Wisconsin at LSU - 2023 Matchup Preview

Monday, January 1st 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
LSU -9.5 (59.5) (-380) Open: -10.0 | 56.0
LSU 35 - Wisconsin: 31 (ReliaQuest Bowl)

Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (25 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.9 - 4.1 (#29)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: LSU -9 (SP+ LSU -9)
Projected Score: WIS: 23 - LSU: 32 (55)
LSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
WIS Travel: 880 miles

Tigers (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (12 - 5)
Avg Score : 46 - 28 (52 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
WIS Players
LSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wisconsin's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Wisconsin vs Buffalo	-29.0	52.5	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/9	Wisconsin at Washington State	-5.0	58.0	L 22 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/16	Wisconsin vs Georgia Southern	-20.5	65.5	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/22	Wisconsin at Purdue	-5.5	54.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Wisconsin vs Rutgers	-12.5	44.0	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/14	Wisconsin vs Iowa	-8.0	33.5	L 6 - 15	U	N
Sat 10/21	Wisconsin at Illinois	-3.0	40.5	W 25 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Wisconsin vs Ohio State	+14.5	48.0	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Wisconsin at Indiana	-9.5	45.0	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/11	Wisconsin vs Northwestern	-9.5	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-7.5	36.5	W 24 - 17	O	N
Sat 11/25	Wisconsin at Minnesota	-1.5	42.0	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Wisconsin vs LSU	+9.5	59.5	L 31 - 35	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

LSU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	LSU vs Florida State	-2.0	56.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/9	LSU vs Grambling	-56.5	61.5	W 72 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/16	LSU at Mississippi State	-9.5	54.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	LSU vs Arkansas	-17.5	55.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/30	LSU at Ole Miss	-3.0	67.0	L 49 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/7	LSU at Missouri	-6.0	63.5	W 49 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/14	LSU vs Auburn	-11.0	60.0	W 48 - 18	O	Y
Sat 10/21	LSU vs Army	-33.0	60.0	W 62 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	LSU at Alabama	+3.0	61.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/11	LSU vs Florida	-14.0	68.5	W 52 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/18	LSU vs Georgia State	-32.5	73.5	W 56 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/25	LSU vs Texas A&M	-10.5	67.5	W 42 - 30	O	Y
Mon 1/1	LSU vs Wisconsin	-9.5	59.5	W 35 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	#84 (.16)	44% (50)	23.5	50% (15)	3.52 (7)	151	38% (100)	191	4.02 (55)	#17 (.1)	40% (47)	20.2	40% (41)	42% (72)	2.98 (13)	44.2	1.2	1.2
LSU	#1 (.52)	56% (2)	45.5	58% (1)	3.9 (1)	197	54% (3)	309	4.86 (8)	#126 (.32)	45% (105)	28	45% (92)	45% (113)	4.55 (126)	48.2	0.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	#97 (.14)	42% (73)		46% (39)	3.16 (46)	154	38% (107)	197	4.02 (57)	#80 (.18)	43% (88)		45% (86)	42% (81)	4.17 (105)	37.5	1.5	1
LSU	#30 (.25)	45% (38)		42% (89)	2.92 (90)	108	47% (24)	291	3.99 (60)	#92 (.21)	41% (60)		41% (54)	41% (73)	3.44 (30)	45.7	1.2	1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Offense	13	23.5	25.4	43.6%	4.02	1.2	18	342	151	191	4.7	47%	52%	50%	38%	15%	.16
LSU Defense	13	28	19.7	44.8%	4.55	1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	45%	16%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Defense	13	20.2	20.6	40.4%	2.98	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	42%	17%	.1
LSU Offense	13	45.5	52.3	56.1%	4.86	0.5	24	506	197	309	6.3	47%	53%	58%	54%	11%	.52

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wisconsin	13	26:53	18.3	45%	28%	5.1	44.2	1.2	1.2	5.8	2.2	1	29.2
LSU	13	26:37	23.7	56%	43%	5.7	48.2	0.5	1	5.1	2	1	29.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Offense	13	47% (92)	50% (15)	32.3	151.3	4.7	21 (54)	.22 (31)	3.52 (7)	74% (67)	8% (26)	0.89 (116)
LSU Defense	13	49% (51)	45% (92)	-	-	-	-	.24 (113)	3.22 (97)	91% (132)	10% (79)	1.07 (99)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Defense	13	51% (78)	40% (41)	-	-	-	-	.09 (38)	3.06 (57)	64% (20)	11% (42)	0.96 (44)
LSU Offense	13	47% (95)	58% (1)	31.2	197	6.3	32 (10)	.45 (1)	3.9 (1)	69% (103)	6% (2)	1.08 (27)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Offense	13	52% (41)	38% (100)	19.5	33	191.1	5.8	9.8	11 (117)	5 (6)	.13 (116)	1.4 (132)	30% (34)	34% (42)	.28 (85)	7% (106)	1.7 (132)
LSU Defense	13	51% (86)	45% (113)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.41 (123)	1.7 (112)	32% (64)	34% (118)	.56 (132)	6% (54)	2.5 (132)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Defense	13	48% (51)	42% (72)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.19 (21)	1.4 (15)	32% (63)	28% (36)	.27 (43)	6% (61)	2 (51)
LSU Offense	13	53% (38)	54% (3)	19.6	28.2	308.6	11	15.7	41 (2)	4 (2)	.59 (4)	1.7 (33)	24% (4)	45% (1)	.74 (1)	5% (29)	2.1 (40)

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 7.64 #28
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 16.47 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.78 #26
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 22% #31
Wisconsin's 2023 Expected Record: 8.90 - 4.10
Wisconsin's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.9 #28
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 7.64 LSU: 17.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 9.9 LSU: 18.7

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 17.885 #8
LSU's Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
LSU's Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
LSU's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.4
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.6

Wisconsin's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 32
Wisconsin 23

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
LSU 26
Wisconsin 16

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
LSU 35
Wisconsin 24

Total Points: 59

LSU Scoring
Offense: 45.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 52.3
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

LSU's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 12 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	01/01	LSU	35	Wisconsin	31	LSU -9.5	Wisconsin	59.5	Over
2016	09/03	Wisconsin	16	LSU	14	LSU -9.5	Wisconsin	43.5	Under
2014	08/30	LSU	28	Wisconsin	24	LSU -3	LSU	49.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
LSU	2	1	2 Overs
Wisconsin	1	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 0	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1

Wisconsin Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Reliaquest Bowl	Wisconsin vs LSU	+9.5	59.5	L 31 - 35
2022	Rate Bowl	Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State	-5.0	45.0	W 24 - 17
2021	Vegas Bowl	Wisconsin vs Arizona State	-8.5	42.5	W 20 - 13
2020	Mayo Bowl	Wisconsin vs Wake Forest	-7.0	51.5	W 42 - 28
2019	Rose Bowl	Wisconsin vs Oregon	-3.0	53.0	L 27 - 28
2018	Pinstripe Bowl	Wisconsin vs Miami	+2.5	43.5	W 35 - 3
2017	N/A	Wisconsin vs Miami	-6.5	46.0	W 34 - 24

LSU Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Reliaquest Bowl	LSU vs Wisconsin	-9.5	59.5	W 35 - 31
2022	Citrus Bowl	LSU vs Purdue	-15.0	54.0	W 63 - 7
2021	Texas Bowl	LSU vs Kansas State	+9.5	47.0	L 20 - 42
2019	CFP Nat'l Title	LSU vs Clemson	-5.0	67.0	W 42 - 25
2019	CFP Semifinal	LSU vs Oklahoma	-13.0	75.0	W 63 - 28
2018	Fiesta Bowl	LSU vs UCF	-7.5	57.5	W 40 - 32
2017	Citrus Bowl	LSU vs Notre Dame	-2.0	52.0	L 17 - 21

(#28) WIS at (#8) LSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WIS	LSU
Power RatePwr	#28	#8
SP+SP+	#28	#10
Perf GradeGrade	#55	#11
OffenseOff	#72	#2
DefenseDef	#29	#53
Spec TeamsST	#53	#102
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#31	#7

Wisconsin Injury Report

LSU Injury Report

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	LSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#72	#53
SuccessSuc	#50	#105
ExplosiveExp	#131	#116
PPAPPA	#84	#126
PowerPwr	#67	#122
SP+SP+	#90	#55
Pts POPPO	#55	#126
HavocHav	#54	#69

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	LSU Def
Run GameRun	#97	#49
Run SuccessRSuc	#15	#92
Run ExplRExp	#116	#99
PPAExp	#31	#113
Run BlockR Blk	#33	-
OL YdsOLY	#7	#97
Stuff RateStuff	#5	#103
TackleTak	-	#17

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	LSU Def
Pass GamePass	#55	#95
Pass SuccessPSuc	#100	#113
Pass ExplPExl	#132	#112
PPAExp	#116	#123
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#24	#30
F7 HavocF7	#26	#79
DB HavocDB	#106	#54

LSU on Offense


CategoryCat	LSU Off	WIS Def
Perf GradePerf	#2	#29
SuccessSuc	#2	#47
ExplosiveExp	#11	#19
PPAPPA	#1	#17
PowerPwr	#1	#26
SP+SP+	#2	#6
Pts POPPO	#8	#13
HavocHav	#5	#44

LSU Run Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#1	#38
Run SuccessRSuc	#1	#41
Run ExplRExp	#27	#44
PPAExp	#1	#38
Run BlockR Blk	#7	-
OL YdsOLY	#1	#57
Stuff RateStuff	#4	#54
TackleTak	-	#22

LSU Pass Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#2	#50
Pass SuccessPSuc	#3	#72
Pass ExplPExl	#33	#15
PPAExp	#4	#21
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#10	#59
F7 HavocF7	#2	#42
DB HavocDB	#29	#61

Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

WIS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 1
LSU -9.5 (59.5)
LSU won vs Wisconsin this year (35-31)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Wisconsin in 2023 (35-31)

WIS's OC Phil Longo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)	204	314	65%	2065	9	4	6.6
Braedyn Locke (Tr)	76	152	50%	778	5	1	5.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Braelon Allen	181	984	12	5.4	52
Jackson Acker	72	322	2	4.5	33
Chez Mellusi	51	307	4	6.0	89
Tanner Mordecai (Tr)	90	303	4	3.4	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Pauling (Tr)	74	837	6	11.3	53
Bryson Green (Tr)	32	480	2	15.0	54
Chimere Dike	19	328	1	17.3	41
Skyler Bell	38	297	1	7.8	30

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Colin Hitschler (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	120	6	1	4	6
Jake Chaney	80	7	3	1	0
Jordan Turner	61	7	3	3	2
Maema Njongmeta	59	9	3	5	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darryl Peterson	47	10	5	4	2
C.J. Goetz	59	11	4	5	2
James Thompson Jr.	29	6	3	1	2
Jordan Turner	61	7	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hunter Wohler	120	6	1	4	6
Ricardo Hallman	34	3	0	0	5
Alexander Smith	27	3	1	0	5

LSU's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jayden Daniels	236	327	72%	3812	40	4	11.7
Garrett Nussmeier	48	78	62%	592	4	1	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Daniels	135	1134	10	8.4	85
Logan Diggs (Tr)	119	653	7	5.5	35
Josh Williams	55	284	5	5.2	41
Noah Cain	37	181	3	4.9	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malik Nabers	89	1569	14	17.6	51
Brian Thomas Jr.	68	1177	17	17.3	86
Kyren Lacy	30	558	7	18.6	57
Mason Taylor	36	348	1	9.7	25

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Matt House (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Major Burns	90	4	1	2	3
Greg Penn III	89	7	4	1	1
Andre Sam (Tr)	82	1	0	0	2
Harold Perkins	74	13	6	6	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Harold Perkins	74	13	6	6	4
Mehki Wingo	25	5	5	0	0
Greg Penn III	89	7	4	1	1
Ovie Oghoufo (Tr)	33	4	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zy Alexander (Tr)	44	0	0	0	7
Sage Ryan	41	4	0	0	5
Harold Perkins	74	13	6	6	4