Kansas State at Colorado - 2024 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo Kansas State Wildcats at Colorado BuffaloesColorado logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (10:15 PM EDT)
Kansas State -3.5 (54.5) (-155)  Open: -6.0 | 56.5
Kansas State 31 - Colorado: 28  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (39 - 24)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
KSU coming off BYE
COLO coming off BYE
Our Line: Colorado -0.5  (SP+ KSU -6)

Projected Score: KSU: 28 - COLO: 28 (56)
KSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
KSU Travel: 465 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Buffaloes (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (39 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kansas State vs UT Martin-36.556.5W 41 - 6UN
Sat 9/7 Kansas State at Tulane-8.547.5W 34 - 27ON
Fri 9/13 Kansas State vs Arizona-7.058.0W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/21 Kansas State at BYU-7.549.5L 9 - 38UN
Sat 9/28 Kansas State vs Oklahoma State-6.058.0W 42 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kansas State at Colorado-3.554.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 10/19 Kansas State at West Virginia-2.556.5W 45 - 18OY
Sat 10/26 Kansas State vs Kansas-10.056.5W 29 - 27UN
Sat 11/2 Kansas State at Houston-12.546.5L 19 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Kansas State vs Arizona State-7.551.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Kansas State vs Cincinnati-7.554.5W 41 - 15OY
Sat 11/30 Kansas State at Iowa State+2.551.5L 21 - 29UN
Thu 12/26 Kansas State vs Rutgers-7.551.5W 44 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Colorado's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Colorado vs North Dakota State-9.059.0W 31 - 26UN
Sat 9/7 Colorado at Nebraska+6.555.0L 10 - 28UN
Sat 9/14 Colorado at Colorado State-7.558.5W 28 - 9UY
Sat 9/21 Colorado vs Baylor-2.552.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 9/28 Colorado at UCF+12.560.5W 48 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Colorado vs Kansas State+3.554.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 10/19 Colorado at Arizona+2.557.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/26 Colorado vs Cincinnati-6.057.0W 34 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Colorado at Texas Tech-5.062.0W 41 - 27OY
Sat 11/16 Colorado vs Utah-13.543.5W 49 - 24OY
Sat 11/23 Colorado vs Kansas-2.559.0L 21 - 37UN
Fri 11/29 Colorado vs Oklahoma State-14.566.5W 52 - 0UY
Sat 12/28 Colorado vs BYU-3.055.5L 14 - 36UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)30.846% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)23.434% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)32.944% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)23.140% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)44% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)40% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1330.826.544%4.081.2183871901966.152%48%46%42%12%.3
COLO Defense1323.122.538.4%3.31.8 - - - - - 53%47%40%36%20%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense1323.427.335.9%3.541.1 - - - - - 47%53%34%38%17%.11
COLO Offense1332.938.744.5%4.340.920368663022.737%63%44%45%17%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1326:4518.540%56%541.31.21.15.92.4327.6
Colorado1326:0319.741%40%7.162.80.91.86.72.8231.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1352% (57)46% (42)31.5190.36.118 (78).27 (11)3.37 (14)68% (102)8% (29)1.14 (10)
COLO Defense1353% (93)40% (43) - - - - .06 (37)2.87 (47)78% (98)12% (19)1.06 (100)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1347% (31)34% (4) - - - - -.01 (10)2.6 (15)77% (97)11% (39)1.01 (83)
COLO Offense1337% (133)44% (73)24.2662.715 (96).08 (94)2.76 (110)82% (16)11% (104)0.86 (121)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1348% (76)42% (68)15.927196.47.312.322 (46)9 (48).33 (36)1.7 (31)31% (56)31% (76).36 (57)5% (27)2 (79)
COLO Defense1347% (46)36% (17) - - - - - - 12 (39).13 (24)1.6 (61)35% (25)29% (50).24 (41)8% (18)1.9 (31)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1353% (104)38% (32) - - - - - - 9 (76).24 (72)1.8 (130)39% (2)30% (52).35 (88)6% (68)2.2 (119)
COLO Offense1363% (2)45% (34)25.935.23028.611.735 (3)8 (40).34 (32)1.6 (53)33% (96)35% (27).47 (18)6% (78)2.1 (54)

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 11.95  #25
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.28  #35
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 3.97  #18
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7%  #48
Kansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Kansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1  #18
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #29
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 11.95   Colorado: 13.29

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 14.1   Colorado: 8.1




Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 13.29  #18
Colorado's Offense Rating: 23.21  #36
Colorado's Defense Rating: 3.47  #15
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 21  #26
Colorado's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Colorado's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1  #39
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #27
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #45

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.5
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.3

Kansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado 28
Kansas State 28


Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Colorado 31
Kansas State 26

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Colorado 31
Kansas State 26

Total Points: 57
Colorado Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Colorado's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Kansas State24Colorado14Kansas State -16.5Colorado50.5Under
202410/12Colorado28Kansas State31Kansas State -3.5Colorado54.5Over
201011/20Colorado44Kansas State36
200910/24Kansas State20Colorado6
200810/18Colorado14Kansas State13
200710/13Kansas State47Colorado20
200611/04Colorado21Kansas State34
200510/29Kansas State20Colorado23
200411/13Colorado38Kansas State31
200310/18Kansas State49Colorado20
200210/05Colorado35Kansas State31
200110/06Kansas State6Colorado16
200009/29Colorado21Kansas State44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado621 Overs
Kansas State701 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 51 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams5 - 81 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#25) KSU at (#18) COLO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKSUCOLO
Power RatePwr #25 #18
SP+SP+ #18 #39
Perf GradeGrade #61 #27
OffenseOff #58 #26
DefenseDef #80 #39
Spec TeamsST #77 #87
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #48 #26
Kansas State Notes
(11/30) 1-3 finish. QB Johnson 12/28, KSU 2 TOs, 3-13 3rd
(11/25) Rgame mauled Cincy, Johnson OK, Def good
(11/18) 2 straight L's w/ Bad Off, Rgame OK but 3 TOs
(11/2) Rgame awful vs Hou, 89 yds, 2.6 ypc. Horrible L
(10/19) Best of B12? Johnson 298 yds, 3 TD @ WVU
(10/13) Rgame not great vs Col, QB Johnson sacked a lot
(9/28) Great W over OK St. Rgame 300 yds (8.8 ypc)
(9/23) Shocking L @ BYU. QB Johnson was awful, 3 TOs
(9/13) Bullied Az. Johnson great runner, still meh passer
(9/11) WR are JAGs, OL meh. QB/RB run game good.
(9/8) Lucky W Tulane, Pass D torched, good Rgame
(7/30) Johnson now QB, WR has vets but playmakers?
Kansas State Injury Report
Colorado Notes
(12/18) Signed QB Slater (Liberty)
(11/29) Killed Pokes, Sanders/Hunter great, Def great
(11/23) Run Def mauled by KU, 331, 5.8 ypc. Zero run game
(11/18) Run Def great vs Utah, Sanders great, B12 favs?
(11/13) Sanders great, Def so much better in TT W
(10/28) Buffs fav'd in last 4, can make B12 title game
(10/27) Def good vs Cincy. Quietly a good team? Strange
(10/22) Def has a stop rate of 74% (#12), incredible
(10/19) Def held Az 245 yds, Rgame better. Contenders?
(10/14) #2 WR Horn left K St game (inj)
(10/13) Good fight KSt. Rgame -29 yds! Def was Ok
(10/13) Star WR/CB Hunter left K St game (inj)
Colorado Injury Report
Kansas State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
KSU OffCOLO Def
Perf GradePerf #58 #39
SuccessSuc #55 #30
ExplosiveExp #9 #76
PPAPPA #17 #22
PowerPwr #35 #15
SP+SP+ #29 #45
Pts POPPO #53 #21
HavocHav #21 #13
Kansas State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
KSU OffCOLO Def
Run GameRun #25 #60
Run SuccessRSuc #42 #43
Run ExplRExp #10 #100
PPAExp #11 #37
Run BlockR Blk #48 -
OL YdsOLY #14 #47
Stuff RateStuff #79 #51
TackleTak -  #72
Kansas State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
KSU OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePass #42 #17
Pass SuccessPSuc #68 #17
Pass ExplPExl #31 #61
PPAExp #36 #24
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #31 #33
F7 HavocF7 #29 #19
DB HavocDB #27 #18
Colorado on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCatCOLO OffKSU Def
Perf GradePerf #26 #80
SuccessSuc #48 #6
ExplosiveExp #31 #129
PPAPPA #35 #29
PowerPwr #36 #18
SP+SP+ #27 #25
Pts POPPO #28 #43
HavocHav #97 #50
Colorado Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCat
COLO OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #98 #32
Run SuccessRSuc #73 #4
Run ExplRExp #121 #83
PPAExp #94 #10
Run BlockR Blk #81 -
OL YdsOLY #110 #15
Stuff RateStuff #106 #12
TackleTak -  #77
Colorado Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
CategoryCatCOLO OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #3 #90
Pass SuccessPSuc #34 #32
Pass ExplPExl #53 #130
PPAExp #32 #72
Pass Block/RushP Blk #47 #114
F7 HavocF7 #104 #39
DB HavocDB #78 #68
Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

KSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 66°
Rematch from Week 7
Kansas State 3.5 (54.5)
Kansas State won at Colorado this year (31-28)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Colorado last year (31-28)

  
KSU's OC Conor Riley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson21737258%271225107.3
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)3743%18002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Giddens205134376.666
Avery Johnson11360575.433
Dylan Edwards (Tr)7454657.465
Joe Jackson3922715.832
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown47823517.565
Keagan Johnson29359112.435
DJ Giddens21258112.353
Garrett Oakley22236510.728

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Romaine968242
VJ Payne644003
Marques Sigle607003
Austin Moore597261
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brendan Mott4511850
Desmond Purnell4610461
Tobi Osunsanmi196440
Chiddi Obiazor175433
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Parrish503047
Keenan Garber291005
Chiddi Obiazor175433

COLO's OC Pat Shurmur (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Shedeur Sanders35347774%413437108.7
Ryan Staub040%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Augustave (Tr)8538444.537
Dallan Hayden (Tr)6419613.127
Micah Welch4318644.325
Charlie Offerdahl2611914.639
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Travis Hunter9612581513.158
LaJohntay Wester (Tr)749311012.669
Will Sheppard (Tr)48621612.947
Jimmy Horn Jr.37441111.969

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Robert Livingston (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig8610243
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)7912224
Shilo Sanders643102
Dylahn McKinney593008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
B.J. Green II3212850
Arden Walker337520
Taje Mccoy244420
Keaten Wade (Tr)207410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travis Hunter3510011
Dylahn McKinney593008
Carter Stoutmire421027