Kansas State at BYU - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 21st 2024 (10:30 PM EDT)
Kansas State -7.5 (49.5) (-270) Open: 0.0
BYU 38 - Kansas State: 9 (Big 12)

Wildcats (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (39 - 24)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BYU is playing their 4th straight game
KSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: BYU -2.5 (SP+ BYU -1)
Projected Score: KSU: 25 - BYU: 27 (52)
KSU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
KSU Travel: 803 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cougars (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (61 - 41)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KSU Players
BYU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kansas State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kansas State vs UT Martin	-36.5	56.5	W 41 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/7	Kansas State at Tulane	-8.5	47.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
Fri 9/13	Kansas State vs Arizona	-7.0	58.0	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Kansas State at BYU	-7.5	49.5	L 9 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/28	Kansas State vs Oklahoma State	-6.0	58.0	W 42 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Kansas State at Colorado	-3.5	54.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/19	Kansas State at West Virginia	-2.5	56.5	W 45 - 18	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Kansas State vs Kansas	-10.0	56.5	W 29 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/2	Kansas State at Houston	-12.5	46.5	L 19 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Kansas State vs Arizona State	-7.5	51.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Kansas State vs Cincinnati	-7.5	54.5	W 41 - 15	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Kansas State at Iowa State	+2.5	51.5	L 21 - 29	U	N
Thu 12/26	Kansas State vs Rutgers	-7.5	51.5	W 44 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule

BYU's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	BYU vs Southern Illinois	-31
Fri 9/6	BYU at SMU	+12.5	55.5	W 18 - 15	U	Y
Sat 9/14	BYU at Wyoming	-9.5	40.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/21	BYU vs Kansas State	+7.5	49.5	W 38 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/28	BYU at Baylor	+3.0	47.0	W 34 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	BYU vs Arizona	-3.0	48.5	W 41 - 19	O	Y
Fri 10/18	BYU vs Oklahoma State	-8.5	53.0	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/26	BYU at UCF	+2.5	53.5	W 37 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	BYU at Utah	-3.5	40.5	W 22 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/16	BYU vs Kansas	-3.0	55.5	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/23	BYU at Arizona State	+3.5	49.0	L 23 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/30	BYU vs Houston	-9.5	39.5	W 30 - 18	O	Y
Sat 12/28	BYU vs Colorado	+3.0	55.5	W 36 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KSU	#34 (.28)	47% (18)	29.4	50% (14)	3.33 (28)	205	44% (46)	241	5.11 (1)	#46 (.15)	38% (24)	26.7	38% (29)	39% (27)	2.98 (12)	43.7	0.9	1.8
BYU	#120 (.08)	36% (125)	31.4	37% (126)	2.97 (94)	104	36% (115)	205	3.96 (61)	#88 (.21)	44% (97)	19.1	44% (75)	45% (117)	3.59 (50)	43	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BYU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KSU Offense	13	29.4	30.8	47.3%	5.11	0.9	24	446	205	241	5	53%	47%	50%	44%	12%	.28
BYU Defense	12	19.1	13.7	44%	3.59	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	45%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KSU Defense	13	26.7	26.4	37.8%	2.98	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	38%	39%	17%	.15
BYU Offense	12	31.4	40.5	35.9%	3.96	1.6	17	310	104	205	3.5	45%	54%	37%	36%	21%	.08

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kansas State	13	31:51	23.8	48%	58%	4.8	43.7	0.9	1.8	5.6	1.8	1	30.4
BYU	12	28:19	16.8	29%	50%	5.3	43	1.6	1.7	4.2	0.9	2	29.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KSU Offense	13	53% (43)	50% (14)	40.8	205.2	5	32 (10)	.27 (13)	3.33 (28)	75% (60)	6% (5)	0.99 (75)
BYU Defense	12	49% (57)	44% (75)	-	-	-	-	.19 (96)	3.35 (114)	66% (28)	8% (124)	1 (70)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KSU Defense	13	46% (23)	38% (29)	-	-	-	-	.14 (68)	2.82 (25)	61% (12)	11% (47)	1.24 (130)
BYU Offense	12	45% (101)	37% (126)	30	104.3	3.5	15 (100)	.06 (115)	2.97 (94)	76% (49)	12% (120)	1.05 (42)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KSU Offense	13	47% (88)	44% (46)	19.8	32.8	241.2	7.3	12.2	30 (16)	10 (56)	.31 (60)	1.6 (80)	29% (17)	35% (25)	.46 (31)	6% (50)	2.1 (50)
BYU Defense	12	50% (75)	45% (117)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.29 (81)	1.5 (44)	32% (56)	37% (127)	.56 (131)	7% (39)	2 (43)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KSU Defense	13	52% (107)	39% (27)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.22 (38)	1.7 (95)	35% (24)	27% (23)	.23 (32)	7% (45)	2.2 (101)
BYU Offense	12	54% (30)	36% (115)	18.3	33	205.4	6.2	11.2	17 (85)	9 (40)	.13 (118)	1.7 (45)	36% (128)	23% (126)	.13 (123)	8% (127)	2.2 (29)

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 11.95 #25
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.28 #35
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 3.97 #18
2024 Talent Rating: 324.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Kansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Kansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 11.95 BYU: 15.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 14.1 BYU: 15.3

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 15.55 #28
BYU's Offense Rating: 20.40 #63
BYU's Defense Rating: 6.88 #42
2024 Talent Rating: 309.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
BYU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
BYU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3 #17
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #36
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Kansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
BYU 27
Kansas State 25

Projected Total Points: 52

BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

BYU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	BYU	38	Kansas State	9	Kansas State -7.5	BYU	49.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
BYU	1	1	0 Overs
Kansas State	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#25) KSU at (#28) BYU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KSU	BYU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#25	#28
SP+SP+	#18	#17
Perf GradeGrade	#61	#30
OffenseOff	#58	#52
DefenseDef	#80	#33
Spec TeamsST	#77	#29
TalentTal	#66	#71
Blue ChipsBC%	#48	#65

Kansas State Notes(11/30) 1-3 finish. QB Johnson 12/28, KSU 2 TOs, 3-13 3rd
(11/25) Rgame mauled Cincy, Johnson OK, Def good
(11/18) 2 straight L's w/ Bad Off, Rgame OK but 3 TOs
(11/2) Rgame awful vs Hou, 89 yds, 2.6 ypc. Horrible L
(10/19) Best of B12? Johnson 298 yds, 3 TD @ WVU
(10/13) Rgame not great vs Col, QB Johnson sacked a lot
(9/28) Great W over OK St. Rgame 300 yds (8.8 ypc)
(9/23) Shocking L @ BYU. QB Johnson was awful, 3 TOs
(9/13) Bullied Az. Johnson great runner, still meh passer
(9/11) WR are JAGs, OL meh. QB/RB run game good.
(9/8) Lucky W Tulane, Pass D torched, good Rgame
(7/30) Johnson now QB, WR has vets but playmakers?
Kansas State Injury Report

BYU Notes(11/23) 2 str L's, Rgame meh, 2 INTs in L to ASU
(11/18) Outplayed KU but lost, Retzlaff awful, Rgame avg
(11/10) B12 refs handed BYU W. Miracle team will end
(10/28) 7.8 ppg via TO's, near top of CFB thru 8 games
(10/19) Gutty W (Ok St). Rgame great. QB meh, had 3 TOs
(10/12) Killed AZ, forced 4 TOs. Rgame/Retzlaff good
(9/28) Run Def great vs Bay. Rgame better, 5-0
(9/26) New DC Jay Hill proving he can really coach
(9/23) Blitzed K St with TOs. Rgame bad, 3.4 ypc
(9/20) QB Retzlaff has been good but TO prone
(9/20) Def has been great, esp vs pass so far (#6)
(9/8) Great W, outgained SMU 336-261. Great Def
BYU Injury Report

Kansas State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	BYU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#58	#33
SuccessSuc	#18	#97
ExplosiveExp	#98	#53
PPAPPA	#34	#88
PowerPwr	#35	#42
SP+SP+	#29	#21
Pts POPPO	#1	#50
HavocHav	#9	#106

Kansas State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	BYU Def
Run GameRun	#25	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	#14	#75
Run ExplRExp	#75	#70
PPAExp	#13	#96
Run BlockR Blk	#48	-
OL YdsOLY	#28	#114
Stuff RateStuff	#69	#102
TackleTak	-	#90

Kansas State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	BYU Def
Pass GamePass	#42	#66
Pass SuccessPSuc	#46	#117
Pass ExplPExl	#80	#44
PPAExp	#60	#81
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#31	#70
F7 HavocF7	#5	#124
DB HavocDB	#50	#39

BYU on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	KSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#52	#80
SuccessSuc	#125	#24
ExplosiveExp	#20	#127
PPAPPA	#120	#46
PowerPwr	#63	#18
SP+SP+	#36	#25
Pts POPPO	#61	#12
HavocHav	#127	#42

BYU Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	KSU Def
Run GameRun	#71	#32
Run SuccessRSuc	#126	#29
Run ExplRExp	#42	#130
PPAExp	#115	#68
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	#94	#25
Stuff RateStuff	#35	#6
TackleTak	-	#77

BYU Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	KSU Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	#115	#27
Pass ExplPExl	#45	#95
PPAExp	#118	#38
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#54	#114
F7 HavocF7	#120	#47
DB HavocDB	#127	#45

Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

KSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'24 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Kansas State 7.5 (49.5)
BYU won vs Kansas State this year (38-9)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Kansas State in 2024 (38-9)

KSU's OC Conor Riley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Avery Johnson	217	372	58%	2712	25	10	7.3
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)	3	7	43%	18	0	0	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DJ Giddens	205	1343	7	6.6	66
Avery Johnson	113	605	7	5.4	33
Dylan Edwards (Tr)	74	546	5	7.4	65
Joe Jackson	39	227	1	5.8	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayce Brown	47	823	5	17.5	65
Keagan Johnson	29	359	1	12.4	35
DJ Giddens	21	258	1	12.3	53
Garrett Oakley	22	236	5	10.7	28

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Austin Romaine	96	8	2	4	2
VJ Payne	64	4	0	0	3
Marques Sigle	60	7	0	0	3
Austin Moore	59	7	2	6	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brendan Mott	45	11	8	5	0
Desmond Purnell	46	10	4	6	1
Tobi Osunsanmi	19	6	4	4	0
Chiddi Obiazor	17	5	4	3	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Parrish	50	3	0	4	7
Keenan Garber	29	1	0	0	5
Chiddi Obiazor	17	5	4	3	3

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jake Retzlaff	211	367	58%	2896	19	12	7.9
Gerry Bohannon	3	4	75%	27	0	1	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LJ Martin	138	723	7	5.2	39
Jake Retzlaff	100	417	6	4.2	29
Hinckley Ropati	68	360	1	5.3	26
Sione I Moa	23	127	3	5.5	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chase Roberts	50	803	3	16.1	62
Darius Lassiter	45	703	4	15.6	57
Keelan Marion	24	346	1	14.4	52
Jojo Phillips	10	211	2	21.1	57

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Glasker	70	15	4	2	4
Harrison Taggart	69	3	1	4	3
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2
Tanner Wall	53	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Kelly (Tr)	50	10	5	13	1
Isaiah Glasker	70	15	4	2	4
Blake Mangelson	37	6	2	3	1
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marque Collins (Tr)	25	1	0	1	8
John Nelson	23	2	1	3	5
Jakob Robinson	43	5	0	2	5