LSU at Purdue - 2022 Matchup Preview

Monday, January 2nd 2023 (1:00 PM EST)
LSU -15 (54.0) (430) Open: -10.0 | 58.5
LSU 63 - Purdue: 7 (Cheez-It Citrus Bowl)

Tigers (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 20 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ LSU -8.5)
Projected Score: LSU: 25 - PUR: 20 (45)
LSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
LSU Travel: 602 miles, 1 hrs behind

Boilermakers (8 - 6) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (28 - 29)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
LSU Players
PUR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

LSU's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/4	LSU vs Florida State	-4.5	51.0	L 23 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/10	LSU vs Southern	-44.5	58.0	W 65 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/17	LSU vs Mississippi State	+3.0	53.0	W 31 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/24	LSU vs New Mexico	-31.5	44.0	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/1	LSU at Auburn	-8.0	44.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/8	LSU vs Tennessee	+2.5	63.0	L 13 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/15	LSU at Florida	+2.0	51.5	W 45 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/22	LSU vs Ole Miss	+0.0	64.0	W 45 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	LSU vs Alabama	+13.5	56.5	W 32 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/12	LSU at Arkansas	-5.0	59.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/19	LSU vs UAB	-15.5	50.5	W 41 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/26	LSU at Texas A&M	-10.0	47.5	L 23 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/3	LSU vs Georgia	+17.0	52.0	L 30 - 50	O	N
Mon 1/2	LSU vs Purdue	-15.0	54.0	W 63 - 7	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Purdue's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Purdue vs Penn State	+3.5	53.5	L 31 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/10	Purdue vs Indiana State	-37.0	54.0	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Purdue at Syracuse	+1.5	59.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 9/24	Purdue vs Florida Atlantic	-16.0	57.0	W 28 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/1	Purdue at Minnesota	+9.0	53.0	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Purdue at Maryland	+3.0	59.5	W 31 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Purdue vs Nebraska	-14.0	56.0	W 43 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/22	Purdue at Wisconsin	+1.5	51.5	L 24 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Purdue vs Iowa	-3.5	39.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/12	Purdue at Illinois	+6.0	44.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Purdue vs Northwestern	-17.5	44.5	W 17 - 9	U	N
Sat 11/26	Purdue at Indiana	-10.0	52.5	W 30 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/3	Purdue vs Michigan	+16.0	53.0	L 22 - 43	O	N
Mon 1/2	Purdue vs LSU	+15.0	54.0	L 7 - 63	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU	.19	41%	22.8	38%	2.89	114	43%	254	4.25	.18	43%	19.8	42%	43%	4.03	34.3	1.2	1.1
PUR	.23	46%	18.8	44%	2.79	84	47%	355	3.93	.17	40%	31.8	41%	38%	3.46	42.8	1.5	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PUR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Offense	13	22.8	16.4	40.6%	4.25	1.2	19	368	114	254	3.3	46%	54%	38%	43%	17%	.19
PUR Defense	13	31.8	30	39.8%	3.46	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	41%	38%	18%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Defense	13	19.8	20.4	42.7%	4.03	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	42%	43%	17%	.18
PUR Offense	13	18.8	20.9	46%	3.93	1.5	24	440	84	355	2.8	35%	64%	44%	47%	15%	.23

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
LSU	13	29:36	19.4	37%	63%	4.3	34.3	1.2	1.1	7.5	2.9	1	27.8
Purdue	13	31:57	23.9	44%	53%	4.5	42.8	1.5	1.3	5.9	1.9	1	28.1

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Offense	13	46%	38%	34.2	114	3.3	9	.04	2.89	69%	10%	0.92
PUR Defense	13	53%	41%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.9	64%	11%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Defense	13	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.84	73%	12%	0.98
PUR Offense	13	35%	44%	30.2	84.2	2.8	7	-.04	2.79	68%	10%	0.57

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Offense	13	54%	43%	20.2	34.1	254.5	7.5	12.6	32	11	.31	1.6	33%	31%	.3	7%	1.9
PUR Defense	13	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.25	1.8	32%	27%	.18	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Defense	13	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.29	1.7	34%	35%	.47	5%	2.3
PUR Offense	13	64%	47%	31.3	44.3	355.4	8	11.4	35	12	.39	1.5	29%	38%	.52	6%	2.1

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
LSU's 2022 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2 #14
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #37
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: Purdue: 3.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 16.2 Purdue: 7.7

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: 3.85 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2022 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #47
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #49
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.4

LSU's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
LSU 25
Purdue 20

Projected Total Points: 45

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	01/02	Purdue	7	LSU	63	LSU -15	LSU	54.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Purdue	0	0	1 Overs
LSU	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

LSU Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	Citrus Bowl	LSU vs Purdue	-15.0	54.0	W 63 - 7
2021	Texas Bowl	LSU vs Kansas State	+9.5	47.0	L 20 - 42
2019	CFP Nat'l Title	LSU vs Clemson	-5.0	67.0	W 42 - 25
2019	CFP Semifinal	LSU vs Oklahoma	-13.0	75.0	W 63 - 28
2018	Fiesta Bowl	LSU vs UCF	-7.5	57.5	W 40 - 32
2017	Citrus Bowl	LSU vs Notre Dame	-2.0	52.0	L 17 - 21
2016	N/A	LSU vs Louisville	-3.0	59.0	W 29 - 9

Purdue Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	Citrus Bowl	Purdue vs LSU	+15.0	54.0	L 7 - 63
2021	City Bowl	Purdue vs Tennessee	+8.0	67.0	W 48 - 45
2018	City Bowl	Purdue vs Auburn	+3.5	58.5	L 14 - 63
2017	Farms Bowl	Purdue vs Arizona	+3.0	64.5	W 38 - 35

(#) LSU at (#) PUR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LSU	PUR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#14	#47
Perf GradeGrade	#34	#105
OffenseOff	#37	#80
DefenseDef	#36	#112
Spec TeamsST	#128	#88
TalentTal	#8	#51
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

LSU Injury Report

Purdue Injury Report

LSU on Offense


CategoryCat	LSU Off	PUR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#37	#112
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#37	#39
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

LSU Run Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	PUR Def
Run GameRun	#25	#115
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#44	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#91

LSU Pass Game


CategoryCat	LSU Off	PUR Def
Pass GamePass	#25	#104
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#55	#73
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Purdue on Offense


CategoryCat	PUR Off	LSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#80	#36
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#23
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Purdue Run Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	LSU Def
Run GameRun	#91	#18
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#75	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#46

Purdue Pass Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	LSU Def
Pass GamePass	#90	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#69	#34
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camping World Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
LSU 15.0 (54.0)
LSU won at Purdue this year (63-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

LSU's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Matt House (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Ron English (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD