Kansas at Kansas State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Kansas logo Kansas Jayhawks at Kansas State WildcatsKansas State logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Kansas State -10 (56.5) (-360)  Open: -7.0
Kansas State 29 - Kansas: 27  (Big 12)

 
Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (17 - 21)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (23 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Kansas State -10   (SP+ KSU -9)
Projected Score: KU: 22 - KSU: 32 (55)
KSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
KU Travel: 74 miles
Wildcats (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (39 - 24)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (33 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Kansas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Kansas vs Lindenwood-48.562.5W 48 - 3UN
Sat 9/7 Kansas at Illinois-4.558.5L 17 - 23UN
Fri 9/13 Kansas vs UNLV-7.057.0L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/21 Kansas at West Virginia+1.556.0L 28 - 32ON
Sat 9/28 Kansas vs TCU-1.558.5L 27 - 38ON
Sat 10/5 Kansas at Arizona State+2.550.0L 31 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Kansas vs Houston-4.545.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 10/26 Kansas at Kansas State+10.056.5L 27 - 29UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Kansas vs Iowa State+2.550.5W 45 - 36OY
Sat 11/16 Kansas at BYU+3.055.5W 17 - 13UY
Sat 11/23 Kansas vs Colorado+2.559.0W 37 - 21UY
Sat 11/30 Kansas at Baylor-2.562.5L 17 - 45UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 7, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Kansas State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kansas State vs UT Martin-36.556.5W 41 - 6UN
Sat 9/7 Kansas State at Tulane-8.547.5W 34 - 27ON
Fri 9/13 Kansas State vs Arizona-7.058.0W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/21 Kansas State at BYU-7.549.5L 9 - 38UN
Sat 9/28 Kansas State vs Oklahoma State-6.058.0W 42 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kansas State at Colorado-3.554.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 10/19 Kansas State at West Virginia-2.556.5W 45 - 18OY
Sat 10/26 Kansas State vs Kansas-10.056.5W 29 - 27UN
Sat 11/2 Kansas State at Houston-12.546.5L 19 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Kansas State vs Arizona State-7.551.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Kansas State vs Cincinnati-7.554.5W 41 - 15OY
Sat 11/30 Kansas State at Iowa State+2.551.5L 21 - 29UN
Thu 12/26 Kansas State vs Rutgers-7.551.5W 44 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)29.749% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)2646% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)30.846% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)23.434% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)49% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)46% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Offense1229.722.848.1%4.681.4224212132095.658%41%49%48%12%.32
KSU Defense1323.416.535.9%3.541.1 - - - - - 47%53%34%38%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Defense122629.544.5%3.831.4 - - - - - 50%50%46%43%17%.23
KSU Offense1330.83344%4.081.2183871901966.152%48%46%42%12%.3

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas1230:5421.551%67%4.538.41.41.45.82.3225.3
Kansas State1326:4518.540%56%541.31.21.15.92.4327.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Offense1258% (19)49% (15)37.8212.75.629 (18).33 (4)3.6 (3)83% (8)7% (20)1.08 (29)
KSU Defense1347% (31)34% (4) - - - - -.01 (10)2.6 (15)77% (97)11% (39)1.01 (83)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Defense1250% (58)46% (104) - - - - .22 (117)3.4 (124)82% (117)10% (62)1 (78)
KSU Offense1352% (57)46% (42)31.5190.36.118 (78).27 (11)3.37 (14)68% (102)8% (29)1.14 (10)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Offense1241% (122)48% (11)14.725.5208.88.214.215 (98)12 (85).38 (17)1.6 (62)30% (38)36% (26).38 (51)5% (31)1.9 (117)
KSU Defense1353% (104)38% (32) - - - - - - 9 (76).24 (72)1.8 (130)39% (2)30% (52).35 (88)6% (68)2.2 (119)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Defense1250% (72)43% (95) - - - - - - 12 (39).3 (101)1.7 (110)32% (60)33% (104).29 (61)7% (31)2.1 (80)
KSU Offense1348% (76)42% (68)15.927196.47.312.322 (46)9 (48).33 (36)1.7 (31)31% (56)31% (76).36 (57)5% (27)2 (79)

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 6.04 #41
Kansas's Offense Rating: 29.66 #3
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.87 #98
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Kansas's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 6.04   Kansas State: 15.525

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 4.9   Kansas State: 14.1




Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 15.525 #25
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.28 #35
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 3.97 #18
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Kansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Kansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Kansas Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.8
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.5

Kansas's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 32
Kansas 22


Total Points: 55

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.5

Kansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Kansas State29Kansas27Kansas StateKansas State -10Kansas56.5Under
202311/18Kansas27Kansas State31Kansas StateKansas State -7.0Kansas60.5Under
202211/26Kansas State47Kansas27Kansas StateKansas State -11.5Kansas State62.0Over
202111/06Kansas10Kansas State35Kansas StateKansas State -24Kansas State56.0Under
202010/24Kansas State55Kansas14Kansas StateKansas State -19.5Kansas State46.0Over
201911/02Kansas10Kansas State38Kansas StateKansas State -4.5Kansas State54.0Under
201811/10Kansas State21Kansas17Kansas StateKansas State -9Kansas45.5Under
201710/28Kansas20Kansas State30Kansas StateKansas State -24.5Kansas55.0Under
201611/26Kansas State34Kansas19Kansas StateKansas State -24.5Kansas51.0Over
201511/28Kansas14Kansas State45Kansas StateKansas State -21.5Kansas State53.5Over
201411/29Kansas State51Kansas13Kansas StateKansas State -28.5Kansas State0
201311/30Kansas10Kansas State31Kansas StateKansas State -16.5Kansas State0
201210/06Kansas State56Kansas16Kansas State
201110/22Kansas21Kansas State59Kansas State
201010/14Kansas7Kansas State59Kansas State
200911/07Kansas State17Kansas10Kansas State
200811/01Kansas52Kansas State21Kansas
200710/06Kansas State24Kansas30Kansas
200611/18Kansas39Kansas State20Kansas
200510/08Kansas State12Kansas3Kansas State
200410/09Kansas31Kansas State28Kansas
200310/25Kansas State42Kansas6Kansas State
200211/02Kansas0Kansas State64Kansas State
200110/27Kansas State40Kansas6Kansas State
200010/06Kansas13Kansas State52Kansas State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas State2174 Overs
Kansas456 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 115 - 73 - 32 - 4
Road Teams11 - 147 - 54 - 23 - 3

(#41) Kansas Info
Power Rating: 6.04 #41
Offense Rating: 29.66 #3
Defense Rating: 12.87 #98
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Kansas has won 1 straight
Kansas has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Kansas Notes
(12/6) OC Jeff Grimes left for Wisc OC job
(11/23) Killed CU. 1st losing team w/ 3 str top 25 wins
(11/18) Off awful (242 yds), outplayed @ BYU but found W
(11/13) Daniels great in ISU W, KU turning corner?
(11/13) Pass D torched, Run Def great vs ISU, Rgame great
(9/28) Pass D torched by TCU, Daniels awful. Sad team
(9/16) QB Daniels is electric but can't read Def. Big issue
(9/13) D OK vs UNLV, Off was awful, 2 TOs cost game
(9/8) Bad L @ Ill, 4 TOs. Run D played great though
(7/30) OL 2/5 return, big ??, RB has depth

Kansas Highlights
Kansas has Really Good Running Game (#60)
Kansas offense is efficent (#18)
Kansas has a top Offensive Line (#4)
Kansas offense is good in red zone (#34)
Kansas offense is good on 3rd downs
Kansas does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#4)

Kansas commits very few Penalties (#67)

Kansas Deficiencies
Kansas gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#128)
Kansas Does Not Stuff Runs (#18)
Kansas has a bad defensive line (#33)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatKSUKU
OverallOver#44#24
OffenseOff#49#8
DefenseDef#61#75
Special TeamsST#65#8
PassingPass#34#41
RushingRush#18#11
Run BlockRBLK#38#6
Pass BlockPBLK#31#14
Route RunningWR Rt#94#41
TacklingTkl#67#87
Run DefenseR Def#25#75
Pass Rush DefPRush#97#87
Coverage DefCov#73#70

Rematch from Week 9
Kansas State -10.0 (56.5)
Kansas State won vs Kansas this year (29-27)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Kansas last year (29-27)
Kansas State beat Kansas in 2023 (31-27)
Kansas State beat Kansas in 2022 (47-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KU | KSU
Depth Chart: KU | KSU
Rosters: KU | KSU
(#25) Kansas State Info
Power Rating: 15.525 #25
Offense Rating: 23.28 #35
Defense Rating: 3.97 #18
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #25
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 36%
Good in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Kansas State has won 3 straight
Kansas State has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Kansas State Notes
(11/25) Rgame mauled Cincy, Johnson OK, Def good
(11/18) 2 straight L's w/ Bad Off, Rgame OK but 3 TOs
(11/2) Rgame awful vs Hou, 89 yds, 2.6 ypc. Horrible L
(10/19) Best of B12? Johnson 298 yds, 3 TD @ WVU
(10/13) Rgame not great vs Col, QB Johnson sacked a lot
(9/28) Great W over OK St. Rgame 300 yds (8.8 ypc)
(9/23) Shocking L @ BYU. QB Johnson was awful, 3 TOs
(9/13) Bullied Az. Johnson great runner, still meh passer
(9/11) WR are JAGs, OL meh. QB/RB run game good.
(9/8) Lucky W Tulane, Pass D torched, good Rgame

Kansas State Highlights
Kansas State has Really Good Running Game (#77)
Kansas State offense is explosive (#27)
Kansas State has a top Offensive Line (#78)
Kansas State has a really good defense (#53)
Kansas State has a good run defense (#48)
Kansas State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#65)
Kansas State Defensive Line is very good (#23)

Kansas State Deficiencies
Kansas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#100)


  
Kansas's OC Jeff Grimes
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalon Daniels17130057%245414128.2
Cole Ballard5683%51108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Neal2191266165.854
Jalon Daniels9344764.833
Daniel Hishaw Jr.6537635.832
Sevion Morrison2716426.138
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Grimm51690613.570
Quentin Skinner25557422.362
Lawrence Arnold26360113.840
Devin Neal24254110.651

View Kansas's Full Roster
Kansas's DC Brian Borland
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JB Brown7410552
Cornell Wheeler655004
O.J. Burroughs644006
Marvin Grant594316
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jereme Robinson219650
JB Brown7410552
Dean Miller3210543
Marvin Grant594316
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacobee Bryant374107
O.J. Burroughs644006
Marvin Grant594316

Kansas State's OC Conor Riley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson21737258%271225107.3
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)3743%18002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Giddens205134376.666
Avery Johnson11360575.433
Dylan Edwards (Tr)7454657.465
Joe Jackson3922715.832
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown47823517.565
Keagan Johnson29359112.435
DJ Giddens21258112.353
Garrett Oakley22236510.728

View Kansas State's Full Roster
Kansas State's DC Joe Klanderman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Romaine968242
VJ Payne644003
Marques Sigle607003
Austin Moore597261
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brendan Mott4511850
Desmond Purnell4610461
Tobi Osunsanmi196440
Chiddi Obiazor175433
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Parrish503047
Keenan Garber291005
Chiddi Obiazor175433