Cincinnati at Kansas State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati Bearcats at Kansas State WildcatsKansas State logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Kansas State -7.5 (54.5) (-270)  Open: -8.5
Kansas State 41 - Cincinnati: 15  (Big 12)

 
Bearcats (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Scott Satterfield (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (24 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
CIN 2nd straight Road Game
KSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Kansas State -14.5   (SP+ KSU -14)

Projected Score: CIN: 19 - KSU: 34 (53)
KSU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 647 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (39 - 24)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (33 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Cincinnati's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Cincinnati vs Towson-33.556.5W 38 - 20ON
Sat 9/7 Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh+2.562.5L 27 - 28UY
Sat 9/14 Cincinnati at Miami (OH)-3.547.5W 27 - 16UY
Sat 9/21 Cincinnati vs Houston-4.047.5W 34 - 0UY
Sat 9/28 Cincinnati at Texas Tech+3.060.0L 41 - 44OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Cincinnati at UCF+2.058.0W 19 - 13UY
Sat 10/19 Cincinnati vs Arizona State-5.551.0W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/26 Cincinnati at Colorado+6.057.0L 23 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Cincinnati vs West Virginia-5.554.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 11/16 Cincinnati at Iowa State+7.052.5L 17 - 34UN
Sat 11/23 Cincinnati at Kansas State+7.554.5L 15 - 41ON
Sat 11/30 Cincinnati vs TCU+2.558.5L 13 - 20UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Kansas State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kansas State vs UT Martin-36.556.5W 41 - 6UN
Sat 9/7 Kansas State at Tulane-8.547.5W 34 - 27ON
Fri 9/13 Kansas State vs Arizona-7.058.0W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/21 Kansas State at BYU-7.549.5L 9 - 38UN
Sat 9/28 Kansas State vs Oklahoma State-6.058.0W 42 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kansas State at Colorado-3.554.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 10/19 Kansas State at West Virginia-2.556.5W 45 - 18OY
Sat 10/26 Kansas State vs Kansas-10.056.5W 29 - 27UN
Sat 11/2 Kansas State at Houston-12.546.5L 19 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Kansas State vs Arizona State-7.551.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Kansas State vs Cincinnati-7.554.5W 41 - 15OY
Sat 11/30 Kansas State at Iowa State+2.551.5L 21 - 29UN
Thu 12/26 Kansas State vs Rutgers-7.551.5W 44 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)25.244% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)24.646% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)30.846% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)23.434% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense1225.223.744.7%3.331.5224221852375.250%50%44%45%16%.21
KSU Defense1323.416.535.9%3.541.1 - - - - - 47%53%34%38%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense1224.630.342.2%3.511.2 - - - - - 51%49%46%39%16%.18
KSU Offense1330.83344%4.081.2183871901966.152%48%46%42%12%.3

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati1231:4222.142%55%5.344.41.51.25.41.6026.4
Kansas State1326:4518.540%56%541.31.21.15.92.4327.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense1250% (72)44% (67)35.31855.219 (73).15 (59)3.03 (69)71% (84)11% (93)1.07 (34)
KSU Defense1347% (31)34% (4) - - - - -.01 (10)2.6 (15)77% (97)11% (39)1.01 (83)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense1251% (75)46% (94) - - - - .14 (77)3.19 (98)73% (63)11% (51)0.95 (49)
KSU Offense1352% (57)46% (42)31.5190.36.118 (78).27 (11)3.37 (14)68% (102)8% (29)1.14 (10)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense1250% (63)45% (32)2132.9236.57.211.318 (68)7 (26).26 (63)1.4 (121)30% (41)36% (20).5 (10)5% (33)2.1 (67)
KSU Defense1353% (104)38% (32) - - - - - - 9 (76).24 (72)1.8 (130)39% (2)30% (52).35 (88)6% (68)2.2 (119)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense1249% (63)39% (43) - - - - - - 5 (117).23 (71)1.7 (108)31% (93)31% (79).34 (86)5% (87)2 (66)
KSU Offense1348% (76)42% (68)15.927196.47.312.322 (46)9 (48).33 (36)1.7 (31)31% (56)31% (76).36 (57)5% (27)2 (79)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Cincinnati's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Cincinnati's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 1.93   Kansas State: 15.525

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -0.1   Kansas State: 14.1




Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 15.525 #25
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.28 #35
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 3.97 #18
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Kansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Kansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

Cincinnati's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 34
Cincinnati 19


Total Points: 53

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.5

Kansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Kansas State41Cincinnati15Kansas StateKansas State -7.5Kansas State54.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas State111 Overs
Cincinnati000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#56) Cincinnati Info
Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.51 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Cincinnati has lost 3 straight
Cincinnati has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread )

Cincinnati Notes
(11/18) 3 str L's, Sorsby awful pass, good run, Rgame good
(11/13) 2 awful L's, outplayed WVU, 3 TO's cost, fading
(10/27) Big L vs Buffs, Off bad, 3-10 on 3rd, 9 flags
(10/19) Sorsby, Rgame enough vs ASU. Def held 4 big W
(10/12) Sorsby meh, Rgame awful, Def Ok in W (UCF)
(9/26) QB Sorsby a revelation. Top 3 QB in B12
(9/15) Pass heavy team, awful Red Zone, Def Rzone good
(9/8) Gagged vs Pitt. Had 36+ mins Off but Def torched
(9/1) Def gave up 438 yds to Towson? Rgame good
(8/3) New DC Fuqua will run 3-3-5, DT loss huge

Cincinnati Highlights

Cincinnati Deficiencies
Cincinnati Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Cincinnati Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#43)
Cincinnati offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#10)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatKSUCIN
OverallOver#44#48
OffenseOff#49#47
DefenseDef#61#52
Special TeamsST#65#75
PassingPass#34#50
RushingRush#18#23
Run BlockRBLK#38#42
Pass BlockPBLK#31#34
Route RunningWR Rt#94#54
TacklingTkl#67#60
Run DefenseR Def#25#49
Pass Rush DefPRush#97#95
Coverage DefCov#73#35

Rematch from Week 13
Kansas State -7.5 (54.5)
Kansas State won vs Cincinnati this year (41-15)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Cincinnati last year (41-15)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CIN | KSU
Depth Chart: CIN | KSU
Rosters: CIN | KSU
(#25) Kansas State Info
Power Rating: 15.525 #25
Offense Rating: 23.28 #35
Defense Rating: 3.97 #18
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #25
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 36%
Good in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Kansas State has lost 2 straight
Kansas State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Kansas State Notes
(11/25) Rgame mauled Cincy, Johnson OK, Def good
(11/18) 2 straight L's w/ Bad Off, Rgame OK but 3 TOs
(11/2) Rgame awful vs Hou, 89 yds, 2.6 ypc. Horrible L
(10/19) Best of B12? Johnson 298 yds, 3 TD @ WVU
(10/13) Rgame not great vs Col, QB Johnson sacked a lot
(9/28) Great W over OK St. Rgame 300 yds (8.8 ypc)
(9/23) Shocking L @ BYU. QB Johnson was awful, 3 TOs
(9/13) Bullied Az. Johnson great runner, still meh passer
(9/11) WR are JAGs, OL meh. QB/RB run game good.
(9/8) Lucky W Tulane, Pass D torched, good Rgame

Kansas State Highlights
Kansas State has Really Good Running Game (#77)
Kansas State offense is explosive (#27)
Kansas State has a top Offensive Line (#78)
Kansas State has a really good defense (#53)
Kansas State has a good run defense (#48)
Kansas State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#65)
Kansas State Defensive Line is very good (#23)

Kansas State Deficiencies
Kansas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#100)


  
Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)24938964%28131877.2
Brady Lichtenberg3560%25005.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Kiner204115345.746
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)10644594.241
Evan Pryor (Tr)5641867.565
Chance Williams (Tr)156704.516
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xzavier Henderson58735412.742
Joe Royer (Tr)51532310.438
Tony Johnson (Tr)4945269.223
Jamoi Mayes29349112.052

View Cincinnati's Full Roster
Cincinnati's DC Tyson Veidt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Bartlett (Tr)7012823
Jake Golday (Tr)577102
Antwan Peek Jr.541001
Jonathan Thompson495213
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Bartlett (Tr)7012823
Eric Phillips195360
Dontay Corleone265340
Jonathan Thompson495213
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Young351005
Derrick Canteen (Tr)443005
Josh Minkins (Tr)452004

Kansas State's OC Conor Riley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson21737258%271225107.3
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)3743%18002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Giddens205134376.666
Avery Johnson11360575.433
Dylan Edwards (Tr)7454657.465
Joe Jackson3922715.832
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown47823517.565
Keagan Johnson29359112.435
DJ Giddens21258112.353
Garrett Oakley22236510.728

View Kansas State's Full Roster
Kansas State's DC Joe Klanderman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Romaine968242
VJ Payne644003
Marques Sigle607003
Austin Moore597261
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brendan Mott4511850
Desmond Purnell4610461
Tobi Osunsanmi196440
Chiddi Obiazor175433
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Parrish503047
Keenan Garber291005
Chiddi Obiazor175433