Kansas State at West Virginia - 2024 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo Kansas State Wildcats at West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia logo
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Kansas State -2.5 (56.5) (-142)  Open: -2.5
Kansas State 45 - West Virginia: 18  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (39 - 24)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
KSU 2nd straight Road Game
WVU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Kansas State -9.5   (SP+ KSU -12)

Projected Score: KSU: 33 - WVU: 24 (57)
KSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
KSU Travel: 887 miles, 1 hrs behind
Mountaineers (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Neal Brown (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (28 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kansas State vs UT Martin-36.556.5W 41 - 6UN
Sat 9/7 Kansas State at Tulane-8.547.5W 34 - 27ON
Fri 9/13 Kansas State vs Arizona-7.058.0W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/21 Kansas State at BYU-7.549.5L 9 - 38UN
Sat 9/28 Kansas State vs Oklahoma State-6.058.0W 42 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kansas State at Colorado-3.554.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 10/19 Kansas State at West Virginia-2.556.5W 45 - 18OY
Sat 10/26 Kansas State vs Kansas-10.056.5W 29 - 27UN
Sat 11/2 Kansas State at Houston-12.546.5L 19 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Kansas State vs Arizona State-7.551.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Kansas State vs Cincinnati-7.554.5W 41 - 15OY
Sat 11/30 Kansas State at Iowa State+2.551.5L 21 - 29UN
Thu 12/26 Kansas State vs Rutgers-7.551.5W 44 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
West Virginia's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 West Virginia vs Penn State+7.548.0L 12 - 34UN
Sat 9/7 West Virginia vs UAlbany-38.553.5W 49 - 14ON
Sat 9/14 West Virginia at Pittsburgh-2.560.5L 34 - 38ON
Sat 9/21 West Virginia vs Kansas-1.556.0W 32 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 West Virginia at Oklahoma State+2.565.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 10/12 West Virginia vs Iowa State+3.054.0L 16 - 28UN
Sat 10/19 West Virginia vs Kansas State+2.556.5L 18 - 45ON
Sat 10/26 West Virginia at Arizona+5.551.5W 31 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 West Virginia at Cincinnati+5.554.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 11/16 West Virginia vs Baylor+2.060.0L 35 - 49ON
Sat 11/23 West Virginia vs UCF+3.060.0W 31 - 21UY
Sat 11/30 West Virginia at Texas Tech+2.561.5L 15 - 52ON
Tue 12/17 West Virginia vs Memphis+5.060.0L 37 - 42OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)30.846% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)23.434% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)29.244% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)31.941% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)44% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)41% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1330.826.544%4.081.2183871901966.152%48%46%42%12%.3
WVU Defense1331.931.344.8%4.741.1 - - - - - 51%49%41%49%13%.3
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense1323.427.335.9%3.541.1 - - - - - 47%53%34%38%17%.11
WVU Offense1329.227.642.5%4.61.5234061962104.956%44%44%41%16%.2

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1326:4518.540%56%541.31.21.15.92.4327.6
West Virginia1331:3622.642%62%4.333.91.51.14.81.5128.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1352% (57)46% (42)31.5190.36.118 (78).27 (11)3.37 (14)68% (102)8% (29)1.14 (10)
WVU Defense1351% (68)41% (46) - - - - .08 (46)2.83 (41)64% (21)9% (97)1.02 (86)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1347% (31)34% (4) - - - - -.01 (10)2.6 (15)77% (97)11% (39)1.01 (83)
WVU Offense1356% (28)44% (75)40.11964.927 (30).16 (52)3.05 (64)78% (33)10% (82)1.07 (35)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1348% (76)42% (68)15.927196.47.312.322 (46)9 (48).33 (36)1.7 (31)31% (56)31% (76).36 (57)5% (27)2 (79)
WVU Defense1349% (68)49% (128) - - - - - - 5 (117).53 (133)1.8 (127)31% (84)38% (128).61 (133)4% (126)2.3 (123)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1353% (104)38% (32) - - - - - - 9 (76).24 (72)1.8 (130)39% (2)30% (52).35 (88)6% (68)2.2 (119)
WVU Offense1344% (107)41% (73)17.428.6210.37.412.120 (58)14 (115).26 (65)1.8 (16)34% (117)32% (63).37 (52)6% (75)2.3 (8)

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 11.95 #25
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.28 #35
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 3.97 #18
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Kansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Kansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 11.95   West Virginia: 3.57

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 14.1   West Virginia: 2.1




West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 3.57 #63
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
West Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
West Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.5
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.3

Kansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 33
West Virginia 24


Total Points: 57

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.6
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

West Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19West Virginia18Kansas State45Kansas StateKansas State -2.5Kansas State56.5Over
202211/19West Virginia31Kansas State48Kansas StateKansas State -8Kansas State54.5Over
202111/13Kansas State34West Virginia17Kansas StateKansas State -6Kansas State47.5Over
202010/31West Virginia37Kansas State10West VirginiaWest Virginia -3.0West Virginia0
201911/16Kansas State20West Virginia24West VirginiaKansas State -14West Virginia45.5Under
201809/22West Virginia35Kansas State6West VirginiaWest Virginia -15.5West Virginia60.5Under
201711/11Kansas State23West Virginia28West VirginiaWest Virginia -3West Virginia58.5Under
201610/01West Virginia17Kansas State16West VirginiaWest Virginia -5.5Kansas State56.0Under
201512/05Kansas State24West Virginia23Kansas StateWest Virginia -5.5Kansas State54.0Under
201411/20West Virginia20Kansas State26Kansas StateWest Virginia -2.5Kansas State58.5Under
201310/26Kansas State35West Virginia12Kansas StateKansas State -7Kansas State0
201210/20West Virginia14Kansas State55Kansas State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
West Virginia543 Overs
Kansas State776 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 65 - 64 - 31 - 3
Road Teams6 - 66 - 53 - 13 - 4

(#25) Kansas State Info
Power Rating: 11.95 #25
Offense Rating: 23.28 #35
Defense Rating: 3.97 #18
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #25
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 36%
Good in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Kansas State has won 2 straight
Kansas State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

Kansas State Notes
(11/25) Rgame mauled Cincy, Johnson OK, Def good
(11/18) 2 straight L's w/ Bad Off, Rgame OK but 3 TOs
(11/2) Rgame awful vs Hou, 89 yds, 2.6 ypc. Horrible L
(10/19) Best of B12? Johnson 298 yds, 3 TD @ WVU
(10/13) Rgame not great vs Col, QB Johnson sacked a lot
(9/28) Great W over OK St. Rgame 300 yds (8.8 ypc)
(9/23) Shocking L @ BYU. QB Johnson was awful, 3 TOs
(9/13) Bullied Az. Johnson great runner, still meh passer
(9/11) WR are JAGs, OL meh. QB/RB run game good.
(9/8) Lucky W Tulane, Pass D torched, good Rgame

Kansas State Highlights
Kansas State has Really Good Running Game (#77)
Kansas State offense is explosive (#27)
Kansas State has a top Offensive Line (#78)
Kansas State has a really good defense (#53)
Kansas State has a good run defense (#48)
Kansas State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#65)
Kansas State Defensive Line is very good (#23)

Kansas State Deficiencies
Kansas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#100)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWVUKSU
OverallOver#48#44
OffenseOff#31#49
DefenseDef#94#61
Special TeamsST#18#65
PassingPass#59#34
RushingRush#47#18
Run BlockRBLK#8#38
Pass BlockPBLK#11#31
Route RunningWR Rt#64#94
TacklingTkl#10#67
Run DefenseR Def#38#25
Pass Rush DefPRush#87#97
Coverage DefCov#109#73

Rematch from Week 8
Kansas State 2.5 (56.5)
Kansas State won at West Virginia this year (45-18)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat West Virginia last year (45-18)
Kansas State beat West Virginia in 2022 (48-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KSU | WVU
Depth Chart: KSU | WVU
Rosters: KSU | WVU
(#63) West Virginia Info
Power Rating: 3.57 #63
Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.6 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.74 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

West Virginia has lost 1 straight
West Virginia has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

West Virginia Notes
(12/11) Hired HC Rodriguez (Former HC, Jax St 3 yrs)
(12/1) HC Brown fired after 37-35 in 6 years
(11/23) Rgame 200 yds, 3.7 ypc, Greene meh in UCF W
(11/18) Bad L vs Baylor, Def torched, QB Green was bad
(11/16) QB Greene back for Baylor, Marchiol was better
(11/13) 2 cons road W's, lucky vs Cincy, OG's by 180 yds
(11/7) QB change: Marchiol takes over for Greene full time
(10/29) DC Lesley fired, LB/ST Koonz will take over
(10/27) QB Marhiol good vs Az, 18/22, 2 TDs. Rgame good
(10/19) Killed by K St pass game (300 yds)? Bad team

West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#26)
West Virginia offense is explosive (#107)
West Virginia offense is good in red zone (#51)
West Virginia commits very few Penalties (#109)

West Virginia Deficiencies
West Virginia throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
West Virginia Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
West Virginia Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
West Virginia has a bad defense (#19)
West Virginia gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#58)
West Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#36)


  
Kansas State's OC Conor Riley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson21737258%271225107.3
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)3743%18002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Giddens205134376.666
Avery Johnson11360575.433
Dylan Edwards (Tr)7454657.465
Joe Jackson3922715.832
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown47823517.565
Keagan Johnson29359112.435
DJ Giddens21258112.353
Garrett Oakley22236510.728

View Kansas State's Full Roster
Kansas State's DC Joe Klanderman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Romaine968242
VJ Payne644003
Marques Sigle607003
Austin Moore597261
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brendan Mott4511850
Desmond Purnell4610461
Tobi Osunsanmi196440
Chiddi Obiazor175433
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Parrish503047
Keenan Garber291005
Chiddi Obiazor175433

West Virginia's OC Chad Scott
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Greene18931660%230015127.3
Nicco Marchiol375666%434527.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahiem White14984575.755
Garrett Greene13375165.656
CJ Donaldson163734114.548
Nicco Marchiol4012023.019
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Hudson Clement51741514.544
Kole Taylor43448310.439
Traylon Ray28426415.254
Rodney Gallagher26288311.133

View West Virginia's Full Roster
West Virginia's DC Jeff Koonz (Int)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Wilson1020003
Josiah Trotter934152
Trey Lathan799230
Tyrin Bradley568224
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Jackson (Tr)4014710
Sean Martin236451
Hammond Russell IV174330
Trey Lathan799230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Garnett Hollis Jr. (Tr)461006
Tyrin Bradley568224
Anthony Wilson1020003