Stanford at Notre Dame - 2024 Matchup Preview

Stanford Cardinal at Notre Dame Fighting Irish(#16)

Saturday, October 12th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -22.5 (45.5) (-2100) Open: -23.0
Notre Dame 49 - Stanford: 7

Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Troy Taylor (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (21 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
ND coming off BYE
STAN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -33 (SP+ ND -32)
Projected Score: STAN: 8 - ND: 41 (48)
ND Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
STAN Travel: 1922 miles, 3 hrs behind

Fighting Irish (14 - 2) (13 - 3 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (19 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (34 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
STAN Players
ND Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Stanford's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Stanford vs TCU	+8.0	58.5	L 27 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Stanford vs Cal Poly	-33.5	59.5	W 41 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/20	Stanford at Syracuse	+9.5	56.5	W 26 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Stanford at Clemson	+24.0	58.0	L 14 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/5	Stanford vs Virginia Tech	+9.5	50.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/12	Stanford at Notre Dame	+22.5	45.5	L 7 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/19	Stanford vs SMU	+16.5	52.5	L 10 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/26	Stanford vs Wake Forest	+3.0	53.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Stanford at NC State	+10.0	46.5	L 28 - 59	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Stanford vs Louisville	+21.0	57.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Stanford at California	+15.0	53.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Fri 11/29	Stanford at San José State	+2.5	54.5	L 31 - 34	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule

Notre Dame's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Notre Dame at Texas A&M	+3.0	47.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Notre Dame vs Northern Illinois	-28.5	46.5	L 14 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/14	Notre Dame at Purdue	-11.5	45.5	W 66 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Notre Dame vs Miami (OH)	-27.5	44.0	W 28 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/28	Notre Dame vs Louisville	-6.5	45.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Notre Dame vs Stanford	-22.5	45.5	W 49 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech	-14.0	49.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Notre Dame vs Navy	-14.0	50.5	W 51 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Notre Dame vs Florida State	-25.5	44.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Notre Dame vs Virginia	-20.5	51.0	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Notre Dame vs Army	-14.5	44.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Notre Dame at USC	-6.5	52.5	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Fri 12/20	Notre Dame vs Indiana	-7.0	50.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Thu 1/2	Notre Dame vs Georgia	-1.5	46.5	W 23 - 10	U	Y
Thu 1/9	Notre Dame vs Penn State	+1.5	45.5	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Mon 1/20	Notre Dame vs Ohio State	+8.5	45.5	L 23 - 34	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN	#114 (.1)	40% (101)	22.8	41% (95)	2.72 (116)	134	39% (98)	191	3.67 (92)	#120 (.27)	47% (119)	33.7	45% (92)	48% (124)	4.53 (124)	49	1.8	1.3
ND	#8 (.32)	47% (22)	36.1	47% (26)	3.31 (24)	181	47% (21)	160	4.8 (5)	#1 (-.02)	36% (8)	15.5	43% (73)	29% (1)	2.75 (4)	42.4	0.8	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
STAN	#114 (.1)	40% (101)		41% (95)	2.72 (116)	134	39% (98)	191	3.67 (92)	#120 (.27)	47% (119)		45% (92)	48% (124)	4.53 (124)	49	1.8	1.3
ND	#8 (.32)	47% (22)		47% (26)	3.31 (24)	181	47% (21)	160	4.8 (5)	#1 (-.02)	36% (8)		43% (73)	29% (1)	2.75 (4)	42.4	0.8	1.8

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Offense	12	22.8	21.2	40.1%	3.67	1.8	19	325	134	191	3.7	50%	50%	41%	39%	22%	.1
ND Defense	16	15.5	12	36.4%	2.75	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	43%	29%	19%	-.02

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
STAN Defense	12	33.7	38.3	46.6%	4.53	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	43%	57%	45%	48%	14%	.27
ND Offense	16	36.1	33.7	47%	4.8	0.8	17	341	181	160	6.3	53%	47%	47%	47%	11%	.32

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Stanford	12	31:41	18.5	35%	56%	5.4	49	1.8	1.3	5.3	2.1	2	28.5
Notre Dame	16	24:34	16.8	39%	76%	4.8	42.4	0.8	1.8	4	2.1	5	33.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Offense	12	50% (71)	41% (95)	36.3	133.8	3.7	11 (116)	.08 (97)	2.72 (116)	66% (111)	15% (131)	1.01 (52)
ND Defense	16	51% (78)	43% (73)	-	-	-	-	.1 (58)	2.9 (49)	67% (29)	10% (57)	0.85 (12)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
STAN Defense	12	43% (4)	45% (92)	-	-	-	-	.11 (62)	2.92 (53)	68% (39)	10% (58)	0.99 (70)
ND Offense	16	53% (46)	47% (26)	28.6	181.3	6.3	42 (3)	.36 (2)	3.31 (24)	73% (71)	8% (26)	1.3 (1)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Offense	12	50% (64)	39% (98)	18.7	30.8	191.3	6.2	10.3	18 (68)	17 (127)	.13 (111)	1.5 (120)	32% (82)	26% (116)	.22 (106)	7% (102)	2.1 (29)
ND Defense	16	48% (59)	29% (1)	-	-	-	-	-	-	18 (4)	-.15 (1)	1.6 (67)	34% (29)	27% (24)	.1 (2)	8% (6)	1.6 (2)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
STAN Defense	12	57% (131)	48% (124)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.4 (125)	1.6 (69)	30% (96)	34% (113)	.33 (85)	4% (129)	2 (51)
ND Offense	16	47% (89)	47% (21)	14.9	22.4	159.9	7.2	10.8	20 (58)	6 (10)	.29 (50)	1.3 (133)	28% (19)	32% (58)	.45 (22)	3% (6)	2.1 (50)

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -4.38 #79
Stanford's Offense Rating: 18.63 #80
Stanford's Defense Rating: 15.49 #112
2024 Talent Rating: 798.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Stanford's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Stanford's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -4.38 Notre Dame: 26.78

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -8.2 Notre Dame: 23.9

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 26.78 #5
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -1.27 #2
2024 Talent Rating: 960.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #8
Notre Dame's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Notre Dame's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.9 #8
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #7

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 714
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Stanford's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Notre Dame 41
Stanford 8

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 29
Stanford 17

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 36
Stanford 18

Total Points: 54

Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 36.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 12

Notre Dame's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 13 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	Notre Dame	49	Stanford	7	Notre Dame -22.5	Notre Dame	45.5	Over
2023	11/25	Stanford	23	Notre Dame	56	Notre Dame -26.0	Notre Dame	50.5	Over
2022	10/15	Notre Dame	14	Stanford	16	Notre Dame -16.5	Stanford	53.5	Under
2021	11/27	Stanford	14	Notre Dame	45	Notre Dame -20.5	Notre Dame	53.0	Over
2019	11/30	Stanford	24	Notre Dame	45	Notre Dame -17.5	Notre Dame	45.5	Over
2018	09/29	Notre Dame	38	Stanford	17	Notre Dame -4.5	Notre Dame	52.5	Over
2017	11/25	Stanford	38	Notre Dame	20	Notre Dame -3	Stanford	57.0	Over
2016	10/15	Notre Dame	10	Stanford	17	Notre Dame -3.5	Stanford	53.0	Under
2015	11/28	Stanford	38	Notre Dame	36	Notre Dame -2	Stanford	57.0	Over
2014	10/04	Notre Dame	17	Stanford	14	Stanford -2.5	Notre Dame	46.0	Under
2013	11/30	Stanford	27	Notre Dame	20	Stanford -14	Notre Dame	0
2012	10/13	Notre Dame	20	Stanford	13
2011	11/26	Stanford	28	Notre Dame	14
2010	09/25	Notre Dame	14	Stanford	37
2009	11/28	Stanford	45	Notre Dame	38
2008	10/04	Notre Dame	28	Stanford	21
2007	11/24	Stanford	14	Notre Dame	21
2006	10/07	Notre Dame	31	Stanford	10
2005	11/26	Stanford	31	Notre Dame	38
2004	10/09	Notre Dame	23	Stanford	15
2003	11/29	Stanford	7	Notre Dame	57
2002	10/05	Notre Dame	31	Stanford	7
2001	11/24	Stanford	17	Notre Dame	13
2000	10/06	Notre Dame	20	Stanford	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Notre Dame	15	7	7 Overs
Stanford	9	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 9	5 - 6	2 - 3	3 - 3
Road Teams	9 - 15	6 - 5	3 - 3	3 - 2

(#79) STAN at (#5) ND

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	STAN	ND
Power RatePwr	#79	#5
SP+SP+	#101	#8
Perf GradeGrade	#112	#10
OffenseOff	#121	#11
DefenseDef	#106	#10
Spec TeamsST	#6	#5
TalentTal	#30	#8
Blue ChipsBC%	#35	#8

Stanford Notes
(11/29) Def torched by SJSU, Daniels 3 Int, Rgame meh
(11/29) Taylor 6-18 in 2 years, but is Stan serious?
(11/23) Daniels awful vs Cal, Rgame bad. Rough L
(11/18) At this pt why is 4 star QB Brown not playing?
(11/18) QB Daniels torched L'ville, Rgame awful, D held on
(11/18) Mosley V emerging top WR. 13/168/3 TD vs L'ville
(10/21) QB Daniels inj in SMU game, looks out for Wake
(10/20) Lost 11 straight at home vs FBS into Wake game
(10/12) 3 straight routs, Off v limited, Def wilts eventually
(9/23) QB Daniels limited but mobile QB. Rgame better?
(8/31) Def looked improved vs TCU, opportunistic

Stanford on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	STAN Off	ND Def
Perf GradePerf	#121	#10
SuccessSuc	#101	#8
ExplosiveExp	#98	#14
PPAPPA	#114	#1
PowerPwr	#80	#2
SP+SP+	#90	#7
Pts POPPO	#92	#4
HavocHav	#132	#25

Stanford Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	STAN Off	ND Def
Run GameRun	#127	#35
Run SuccessRSuc	#95	#73
Run ExplRExp	#52	#12
PPAExp	#97	#58
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	#116	#49
Stuff RateStuff	#127	#89
TackleTak	-	#9

Stanford Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	STAN Off	ND Def
Pass GamePass	#119	#2
Pass SuccessPSuc	#98	#1
Pass ExplPExl	#120	#67
PPAExp	#111	#1
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#94	#15
F7 HavocF7	#131	#57
DB HavocDB	#102	#6

Notre Dame on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ND Off	STAN Def
Perf GradePerf	#11	#106
SuccessSuc	#22	#119
ExplosiveExp	#35	#103
PPAPPA	#8	#120
PowerPwr	#24	#112
SP+SP+	#4	#112
Pts POPPO	#5	#124
HavocHav	#8	#94

Notre Dame Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ND Off	STAN Def
Run GameRun	#4	#93
Run SuccessRSuc	#26	#92
Run ExplRExp	#1	#70
PPAExp	#2	#62
Run BlockR Blk	#13	-
OL YdsOLY	#24	#53
Stuff RateStuff	#36	#29
TackleTak	-	#98

Notre Dame Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ND Off	STAN Def
Pass GamePass	#37	#117
Pass SuccessPSuc	#21	#124
Pass ExplPExl	#133	#69
PPAExp	#50	#125
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#59	#53
F7 HavocF7	#26	#58
DB HavocDB	#6	#129

Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 71° - Wind: 10 mph
Rain: 0.004

Rematch from Week 7
Notre Dame -22.5 (45.5)
Notre Dame won vs Stanford this year (49-7)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Stanford last year (49-7)
Notre Dame beat Stanford in 2023 (56-23)
Stanford beat Notre Dame in 2022 (16-14)

STAN's OC Troy Taylor (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ashton Daniels	170	271	63%	1700	10	12	6.3
Elijah Brown	28	48	58%	274	2	3	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ashton Daniels	148	669	3	4.5	67
Micah Ford	76	309	0	4.1	26
Chris Davis Jr.	54	288	0	5.3	47
Cole Tabb	27	130	0	4.8	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elic Ayomanor	63	831	6	13.2	60
Emmett Mosley V	48	525	6	10.9	62
Sam Roush	40	334	2	8.4	28
Ismael Cisse	26	241	2	9.3	25

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Bobby April (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gaethan Bernadel	86	6	1	2	1
Scotty Edwards	80	2	0	0	2
Tristan Sinclair	77	7	2	5	1
Mitch Leigber	54	4	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Bailey	31	8	6	8	0
Tevarua Tafiti	41	7	4	3	0
Tobin Phillips	16	5	4	1	0
Zach Buckey	11	6	3	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Collin Wright	45	3	5
Aaron Morris	32	0	4
Zahran Manley	12	0	3

ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Riley Leonard (Tr)	269	403	67%	2861	21	8	7.1
Steven Angeli	24	36	67%	268	3	0	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeremiyah Love	163	1124	17	6.9	98
Riley Leonard (Tr)	184	906	17	4.9	50
Jadarian Price	120	746	7	6.2	70
Aneyas Williams	34	219	2	6.4	58

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Greathouse	42	592	4	14.1	54
Beaux Collins (Tr)	41	490	3	12.0	53
Mitchell Evans	43	421	3	9.8	33
Jordan Faison	30	356	1	11.9	44

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Al Golden (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Kiser	90	5	2	3	1
Xavier Watts	83	4	0	4	9
Drayk Bowen	78	4	1	2	2
Adon Shuler	59	3	0	2	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rylie Mills	37	9	8	4	0
Howard Cross III	27	5	4	3	1
Donovan Hinish	34	4	4	4	1
Junior Tuihalamaka	32	6	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Leonard Moore	48	2	1	11
Xavier Watts	83	4	4	9
Christian Gray	35	3	0	9