Oklahoma at LSU - 2024 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma logo (#11)Oklahoma Sooners at LSU Tigers(#3)LSU logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
LSU -4.5 (47.5) (-215)  Open: -6.0 | 47.5
LSU 37 - Oklahoma: 17  (SEC)

 
Sooners (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Venables (16 - 10)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 5) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
LSU 2nd straight Home Game
LSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: LSU -8.5   (SP+ LSU -6)

Projected Score: OKLA: 20 - LSU: 29 (49)
LSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
OKLA Travel: 492 miles
Tigers (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (20 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Oklahoma's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Oklahoma vs Temple-42.559.5W 51 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Oklahoma vs Houston-27.548.5W 16 - 12UN
Sat 9/14 Oklahoma vs Tulane-13.548.5W 34 - 19OY
Sat 9/21 Oklahoma vs Tennessee+6.057.0L 15 - 25UN
Sat 9/28 Oklahoma at Auburn+2.043.0W 27 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Oklahoma vs Texas+16.548.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 10/19 Oklahoma vs South Carolina+1.040.5L 9 - 35ON
Sat 10/26 Oklahoma at Ole Miss+19.050.0L 14 - 26UY
Sat 11/2 Oklahoma vs Maine-37.548.5W 59 - 14OY
Sat 11/9 Oklahoma at Missouri-3.541.5L 23 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Oklahoma vs Alabama+14.047.0W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/30 Oklahoma at LSU+4.547.5L 17 - 37ON
Fri 12/27 Oklahoma vs Navy+1.044.0L 20 - 21UY

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule
LSU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/1 LSU vs USC-4.066.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 9/7 LSU vs Nicholls-50.562.0W 44 - 21ON
Sat 9/14 LSU at South Carolina-7.050.0W 36 - 33ON
Sat 9/21 LSU vs UCLA-21.556.5W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/28 LSU vs South Alabama-21.064.5W 42 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 LSU vs Ole Miss+3.564.5W 29 - 26UY
Sat 10/19 LSU at Arkansas-3.057.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 10/26 LSU at Texas A&M+2.054.5L 23 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 LSU vs Alabama+2.557.5L 13 - 42UN
Sat 11/16 LSU at Florida-3.057.0L 16 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 LSU vs Vanderbilt-10.053.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 11/30 LSU vs Oklahoma-4.547.5W 37 - 17OY
Tue 12/31 LSU vs Baylor+3.062.5W 44 - 31OY

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)2443% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)21.533% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)30.542% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)24.341% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)43% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)33% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)42% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)41% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Offense132420.339%3.391.5172981441553.953%46%43%35%18%.06
LSU Defense1324.321.441.1%3.441 - - - - - 51%49%41%41%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKLA Defense1321.528.535.7%3.471.6 - - - - - 53%46%33%39%18%.07
LSU Offense1330.531.944.9%3.991.2223991082914.139%61%42%47%13%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma1326:4016.935%52%4.8421.51.67.12.7229.6
LSU1329:4722.150%50%5.845.71.215.12.5127.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Offense1353% (45)43% (85)36.8143.63.916 (90).07 (100)2.99 (81)75% (58)14% (129)0.98 (63)
LSU Defense1351% (67)41% (54) - - - - .18 (97)2.94 (55)84% (125)12% (29)1.23 (132)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKLA Defense1353% (100)33% (2) - - - - -.05 (1)2.56 (11)69% (43)13% (12)0.88 (25)
LSU Offense1339% (128)42% (89)26.4108.24.114 (98).12 (79)2.92 (90)82% (13)6% (5)0.89 (103)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Offense1346% (94)35% (122)15.825.3154.76.19.814 (108)6 (10).07 (127)1.5 (105)33% (102)27% (109).25 (99)4% (9)2.2 (24)
LSU Defense1349% (69)41% (73) - - - - - - 5 (117).25 (75)1.6 (68)35% (28)31% (76).36 (93)7% (41)2.2 (104)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKLA Defense1346% (34)39% (55) - - - - - - 9 (76).22 (61)1.6 (83)37% (6)28% (33).25 (43)5% (114)1.9 (36)
LSU Offense1361% (7)47% (24)24.538.4290.87.611.926 (26)11 (72).33 (37)1.5 (96)33% (89)37% (16).42 (28)7% (97)2 (84)

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 9.59 #33
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 12.20 #119
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 1.17 #6
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #10
Oklahoma's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Oklahoma's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 9.59   LSU: 17.92

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 9.5   LSU: 15.9




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 17.92 #15
LSU's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
LSU's Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 56 #7
LSU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
LSU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Oklahoma's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 29
Oklahoma 20


Total Points: 49

LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

LSU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30LSU37Oklahoma17LSULSU -4.5LSU47.5Over
201912/28LSU63Oklahoma28LSULSU -13.0LSU75.0Over
200301/04LSU21Oklahoma14LSU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU322 Overs
Oklahoma000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 30 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#33) Oklahoma Info
Power Rating: 9.59 #33
Offense Rating: 12.20 #119
Defense Rating: 1.17 #6
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #10
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.39 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 36%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Great Run Def Success 33%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Oklahoma has won 1 straight
Oklahoma has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (2 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Oklahoma Notes
(12/18) QB Arnold left via portal (Auburn)
(12/2) Hired Wazzu OC Arbuckle, top 25 pass off 4 yrs
(12/2) Rgame meh, Arnold bad, Pass D torched in LSU L
(11/24) Huge W vs Bama. Rgame 251, 5.1 ypc. Def great
(11/13) Arnold awful, Rgame bad, Def choked vs Mizzu
(10/28) OL allowed 19 sacks in past 2 gms (SC/Miss)
(10/20) OC Littrell fired, Co-OC Finley taking over
(10/12) Have no answers on Off. Def cannot hold 4ever
(10/10) Top 5 WR are out vs Texas w/ injuries
(10/4) Gutty W @ Aub. OG'd by 200 yds, Hawkins meh

Oklahoma Highlights
Oklahoma Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Oklahoma has a really good defense (#4)
Oklahoma has a good run defense (#25)
Oklahoma Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#85)
Oklahoma Defensive Line is very good (#55)
Oklahoma Front 7 is disruptive (#36)
Oklahoma commits very few Penalties (#38)

Oklahoma Deficiencies
Oklahoma Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Oklahoma offense is really bad (#36)
Oklahoma offense is not Explosive (#61)
Oklahoma offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#19)
Oklahoma pass game is really bad (#41)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatLSUOKLA
OverallOver#39#64
OffenseOff#52#109
DefenseDef#39#9
Special TeamsST#86#43
PassingPass#24#101
RushingRush#64#100
Run BlockRBLK#73#85
Pass BlockPBLK#46#94
Route RunningWR Rt#23#106
TacklingTkl#34#40
Run DefenseR Def#76#4
Pass Rush DefPRush#6#9
Coverage DefCov#64#66

Rematch from Week 14
LSU -4.5 (47.5)
LSU won vs Oklahoma this year (37-17)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Oklahoma last year (37-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: OKLA | LSU
Depth Chart: OKLA | LSU
Rosters: OKLA | LSU
(#15) LSU Info
Power Rating: 17.92 #15
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 56 #7
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.99 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

LSU has won 1 straight
LSU has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

LSU Highlights
LSU offense is good on 3rd downs
LSU Defense Sacks the QB a lot

LSU defense is really good in red zone (#40)
LSU Front 7 is disruptive (#120)

LSU Deficiencies
LSU Can Not Run the Ball (#116)
LSU gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#19)


  
Oklahoma's OC Joe Jon Finley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jackson Arnold15424663%14211235.8
Michael Hawkins Jr.7612063%783326.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jovantae Barnes12257754.774
Jackson Arnold15044433.047
Taylor Tatum5627835.035
Xavier Robinson4923344.840
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bauer Sharp (Tr)4232427.743
Javian Hester14315122.590
Deion Burks (Tr)3124537.920
Jacob Jordan2723418.727

View Oklahoma's Full Roster
Oklahoma's DC Zac Alley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Danny Stutsman1108130
Robert Spears-Jennings665301
Kip Lewis634011
Billy Bowman553013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
R Mason Thomas23139111
Gracen Halton306530
Ethan Downs299322
Robert Spears-Jennings665301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kani Walker242006
Eli Bowen292004
Billy Bowman553013

LSU's OC Joe Sloan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier33652464%403929127.7
Rickie Collins55100%35007.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham13875465.586
Josh Williams11748264.123
Kaleb Jackson4714903.219
Zavion Thomas (Tr)97608.426
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Anderson61875514.376
Kyren Lacy58866914.935
Mason Taylor5554629.933
C.J. Daniels (Tr)42480011.434

View LSU's Full Roster
LSU's DC Blake Baker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Whit Weeks1118344
Greg Penn III835280
Bradyn Swinson5713983
Jardin Gilbert (Tr)522102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradyn Swinson5713983
Savion Jones407482
Whit Weeks1118344
Dominick McKinley73310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Stamps5000211
Whit Weeks1118344
Zy Alexander333104