Rutgers at Kansas State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Kansas State Wildcats

Thursday, December 26th 2024 (5:30 PM EST)
Kansas State -7.5 (51.5) (-290) Open: -7.0 | 51.5
Kansas State 44 - Rutgers: 41 (Rate Bowl)

Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Greg Schiano (19 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (19 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Kansas State -8 (SP+ KSU -8)
Projected Score: RUTG: 23 - KSU: 31 (54)
KSU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
RUTG Travel: 2115 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Wildcats (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (39 - 24)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (30 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
RUTG Players
KSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rutgers's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Rutgers vs Howard	-38.5	51.5	W 44 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/7	Rutgers vs Akron	-24.5	41.5	W 49 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Rutgers at Virginia Tech	+3.0	45.0	W 26 - 23	O	Y
Fri 9/27	Rutgers vs Washington	-1.5	44.5	W 21 - 18	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Rutgers at Nebraska	+7.0	39.5	L 7 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Rutgers vs Wisconsin	-1.0	43.5	L 7 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/19	Rutgers vs UCLA	-4.0	42.5	L 32 - 35	O	N
Fri 10/25	Rutgers at USC	+14.0	57.0	L 20 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Rutgers vs Minnesota	+6.5	44.5	W 26 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Rutgers at Maryland	+4.5	54.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Rutgers vs Illinois	-2.0	48.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/30	Rutgers at Michigan State	+1.5	46.5	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Thu 12/26	Rutgers vs Kansas State	+7.5	51.5	L 41 - 44	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule

Kansas State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kansas State vs UT Martin	-36.5	56.5	W 41 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/7	Kansas State at Tulane	-8.5	47.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
Fri 9/13	Kansas State vs Arizona	-7.0	58.0	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Kansas State at BYU	-7.5	49.5	L 9 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/28	Kansas State vs Oklahoma State	-6.0	58.0	W 42 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Kansas State at Colorado	-3.5	54.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/19	Kansas State at West Virginia	-2.5	56.5	W 45 - 18	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Kansas State vs Kansas	-10.0	56.5	W 29 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/2	Kansas State at Houston	-12.5	46.5	L 19 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Kansas State vs Arizona State	-7.5	51.5	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Kansas State vs Cincinnati	-7.5	54.5	W 41 - 15	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Kansas State at Iowa State	+2.5	51.5	L 21 - 29	U	N
Thu 12/26	Kansas State vs Rutgers	-7.5	51.5	W 44 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG	#107 (.12)	40% (91)	28.7	43% (65)	3.03 (84)	169	35% (118)	138	3.95 (62)	#43 (.14)	45% (104)	31.8	48% (123)	42% (69)	3.48 (44)	45.2	1	1.4
KSU	#34 (.28)	47% (18)	29.4	50% (14)	3.33 (28)	205	44% (46)	241	5.11 (1)	#46 (.15)	38% (24)	26.7	38% (29)	39% (27)	2.98 (12)	43.7	0.9	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Offense	13	28.7	19.2	40.1%	3.95	1	17	306	169	138	4.2	62%	38%	43%	35%	12%	.12
KSU Defense	13	26.7	27.3	37.8%	2.98	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	38%	39%	17%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Defense	13	31.8	34	44.6%	3.48	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	48%	42%	15%	.14
KSU Offense	13	29.4	29.7	47.3%	5.11	0.9	24	446	205	241	5	53%	47%	50%	44%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rutgers	13	31:48	17.5	37%	64%	5.1	45.2	1	1.4	3.8	1.5	1	30
Kansas State	13	31:51	23.8	48%	58%	4.8	43.7	0.9	1.8	5.6	1.8	1	30.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense	13	62% (7)	43% (65)	39.8	168.8	4.2	24 (41)	.16 (64)	3.03 (84)	77% (38)	7% (11)	0.95 (94)
KSU Defense	13	46% (23)	38% (29)	-	-	-	-	.14 (68)	2.82 (25)	61% (12)	11% (47)	1.24 (130)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense	13	52% (99)	48% (123)	-	-	-	-	.12 (54)	3.2 (91)	71% (53)	8% (122)	0.77 (4)
KSU Offense	13	53% (43)	50% (14)	40.8	205.2	5	32 (10)	.27 (13)	3.33 (28)	75% (60)	6% (5)	0.99 (75)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense	13	38% (126)	35% (118)	10.9	22.6	137.5	6.1	12.6	10 (120)	8 (30)	.07 (126)	1.7 (46)	30% (42)	33% (52)	.34 (64)	5% (19)	1.8 (127)
KSU Defense	13	52% (107)	39% (27)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.22 (38)	1.7 (95)	35% (24)	27% (23)	.23 (32)	7% (45)	2.2 (101)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense	13	47% (33)	42% (69)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.22 (40)	1.4 (5)	30% (111)	30% (65)	.17 (8)	6% (55)	1.7 (5)
KSU Offense	13	47% (88)	44% (46)	19.8	32.8	241.2	7.3	12.2	30 (16)	10 (56)	.31 (60)	1.6 (80)	29% (17)	35% (25)	.46 (31)	6% (50)	2.1 (50)

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 3.77 #47
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 20.78 #57
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 9.63 #70
2024 Talent Rating: 373.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Rutgers's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Rutgers's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #42
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 3.77 Kansas State: 13.025

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 6.4 Kansas State: 14.1

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 13.025 #25
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.28 #35
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 3.97 #18
2024 Talent Rating: 324.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Kansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Kansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Rutgers's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas State 31
Rutgers 23

Projected Total Points: 54

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Kansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	12/26	Kansas State	44	Rutgers	41	Kansas State -7.5	Rutgers	51.5	Over
2006	12/28	Kansas State	10	Rutgers	37

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kansas State	1	0	1 Overs
Rutgers	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

Rutgers Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Rate Bowl	Rutgers vs Kansas State	+7.5	51.5	L 41 - 44
2023	Pinstripe Bowl	Rutgers vs Miami	-3.0	41.0	W 31 - 24
2021	Gator Bowl	Rutgers vs Wake Forest	+17.0	63.0	L 10 - 38

Kansas State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Rate Bowl	Kansas State vs Rutgers	-7.5	51.5	W 44 - 41
2023	Tarts Bowl	Kansas State vs NC State	-3.0	48.5	W 28 - 19
2022	Sugar Bowl	Kansas State vs Alabama	+8.0	58.5	L 20 - 45
2021	Texas Bowl	Kansas State vs LSU	-9.5	47.0	W 42 - 20
2019	N/A	Kansas State vs Navy	+2.0	53.5	L 17 - 20

(#47) RUTG at (#25) KSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	RUTG	KSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#47	#25
SP+SP+	#42	#18
Perf GradeGrade	#39	#61
OffenseOff	#21	#58
DefenseDef	#57	#80
Spec TeamsST	#127	#77
TalentTal	#48	#66
Blue ChipsBC%	#82	#48

Rutgers Notes(11/24) Hard L vs Ill, Off 30 1st downs, Def bad though
(11/18) 2 str W's after bye, outplayed by MD but W
(11/13) Great W (Minn), Def great, QB 240/3 TD's
(11/13) Great W over Minn after bye, had 4 cons L's
(10/19) Def awful, esp vs pass. UCLA 225 yds 1st half
(10/19) Torched by UCLA QB, Off got in gear later
(10/12) Torched by Wisc, Def all 300+ rush yds, QB awful
(10/4) Run Def bottom 20 success rate. Off 60% Runs
(9/27) Beat UW but OG'd by 200+ yds, Rush/3rd Def +
(9/21) Huge W @ VT. Rgame shut down but great Pass D
(9/20) Off is solid, has identity, good QB play, tough
(8/20) Star LB/captain Toure out for season (ACL)
Rutgers Injury Report

Kansas State Notes(11/30) 1-3 finish. QB Johnson 12/28, KSU 2 TOs, 3-13 3rd
(11/25) Rgame mauled Cincy, Johnson OK, Def good
(11/18) 2 straight L's w/ Bad Off, Rgame OK but 3 TOs
(11/2) Rgame awful vs Hou, 89 yds, 2.6 ypc. Horrible L
(10/19) Best of B12? Johnson 298 yds, 3 TD @ WVU
(10/13) Rgame not great vs Col, QB Johnson sacked a lot
(9/28) Great W over OK St. Rgame 300 yds (8.8 ypc)
(9/23) Shocking L @ BYU. QB Johnson was awful, 3 TOs
(9/13) Bullied Az. Johnson great runner, still meh passer
(9/11) WR are JAGs, OL meh. QB/RB run game good.
(9/8) Lucky W Tulane, Pass D torched, good Rgame
(7/30) Johnson now QB, WR has vets but playmakers?
Kansas State Injury Report

Rutgers on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	KSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#21	#80
SuccessSuc	#91	#24
ExplosiveExp	#116	#127
PPAPPA	#107	#46
PowerPwr	#57	#18
SP+SP+	#58	#25
Pts POPPO	#62	#12
HavocHav	#10	#42

Rutgers Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	KSU Def
Run GameRun	#59	#32
Run SuccessRSuc	#65	#29
Run ExplRExp	#94	#130
PPAExp	#64	#68
Run BlockR Blk	#8	-
OL YdsOLY	#84	#25
Stuff RateStuff	#66	#6
TackleTak	-	#77

Rutgers Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	KSU Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	#118	#27
Pass ExplPExl	#46	#95
PPAExp	#126	#38
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#82	#114
F7 HavocF7	#11	#47
DB HavocDB	#19	#45

Kansas State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	RUTG Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#58	#57
SuccessSuc	#18	#104
ExplosiveExp	#98	#1
PPAPPA	#34	#43
PowerPwr	#35	#70
SP+SP+	#29	#38
Pts POPPO	#1	#44
HavocHav	#9	#107

Kansas State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	#25	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	#14	#123
Run ExplRExp	#75	#4
PPAExp	#13	#54
Run BlockR Blk	#48	-
OL YdsOLY	#28	#91
Stuff RateStuff	#69	#120
TackleTak	-	#57

Kansas State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	#42	#72
Pass SuccessPSuc	#46	#69
Pass ExplPExl	#80	#5
PPAExp	#60	#40
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#31	#27
F7 HavocF7	#5	#122
DB HavocDB	#50	#55

Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'24 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Chase Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Kansas State -7.5 (51.5)
Kansas State won vs Rutgers this year (44-41)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Rutgers in 2024 (44-41)

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)	213	395	54%	2696	18	7	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Monangai	256	1279	13	5.0	62
Antwan Raymond	100	457	8	4.6	65
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)	92	251	3	2.7	20
Samuel Brown V	40	201	3	5.0	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dymere Miller (Tr)	59	757	4	12.8	45
Ian Strong	42	668	5	15.9	65
KJ Duff	28	433	1	15.5	59
Chris Long	11	163	1	14.8	58

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dariel Djabome	100	8	4	4	1
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	0	5
Michael Dixon	60	0	0	0	4
Tyreem Powell	56	4	0	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Walker	19	7	4	4	0
Kyonte Hamilton	32	5	4	3	1
Dariel Djabome	100	8	4	4	1
Aaron Lewis	27	4	3	6	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Robert Longerbeam	42	2	0	11
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	5
Michael Dixon	60	0	0	4

KSU's OC Conor Riley (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Avery Johnson	217	372	58%	2712	25	10	7.3
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)	3	7	43%	18	0	0	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DJ Giddens	205	1343	7	6.6	66
Avery Johnson	113	605	7	5.4	33
Dylan Edwards (Tr)	74	546	5	7.4	65
Joe Jackson	39	227	1	5.8	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayce Brown	47	823	5	17.5	65
Keagan Johnson	29	359	1	12.4	35
DJ Giddens	21	258	1	12.3	53
Garrett Oakley	22	236	5	10.7	28

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Austin Romaine	96	8	2	4	2
VJ Payne	64	4	0	0	3
Marques Sigle	60	7	0	0	3
Austin Moore	59	7	2	6	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brendan Mott	45	11	8	5	0
Desmond Purnell	46	10	4	6	1
Tobi Osunsanmi	19	6	4	4	0
Chiddi Obiazor	17	5	4	3	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Parrish	50	3	0	4	7
Keenan Garber	29	1	0	0	5
Chiddi Obiazor	17	5	4	3	3