LSU at Texas A&M - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 26th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -2 (54.5) (-122) Open: -2.0
Texas A&M 38 - LSU: 23 (SEC)

Tigers (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (20 - 7)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LSU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Texas A&M -1.5 (SP+ TA&M -1)
Projected Score: LSU: 24 - TA&M: 26 (50)
TA&M Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
LSU Travel: 307 miles

Aggies (8 - 5) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LSU Players
TA&M Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

LSU's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/1	LSU vs USC	-4.0	66.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/7	LSU vs Nicholls	-50.5	62.0	W 44 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/14	LSU at South Carolina	-7.0	50.0	W 36 - 33	O	N
Sat 9/21	LSU vs UCLA	-21.5	56.5	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/28	LSU vs South Alabama	-21.0	64.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	LSU vs Ole Miss	+3.5	64.5	W 29 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/19	LSU at Arkansas	-3.0	57.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/26	LSU at Texas A&M	+2.0	54.5	L 23 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	LSU vs Alabama	+2.5	57.5	L 13 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/16	LSU at Florida	-3.0	57.0	L 16 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/23	LSU vs Vanderbilt	-10.0	53.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/30	LSU vs Oklahoma	-4.5	47.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Tue 12/31	LSU vs Baylor	+3.0	62.5	W 44 - 31	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Texas A&M's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Texas A&M vs Notre Dame	-3.0	47.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/7	Texas A&M vs McNeese	-48.5	56.5	W 52 - 10	O	N
Sat 9/14	Texas A&M at Florida	-4.5	47.0	W 33 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Texas A&M vs Bowling Green	-21.0	50.5	W 26 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/28	Texas A&M vs Arkansas	-6.5	50.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/5	Texas A&M vs Missouri	-3.0	47.5	W 41 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Texas A&M at Mississippi State	-21.0	55.5	W 34 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/26	Texas A&M vs LSU	-2.0	54.5	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Texas A&M at South Carolina	-3.0	43.5	L 20 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Texas A&M vs New Mexico State	-38.5	54.5	W 38 - 3	U	N
Sat 11/23	Texas A&M at Auburn	-2.5	47.0	L 41 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/30	Texas A&M vs Texas	+4.5	49.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Fri 12/27	Texas A&M vs USC	-3.5	56.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU	#1 (.52)	56% (2)	22.8	58% (1)	3.9 (1)	197	54% (3)	309	4.86 (8)	#126 (.32)	45% (105)	19.8	45% (92)	45% (113)	4.55 (126)	48.2	0.5	1
TA&M	#42 (.24)	43% (54)	33.8	44% (58)	3.02 (85)	136	43% (58)	271	4.15 (44)	#21 (.1)	37% (20)	21	34% (7)	40% (46)	2.76 (6)	45.5	1.1	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TA&M		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Offense	13	22.8	16.4	56.1%	4.86	0.5	24	506	197	309	6.3	47%	53%	58%	54%	11%	.52
TA&M Defense	13	21	15.3	37%	2.76	1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	34%	40%	22%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Defense	13	19.8	20.4	44.8%	4.55	1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	45%	16%	.32
TA&M Offense	13	33.8	31.1	43.2%	4.15	1.1	22	407	136	271	3.9	48%	51%	44%	43%	14%	.24

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
LSU	13	26:37	23.7	56%	43%	5.7	48.2	0.5	1	5.1	2	1	29.2
Texas A&M	13	31:24	22.1	43%	60%	5.9	45.5	1.1	1	7.4	3.2	2	35.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Offense	13	47% (95)	58% (1)	31.2	197	6.3	32 (10)	.45 (1)	3.9 (1)	69% (103)	6% (2)	1.08 (27)
TA&M Defense	13	47% (35)	34% (7)	-	-	-	-	-.03 (9)	2.46 (6)	61% (13)	15% (4)	0.99 (67)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Defense	13	49% (51)	45% (92)	-	-	-	-	.24 (113)	3.22 (97)	91% (132)	10% (79)	1.07 (99)
TA&M Offense	13	48% (84)	44% (58)	35.1	136.2	3.9	23 (46)	.14 (76)	3.02 (85)	78% (33)	9% (50)	0.94 (97)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Offense	13	53% (38)	54% (3)	19.6	28.2	308.6	11	15.7	41 (2)	4 (2)	.59 (4)	1.7 (33)	24% (4)	45% (1)	.74 (1)	5% (29)	2.1 (40)
TA&M Defense	13	52% (99)	40% (46)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.28 (77)	1.7 (98)	38% (3)	26% (22)	.18 (11)	7% (33)	2.2 (118)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Defense	13	51% (86)	45% (113)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.41 (123)	1.7 (112)	32% (64)	34% (118)	.56 (132)	6% (54)	2.5 (132)
TA&M Offense	13	51% (48)	43% (58)	21.1	32.7	270.8	8.3	12.9	24 (41)	9 (40)	.35 (41)	1.7 (23)	31% (60)	33% (46)	.46 (26)	5% (31)	2.3 (17)

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 14.94 #15
LSU's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
LSU's Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
2024 Talent Rating: 539.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 56% #7
LSU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
LSU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: 14.94 Texas A&M: 17.02

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 15.9 Texas A&M: 17.0

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 17.02 #24
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 18.38 #83
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 6.01 #35
2024 Talent Rating: 481.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 59 #5
Texas A&M's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas A&M's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.0 #13
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #19

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 511.63
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.4

LSU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Texas A&M 26
LSU 24

Projected Total Points: 50

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Texas A&M's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	LSU	25	Texas A&M	49	Texas A&M -1.5	Texas A&M	50.5	Over
2024	10/26	Texas A&M	38	LSU	23	Texas A&M -2	Texas A&M	54.5	Over
2023	11/25	LSU	42	Texas A&M	30	LSU -10.5	LSU	67.5	Over
2022	11/26	Texas A&M	38	LSU	23	LSU -10	Texas A&M	47.5	Over
2021	11/27	LSU	27	Texas A&M	24	Texas A&M -6	LSU	47.0	Over
2020	11/28	Texas A&M	20	LSU	7	Texas A&M -16	LSU	60.5	Under
2019	11/30	LSU	50	Texas A&M	7	LSU -17	LSU	63.0	Under
2018	11/24	Texas A&M	74	LSU	72	Texas A&M -3	LSU	46.5	Over
2017	11/25	LSU	45	Texas A&M	21	LSU -11	LSU	50.5	Over
2016	11/24	Texas A&M	39	LSU	54	LSU -4	LSU	48.5	Over
2015	11/28	LSU	19	Texas A&M	7	LSU -4	LSU	55.0	Under
2014	11/27	Texas A&M	17	LSU	23	LSU -2	LSU	0
2013	11/23	LSU	34	Texas A&M	10	LSU -4	LSU	0
2012	10/20	Texas A&M	19	LSU	24
2010	01/07	Texas A&M	24	LSU	41

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas A&M	5	3	8 Overs
LSU	10	10	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 5	8 - 5	6 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	5 - 10	5 - 8	3 - 2	2 - 6

(#15) LSU at (#24) TA&M

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LSU	TA&M
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#15	#24
SP+SP+	#15	#13
Perf GradeGrade	#55	#57
OffenseOff	#62	#67
DefenseDef	#53	#58
Spec TeamsST	#103	#100
TalentTal	#10	#18
Blue ChipsBC%	#7	#5

LSU Injury Report

Texas A&M Notes(12/28) 0-3 finish. Elko didn't change a thing in yr 1
(11/30) Off pitiful vs Tex, Rgame awful, Run Def mauled
(11/30) Beat LSU and NOTHING else to finish 8-4
(11/24) Def mauled by Aub, comeback fell in 4 OT
(11/5) Lead RB Moss (765 yds) out for season (leg)
(10/27) QB Reed 3 TD rush over LSU, DL was diff in game
(10/19) Off bad vs MSU. Def just OK this week
(10/7) Weigman/Rgame/Def great in rout of Mizzu.
(9/28) Def/Reed just good enough vs Hogs. Run D great
(9/26) Rgame 237 (5.6 ypc) in fight w/ BG. Reed better QB
(9/16) Rgame 310 (5.6 ypc) @ UF. QB Reed adds mobility
(8/31) Wegman awful vs ND (12/30/2 Int). RB? Playmakers?
Texas A&M Injury Report

LSU on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	TA&M Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#62	#58
SuccessSuc	#2	#20
ExplosiveExp	#11	#110
PPAPPA	#1	#21
PowerPwr	#38	#35
SP+SP+	#11	#19
Pts POPPO	#8	#6
HavocHav	#5	#5

LSU Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	TA&M Def
Run GameRun	#89	#25
Run SuccessRSuc	#1	#7
Run ExplRExp	#27	#67
PPAExp	#1	#9
Run BlockR Blk	#95	-
OL YdsOLY	#1	#6
Stuff RateStuff	#4	#10
TackleTak	-	#115

LSU Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	TA&M Def
Pass GamePass	#29	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	#3	#46
Pass ExplPExl	#33	#98
PPAExp	#4	#77
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#46	#29
F7 HavocF7	#2	#4
DB HavocDB	#29	#33

Texas A&M on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	LSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#67	#53
SuccessSuc	#54	#105
ExplosiveExp	#36	#116
PPAPPA	#42	#126
PowerPwr	#83	#59
SP+SP+	#21	#33
Pts POPPO	#44	#126
HavocHav	#36	#69

Texas A&M Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	LSU Def
Run GameRun	#56	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	#58	#92
Run ExplRExp	#97	#99
PPAExp	#76	#113
Run BlockR Blk	#49	-
OL YdsOLY	#85	#97
Stuff RateStuff	#24	#103
TackleTak	-	#38

Texas A&M Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TA&M Off	LSU Def
Pass GamePass	#105	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	#58	#113
Pass ExplPExl	#23	#112
PPAExp	#41	#123
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#47	#6
F7 HavocF7	#50	#79
DB HavocDB	#31	#54

Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'24 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'24 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Texas A&M -2.0 (54.5)
Texas A&M won vs LSU this year (38-23)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat LSU last year (49-25)
Texas A&M beat LSU in 2024 (38-23)
LSU beat Texas A&M in 2023 (42-30)

LSU's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Nussmeier	336	524	64%	4039	29	12	7.7
Rickie Collins	5	5	100%	35	0	0	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caden Durham	138	754	6	5.5	86
Josh Williams	117	482	6	4.1	23
Kaleb Jackson	47	149	0	3.2	19
Zavion Thomas (Tr)	9	76	0	8.4	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Aaron Anderson	61	875	5	14.3	76
Kyren Lacy	58	866	9	14.9	35
Mason Taylor	55	546	2	9.9	33
C.J. Daniels (Tr)	42	480	0	11.4	34

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Blake Baker (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Whit Weeks	111	8	3	4	4
Greg Penn III	83	5	2	8	0
Bradyn Swinson	57	13	9	8	3
Jardin Gilbert (Tr)	52	2	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bradyn Swinson	57	13	9	8	3
Savion Jones	40	7	4	8	2
Whit Weeks	111	8	3	4	4
Dominick McKinley	7	3	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ashton Stamps	50	0	0	2	11
Whit Weeks	111	8	3	4	4
Zy Alexander	33	3	1	0	4

TA&M's OC Collin Klein (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Marcel Reed	147	240	61%	1864	15	6	7.8
Conner Weigman	64	114	56%	819	3	5	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Le'Veon Moss	121	765	10	6.3	75
Amari Daniels	139	661	8	4.8	71
Marcel Reed	116	547	7	4.7	31
E.J. Smith (Tr)	54	207	0	3.8	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Noah Thomas	39	574	8	14.7	73
Jabre Barber (Tr)	38	381	2	10.0	58
Jahdae Walker	29	345	2	11.9	40
Tre Watson (Tr)	21	280	1	13.3	33

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Jay Bateman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taurean York	83	10	3	2	4
Dalton Brooks	59	6	1	3	2
Marcus Ratcliffe (Tr)	48	4	0	1	0
Scooby Williams (Tr)	43	8	0	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nic Caraway	37	14	4	4	2
Cashius Howell (Tr)	40	9	4	8	7
Taurean York	83	10	3	2	4
Malick Sylla	6	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Will Lee III (Tr)	42	1	0	0	10
Cashius Howell (Tr)	40	9	4	8	7
Albert Regis	36	3	1	2	6