Kansas at Kansas State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Kansas logo Kansas Jayhawks at Kansas State WildcatsKansas State logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Kansas State -10 (56.5) (-360)  Open: -7.0
Kansas State 29 - Kansas: 27  (Big 12)

 
Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (17 - 21)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (23 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Kansas State -10  (SP+ KSU -9)
Projected Score: KU: 23 - KSU: 33 (57)
KSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
KU Travel: 74 miles
Wildcats (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (39 - 24)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (33 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Kansas vs Lindenwood-48.562.5W 48 - 3UN
Sat 9/7 Kansas at Illinois-4.558.5L 17 - 23UN
Fri 9/13 Kansas vs UNLV-7.057.0L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/21 Kansas at West Virginia+1.556.0L 28 - 32ON
Sat 9/28 Kansas vs TCU-1.558.5L 27 - 38ON
Sat 10/5 Kansas at Arizona State+2.550.0L 31 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Kansas vs Houston-4.545.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 10/26 Kansas at Kansas State+10.056.5L 27 - 29UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Kansas vs Iowa State+2.550.5W 45 - 36OY
Sat 11/16 Kansas at BYU+3.055.5W 17 - 13UY
Sat 11/23 Kansas vs Colorado+2.559.0W 37 - 21UY
Sat 11/30 Kansas at Baylor-2.562.5L 17 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Kansas State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kansas State vs UT Martin-36.556.5W 41 - 6UN
Sat 9/7 Kansas State at Tulane-8.547.5W 34 - 27ON
Fri 9/13 Kansas State vs Arizona-7.058.0W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/21 Kansas State at BYU-7.549.5L 9 - 38UN
Sat 9/28 Kansas State vs Oklahoma State-6.058.0W 42 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kansas State at Colorado-3.554.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 10/19 Kansas State at West Virginia-2.556.5W 45 - 18OY
Sat 10/26 Kansas State vs Kansas-10.056.5W 29 - 27UN
Sat 11/2 Kansas State at Houston-12.546.5L 19 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Kansas State vs Arizona State-7.551.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Kansas State vs Cincinnati-7.554.5W 41 - 15OY
Sat 11/30 Kansas State at Iowa State+2.551.5L 21 - 29UN
Thu 12/26 Kansas State vs Rutgers-7.551.5W 44 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)29.749% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)2646% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)30.846% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)23.434% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)49% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)46% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Offense1229.722.848.1%4.681.4224212132095.658%41%49%48%12%.32
KSU Defense1323.416.535.9%3.541.1 - - - - - 47%53%34%38%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Defense122629.544.5%3.831.4 - - - - - 50%50%46%43%17%.23
KSU Offense1330.83344%4.081.2183871901966.152%48%46%42%12%.3

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas1230:5421.551%67%4.538.41.41.45.82.3225.3
Kansas State1326:4518.540%56%541.31.21.15.92.4327.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Offense1258% (19)49% (15)37.8212.75.629 (18).33 (4)3.6 (3)83% (8)7% (20)1.08 (29)
KSU Defense1347% (31)34% (4) - - - - -.01 (10)2.6 (15)77% (97)11% (39)1.01 (83)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Defense1250% (58)46% (104) - - - - .22 (117)3.4 (124)82% (117)10% (62)1 (78)
KSU Offense1352% (57)46% (42)31.5190.36.118 (78).27 (11)3.37 (14)68% (102)8% (29)1.14 (10)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Offense1241% (122)48% (11)14.725.5208.88.214.215 (98)12 (85).38 (17)1.6 (62)30% (38)36% (26).38 (51)5% (31)1.9 (117)
KSU Defense1353% (104)38% (32) - - - - - - 9 (76).24 (72)1.8 (130)39% (2)30% (52).35 (88)6% (68)2.2 (119)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Defense1250% (72)43% (95) - - - - - - 12 (39).3 (101)1.7 (110)32% (60)33% (104).29 (61)7% (31)2.1 (80)
KSU Offense1348% (76)42% (68)15.927196.47.312.322 (46)9 (48).33 (36)1.7 (31)31% (56)31% (76).36 (57)5% (27)2 (79)

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 6.04  #41
Kansas's Offense Rating: 29.66  #3
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.87  #98
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #65
Kansas's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9  #50
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #32
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5  #68

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 6.04   Kansas State: 15.525

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 4.9   Kansas State: 14.1




Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 15.525  #25
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.28  #35
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 3.97  #18
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7  #48
Kansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Kansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1  #18
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #29
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Kansas Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.8
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.5

Kansas's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 33
Kansas 23


Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Kansas State 34
Kansas 27

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Kansas State 30
Kansas 23

Total Points: 53
Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.5

Kansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Kansas17Kansas State42Kansas -3.5Kansas State55.5Over
202410/26Kansas State29Kansas27Kansas State -10Kansas56.5Under
202311/18Kansas27Kansas State31Kansas State -7.0Kansas60.5Under
202211/26Kansas State47Kansas27Kansas State -11.5Kansas State62.0Over
202111/06Kansas10Kansas State35Kansas State -24Kansas State56.0Under
202010/24Kansas State55Kansas14Kansas State -19.5Kansas State46.0Over
201911/02Kansas10Kansas State38Kansas State -4.5Kansas State54.0Under
201811/10Kansas State21Kansas17Kansas State -9Kansas45.5Under
201710/28Kansas20Kansas State30Kansas State -24.5Kansas55.0Under
201611/26Kansas State34Kansas19Kansas State -24.5Kansas51.0Over
201511/28Kansas14Kansas State45Kansas State -21.5Kansas State53.5Over
201411/29Kansas State51Kansas13Kansas State -28.5Kansas State0
201311/30Kansas10Kansas State31Kansas State -16.5Kansas State0
201210/06Kansas State56Kansas16
201110/22Kansas21Kansas State59
201010/14Kansas7Kansas State59
200911/07Kansas State17Kansas10
200811/01Kansas52Kansas State21
200710/06Kansas State24Kansas30
200611/18Kansas39Kansas State20
200510/08Kansas State12Kansas3
200410/09Kansas31Kansas State28
200310/25Kansas State42Kansas6
200211/02Kansas0Kansas State64
200110/27Kansas State40Kansas6
200010/06Kansas13Kansas State52
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas State2285 Overs
Kansas456 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 125 - 83 - 42 - 4
Road Teams12 - 148 - 54 - 24 - 3

(#41) KU at (#25) KSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKUKSU
Power RatePwr #41 #25
SP+SP+ #50 #18
Perf GradeGrade #31 #61
OffenseOff #8 #58
DefenseDef #95 #80
Spec TeamsST #8 #77
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #48
Kansas Notes
(12/7) Elevated Jim Zebrowski to OC (Co-OC/QB's)
(12/6) OC Jeff Grimes left for Wisc OC job
(11/23) Killed CU. 1st losing team w/ 3 str top 25 wins
(11/18) Off awful (242 yds), outplayed @ BYU but found W
(11/13) Daniels great in ISU W, KU turning corner?
(11/13) Pass D torched, Run Def great vs ISU, Rgame great
(9/28) Pass D torched by TCU, Daniels awful. Sad team
(9/16) QB Daniels is electric but can't read Def. Big issue
(9/13) D OK vs UNLV, Off was awful, 2 TOs cost game
(9/8) Bad L @ Ill, 4 TOs. Run D played great though
(7/30) OL 2/5 return, big ??, RB has depth
(7/30) 6 win floor, game 2 vs Illinois very interesting
Kansas Injury Report
Kansas State Notes
(11/30) 1-3 finish. QB Johnson 12/28, KSU 2 TOs, 3-13 3rd
(11/25) Rgame mauled Cincy, Johnson OK, Def good
(11/18) 2 straight L's w/ Bad Off, Rgame OK but 3 TOs
(11/2) Rgame awful vs Hou, 89 yds, 2.6 ypc. Horrible L
(10/19) Best of B12? Johnson 298 yds, 3 TD @ WVU
(10/13) Rgame not great vs Col, QB Johnson sacked a lot
(9/28) Great W over OK St. Rgame 300 yds (8.8 ypc)
(9/23) Shocking L @ BYU. QB Johnson was awful, 3 TOs
(9/13) Bullied Az. Johnson great runner, still meh passer
(9/11) WR are JAGs, OL meh. QB/RB run game good.
(9/8) Lucky W Tulane, Pass D torched, good Rgame
(7/30) Johnson now QB, WR has vets but playmakers?
Kansas State Injury Report
Kansas on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
KU OffKSU Def
Perf GradePerf #8 #80
SuccessSuc #16 #6
ExplosiveExp #63 #129
PPAPPA #9 #29
PowerPwr #3 #18
SP+SP+ #32 #25
Pts POPPO #11 #43
HavocHav #19 #50
Kansas Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
KU OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #11 #32
Run SuccessRSuc #15 #4
Run ExplRExp #29 #83
PPAExp #4 #10
Run BlockR Blk #7 -
OL YdsOLY #3 #15
Stuff RateStuff #5 #12
TackleTak -  #77
Kansas Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
KU OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #51 #90
Pass SuccessPSuc #11 #32
Pass ExplPExl #62 #130
PPAExp #17 #72
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #14 #114
F7 HavocF7 #20 #39
DB HavocDB #31 #68
Kansas State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatKSU OffKU Def
Perf GradePerf #58 #95
SuccessSuc #55 #99
ExplosiveExp #9 #101
PPAPPA #17 #108
PowerPwr #35 #98
SP+SP+ #29 #68
Pts POPPO #53 #73
HavocHav #21 #54
Kansas State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
KSU OffKU Def
Run GameRun #25 #93
Run SuccessRSuc #42 #104
Run ExplRExp #10 #78
PPAExp #11 #117
Run BlockR Blk #48 -
OL YdsOLY #14 #124
Stuff RateStuff #79 #118
TackleTak -  #101
Kansas State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatKSU OffKU Def
Pass GamePass #42 #86
Pass SuccessPSuc #68 #95
Pass ExplPExl #31 #110
PPAExp #36 #101
Pass Block/RushP Blk #31 #102
F7 HavocF7 #29 #62
DB HavocDB #27 #31
Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

KU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 55°
Rematch from Week 9
Kansas State -10.0 (56.5)
Kansas State won vs Kansas this year (29-27)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Kansas last year (29-27)
Kansas State beat Kansas in 2023 (31-27)
Kansas State beat Kansas in 2022 (47-27)

  
KU's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalon Daniels17130057%245414128.2
Cole Ballard5683%51108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Neal2191266165.854
Jalon Daniels9344764.833
Daniel Hishaw Jr.6537635.832
Sevion Morrison2716426.138
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Grimm51690613.570
Quentin Skinner25557422.362
Lawrence Arnold26360113.840
Devin Neal24254110.651

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JB Brown7410552
Cornell Wheeler655004
O.J. Burroughs644006
Marvin Grant594316
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jereme Robinson219650
JB Brown7410552
Dean Miller3210543
Marvin Grant594316
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacobee Bryant374107
O.J. Burroughs644006
Marvin Grant594316

KSU's OC Conor Riley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson21737258%271225107.3
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)3743%18002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Giddens205134376.666
Avery Johnson11360575.433
Dylan Edwards (Tr)7454657.465
Joe Jackson3922715.832
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown47823517.565
Keagan Johnson29359112.435
DJ Giddens21258112.353
Garrett Oakley22236510.728

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Romaine968242
VJ Payne644003
Marques Sigle607003
Austin Moore597261
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brendan Mott4511850
Desmond Purnell4610461
Tobi Osunsanmi196440
Chiddi Obiazor175433
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Parrish503047
Keenan Garber291005
Chiddi Obiazor175433