LSU at Texas A&M - 2024 Matchup Preview
LSU logo (#3)LSU Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies(#10)Texas A&M logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -2 (54.5) (-122)  Open: -2.0
Texas A&M 38 - LSU: 23  (SEC)

 
Tigers (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (20 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
LSU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Texas A&M -1.5   (SP+ TA&M -1)

Projected Score: LSU: 26 - TA&M: 27 (53)
TA&M Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
LSU Travel: 307 miles
Aggies (8 - 5) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach Mike Elko (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 22 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
LSU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/1 LSU vs USC-4.066.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 9/7 LSU vs Nicholls-50.562.0W 44 - 21ON
Sat 9/14 LSU at South Carolina-7.050.0W 36 - 33ON
Sat 9/21 LSU vs UCLA-21.556.5W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/28 LSU vs South Alabama-21.064.5W 42 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 LSU vs Ole Miss+3.564.5W 29 - 26UY
Sat 10/19 LSU at Arkansas-3.057.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 10/26 LSU at Texas A&M+2.054.5L 23 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 LSU vs Alabama+2.557.5L 13 - 42UN
Sat 11/16 LSU at Florida-3.057.0L 16 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 LSU vs Vanderbilt-10.053.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 11/30 LSU vs Oklahoma-4.547.5W 37 - 17OY
Tue 12/31 LSU vs Baylor+3.062.5W 44 - 31OY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas A&M vs Notre Dame-3.047.0L 13 - 23UN
Sat 9/7 Texas A&M vs McNeese-48.556.5W 52 - 10ON
Sat 9/14 Texas A&M at Florida-4.547.0W 33 - 20OY
Sat 9/21 Texas A&M vs Bowling Green-21.050.5W 26 - 20UN
Sat 9/28 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-6.550.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 10/5 Texas A&M vs Missouri-3.047.5W 41 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Texas A&M at Mississippi State-21.055.5W 34 - 24ON
Sat 10/26 Texas A&M vs LSU-2.054.5W 38 - 23OY
Sat 11/2 Texas A&M at South Carolina-3.043.5L 20 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Texas A&M vs New Mexico State-38.554.5W 38 - 3UN
Sat 11/23 Texas A&M at Auburn-2.547.0L 41 - 43ON
Sat 11/30 Texas A&M vs Texas+4.549.5L 7 - 17UN
Fri 12/27 Texas A&M vs USC-3.556.5L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)30.542% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)24.341% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)30.446% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)22.240% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)42% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)41% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Offense1330.527.344.9%3.991.2223991082914.139%61%42%47%13%.25
TA&M Defense1322.215.138.1%3.031.3 - - - - - 47%53%40%37%20%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Defense1324.32741.1%3.441 - - - - - 51%49%41%41%18%.21
TA&M Offense1330.430.744.8%3.631203721851884.957%43%46%43%12%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
LSU1329:4722.150%50%5.845.71.215.12.5127.9
Texas A&M1329:1319.645%41%6.960.711.36.61.8238.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Offense1339% (128)42% (89)26.4108.24.114 (98).12 (79)2.92 (90)82% (13)6% (5)0.89 (103)
TA&M Defense1347% (35)40% (38) - - - - .1 (60)2.55 (10)77% (89)11% (46)1.11 (117)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Defense1351% (67)41% (54) - - - - .18 (97)2.94 (55)84% (125)12% (29)1.23 (132)
TA&M Offense1357% (21)46% (38)37.8184.54.926 (36).19 (37)3.29 (27)73% (68)7% (12)0.97 (66)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Offense1361% (7)47% (24)24.538.4290.87.611.926 (26)11 (72).33 (37)1.5 (96)33% (89)37% (16).42 (28)7% (97)2 (84)
TA&M Defense1353% (105)37% (22) - - - - - - 13 (31).22 (62)1.8 (131)36% (11)30% (69).37 (94)8% (2)2.3 (131)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Defense1349% (69)41% (73) - - - - - - 5 (117).25 (75)1.6 (68)35% (28)31% (76).36 (93)7% (41)2.2 (104)
TA&M Offense1343% (112)43% (58)14.624.5187.87.712.916 (87)9 (48).25 (70)1.6 (72)30% (48)34% (43).35 (61)5% (28)1.9 (112)

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 14.94 #15
LSU's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
LSU's Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 56% #7
LSU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
LSU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: 14.94   Texas A&M: 17.02

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 15.9   Texas A&M: 17.0




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 17.02 #24
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 18.38 #83
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 6.01 #35
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 59 #5
Texas A&M's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas A&M's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.0 #13
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #19

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

LSU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 27
LSU 26


Total Points: 53

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Texas A&M's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Texas A&M38LSU23Texas A&MTexas A&M -2Texas A&M54.5Over
202311/25LSU42Texas A&M30LSULSU -10.5LSU67.5Over
202211/26Texas A&M38LSU23Texas A&MLSU -10Texas A&M47.5Over
202111/27LSU27Texas A&M24LSUTexas A&M -6LSU47.0Over
202011/28Texas A&M20LSU7Texas A&MTexas A&M -16LSU60.5Under
201911/30LSU50Texas A&M7LSULSU -17LSU63.0Under
201811/24Texas A&M74LSU72Texas A&MTexas A&M -3LSU46.5Over
201711/25LSU45Texas A&M21LSULSU -11LSU50.5Over
201611/24Texas A&M39LSU54LSULSU -4LSU48.5Over
201511/28LSU19Texas A&M7LSULSU -4LSU55.0Under
201411/27Texas A&M17LSU23LSULSU -2LSU0
201311/23LSU34Texas A&M10LSULSU -4LSU0
201210/20Texas A&M19LSU24LSU
201001/07Texas A&M24LSU41LSU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M427 Overs
LSU10103 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 48 - 46 - 22 - 2
Road Teams4 - 104 - 82 - 22 - 6

(#15) LSU Info
Power Rating: 14.94 #15
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 56% #7
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.99 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

LSU has won 6 straight
LSU has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 2 (1 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

LSU Highlights
LSU offense is good on 3rd downs
LSU Defense Sacks the QB a lot

LSU defense is really good in red zone (#40)
LSU Front 7 is disruptive (#120)

LSU Deficiencies
LSU Can Not Run the Ball (#116)
LSU gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#19)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTA&MLSU
OverallOver#41#39
OffenseOff#56#52
DefenseDef#42#39
Special TeamsST#83#86
PassingPass#83#24
RushingRush#39#64
Run BlockRBLK#39#73
Pass BlockPBLK#47#46
Route RunningWR Rt#49#23
TacklingTkl#100#34
Run DefenseR Def#19#76
Pass Rush DefPRush#27#6
Coverage DefCov#82#64

Rematch from Week 9
Texas A&M -2.0 (54.5)
Texas A&M won vs LSU this year (38-23)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat LSU last year (38-23)
LSU beat Texas A&M in 2023 (42-30)
Texas A&M beat LSU in 2022 (38-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LSU | TA&M
Depth Chart: LSU | TA&M
Rosters: LSU | TA&M
(#24) Texas A&M Info
Power Rating: 17.02 #24
Offense Rating: 18.38 #83
Defense Rating: 6.01 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.0 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #19
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 59 #5
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.63 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.03 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Great Field Position

Texas A&M has won 6 straight
Texas A&M has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 2 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas A&M Notes
(11/30) Off pitiful vs Tex, Rgame awful, Run Def mauled
(11/30) Beat LSU and NOTHING else to finish 8-4
(11/24) Def mauled by Aub, comeback fell in 4 OT
(11/5) Lead RB Moss (765 yds) out for season (leg)
(10/27) QB Reed 3 TD rush over LSU, DL was diff in game
(10/19) Off bad vs MSU. Def just OK this week
(10/7) Weigman/Rgame/Def great in rout of Mizzu.
(9/28) Def/Reed just good enough vs Hogs. Run D great
(9/26) Rgame 237 (5.6 ypc) in fight w/ BG. Reed better QB
(9/16) Rgame 310 (5.6 ypc) @ UF. QB Reed adds mobility

Texas A&M Highlights
Texas A&M has Really Good Running Game (#65)
Texas A&M has a top Offensive Line (#41)
Texas A&M does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#70)

Texas A&M has a really good defense (#36)
Texas A&M defense is really good in red zone (#116)
Texas A&M has a good pass defense (#48)
Texas A&M Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#48)
Texas A&M Defensive Line is very good (#28)
Texas A&M Secondary is very good (#107)
Texas A&M has a great TO Margin (#28)

Texas A&M Deficiencies
Texas A&M Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Texas A&M offense is not Explosive (#30)
Texas A&M gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#124)


  
LSU's OC Joe Sloan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier33652464%403929127.7
Rickie Collins55100%35007.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham13875465.586
Josh Williams11748264.123
Kaleb Jackson4714903.219
Zavion Thomas (Tr)97608.426
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Anderson61875514.376
Kyren Lacy58866914.935
Mason Taylor5554629.933
C.J. Daniels (Tr)42480011.434

View LSU's Full Roster
LSU's DC Blake Baker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Whit Weeks1118344
Greg Penn III835280
Bradyn Swinson5713983
Jardin Gilbert (Tr)522102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradyn Swinson5713983
Savion Jones407482
Whit Weeks1118344
Dominick McKinley73310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Stamps5000211
Whit Weeks1118344
Zy Alexander333104

Texas A&M's OC Collin Klein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Marcel Reed14724061%18641567.8
Conner Weigman6411456%819357.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Le'Veon Moss121765106.375
Amari Daniels13966184.871
Marcel Reed11654774.731
E.J. Smith (Tr)5420703.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Thomas39574814.773
Jabre Barber (Tr)38381210.058
Jahdae Walker29345211.940
Tre Watson (Tr)21280113.333

View Texas A&M's Full Roster
Texas A&M's DC Jay Bateman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taurean York8310324
Dalton Brooks596132
Marcus Ratcliffe (Tr)484010
Scooby Williams (Tr)438024
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nic Caraway3714442
Cashius Howell (Tr)409487
Taurean York8310324
Malick Sylla63200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Lee III (Tr)4210010
Cashius Howell (Tr)409487
Albert Regis363126