Oklahoma State at Kansas State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas State Wildcats

Saturday, September 28th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kansas State -6 (58.0) (-230) Open: -5.5
Kansas State 42 - Oklahoma State: 20 (Big 12)

Cowboys (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (166 - 79)
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (24 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

KSU is playing their 5th straight game
OKST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Kansas State -16.5 (SP+ KSU -17)
Projected Score: OKST: 20 - KSU: 36 (56)
KSU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
OKST Travel: 214 miles

Wildcats (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (39 - 24)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (33 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OKST Players
KSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oklahoma State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Oklahoma State vs South Dakota State	-9.5	54.0	W 44 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Oklahoma State vs Arkansas	-10.5	60.5	W 39 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/14	Oklahoma State at Tulsa	-17.5	62.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Oklahoma State vs Utah	+1.0	53.5	L 19 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/28	Oklahoma State at Kansas State	+6.0	58.0	L 20 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/5	Oklahoma State vs West Virginia	-2.5	65.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18	Oklahoma State at BYU	+8.5	53.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Oklahoma State at Baylor	+7.0	64.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/2	Oklahoma State vs Arizona State	+5.0	57.0	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/9	Oklahoma State at TCU	+10.5	68.5	L 13 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech	+5.0	63.5	L 48 - 56	O	N
Fri 11/29	Oklahoma State at Colorado	+14.5	66.5	L 0 - 52	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule

Kansas State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kansas State vs UT Martin	-36.5	56.5	W 41 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/7	Kansas State at Tulane	-8.5	47.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
Fri 9/13	Kansas State vs Arizona	-7.0	58.0	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Kansas State at BYU	-7.5	49.5	L 9 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/28	Kansas State vs Oklahoma State	-6.0	58.0	W 42 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Kansas State at Colorado	-3.5	54.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/19	Kansas State at West Virginia	-2.5	56.5	W 45 - 18	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Kansas State vs Kansas	-10.0	56.5	W 29 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/2	Kansas State at Houston	-12.5	46.5	L 19 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Kansas State vs Arizona State	-7.5	51.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Kansas State vs Cincinnati	-7.5	54.5	W 41 - 15	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Kansas State at Iowa State	+2.5	51.5	L 21 - 29	U	N
Thu 12/26	Kansas State vs Rutgers	-7.5	51.5	W 44 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKST	#52 (.21)	43% (63)	27.2	43% (86)	2.79 (107)	114	44% (47)	265	4.22 (42)	#131 (.34)	46% (109)	35.6	47% (107)	44% (108)	3.93 (82)	43.2	1.8	1.3
KSU	#17 (.3)	44% (55)	30.8	46% (42)	3.37 (14)	190	42% (68)	196	4.08 (53)	#29 (.11)	36% (6)	23.4	34% (4)	38% (32)	3.54 (43)	41.3	1.2	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKST	#52 (.21)	43% (63)		43% (86)	2.79 (107)	114	44% (47)	265	4.22 (42)	#131 (.34)	46% (109)		47% (107)	44% (108)	3.93 (82)	43.2	1.8	1.3
KSU	#17 (.3)	44% (55)		46% (42)	3.37 (14)	190	42% (68)	196	4.08 (53)	#29 (.11)	36% (6)		34% (4)	38% (32)	3.54 (43)	41.3	1.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKST Offense	12	27.2	23.5	43.1%	4.22	1.8	20	379	114	265	3.9	42%	58%	43%	44%	15%	.21
KSU Defense	13	23.4	16.5	35.9%	3.54	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	34%	38%	17%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKST Defense	12	35.6	36.3	45.6%	3.93	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	44%	15%	.34
KSU Offense	13	30.8	33	44%	4.08	1.2	18	387	190	196	6.1	52%	48%	46%	42%	12%	.3

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oklahoma State	12	27:03	20.4	35%	65%	5	43.2	1.8	1.3	5.5	2.1	1	27.1
Kansas State	13	26:45	18.5	40%	56%	5	41.3	1.2	1.1	5.9	2.4	3	27.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKST Offense	12	42% (117)	43% (86)	29.4	114.2	3.9	18 (78)	.04 (109)	2.79 (107)	74% (61)	7% (19)	0.87 (119)
KSU Defense	13	47% (31)	34% (4)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (10)	2.6 (15)	77% (97)	11% (39)	1.01 (83)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKST Defense	12	50% (65)	47% (107)	-	-	-	-	.31 (133)	3.43 (126)	73% (68)	8% (112)	1.25 (133)
KSU Offense	13	52% (57)	46% (42)	31.5	190.3	6.1	18 (78)	.27 (11)	3.37 (14)	68% (102)	8% (29)	1.14 (10)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKST Offense	12	58% (17)	44% (47)	22.3	37.5	264.7	7.1	11.9	22 (46)	17 (127)	.34 (30)	1.6 (67)	31% (66)	31% (82)	.32 (77)	7% (109)	1.9 (99)
KSU Defense	13	53% (104)	38% (32)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.24 (72)	1.8 (130)	39% (2)	30% (52)	.35 (88)	6% (68)	2.2 (119)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKST Defense	12	50% (73)	44% (108)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.37 (123)	1.8 (124)	32% (56)	36% (119)	.46 (120)	6% (53)	2.1 (88)
KSU Offense	13	48% (76)	42% (68)	15.9	27	196.4	7.3	12.3	22 (46)	9 (48)	.33 (36)	1.7 (31)	31% (56)	31% (76)	.36 (57)	5% (27)	2 (79)

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 0.59 #59
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 25.18 #18
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Oklahoma State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Oklahoma State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #81
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #53
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: 0.59 Kansas State: 15.525

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -2.6 Kansas State: 14.1

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 15.525 #25
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.28 #35
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 3.97 #18
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Kansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Kansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.5
Defense: 35.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Oklahoma State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas State 36
Oklahoma State 20

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Oklahoma State 29
Kansas State 23

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Kansas State 34
Oklahoma State 23

Total Points: 57

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.5

Kansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Kansas State	42	Oklahoma State	20	Kansas State -6	Kansas State	58.0	Over
2023	10/06	Oklahoma State	29	Kansas State	21	Kansas State -11.5	Oklahoma State	53.5	Under
2022	10/29	Kansas State	48	Oklahoma State	0	Kansas State -2.5	Kansas State	57.5	Under
2021	09/25	Oklahoma State	31	Kansas State	20	Oklahoma State -6	Oklahoma State	47.5	Over
2020	11/07	Kansas State	18	Oklahoma State	20	Oklahoma State -14	Kansas State	48.5	Under
2019	09/28	Oklahoma State	26	Kansas State	13	Oklahoma State -4	Oklahoma State	60.0	Under
2018	10/13	Kansas State	31	Oklahoma State	12	Oklahoma State -8	Kansas State	62.0	Under
2017	11/18	Oklahoma State	40	Kansas State	45	Oklahoma State -19.5	Kansas State	63.5	Over
2016	11/05	Kansas State	37	Oklahoma State	43	Kansas State -2.5	Oklahoma State	58.0	Over
2015	10/03	Oklahoma State	36	Kansas State	34	Oklahoma State -3.5	Kansas State	47.0	Over
2014	11/01	Kansas State	48	Oklahoma State	14	Kansas State -12.5	Kansas State	0
2013	10/05	Oklahoma State	33	Kansas State	29	Oklahoma State -15	Kansas State	0
2012	11/03	Kansas State	44	Oklahoma State	30
2011	11/05	Oklahoma State	52	Kansas State	45
2010	10/30	Kansas State	14	Oklahoma State	24
2007	10/20	Oklahoma State	41	Kansas State	39
2006	10/07	Kansas State	31	Oklahoma State	27
2003	10/11	Oklahoma State	38	Kansas State	34
2002	10/12	Kansas State	44	Oklahoma State	9

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kansas State	8	8	5 Overs
Oklahoma State	11	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 4	8 - 4	5 - 4	3 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 15	4 - 8	0 - 3	4 - 5

(#59) OKST at (#25) KSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OKST	KSU
Power RatePwr	#59	#25
SP+SP+	#81	#18
Perf GradeGrade	#103	#61
OffenseOff	#65	#58
DefenseDef	#128	#80
Spec TeamsST	#49	#77
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#53	#48

Oklahoma State Notes
(12/10) Hired DC Todd Grantham (NFL, Florida)
(11/29) What does Gundy do to reset? Or does he?
(11/29) Killed by Buffs 52-0. OG'd 471-147. QB/RB awful
(11/29) 18 yr bowl streak over, was 2nd longest in CFB
(11/23) Fight w/ TT, QB Smith great, Def abysmal
(11/13) Quit. Awful vs TCU, Def is shockingly awful
(11/3) Pokes Def is worst in P4 and near worst in CFB
(11/2) Team has Quit. Have all 40 ppg in B12 play.
(10/19) Rangel inj vs BYU, out 'a while'. Bowman back
(10/19) Monitor for quit watch after BYU collapse
(10/18) QB Bowman benched, SO Rangel (FR Flores?)

Kansas State Notes
(11/30) 1-3 finish. QB Johnson 12/28, KSU 2 TOs, 3-13 3rd
(11/25) Rgame mauled Cincy, Johnson OK, Def good
(11/18) 2 straight L's w/ Bad Off, Rgame OK but 3 TOs
(11/2) Rgame awful vs Hou, 89 yds, 2.6 ypc. Horrible L
(10/19) Best of B12? Johnson 298 yds, 3 TD @ WVU
(10/13) Rgame not great vs Col, QB Johnson sacked a lot
(9/28) Great W over OK St. Rgame 300 yds (8.8 ypc)
(9/23) Shocking L @ BYU. QB Johnson was awful, 3 TOs
(9/13) Bullied Az. Johnson great runner, still meh passer
(9/11) WR are JAGs, OL meh. QB/RB run game good.
(9/8) Lucky W Tulane, Pass D torched, good Rgame

Oklahoma State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	KSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#65	#80
SuccessSuc	#63	#6
ExplosiveExp	#69	#129
PPAPPA	#52	#29
PowerPwr	#18	#18
SP+SP+	#53	#25
Pts POPPO	#42	#43
HavocHav	#45	#50

Oklahoma State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	KSU Def
Run GameRun	#92	#32
Run SuccessRSuc	#86	#4
Run ExplRExp	#119	#83
PPAExp	#109	#10
Run BlockR Blk	#70	-
OL YdsOLY	#107	#15
Stuff RateStuff	#80	#12
TackleTak	-	#77

Oklahoma State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	KSU Def
Pass GamePass	#101	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	#47	#32
Pass ExplPExl	#67	#130
PPAExp	#30	#72
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#4	#114
F7 HavocF7	#19	#39
DB HavocDB	#109	#68

Kansas State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	OKST Def
Perf GradePerf	#58	#128
SuccessSuc	#55	#109
ExplosiveExp	#9	#132
PPAPPA	#17	#131
PowerPwr	#35	#105
SP+SP+	#29	#102
Pts POPPO	#53	#82
HavocHav	#21	#89

Kansas State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	OKST Def
Run GameRun	#25	#128
Run SuccessRSuc	#42	#107
Run ExplRExp	#10	#133
PPAExp	#11	#133
Run BlockR Blk	#48	-
OL YdsOLY	#14	#126
Stuff RateStuff	#79	#119
TackleTak	-	#122

Kansas State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	OKST Def
Pass GamePass	#42	#119
Pass SuccessPSuc	#68	#108
Pass ExplPExl	#31	#124
PPAExp	#36	#123
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#31	#126
F7 HavocF7	#29	#112
DB HavocDB	#27	#53

Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Kansas State -6.0 (58.0)
Kansas State won vs Oklahoma State this year (42-20)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Oklahoma State last year (42-20)
Oklahoma State beat Kansas State in 2023 (29-21)
Kansas State beat Oklahoma State in 2022 (48-0)

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alan Bowman	204	340	60%	2442	17	12	7.2
Maealiuaki Smith	44	75	59%	499	2	4	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ollie Gordon	189	858	12	4.5	68
Trenten Howland	41	230	1	5.6	23
Sesi Vailahi	42	99	2	2.4	11
Rodney Fields Jr.	21	99	1	4.7	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
De'Zhaun Stribling	52	892	6	17.2	77
Brennan Presley	89	764	7	8.6	36
Rashod Owens	32	515	4	16.1	58
Talyn Shettron	12	245	1	20.4	78

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Bryan Nardo (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Rucker	84	1	0	0	1
Kendal Daniels	64	11	6	3	7
Jeff Roberson	58	9	3	7	0
Parker Robertson	49	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kendal Daniels	64	11	6	3	7
Jeff Roberson	58	9	3	7	0
Obi Ezeigbo (Tr)	42	9	3	4	0
Xavier Ross	12	3	3	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Korie Black	36	0	0	0	9
Kendal Daniels	64	11	6	3	7
Cam Smith	34	1	0	0	7

KSU's OC Conor Riley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Avery Johnson	217	372	58%	2712	25	10	7.3
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)	3	7	43%	18	0	0	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DJ Giddens	205	1343	7	6.6	66
Avery Johnson	113	605	7	5.4	33
Dylan Edwards (Tr)	74	546	5	7.4	65
Joe Jackson	39	227	1	5.8	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayce Brown	47	823	5	17.5	65
Keagan Johnson	29	359	1	12.4	35
DJ Giddens	21	258	1	12.3	53
Garrett Oakley	22	236	5	10.7	28

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Austin Romaine	96	8	2	4	2
VJ Payne	64	4	0	0	3
Marques Sigle	60	7	0	0	3
Austin Moore	59	7	2	6	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brendan Mott	45	11	8	5	0
Desmond Purnell	46	10	4	6	1
Tobi Osunsanmi	19	6	4	4	0
Chiddi Obiazor	17	5	4	3	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Parrish	50	3	0	4	7
Keenan Garber	29	1	0	0	5
Chiddi Obiazor	17	5	4	3	3