Oklahoma at LSU - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 30th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
LSU -4.5 (47.5) (-215) Open: -6.0 | 47.5
LSU 37 - Oklahoma: 17 (SEC)

Sooners (6 - 7) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Brent Venables (16 - 10)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (20 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LSU 2nd straight Home Game
LSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: LSU -8.5 (SP+ LSU -6)
Projected Score: OKLA: 20 - LSU: 28 (48)
LSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
OKLA Travel: 492 miles

Tigers (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (20 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OKLA Players
LSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oklahoma's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Oklahoma vs Temple	-42.5	59.5	W 51 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Oklahoma vs Houston	-27.5	48.5	W 16 - 12	U	N
Sat 9/14	Oklahoma vs Tulane	-13.5	48.5	W 34 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Oklahoma vs Tennessee	+6.0	57.0	L 15 - 25	U	N
Sat 9/28	Oklahoma at Auburn	+2.0	43.0	W 27 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Oklahoma vs Texas	+16.5	48.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/19	Oklahoma vs South Carolina	+1.0	40.5	L 9 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/26	Oklahoma at Ole Miss	+19.0	50.0	L 14 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Oklahoma vs Maine	-37.5	48.5	W 59 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Oklahoma at Missouri	-3.5	41.5	L 23 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Oklahoma vs Alabama	+14.0	47.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Oklahoma at LSU	+4.5	47.5	L 17 - 37	O	N
Fri 12/27	Oklahoma vs Navy	+1.0	44.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule

LSU's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/1	LSU vs USC	-4.0	66.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/7	LSU vs Nicholls	-50.5	62.0	W 44 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/14	LSU at South Carolina	-7.0	50.0	W 36 - 33	O	N
Sat 9/21	LSU vs UCLA	-21.5	56.5	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/28	LSU vs South Alabama	-21.0	64.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	LSU vs Ole Miss	+3.5	64.5	W 29 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/19	LSU at Arkansas	-3.0	57.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/26	LSU at Texas A&M	+2.0	54.5	L 23 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	LSU vs Alabama	+2.5	57.5	L 13 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/16	LSU at Florida	-3.0	57.0	L 16 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/23	LSU vs Vanderbilt	-10.0	53.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/30	LSU vs Oklahoma	-4.5	47.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Tue 12/31	LSU vs Baylor	+3.0	62.5	W 44 - 31	O	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKLA	#123 (.06)	39% (113)	24	43% (85)	2.99 (81)	144	35% (122)	155	3.39 (112)	#12 (.07)	36% (5)	21.5	33% (2)	39% (55)	3.47 (34)	42	1.5	1.6
LSU	#30 (.25)	45% (38)	30.5	42% (89)	2.92 (90)	108	47% (24)	291	3.99 (60)	#92 (.21)	41% (60)	24.3	41% (54)	41% (73)	3.44 (30)	45.7	1.2	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKLA	#123 (.06)	39% (113)		43% (85)	2.99 (81)	144	35% (122)	155	3.39 (112)	#12 (.07)	36% (5)		33% (2)	39% (55)	3.47 (34)	42	1.5	1.6
LSU	#30 (.25)	45% (38)		42% (89)	2.92 (90)	108	47% (24)	291	3.99 (60)	#92 (.21)	41% (60)		41% (54)	41% (73)	3.44 (30)	45.7	1.2	1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKLA Offense	13	24	20.3	39%	3.39	1.5	17	298	144	155	3.9	53%	46%	43%	35%	18%	.06
LSU Defense	13	24.3	21.4	41.1%	3.44	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	41%	41%	18%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKLA Defense	13	21.5	28.5	35.7%	3.47	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	33%	39%	18%	.07
LSU Offense	13	30.5	31.9	44.9%	3.99	1.2	22	399	108	291	4.1	39%	61%	42%	47%	13%	.25

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oklahoma	13	26:40	16.9	35%	52%	4.8	42	1.5	1.6	7.1	2.7	2	29.6
LSU	13	29:47	22.1	50%	50%	5.8	45.7	1.2	1	5.1	2.5	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKLA Offense	13	53% (45)	43% (85)	36.8	143.6	3.9	16 (90)	.07 (100)	2.99 (81)	75% (58)	14% (129)	0.98 (63)
LSU Defense	13	51% (67)	41% (54)	-	-	-	-	.18 (97)	2.94 (55)	84% (125)	12% (29)	1.23 (132)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKLA Defense	13	53% (100)	33% (2)	-	-	-	-	-.05 (1)	2.56 (11)	69% (43)	13% (12)	0.88 (25)
LSU Offense	13	39% (128)	42% (89)	26.4	108.2	4.1	14 (98)	.12 (79)	2.92 (90)	82% (13)	6% (5)	0.89 (103)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKLA Offense	13	46% (94)	35% (122)	15.8	25.3	154.7	6.1	9.8	14 (108)	6 (10)	.07 (127)	1.5 (105)	33% (102)	27% (109)	.25 (99)	4% (9)	2.2 (24)
LSU Defense	13	49% (69)	41% (73)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.25 (75)	1.6 (68)	35% (28)	31% (76)	.36 (93)	7% (41)	2.2 (104)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKLA Defense	13	46% (34)	39% (55)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.22 (61)	1.6 (83)	37% (6)	28% (33)	.25 (43)	5% (114)	1.9 (36)
LSU Offense	13	61% (7)	47% (24)	24.5	38.4	290.8	7.6	11.9	26 (26)	11 (72)	.33 (37)	1.5 (96)	33% (89)	37% (16)	.42 (28)	7% (97)	2 (84)

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 9.59 #33
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 12.20 #119
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 1.17 #6
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #10
Oklahoma's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Oklahoma's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #75
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 9.59 LSU: 17.92

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma: 9.5 LSU: 15.9

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 17.92 #15
LSU's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
LSU's Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 56 #7
LSU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
LSU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Oklahoma's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 28
Oklahoma 20

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Oklahoma 27
LSU 21

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
LSU 28
Oklahoma 22

Total Points: 50

LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

LSU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Oklahoma	17	LSU	13	Oklahoma -11.5	LSU	36.5	Under
2024	11/30	LSU	37	Oklahoma	17	LSU -4.5	LSU	47.5	Over
2019	12/28	LSU	63	Oklahoma	28	LSU -13.0	LSU	75.0	Over
2003	01/04	LSU	21	Oklahoma	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
LSU	3	3	2 Overs
Oklahoma	1	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2

(#33) OKLA at (#15) LSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OKLA	LSU
Power RatePwr	#33	#15
SP+SP+	#33	#15
Perf GradeGrade	#90	#55
OffenseOff	#133	#62
DefenseDef	#12	#53
Spec TeamsST	#50	#103
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#10	#7

Oklahoma Notes(12/18) Signed QB Mateer (Wazzu)
(12/18) QB Arnold left via portal (Auburn)
(12/2) Hired Wazzu OC Arbuckle, top 25 pass off 4 yrs
(12/2) Rgame meh, Arnold bad, Pass D torched in LSU L
(11/24) Huge W vs Bama. Rgame 251, 5.1 ypc. Def great
(11/13) Arnold awful, Rgame bad, Def choked vs Mizzu
(10/28) OL allowed 19 sacks in past 2 gms (SC/Miss)
(10/20) OC Littrell fired, Co-OC Finley taking over
(10/12) Have no answers on Off. Def cannot hold 4ever
(10/10) Top 5 WR are out vs Texas w/ injuries
(10/4) Gutty W @ Aub. OG'd by 200 yds, Hawkins meh
(9/23) Hawkins must be QB going forward. Arnold done
Oklahoma Injury Report

LSU Injury Report

Oklahoma on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	LSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#133	#53
SuccessSuc	#113	#60
ExplosiveExp	#112	#118
PPAPPA	#123	#92
PowerPwr	#119	#59
SP+SP+	#75	#33
Pts POPPO	#112	#30
HavocHav	#100	#30

Oklahoma Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	LSU Def
Run GameRun	#133	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	#85	#54
Run ExplRExp	#63	#132
PPAExp	#100	#97
Run BlockR Blk	#109	-
OL YdsOLY	#81	#55
Stuff RateStuff	#72	#50
TackleTak	-	#38

Oklahoma Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	OKLA Off	LSU Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#73
Pass ExplPExl	#105	#68
PPAExp	#127	#75
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#110	#6
F7 HavocF7	#129	#29
DB HavocDB	#9	#41

LSU on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	OKLA Def
Perf GradePerf	#62	#12
SuccessSuc	#38	#5
ExplosiveExp	#57	#63
PPAPPA	#30	#12
PowerPwr	#38	#6
SP+SP+	#11	#17
Pts POPPO	#60	#34
HavocHav	#26	#43

LSU Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	OKLA Def
Run GameRun	#89	#5
Run SuccessRSuc	#89	#2
Run ExplRExp	#103	#25
PPAExp	#79	#1
Run BlockR Blk	#95	-
OL YdsOLY	#90	#11
Stuff RateStuff	#52	#25
TackleTak	-	#45

LSU Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	OKLA Def
Pass GamePass	#29	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	#24	#55
Pass ExplPExl	#96	#83
PPAExp	#37	#61
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#46	#9
F7 HavocF7	#5	#12
DB HavocDB	#97	#114

Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

OKLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 46°

Rematch from Week 14
LSU -4.5 (47.5)
LSU won vs Oklahoma this year (37-17)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Oklahoma last year (37-17)

OKLA's OC Joe Jon Finley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jackson Arnold	154	246	63%	1421	12	3	5.8
Michael Hawkins Jr.	76	120	63%	783	3	2	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jovantae Barnes	122	577	5	4.7	74
Jackson Arnold	150	444	3	3.0	47
Taylor Tatum	56	278	3	5.0	35
Xavier Robinson	49	233	4	4.8	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bauer Sharp (Tr)	42	324	2	7.7	43
Javian Hester	14	315	1	22.5	90
Deion Burks (Tr)	31	245	3	7.9	20
Jacob Jordan	27	234	1	8.7	27

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Danny Stutsman	110	8	1	3	0
Robert Spears-Jennings	66	5	3	0	1
Kip Lewis	63	4	0	1	1
Billy Bowman	55	3	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
R Mason Thomas	23	13	9	11	1
Gracen Halton	30	6	5	3	0
Ethan Downs	29	9	3	2	2
Robert Spears-Jennings	66	5	3	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Kani Walker	24	2	0	6
Eli Bowen	29	2	0	4
Billy Bowman	55	3	1	3

LSU's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Nussmeier	336	524	64%	4039	29	12	7.7
Rickie Collins	5	5	100%	35	0	0	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caden Durham	138	754	6	5.5	86
Josh Williams	117	482	6	4.1	23
Kaleb Jackson	47	149	0	3.2	19
Zavion Thomas (Tr)	9	76	0	8.4	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Aaron Anderson	61	875	5	14.3	76
Kyren Lacy	58	866	9	14.9	35
Mason Taylor	55	546	2	9.9	33
C.J. Daniels (Tr)	42	480	0	11.4	34

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Blake Baker (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Whit Weeks	111	8	3	4	4
Greg Penn III	83	5	2	8	0
Bradyn Swinson	57	13	9	8	3
Jardin Gilbert (Tr)	52	2	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bradyn Swinson	57	13	9	8	3
Savion Jones	40	7	4	8	2
Whit Weeks	111	8	3	4	4
Dominick McKinley	7	3	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ashton Stamps	50	0	0	2	11
Whit Weeks	111	8	3	4	4
Zy Alexander	33	3	1	0	4