7) WR Harris likely play vs UGA but limited
(11/7) RB1 Parrish out for the Georgia game
(10/21) LSU only Off faced > 60, Ark,UGA,UF to go
(10/21) Even w/ LSU, 12 flags, 2 TOs, Dart meh cost em
(10/13) Season meltdown @ LSU. Dart avg, Def gagged
(10/10) OL injuries really hurting this Off. Dart pressure
(9/28) Shut down by UK. Run 92 yds (3.2 ypc). Shocking L
(7/30) No Tx/Bama/Tenn. Play SEC bottoms outside Vandy
(7/30) OL has 200+ starts, still some ? w/ portal adds
Ole Miss Injury Report

Georgia on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	MISS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#32	#3
SuccessSuc	#25	#3
ExplosiveExp	#97	#78
PPAPPA	#37	#6
PowerPwr	#13	#4
SP+SP+	#10	#3
Pts POPPO	#12	#8
HavocHav	#60	#1

Georgia Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	MISS Def
Run GameRun	#24	#3
Run SuccessRSuc	#46	#6
Run ExplRExp	#109	#23
PPAExp	#76	#4
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	#91	#7
Stuff RateStuff	#104	#19
TackleTak	-	#1

Georgia Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	MISS Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#22
Pass SuccessPSuc	#16	#13
Pass ExplPExl	#111	#85
PPAExp	#31	#20
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#12	#4
F7 HavocF7	#47	#1
DB HavocDB	#95	#3

Ole Miss on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	UGA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#15	#22
SuccessSuc	#19	#32
ExplosiveExp	#8	#64
PPAPPA	#4	#49
PowerPwr	#8	#25
SP+SP+	#7	#9
Pts POPPO	#58	#19
HavocHav	#54	#57

Ole Miss Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	UGA Def
Run GameRun	#55	#12
Run SuccessRSuc	#76	#34
Run ExplRExp	#26	#53
PPAExp	#58	#59
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	#72	#39
Stuff RateStuff	#92	#59
TackleTak	-	#14

Ole Miss Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MISS Off	UGA Def
Pass GamePass	#1	#58
Pass SuccessPSuc	#3	#37
Pass ExplPExl	#46	#59
PPAExp	#3	#37
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#82	#51
F7 HavocF7	#68	#21
DB HavocDB	#54	#110

Program Comparison
MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'24 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'24 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 66° - Wind: 11 mph
Rain: 0.067

Rematch from Week 11
Georgia 1.5 (54.5)
Ole Miss won vs Georgia this year (28-10)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Georgia last year (28-10)
Georgia beat Ole Miss in 2023 (52-17)

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Beck	290	448	65%	3485	28	12	7.8
Gunner Stockton	45	64	70%	440	1	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Frazier	133	671	8	5.0	40
Trevor Etienne (Tr)	122	609	9	5.0	48
Dillon Bell	9	107	1	11.9	33
Branson Robinson	25	73	3	2.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Arian Smith	48	817	4	17.0	67
Dominic Lovett	59	607	6	10.3	38
Dillon Bell	43	466	4	10.8	67
Lawson Luckie	24	348	3	14.5	37

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Glenn Schumann (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malaki Starks	77	4	0	0	3
C.J. Allen	76	3	0	5	4
Dan Jackson	64	2	0	0	3
Jalon Walker	61	11	7	7	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chaz Chambliss	41	10	7	2	0
Jalon Walker	61	11	7	7	2
Mykel Williams	21	9	5	3	1
Damon Wilson Jr.	22	6	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
C.J. Allen	76	3	5	4
Julian Humphrey	10	0	0	4
Malaki Starks	77	4	0	3

MISS's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaxson Dart	276	398	69%	4279	29	6	10.8
Austin Simmons	19	32	59%	282	2	0	8.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Henry Parrish Jr.	131	693	10	5.3	42
Jaxson Dart	124	495	3	4.0	35
Ulysses Bentley IV	84	419	5	5.0	89
Matt Jones	43	211	3	4.9	46

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Harris	61	1063	7	17.4	70
Jordan Watkins	49	906	9	18.5	75
Cayden Lee	57	874	2	15.3	58
Antwane Wells Jr. (Tr)	28	553	6	19.8	66

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

MISS's DC Bryan Brown (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Paul Jr. (Tr)	87	12	4	9	4
TJ Dottery	77	6	3	4	1
Trey Washington	64	4	0	2	7
Suntarine Perkins	60	14	11	8	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Suntarine Perkins	60	14	11	8	0
Princely Umanmielen (Tr)	37	14	11	13	0
Jared Ivey	41	10	8	8	3
Walter Nolen (Tr)	47	13	6	4	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Trey Amos (Tr)	50	4	0	13
Jadon Canady	38	3	0	11
Trey Washington	64	4	2	7