LSU at South Carolina - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#3)LSU Tigers at South Carolina Gamecocks(#11)

Saturday, September 14th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
LSU -7 (50.0) (-250) Open: -9.5
LSU 36 - South Carolina: 33 (SEC)

Tigers (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (20 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: South Carolina -4 (SP+ SC -1)
Projected Score: LSU: 21 - SC: 25 (47)
LSU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
LSU Travel: 643 miles, 1 hrs behind

Gamecocks (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (20 - 18)
Avg Score : 31 - 18 (35 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LSU Players
SC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

LSU's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/1	LSU vs USC	-4.0	66.5	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/7	LSU vs Nicholls	-50.5	62.0	W 44 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/14	LSU at South Carolina	-7.0	50.0	W 36 - 33	O	N
Sat 9/21	LSU vs UCLA	-21.5	56.5	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/28	LSU vs South Alabama	-21.0	64.5	W 42 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	LSU vs Ole Miss	+3.5	64.5	W 29 - 26	U	Y
Sat 10/19	LSU at Arkansas	-3.0	57.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/26	LSU at Texas A&M	+2.0	54.5	L 23 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	LSU vs Alabama	+2.5	57.5	L 13 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/16	LSU at Florida	-3.0	57.0	L 16 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/23	LSU vs Vanderbilt	-10.0	53.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/30	LSU vs Oklahoma	-4.5	47.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Tue 12/31	LSU vs Baylor	+3.0	62.5	W 44 - 31	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

South Carolina's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	South Carolina vs Old Dominion	-20.5	49.5	W 23 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/7	South Carolina at Kentucky	+9.5	41.5	W 31 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/14	South Carolina vs LSU	+7.0	50.0	L 33 - 36	O	Y
Sat 9/21	South Carolina vs Akron	-25.0	42.0	W 50 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	South Carolina vs Ole Miss	+10.0	53.0	L 3 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/12	South Carolina at Alabama	+21.0	50.0	L 25 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/19	South Carolina at Oklahoma	-1.0	40.5	W 35 - 9	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	South Carolina vs Texas A&M	+3.0	43.5	W 44 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/9	South Carolina at Vanderbilt	-6.0	44.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/16	South Carolina vs Missouri	-10.5	42.5	W 34 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/23	South Carolina vs Wofford	-42.5	49.5	W 56 - 12	O	Y
Sat 11/30	South Carolina at Clemson	+2.5	48.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Tue 12/31	South Carolina vs Illinois	-9.5	50.0	L 17 - 21	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU	#30 (.25)	45% (38)	30.5	42% (89)	2.92 (90)	108	47% (24)	291	3.99 (60)	#92 (.21)	41% (60)	24.3	41% (54)	41% (73)	3.44 (30)	45.7	1.2	1
SC	#48 (.22)	44% (58)	30.5	44% (74)	3.01 (73)	175	44% (42)	203	3.97 (62)	#15 (.08)	42% (73)	18.1	45% (93)	40% (61)	3.19 (16)	53.8	1.5	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU	#30 (.25)	45% (38)		42% (89)	2.92 (90)	108	47% (24)	291	3.99 (60)	#92 (.21)	41% (60)		41% (54)	41% (73)	3.44 (30)	45.7	1.2	1
SC	#48 (.22)	44% (58)		44% (74)	3.01 (73)	175	44% (42)	203	3.97 (62)	#15 (.08)	42% (73)		45% (93)	40% (61)	3.19 (16)	53.8	1.5	1.7

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Offense	13	30.5	27.3	44.9%	3.99	1.2	22	399	108	291	4.1	39%	61%	42%	47%	13%	.25
SC Defense	13	18.1	21.6	42.1%	3.19	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	40%	19%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Defense	13	24.3	27	41.1%	3.44	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	41%	41%	18%	.21
SC Offense	13	30.5	34.7	43.7%	3.97	1.5	20	378	175	203	4.4	58%	41%	44%	44%	17%	.22

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
LSU	13	29:47	22.1	50%	50%	5.8	45.7	1.2	1	5.1	2.5	1	27.9
South Carolina	13	28:44	20	42%	50%	6.2	53.8	1.5	1.7	6.5	3.1	2	30.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Offense	13	39% (128)	42% (89)	26.4	108.2	4.1	14 (98)	.12 (79)	2.92 (90)	82% (13)	6% (5)	0.89 (103)
SC Defense	13	49% (52)	45% (93)	-	-	-	-	.03 (23)	2.87 (46)	69% (43)	13% (10)	0.73 (4)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Defense	13	51% (67)	41% (54)	-	-	-	-	.18 (97)	2.94 (55)	84% (125)	12% (29)	1.23 (132)
SC Offense	13	58% (15)	44% (74)	39.5	175.2	4.4	25 (41)	.13 (70)	3.01 (73)	79% (29)	13% (121)	0.95 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Offense	13	61% (7)	47% (24)	24.5	38.4	290.8	7.6	11.9	26 (26)	11 (72)	.33 (37)	1.5 (96)	33% (89)	37% (16)	.42 (28)	7% (97)	2 (84)
SC Defense	13	50% (74)	40% (61)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.15 (31)	1.5 (35)	30% (104)	29% (49)	.26 (45)	6% (76)	2.1 (76)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Defense	13	49% (69)	41% (73)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.25 (75)	1.6 (68)	35% (28)	31% (76)	.36 (93)	7% (41)	2.2 (104)
SC Offense	13	41% (118)	44% (42)	15.5	23.6	202.8	8.6	13.1	20 (58)	7 (26)	.37 (23)	1.8 (14)	30% (45)	32% (61)	.35 (63)	4% (17)	2.1 (47)

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 14.94 #15
LSU's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
LSU's Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
2024 Talent Rating: 924.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 56% #7
LSU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
LSU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: 14.94 South Carolina: 19.43

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 15.9 South Carolina: 16.9

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 19.43 #11
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.17 #65
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 3.17 #13
2024 Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 32 #20
South Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
South Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9 #14
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #35
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

LSU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
South Carolina 25
LSU 21

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
LSU 18
South Carolina 15

Total Points: 33

Based on Entire Season
South Carolina 29
LSU 24

Total Points: 53

South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.7
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

South Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	LSU	20	South Carolina	10	LSU -8.5	LSU	44.5	Under
2024	09/14	South Carolina	33	LSU	36	LSU -7	South Carolina	50.0	Over
2020	10/24	LSU	52	South Carolina	24	LSU -4.5	LSU	54.0	Over
2015	10/10	LSU	45	South Carolina	24	South Carolina -13	LSU	50.5	Over
2012	10/13	LSU	23	South Carolina	21
2008	10/18	South Carolina	17	LSU	24
2007	09/22	LSU	28	South Carolina	16
2003	10/18	South Carolina	7	LSU	33
2002	10/19	LSU	38	South Carolina	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Carolina	0	1	3 Overs
LSU	9	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 3	4 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 6	0 - 4	0 - 2	0 - 2

(#15) LSU at (#11) SC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LSU	SC
Power RatePwr	#15	#11
SP+SP+	#15	#14
Perf GradeGrade	#55	#21
OffenseOff	#62	#78
DefenseDef	#53	#10
Spec TeamsST	#103	#26
TalentTal	#16	#19
Blue ChipsBC%	#7	#20

South Carolina Notes
(12/11) OC Loggains left for App St HC job
(12/11) Hired Mike Shula as OC? Was OA, NLF, Bama HC
(12/1) Sellers future, how much DL can they keep/get?
(12/1) Even w/ Clem, Sellers legs the diff. Run D good
(11/18) Hot team, Sellers 353 yds (Mizzu) Rgame bad
(11/13) Killed Vandy, Sellers improving, Def best in SEC?
(10/18) Allowed most sacks in FBS, also 8 QB fumbles
(10/12) Run Def great vs Bama, Sellers better. Tough team
(10/6) QB Sellers does not look healthy
(9/15) DL top unit in CFB. Rgame good vs LSU, QB bad
(9/8) Huge W @ UK, Def great, Off still awful.

LSU on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	SC Def
Perf GradePerf	#62	#10
SuccessSuc	#38	#73
ExplosiveExp	#57	#5
PPAPPA	#30	#15
PowerPwr	#38	#13
SP+SP+	#11	#13
Pts POPPO	#60	#16
HavocHav	#26	#21

LSU Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	SC Def
Run GameRun	#89	#28
Run SuccessRSuc	#89	#93
Run ExplRExp	#103	#4
PPAExp	#79	#23
Run BlockR Blk	#95	-
OL YdsOLY	#90	#46
Stuff RateStuff	#52	#74
TackleTak	-	#42

LSU Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat	LSU Off	SC Def
Pass GamePass	#29	#12
Pass SuccessPSuc	#24	#61
Pass ExplPExl	#96	#35
PPAExp	#37	#31
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#46	#3
F7 HavocF7	#5	#10
DB HavocDB	#97	#76

South Carolina on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	SC Off	LSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#78	#53
SuccessSuc	#58	#60
ExplosiveExp	#56	#118
PPAPPA	#48	#92
PowerPwr	#65	#59
SP+SP+	#35	#33
Pts POPPO	#62	#30
HavocHav	#93	#30

South Carolina Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	SC Off	LSU Def
Run GameRun	#35	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	#74	#54
Run ExplRExp	#79	#132
PPAExp	#70	#97
Run BlockR Blk	#103	-
OL YdsOLY	#73	#55
Stuff RateStuff	#41	#50
TackleTak	-	#38

South Carolina Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	SC Off	LSU Def
Pass GamePass	#69	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	#42	#73
Pass ExplPExl	#14	#68
PPAExp	#23	#75
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#107	#6
F7 HavocF7	#121	#29
DB HavocDB	#17	#41

Program Comparison
SC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams-Brice Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 79° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 3
LSU 7.0 (50.0)
LSU won at South Carolina this year (36-33)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat South Carolina last year (36-33)

LSU's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Nussmeier	336	524	64%	4039	29	12	7.7
Rickie Collins	5	5	100%	35	0	0	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caden Durham	138	754	6	5.5	86
Josh Williams	117	482	6	4.1	23
Kaleb Jackson	47	149	0	3.2	19
Zavion Thomas (Tr)	9	76	0	8.4	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Aaron Anderson	61	875	5	14.3	76
Kyren Lacy	58	866	9	14.9	35
Mason Taylor	55	546	2	9.9	33
C.J. Daniels (Tr)	42	480	0	11.4	34

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Blake Baker (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Whit Weeks	111	8	3	4	4
Greg Penn III	83	5	2	8	0
Bradyn Swinson	57	13	9	8	3
Jardin Gilbert (Tr)	52	2	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bradyn Swinson	57	13	9	8	3
Savion Jones	40	7	4	8	2
Whit Weeks	111	8	3	4	4
Dominick McKinley	7	3	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ashton Stamps	50	0	0	2	11
Whit Weeks	111	8	3	4	4
Zy Alexander	33	3	1	0	4

SC's OC Dowell Loggains (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Lanorris Sellers	197	300	66%	2527	18	7	8.4
Robby Ashford (Tr)	23	32	72%	324	2	0	10.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raheim Sanders (Tr)	183	881	11	4.8	66
Lanorris Sellers	165	681	7	4.1	75
Oscar Adaway III (Tr)	77	295	3	3.8	36
Robby Ashford (Tr)	41	227	2	5.5	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joshua Simon	41	512	7	12.5	57
Nyck Harbor	26	376	3	14.5	43
Mazeo Bennett	30	337	3	11.2	36
Raheim Sanders (Tr)	27	316	2	11.7	43

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nick Emmanwori	88	3	0	0	2
Demetrius Knight II	82	8	2	0	1
Bam Martin-Scott	66	8	3	0	2
Debo Williams	63	5	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Kennard (Tr)	29	17	12	9	1
Dylan Stewart	23	11	7	3	1
Bryan Thomas Jr.	23	7	5	2	0
Tonka Hemingway	25	4	4	6	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Judge Collier	28	3	0	8
Jalon Kilgore	48	3	3	5
O'Donnell Fortune	47	2	0	3