Arizona at Kansas State Game Matchup

Arizona Wildcats at Kansas State Wildcats

Friday, September 13th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Kansas State -7 (58.0) (-258) Open: -7.5
Kansas State 31 - Arizona: 7

Wildcats (4 - 8) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (18 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Kansas State -21 (SP+ KSU -17)
Projected Score: ARIZ: 17 - KSU: 38 (54)
KSU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
ARIZ Travel: 937 miles, 2 hrs behind

Wildcats (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (39 - 24)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (33 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARIZ Players
KSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Arizona vs New Mexico	-28.0	60.0	W 61 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/7	Arizona vs Northern Arizona	-43.0	65.0	W 22 - 10	U	N
Fri 9/13	Arizona at Kansas State	+7.0	58.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Arizona at Utah	+7.5	47.0	W 23 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Arizona vs Texas Tech	-6.0	64.0	L 22 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/12	Arizona at BYU	+3.0	48.5	L 19 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/19	Arizona vs Colorado	-2.5	57.5	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/26	Arizona vs West Virginia	-5.5	51.5	L 26 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/2	Arizona at UCF	+6.5	55.0	L 12 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15	Arizona vs Houston	-1.0	46.5	W 27 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Arizona at TCU	+10.5	60.0	L 28 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/30	Arizona vs Arizona State	+7.5	52.5	L 7 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Kansas State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kansas State vs UT Martin	-36.5	56.5	W 41 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/7	Kansas State at Tulane	-8.5	47.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
Fri 9/13	Kansas State vs Arizona	-7.0	58.0	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Kansas State at BYU	-7.5	49.5	L 9 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/28	Kansas State vs Oklahoma State	-6.0	58.0	W 42 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Kansas State at Colorado	-3.5	54.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/19	Kansas State at West Virginia	-2.5	56.5	W 45 - 18	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Kansas State vs Kansas	-10.0	56.5	W 29 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/2	Kansas State at Houston	-12.5	46.5	L 19 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Kansas State vs Arizona State	-7.5	51.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Kansas State vs Cincinnati	-7.5	54.5	W 41 - 15	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Kansas State at Iowa State	+2.5	51.5	L 21 - 29	U	N
Thu 12/26	Kansas State vs Rutgers	-7.5	51.5	W 44 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ	#10 (.34)	51% (6)	21.8	52% (5)	3.26 (40)	140	50% (10)	308	4.42 (29)	#57 (.16)	42% (67)	31.8	43% (71)	41% (62)	3.37 (29)	53	1.1	1.4
KSU	#34 (.28)	47% (18)	30.8	50% (14)	3.33 (28)	205	44% (46)	241	5.11 (1)	#46 (.15)	38% (24)	23.4	38% (29)	39% (27)	2.98 (12)	43.7	0.9	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Offense	13	21.8	17.8	50.6%	4.42	1.1	23	448	140	308	4.6	43%	57%	52%	50%	14%	.34
KSU Defense	13	23.4	16.5	37.8%	2.98	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	38%	39%	17%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Defense	13	31.8	37.4	41.9%	3.37	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	43%	41%	17%	.16
KSU Offense	13	30.8	33	47.3%	5.11	0.9	24	446	205	241	5	53%	47%	50%	44%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona	13	30:50	23	49%	67%	6.3	53	1.1	1.4	5.3	2.4	1	29.9
Kansas State	13	31:51	23.8	48%	58%	4.8	43.7	0.9	1.8	5.6	1.8	1	30.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense	13	43% (112)	52% (5)	30.6	139.7	4.6	17 (81)	.21 (34)	3.26 (40)	74% (68)	9% (38)	0.9 (109)
KSU Defense	13	46% (23)	38% (29)	-	-	-	-	.14 (68)	2.82 (25)	61% (12)	11% (47)	1.24 (130)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense	13	46% (21)	43% (71)	-	-	-	-	.12 (58)	3 (50)	75% (82)	11% (54)	0.97 (51)
KSU Offense	13	53% (43)	50% (14)	40.8	205.2	5	32 (10)	.27 (13)	3.33 (28)	75% (60)	6% (5)	0.99 (75)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense	13	57% (20)	50% (10)	25.5	35.7	308.3	8.6	12.1	36 (5)	11 (68)	.47 (15)	1.6 (68)	29% (19)	41% (6)	.54 (13)	6% (69)	2 (103)
KSU Defense	13	52% (107)	39% (27)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.22 (38)	1.7 (95)	35% (24)	27% (23)	.23 (32)	7% (45)	2.2 (101)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense	13	53% (115)	41% (62)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.26 (57)	1.5 (48)	34% (38)	32% (95)	.25 (38)	6% (60)	2 (36)
KSU Offense	13	47% (88)	44% (46)	19.8	32.8	241.2	7.3	12.2	30 (16)	10 (56)	.31 (60)	1.6 (80)	29% (17)	35% (25)	.46 (31)	6% (50)	2.1 (50)

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: -7.71 #90
Arizona's Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Arizona's Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
2024 Talent Rating: 652.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Arizona's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Arizona's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84

Arizona's SP+ Ratings
Arizona's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -7.71 Kansas State: 15.525

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -2.8 Kansas State: 14.1

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 15.525 #25
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.28 #35
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 3.97 #18
2024 Talent Rating: 638.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Kansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Kansas State's SP+ Ratings
Kansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

Arizona's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas State 38
Arizona 17

Projected Total Points: 54

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.5

Kansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/13	Kansas State	31	Arizona	7	Kansas State	Kansas State -7	Kansas State	58.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kansas State	1	1	0 Overs
Arizona	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#90) Arizona Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.71 #90
Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Talent Rating: 652.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.55 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Arizona Notes
(12/13) OC Babers lost playcalling in Nov/not renewed
(12/1) 1-7 finish, killed by ASU, Off was awful, Def worse
(11/25) Killed by TCU, Rgame/Def abysmal, Fifita meh
(11/18) Off the mat W vs Hou, stats even but forced 3 TOs
(11/2) 5 Straight L's, Off awful, Def awful. Sinking
(10/28) -6.25 pgg via TOs, bottom 10 in CFB thru 8 gms
(10/27) Four straight L's, Rgame awful, D bad vs WVU
(10/19) Unserious FB team. Just 245 yds vs Colorado?
(10/12) 4 TOs and bad defense = killed by BYU
(10/7) Scoring Opp Off/Def awful. 6 FG att @ TT (L)

Arizona Ratings Matchup Kansas State

Power #90

#25

Off #87

#35

Def #104

#18

Talent #64

#67

SP+ #82

#18

SP+ Off #90

#29

SP+ Def #84

#25

Rematch from Week 3
Kansas State -7.0 (58.0)
Kansas State won vs Arizona this year (31-7)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Arizona last year (31-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 78° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ARIZ | KSU
Depth Chart: ARIZ | KSU
Rosters: ARIZ | KSU

(#25) Kansas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.525 #25
Offense Rating: 23.28 #35
Defense Rating: 3.97 #18
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #25
Talent Rating: 638.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 36%
Good in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Kansas State Notes
(11/25) Rgame mauled Cincy, Johnson OK, Def good
(11/18) 2 straight L's w/ Bad Off, Rgame OK but 3 TOs
(11/2) Rgame awful vs Hou, 89 yds, 2.6 ypc. Horrible L
(10/19) Best of B12? Johnson 298 yds, 3 TD @ WVU
(10/13) Rgame not great vs Col, QB Johnson sacked a lot
(9/28) Great W over OK St. Rgame 300 yds (8.8 ypc)
(9/23) Shocking L @ BYU. QB Johnson was awful, 3 TOs
(9/13) Bullied Az. Johnson great runner, still meh passer
(9/11) WR are JAGs, OL meh. QB/RB run game good.
(9/8) Lucky W Tulane, Pass D torched, good Rgame

Arizona's OC Dino Babers

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Noah Fifita	260	430	61%	2958	18	12	6.9
Cole Tannenbaum	1	5	20%	3	0	1	0.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quali Conley (Tr)	150	745	8	5.0	58
Kedrick Reescano (Tr)	78	359	1	4.6	56
Jacory Merritt	13	106	1	8.2	36
Kayden Luke	5	20	0	4.0	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Hunter	35	323	3	9.2	45
Quali Conley (Tr)	39	245	1	6.3	16
Keyan Burnett	18	217	1	12.1	35
Jeremiah Patterson	26	196	2	7.5	21

View Arizona's Full Roster

Arizona's DC Duane Akina

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dalton Johnson	78	5	0	0	2
Taye Brown	64	4	3	1	2
Genesis Smith	60	4	0	0	6
Owen Goss (Tr)	49	4	1	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tre Smith (Tr)	48	7	5	2	0
Taye Brown	64	4	3	1	2
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei	33	7	3	3	1
Chase Kennedy (Tr)	17	4	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Genesis Smith	60	4	0	6
Tacario Davis	39	2	1	6
Emmanuel Karnley	14	0	0	5

Kansas State's OC Conor Riley

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Avery Johnson	217	372	58%	2712	25	10	7.3
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)	3	7	43%	18	0	0	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Avery Johnson	113	605	7	5.4	33
Dylan Edwards (Tr)	74	546	5	7.4	65
Joe Jackson	39	227	1	5.8	32
Jayce Brown	3	42	0	14.0	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayce Brown	47	823	5	17.5	65
Keagan Johnson	29	359	1	12.4	35
Garrett Oakley	22	236	5	10.7	28
Dante Cephas (Tr)	15	184	0	12.3	35

View Kansas State's Full Roster

Kansas State's DC Joe Klanderman

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Austin Romaine	96	8	2	4	2
VJ Payne	64	4	0	0	3
Desmond Purnell	46	10	4	6	1
Jordan Riley-Scott	42	2	1	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Desmond Purnell	46	10	4	6	1
Tobi Osunsanmi	19	6	4	4	0
Chiddi Obiazor	17	5	4	3	3
Travis Bates (Tr)	13	4	3	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chiddi Obiazor	17	5	4	3	3
Jordan Riley-Scott	42	2	1	1	3
VJ Payne	64	4	0	0	3