Louisville at Notre Dame - 2024 Matchup Preview

Louisville Cardinals at Notre Dame Fighting Irish(#22)

Saturday, September 28th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -6.5 (45.0) (-245) Open: -9.5
Notre Dame 31 - Louisville: 24

Cardinals (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (31 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ND 2nd straight Home Game
ND is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -14 (SP+ ND -10)
Projected Score: LOU: 16 - ND: 30 (45)
ND Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
LOU Travel: 243 miles

Fighting Irish (14 - 2) (13 - 3 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (19 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (34 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LOU Players
ND Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisville's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Louisville vs Austin Peay	-38.5	54.5	W 62 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Louisville vs Jacksonville State	-27.5	56.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Louisville vs Georgia Tech	-9.5	56.0	W 31 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Louisville at Notre Dame	+6.5	45.0	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/5	Louisville vs SMU	-6.5	55.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/12	Louisville at Virginia	-7.0	54.0	W 24 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/19	Louisville vs Miami	+4.5	61.5	L 45 - 52	O	N
Fri 10/25	Louisville at Boston College	-7.0	54.0	W 31 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/2	Louisville at Clemson	+11.0	62.5	W 33 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Louisville at Stanford	-21.0	57.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/23	Louisville vs Pittsburgh	-7.0	57.0	W 37 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Louisville at Kentucky	-3.5	48.5	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Tue 12/31	Louisville vs Washington	+1.0	50.5	W 35 - 34	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Notre Dame's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Notre Dame at Texas A&M	+3.0	47.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Notre Dame vs Northern Illinois	-28.5	46.5	L 14 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/14	Notre Dame at Purdue	-11.5	45.5	W 66 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Notre Dame vs Miami (OH)	-27.5	44.0	W 28 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/28	Notre Dame vs Louisville	-6.5	45.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Notre Dame vs Stanford	-22.5	45.5	W 49 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech	-14.0	49.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Notre Dame vs Navy	-14.0	50.5	W 51 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Notre Dame vs Florida State	-25.5	44.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Notre Dame vs Virginia	-20.5	51.0	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Notre Dame vs Army	-14.5	44.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Notre Dame at USC	-6.5	52.5	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Fri 12/20	Notre Dame vs Indiana	-7.0	50.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Thu 1/2	Notre Dame vs Georgia	-1.5	46.5	W 23 - 10	U	Y
Thu 1/9	Notre Dame vs Penn State	+1.5	45.5	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Mon 1/20	Notre Dame vs Ohio State	+8.5	45.5	L 23 - 34	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	#15 (.31)	46% (26)	36.5	48% (20)	3.09 (56)	173	45% (30)	251	4.27 (31)	#73 (.18)	40% (49)	24.1	40% (44)	40% (65)	3.98 (87)	46.1	0.8	1.2
ND	#8 (.32)	47% (22)	36.1	47% (26)	3.31 (24)	181	47% (21)	160	4.8 (5)	#1 (-.02)	36% (8)	15.5	43% (73)	29% (1)	2.75 (4)	42.4	0.8	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	#15 (.31)	46% (26)		48% (20)	3.09 (56)	173	45% (30)	251	4.27 (31)	#73 (.18)	40% (49)		40% (44)	40% (65)	3.98 (87)	46.1	0.8	1.2
ND	#8 (.32)	47% (22)		47% (26)	3.31 (24)	181	47% (21)	160	4.8 (5)	#1 (-.02)	36% (8)		43% (73)	29% (1)	2.75 (4)	42.4	0.8	1.8

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Offense	13	36.5	31.3	46.4%	4.27	0.8	20	424	173	251	5.8	45%	54%	48%	45%	13%	.31
ND Defense	16	15.5	12	36.4%	2.75	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	43%	29%	19%	-.02

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Defense	13	24.1	25.2	40.2%	3.98	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	40%	40%	16%	.18
ND Offense	16	36.1	33.7	47%	4.8	0.8	17	341	181	160	6.3	53%	47%	47%	47%	11%	.32

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisville	13	27:39	20.1	40%	40%	5.9	46.1	0.8	1.2	5.8	2.2	1	30.3
Notre Dame	16	24:34	16.8	39%	76%	4.8	42.4	0.8	1.8	4	2.1	5	33.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Offense	13	45% (103)	48% (20)	29.9	172.7	5.8	27 (30)	.2 (35)	3.09 (56)	65% (116)	8% (27)	1.04 (43)
ND Defense	16	51% (78)	43% (73)	-	-	-	-	.1 (58)	2.9 (49)	67% (29)	10% (57)	0.85 (12)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Defense	13	49% (50)	40% (44)	-	-	-	-	.08 (43)	2.9 (51)	65% (25)	11% (43)	0.99 (71)
ND Offense	16	53% (46)	47% (26)	28.6	181.3	6.3	42 (3)	.36 (2)	3.31 (24)	73% (71)	8% (26)	1.3 (1)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Offense	13	54% (32)	45% (30)	19.6	30.9	251.5	8.1	12.8	23 (41)	6 (10)	.41 (9)	1.7 (34)	30% (40)	38% (8)	.5 (9)	5% (40)	2.1 (42)
ND Defense	16	48% (59)	29% (1)	-	-	-	-	-	-	18 (4)	-.15 (1)	1.6 (67)	34% (29)	27% (24)	.1 (2)	8% (6)	1.6 (2)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Defense	13	51% (88)	40% (65)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.27 (87)	1.7 (111)	31% (78)	33% (99)	.26 (48)	5% (94)	1.8 (14)
ND Offense	16	47% (89)	47% (21)	14.9	22.4	159.9	7.2	10.8	20 (58)	6 (10)	.29 (50)	1.3 (133)	28% (19)	32% (58)	.45 (22)	3% (6)	2.1 (50)

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 12.44 #20
Louisville's Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Louisville's Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Louisville's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Louisville's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 12.44 Notre Dame: 26.78

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 13.6 Notre Dame: 23.9

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 26.78 #5
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -1.27 #2
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #8
Notre Dame's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Notre Dame's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.9 #8
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #7

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Louisville's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Notre Dame 30
Louisville 16

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 18
Louisville 17

Total Points: 35

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 30
Louisville 24

Total Points: 54

Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 36.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 12

Notre Dame's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 13 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Notre Dame	31	Louisville	24	Notre Dame -6.5	Notre Dame	45.0	Over
2023	10/07	Louisville	33	Notre Dame	20	Notre Dame -6.5	Louisville	53.0	Push
2020	10/17	Notre Dame	12	Louisville	7	Notre Dame -16.0	Louisville	62.5	Under
2019	09/02	Louisville	17	Notre Dame	35	Notre Dame -19	Louisville	55.0	Under
2014	11/22	Notre Dame	28	Louisville	31	Notre Dame -9	Louisville	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Notre Dame	3	1	1 Overs
Louisville	2	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	3 - 2	1 - 2	2 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 3	2 - 3	0 - 2	2 - 1

(#20) LOU at (#5) ND

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LOU	ND
Power RatePwr	#20	#5
SP+SP+	#21	#8
Perf GradeGrade	#11	#10
OffenseOff	#12	#11
DefenseDef	#16	#10
Spec TeamsST	#35	#5
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#41	#8

Louisville Notes(12/14) Signed QB Miller Moss (USC)
(11/19) DB Holloway D.V arrest after blowing Stan game
(11/18) Dumbest L @ Stan. Off was decent, Pass D torched
(11/2) 200 yds Rushing, Def owned Clemson. Easy Nov
(10/23) Expl WR Lacy (#3) ops out before BC game
(10/19) Def torched by Miami. Great fight, Shough tough
(10/13) Def mauled by UVA, season saving comeback W
(10/6) Season slipping after SMU L. Rgame/Pass D bad
(9/28) Outgained ND by 100 yds. 3 TOs. Rgame better
(9/28) Shough a tough QB, gutty vs ND. Should've won
(9/23) WR J Thompson out for season (knee)
(9/23) Star CB Riley ? for ND game (ankle)
Louisville Injury Report

Notre Dame Injury Report

Louisville on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	LOU Off	ND Def
Perf GradePerf	#12	#10
SuccessSuc	#26	#8
ExplosiveExp	#14	#14
PPAPPA	#15	#1
PowerPwr	#26	#2
SP+SP+	#7	#7
Pts POPPO	#31	#4
HavocHav	#23	#25

Louisville Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	LOU Off	ND Def
Run GameRun	#22	#35
Run SuccessRSuc	#20	#73
Run ExplRExp	#43	#12
PPAExp	#35	#58
Run BlockR Blk	#52	-
OL YdsOLY	#56	#49
Stuff RateStuff	#54	#89
TackleTak	-	#9

Louisville Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	LOU Off	ND Def
Pass GamePass	#9	#2
Pass SuccessPSuc	#30	#1
Pass ExplPExl	#34	#67
PPAExp	#9	#1
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#79	#15
F7 HavocF7	#27	#57
DB HavocDB	#40	#6

Notre Dame on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ND Off	LOU Def
Perf GradePerf	#11	#16
SuccessSuc	#22	#49
ExplosiveExp	#35	#109
PPAPPA	#8	#73
PowerPwr	#24	#40
SP+SP+	#4	#40
Pts POPPO	#5	#87
HavocHav	#8	#62

Notre Dame Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ND Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	#4	#13
Run SuccessRSuc	#26	#44
Run ExplRExp	#1	#71
PPAExp	#2	#43
Run BlockR Blk	#13	-
OL YdsOLY	#24	#51
Stuff RateStuff	#36	#22
TackleTak	-	#65

Notre Dame Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ND Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	#37	#39
Pass SuccessPSuc	#21	#65
Pass ExplPExl	#133	#111
PPAExp	#50	#87
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#59	#17
F7 HavocF7	#26	#43
DB HavocDB	#6	#94

Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Notre Dame -6.5 (45.0)
Notre Dame won vs Louisville this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Louisville last year (31-24)
Louisville beat Notre Dame in 2023 (33-20)

LOU's OC Brian Brohm (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tyler Shough (Tr)	244	389	63%	3195	23	6	8.2
Harrison Bailey	24	33	73%	227	3	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaac Brown	165	1173	11	7.1	77
Duke Watson	67	597	7	8.9	68
Keyjuan Brown	47	243	3	5.2	24
Donald Chaney Jr. (Tr)	50	178	3	3.6	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Corey Brooks (Tr)	61	1013	9	16.6	86
Chris Bell	43	737	4	17.1	68
Mark Redman (Tr)	23	251	3	10.9	32
Ahmari Huggins-Bruce	17	230	0	13.5	58

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Ron English (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
TJ Quinn	82	4	2	0
Stanquan Clark	76	8	1	2
M.J. Griffin	63	2	1	2
Tamarion McDonald (Tr)	58	4	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Ashton Gillotte	43	10	5	10
Tramel Logan Jr.	20	6	4	2
Jared Dawson	19	7	4	0
Thor Griffith (Tr)	19	5	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quincy Riley	33	3	0	0	9
Corey Thornton (Tr)	38	0	0	1	6
Tayon Holloway (Tr)	16	2	1	0	5

ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Riley Leonard (Tr)	269	403	67%	2861	21	8	7.1
Steven Angeli	24	36	67%	268	3	0	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeremiyah Love	163	1124	17	6.9	98
Riley Leonard (Tr)	184	906	17	4.9	50
Jadarian Price	120	746	7	6.2	70
Aneyas Williams	34	219	2	6.4	58

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Greathouse	42	592	4	14.1	54
Beaux Collins (Tr)	41	490	3	12.0	53
Mitchell Evans	43	421	3	9.8	33
Jordan Faison	30	356	1	11.9	44

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Al Golden (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Kiser	90	5	2	3	1
Xavier Watts	83	4	0	4	9
Drayk Bowen	78	4	1	2	2
Adon Shuler	59	3	0	2	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rylie Mills	37	9	8	4	0
Howard Cross III	27	5	4	3	1
Donovan Hinish	34	4	4	4	1
Junior Tuihalamaka	32	6	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Leonard Moore	48	2	1	11
Xavier Watts	83	4	4	9
Christian Gray	35	3	0	9