LSU at Arkansas Game Matchup
LSU logo LSU Tigers at Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas logo
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
LSU -3 (57.0) (-148)  Open: -9.5
LSU 34 - Arkansas: 10  (SEC)

 
Tigers (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (20 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
ARK coming off BYE
Our Line: LSU -2.5   (SP+ LSU -5)
Projected Score: LSU: 29 - ARK: 27 (56)
LSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
LSU Travel: 427 miles
Razorbacks (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (23 - 25)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (24 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
LSU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/1 LSU vs USC-4.066.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 9/7 LSU vs Nicholls-50.562.0W 44 - 21ON
Sat 9/14 LSU at South Carolina-7.050.0W 36 - 33ON
Sat 9/21 LSU vs UCLA-21.556.5W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/28 LSU vs South Alabama-21.064.5W 42 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 LSU vs Ole Miss+3.564.5W 29 - 26UY
Sat 10/19 LSU at Arkansas-3.057.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 10/26 LSU at Texas A&M+2.054.5L 23 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 LSU vs Alabama+2.557.5L 13 - 42UN
Sat 11/16 LSU at Florida-3.057.0L 16 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 LSU vs Vanderbilt-10.053.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 11/30 LSU vs Oklahoma-4.547.5W 37 - 17OY
Tue 12/31 LSU vs Baylor+3.062.5W 44 - 31OY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Arkansas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-50.560.5W 70 - 0OY
Sat 9/7 Arkansas at Oklahoma State+10.560.5L 31 - 39OY
Sat 9/14 Arkansas vs UAB-23.560.5W 37 - 27ON
Sat 9/21 Arkansas at Auburn+2.553.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 9/28 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+6.550.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 10/5 Arkansas vs Tennessee+14.057.5W 19 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Arkansas vs LSU+3.057.0L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/26 Arkansas at Mississippi State-7.555.0W 58 - 25OY
Sat 11/2 Arkansas vs Ole Miss+8.054.0L 31 - 63ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Arkansas vs Texas+13.057.5L 10 - 20UY
Sat 11/23 Arkansas vs Louisiana Tech-23.548.5W 35 - 14ON
Sat 11/30 Arkansas at Missouri+3.551.5L 21 - 28UN
Fri 12/27 Arkansas vs Texas Tech+3.552.5W 39 - 26OY

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU#1 (.52)56% (2)30.558% (1)3.9 (1)19754% (3)3094.86 (8)#126 (.32)45% (105)24.345% (92)45% (113)4.55 (126)48.20.51
ARK#75 (.18)39% (105)30.943% (74)3.3 (34)13936% (112)1884.22 (35)#42 (.14)39% (40)2541% (48)39% (29)3.93 (79)55.41.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Offense1330.527.356.1%4.860.5245061973096.347%53%58%54%11%.52
ARK Defense122528.739.5%3.931.5 - - - - - 53%46%41%39%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Defense1324.32744.8%4.551 - - - - - 49%51%45%45%16%.32
ARK Offense1230.923.739.3%4.221.5173271391883.552%47%43%36%20%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
LSU1326:3723.756%43%5.748.20.515.12129.2
Arkansas1230:4317.338%63%6.355.41.51.56.32.4527.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Offense1347% (95)58% (1)31.21976.332 (10).45 (1)3.9 (1)69% (103)6% (2)1.08 (27)
ARK Defense1253% (108)41% (48) - - - - .07 (27)2.95 (41)70% (45)11% (29)0.9 (29)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Defense1349% (51)45% (92) - - - - .24 (113)3.22 (97)91% (132)10% (79)1.07 (99)
ARK Offense1252% (48)43% (74)39.31393.59 (128).15 (70)3.3 (34)84% (5)15% (130)0.89 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Offense1353% (38)54% (3)19.628.2308.61115.741 (2)4 (2).59 (4)1.7 (33)24% (4)45% (1).74 (1)5% (29)2.1 (40)
ARK Defense1246% (29)39% (29) - - - - - - 12 (37).27 (65)1.9 (130)32% (62)27% (27).3 (61)7% (42)2.3 (129)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Defense1351% (86)45% (113) - - - - - - 10 (67).41 (123)1.7 (112)32% (64)34% (118).56 (132)6% (54)2.5 (132)
ARK Offense1247% (86)36% (112)17.326.9187.5710.922 (61)8 (30).24 (80)1.8 (14)34% (97)27% (98).39 (49)5% (32)2.4 (3)

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 14.94 #15
LSU's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
LSU's Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
2024 Talent Rating: 924.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 56% #7
LSU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
LSU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: 14.94   Arkansas: 13.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 15.9   Arkansas: 11.0




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 13.08 #30
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.73 #60
2024 Talent Rating: 800.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Arkansas's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Arkansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

LSU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 29
Arkansas 27

Projected Total Points: 56
Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.7

Arkansas's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Arkansas10LSU34LSULSU -3LSU57.0Under
202309/23LSU34Arkansas31LSULSU -17.5Arkansas55.0Over
202211/12Arkansas10LSU13LSULSU -5Arkansas59.0Under
202111/13LSU13Arkansas16ArkansasArkansas -3NA59.5Under
202011/21Arkansas24LSU27LSULSU -1.5LSU64.5Under
201911/23LSU56Arkansas20LSULSU -42Arkansas69.5Over
201811/10Arkansas17LSU24LSULSU -12.5Arkansas49.5Under
201711/11LSU33Arkansas10LSULSU -19LSU54.5Under
201611/12Arkansas10LSU38LSULSU -7LSU46.5Over
201511/14LSU14Arkansas31ArkansasLSU -9Arkansas54.0Under
201411/15Arkansas17LSU0ArkansasArkansas -1.5Arkansas0
201311/29LSU31Arkansas27LSULSU -24.5Arkansas0
201211/23Arkansas13LSU20LSU
201111/25LSU41Arkansas17LSU
201011/27Arkansas31LSU23Arkansas
200911/28LSU33Arkansas30LSU
200811/28Arkansas31LSU30Arkansas
200711/23LSU48Arkansas50Arkansas
200611/24Arkansas26LSU31LSU
200511/25LSU19Arkansas17LSU
200411/26Arkansas14LSU43LSU
200311/28LSU55Arkansas24LSU
200111/23LSU41Arkansas38LSU
200011/23Arkansas14LSU3Arkansas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas773 Overs
LSU1747 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 114 - 72 - 42 - 3
Road Teams11 - 137 - 43 - 24 - 2

(#15) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.94 #15
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 924.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 56% #7
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.99 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

LSU     Ratings Matchup     Arkansas
Power #15
#30
Off #38
#22
Def #59
#60
Talent #16
#29
SP+ #15
#24
SP+ Off #11
#40
SP+ Def #33
#33

Rematch from Week 8
LSU 3.0 (57.0)
LSU won at Arkansas this year (34-10)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Arkansas last year (34-10)
LSU beat Arkansas in 2023 (34-31)
LSU beat Arkansas in 2022 (13-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 64°

Team Information
Injuries: LSU | ARK
Depth Chart: LSU | ARK
Rosters: LSU | ARK
(#30) Arkansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.08 #30
Offense Rating: 24.60 #22
Defense Rating: 8.73 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 800.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 21 #26
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.95 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Good Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 3.31 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position



  
LSU's OC Joe Sloan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier33652464%403929127.7
Rickie Collins55100%35007.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham13875465.586
Kaleb Jackson4714903.219
Zavion Thomas (Tr)97608.426
John Emery Jr. (Tr)106106.139
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Anderson61875514.376
C.J. Daniels (Tr)42480011.434
Caden Durham2826029.371
Chris Hilton Jr.9243327.045

View LSU's Full Roster
LSU's DC Blake Baker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Whit Weeks1118344
Jardin Gilbert (Tr)522102
Ashton Stamps5000211
Sage Ryan422104
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominick McKinley73310
Whit Weeks1118344
Jay'Viar Suggs (Tr)104322
Davhon Keys312213
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Stamps5000211
Whit Weeks1118344
Sage Ryan422104

Arkansas's OC Bobby Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green (Tr)23038160%31531598.3
Malachi Singleton212875%3581012.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quinden Jackson (Tr)149790155.346
Taylen Green (Tr)15660283.941
Braylen Russell6735435.375
Rashod Dubinion5633526.023
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Sategna37490113.258
Luke Hasz26324412.543
Ja'Quinden Jackson (Tr)13139010.726
Dazmin James3137145.794

View Arkansas's Full Roster
Arkansas's DC Travis Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)9910231
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)783106
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)703231
TJ Metcalf561007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brad Spence556511
Xavian Sorey Jr. (Tr)9910231
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)703231
Cameron Ball464220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Metcalf561007
Marquise Robinson (Tr)350007
Doneiko Slaughter (Tr)783106