Ohio State vs Notre Dame Game Matchup

Ohio State Buckeyes vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Monday, January 20th 2025 (7:30 PM EST)
Ohio State -8.5 (45.5) (-375) Open: 0.0 | 45.5
Ohio State 34 - Notre Dame: 23 (CFP National Championship Presented by AT&T)

Buckeyes (14 - 2) (10 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ryan Day (56 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 13 (30 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 21.4°
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Ohio State -7.5 (SP+ OSU -7.5)
Projected Score: OSU: 27 - ND: 20 (51)
OSU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
OSU Travel: 205 miles

Fighting Irish (14 - 2) (13 - 3 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (19 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (34 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
OSU Players
ND Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Ohio State vs Akron	-50.5	58.5	W 52 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/7	Ohio State vs Western Michigan	-37.5	54.5	W 56 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Ohio State vs Marshall	-40.0	57.0	W 49 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/28	Ohio State at Michigan State	-23.5	48.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Ohio State vs Iowa	-17.0	46.0	W 35 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Ohio State at Oregon	-3.5	54.5	L 31 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Ohio State vs Nebraska	-25.0	48.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/2	Ohio State at Penn State	-3.0	47.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Ohio State vs Purdue	-37.5	55.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Ohio State vs Northwestern	-28.0	43.5	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/23	Ohio State vs Indiana	-10.5	52.5	W 38 - 15	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Ohio State vs Michigan	-20.5	41.5	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 12/21	Ohio State vs Tennessee	-7.5	47.0	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Wed 1/1	Ohio State vs Oregon	-2.5	55.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Fri 1/10	Ohio State vs Texas	-6.5	51.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Mon 1/20	Ohio State vs Notre Dame	-8.5	45.5	W 34 - 23	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule

Notre Dame's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Notre Dame at Texas A&M	+3.0	47.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Notre Dame vs Northern Illinois	-28.5	46.5	L 14 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/14	Notre Dame at Purdue	-11.5	45.5	W 66 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Notre Dame vs Miami (OH)	-27.5	44.0	W 28 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/28	Notre Dame vs Louisville	-6.5	45.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Notre Dame vs Stanford	-22.5	45.5	W 49 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech	-14.0	49.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Notre Dame vs Navy	-14.0	50.5	W 51 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Notre Dame vs Florida State	-25.5	44.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Notre Dame vs Virginia	-20.5	51.0	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Notre Dame vs Army	-14.5	44.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Notre Dame at USC	-6.5	52.5	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Fri 12/20	Notre Dame vs Indiana	-7.0	50.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Thu 1/2	Notre Dame vs Georgia	-1.5	46.5	W 23 - 10	U	Y
Thu 1/9	Notre Dame vs Penn State	+1.5	45.5	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Mon 1/20	Notre Dame vs Ohio State	+8.5	45.5	L 23 - 34	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	#14 (.31)	47% (22)	35.7	45% (49)	3.18 (57)	139	49% (12)	269	4.21 (36)	#5 (.03)	36% (11)	12.9	35% (12)	37% (17)	2.69 (5)	44.5	1	0.8
ND	#8 (.35)	49% (9)	36.1	51% (9)	3.37 (15)	186	48% (19)	247	4.87 (7)	#6 (.04)	35% (7)	15.5	37% (21)	33% (3)	2.97 (11)	48.2	1.3	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ND		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Offense	13	35.7	29.7	46.6%	4.21	1	21	408	139	269	4.2	48%	51%	45%	49%	14%	.31
ND Defense	13	15.5	12	34.6%	2.97	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	37%	33%	18%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Defense	13	12.9	17.3	35.8%	2.69	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	35%	37%	15%	.03
ND Offense	13	36.1	33.7	49.3%	4.87	1.3	21	433	186	247	5.3	52%	47%	51%	48%	11%	.35

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio State	13	29:25	20.9	43%	56%	5.7	44.5	1	0.8	4.8	1.7	3	28.8
Notre Dame	13	30:48	20.9	45%	59%	5.4	48.2	1.3	1.8	4.8	1.9	4	29.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Offense	13	48% (83)	45% (49)	33.2	138.8	4.2	20 (61)	.15 (72)	3.18 (57)	78% (34)	7% (14)	0.84 (126)
ND Defense	13	50% (61)	37% (21)	-	-	-	-	.07 (29)	2.85 (26)	67% (34)	11% (50)	1.05 (92)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Defense	13	51% (85)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	.04 (18)	3.02 (52)	58% (7)	9% (103)	0.98 (56)
ND Offense	13	52% (45)	51% (9)	35.2	186.3	5.3	28 (25)	.23 (27)	3.37 (15)	72% (83)	7% (10)	0.97 (86)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Offense	13	51% (49)	49% (12)	19.6	30.8	269.1	8.8	13.7	26 (31)	7 (21)	.5 (10)	1.7 (44)	28% (12)	34% (33)	.48 (23)	7% (95)	2 (99)
ND Defense	13	49% (67)	33% (3)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.04 (2)	1.5 (40)	36% (14)	25% (14)	.23 (26)	7% (27)	1.9 (20)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Defense	13	49% (62)	37% (17)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.04 (1)	1.4 (2)	33% (51)	26% (21)	.15 (6)	7% (47)	1.8 (13)
ND Offense	13	47% (85)	48% (19)	17.5	27	246.5	9.1	14.1	31 (14)	9 (40)	.51 (8)	1.8 (16)	28% (10)	37% (19)	.53 (14)	4% (11)	2.1 (60)

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 32.14 #1
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 29.14 #5
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -3.55 #1
2024 Talent Rating: 1034.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #2
Ohio State's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Ohio State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2 #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2 #1

Ohio State's SP+ Ratings
Ohio State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2 #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 32.14 Notre Dame: 24.28

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 31.2 Notre Dame: 23.9

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 24.28 #5
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -1.27 #2
2024 Talent Rating: 960.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #8
Notre Dame's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0

Notre Dame's SP+ Ratings
Notre Dame's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.9 #8
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #7

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 714
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.7
Defense: 12.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.3

Ohio State's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 27
Notre Dame 20

Projected Total Points: 51

Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 36.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 12

Notre Dame's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 13 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	01/20	Notre Dame	23	Ohio State	34	Ohio State	Ohio State -8.5	Ohio State	45.5	Over
2023	09/23	Notre Dame	14	Ohio State	17	Ohio State	Ohio State -3	NA	55.5	Under
2022	09/03	Ohio State	21	Notre Dame	10	Ohio State	Ohio State -17	Notre Dame	58.5	Under
2015	01/01	Ohio State	44	Notre Dame	28	Ohio State	Ohio State -6	Ohio State	0
2005	01/02	Ohio State	34	Notre Dame	20	Ohio State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Notre Dame	0	1	1 Overs
Ohio State	5	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 3	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1

Ohio State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	CFP Nat'l Title	Ohio State vs Notre Dame	-8.5	45.5	W 34 - 23
2024	CFP Semifinal	Ohio State vs Texas	-6.5	51.5	W 28 - 14
2024	CFP Quarterfinal	Ohio State vs Oregon	-2.5	55.5	W 41 - 21
2024	CFP 1st Round	Ohio State vs Tennessee	-7.5	47.0	W 42 - 17
2023	Cotton Bowl	Ohio State vs Missouri	-4.0	51.0	L 3 - 14
2022	CFP Semifinal	Ohio State vs Georgia	+5.5	62.0	L 41 - 42
2021	Rose Bowl	Ohio State vs Utah	-4.5	64.5	W 48 - 45
2020	CFP Nat'l Title	Ohio State vs Alabama	+9.5	75.0	L 24 - 52
2020	CFP Semifinal	Ohio State vs Clemson	+7.5	66.5	W 49 - 28
2019	CFP Semifinal	Ohio State vs Clemson	+3.0	63.5	L 23 - 29
2018	Rose Bowl	Ohio State vs Washington	-5.5	55.5	W 28 - 23

Notre Dame Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	CFP Nat'l Title	Notre Dame vs Ohio State	+8.5	45.5	L 23 - 34
2024	CFP Semifinal	Notre Dame vs Penn State	+1.5	45.5	W 27 - 24
2024	CFP Quarterfinal	Notre Dame vs Georgia	-1.5	46.5	W 23 - 10
2024	CFP 1st Round	Notre Dame vs Indiana	-7.0	50.0	W 27 - 17
2023	Sun Bowl	Notre Dame vs Oregon State	-5.5	40.5	W 40 - 8
2022	Gator Bowl	Notre Dame vs South Carolina	-5.0	50.5	W 45 - 38
2021	Fiesta Bowl	Notre Dame vs Oklahoma State	+1.5	45.5	L 35 - 37
2020	CFP Semifinal	Notre Dame vs Alabama	+20.0	66.0	L 14 - 31
2019	World Bowl	Notre Dame vs Iowa State	-4.0	55.0	W 33 - 9
2018	CFP Semifinal	Notre Dame vs Clemson	+10.5	58.0	L 3 - 30

(#1) Ohio State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 32.14 #1
Offense Rating: 29.14 #5
Defense Rating: -3.55 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2 #1
Talent Rating: 1034.00 #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #2
Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Great Offense Success Rate of 52%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.6 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Great Pass Success 56%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Ohio State has played in 9 CFP Playoff Games (6 - 3)
Ohio State has played in 10 Bowls in the last 5 years (6 - 4)
Ohio State has played in 29 Bowls since 2000 (17 - 12)

Ohio State Notes
(12/1) Off awful, Rgame abysmal, Howard 2 Int in UM L
(12/1) 20 mil roster, still can't beat U. Coaching fail
(11/24) Mauled IU, D held to 153 yds. Off was OK
(11/19) Starting C McLaughlin out for season (ACL)
(11/18) Flat start vs NW, Howard OK, Rgame just OK
(11/3) OL was great considering injuries. Rgame beat PSU
(11/2) Def owned Penn St. Howard tough, Rgame alive
(10/26) Backup LT went down in Nebraska game
(10/22) Starting LT Simmons out for season
(10/12) Def torched by Oregon. Judkins/Downs vanished

Ohio State Ratings Matchup Notre Dame

Power #1

Off #5

#24

Def #1

Talent #5

SP+ #1

SP+ Off #3

SP+ Def #1

Rematch from Week 1
Ohio State 8.5 (45.5)
Ohio State won at Notre Dame this year (34-23)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Notre Dame last year (34-23)
Ohio State beat Notre Dame in 2023 (17-14)
Ohio State beat Notre Dame in 2022 (21-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 21° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: OSU | ND
Depth Chart: OSU | ND
Rosters: OSU | ND

(#5) Notre Dame Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 24.28 #5
Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Defense Rating: -1.27 #2
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.9 #8
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #7
Talent Rating: 960.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #8
Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.75 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Great Pass Def Success 29%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Notre Dame has played in 6 CFP Playoff Games (3 - 3)
Notre Dame has played in 9 Bowls in the last 5 years (6 - 3)
Notre Dame has played in 23 Bowls since 2000 (11 - 12)

Ohio State's OC Chip Kelly

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Will Howard (Tr)	309	423	73%	4010	35	10	9.5
Devin Brown	11	20	55%	114	1	0	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinshon Judkins (Tr)	194	1060	14	5.5	86
Will Howard (Tr)	105	226	7	2.2	19
James Peoples	49	197	2	4.0	18
Sam Williams-Dixon	7	53	0	7.6	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeremiah Smith	76	1315	15	17.3	70
Carnell Tate	52	733	4	14.1	40
Brandon Inniss	14	176	1	12.6	27
Quinshon Judkins (Tr)	22	161	2	7.3	21

View Ohio State's Full Roster

Ohio State's DC Jim Knowles

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sonny Styles	100	11	6	0	5
Caleb Downs (Tr)	81	8	1	1	6
Davison Igbinosun	45	2	0	0	9
Arvell Reese	43	4	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sonny Styles	100	11	6	0	5
Caden Curry	22	4	3	1	0
C.J. Hicks	22	2	2	1	1
Mitchell Melton	12	4	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davison Igbinosun	45	2	0	0	9
Caleb Downs (Tr)	81	8	1	1	6
Sonny Styles	100	11	6	0	5

Notre Dame's OC Mike Denbrock

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Riley Leonard (Tr)	269	403	67%	2861	21	8	7.1
Steven Angeli	24	36	67%	268	3	0	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeremiyah Love	163	1124	17	6.9	98
Riley Leonard (Tr)	184	906	17	4.9	50
Jadarian Price	120	746	7	6.2	70
Aneyas Williams	34	219	2	6.4	58

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Greathouse	42	592	4	14.1	54
Beaux Collins (Tr)	41	490	3	12.0	53
Jordan Faison	30	356	1	11.9	44
Jeremiyah Love	28	237	2	8.5	32

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

Notre Dame's DC Al Golden

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Drayk Bowen	78	4	1	2	2
Adon Shuler	59	3	0	2	5
Jaiden Ausberry	56	6	1	2	1
Jaylen Sneed	51	6	3	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Hinish	34	4	4	4	1
Boubacar Traore	12	6	3	2	0
Junior Tuihalamaka	32	6	3	3	1
Jaylen Sneed	51	6	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Leonard Moore	48	2	1	11
Christian Gray	35	3	0	9
Adon Shuler	59	3	2	5