Iowa State at Kansas State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Iowa State logo (#12)Iowa State Cyclones at Kansas State WildcatsKansas State logo
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (8:00 PM EST)
Kansas State -9.5 (46.0) (-480)  Open: -11.0 | 48.0
Iowa State 42 - Kansas State: 35  (Big 12)

 
Cyclones (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (47 - 42)
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
KSU is playing their 8th straight game
ISU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Kansas State -9.5   (SP+ KSU -7)

Projected Score: ISU: 21 - KSU: 30 (51)
KSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
ISU Travel: 249 miles
Wildcats (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (32 - 21)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (44 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Iowa State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Iowa State vs Northern Iowa-7.040.5W 30 - 9UY
Sat 9/9 Iowa State vs Iowa+3.535.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/16 Iowa State at Ohio-1.542.0L 7 - 10UN
Sat 9/23 Iowa State vs Oklahoma State-3.536.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Iowa State at Oklahoma+19.548.5L 20 - 50ON
Sat 10/7 Iowa State vs TCU+6.552.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 10/14 Iowa State at Cincinnati+4.042.5W 30 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Iowa State at Baylor-3.047.0W 30 - 18OY
Sat 11/4 Iowa State vs Kansas-2.553.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/11 Iowa State at BYU-7.540.5W 45 - 13OY
Sat 11/18 Iowa State vs Texas+7.543.5L 16 - 26UN
Sat 11/25 Iowa State at Kansas State+9.546.0W 42 - 35OY
Fri 12/29 Iowa State vs Memphis-10.558.0L 26 - 36ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Kansas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Kansas State vs Southeast Missouri State-28.556.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/9 Kansas State vs Troy-15.050.0W 42 - 13OY
Sat 9/16 Kansas State at Missouri-3.548.0L 27 - 30ON
Sat 9/23 Kansas State vs UCF-6.053.5W 44 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6 Kansas State at Oklahoma State-11.553.5L 21 - 29UN
Sat 10/14 Kansas State at Texas Tech+1.057.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Kansas State vs TCU-5.560.0W 41 - 3UY
Sat 10/28 Kansas State vs Houston-17.561.0W 41 - 0UY
Sat 11/4 Kansas State at Texas+4.049.5L 30 - 33OY
Sat 11/11 Kansas State vs Baylor-20.555.5W 59 - 25OY
Sat 11/18 Kansas State at Kansas-7.060.5W 31 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Kansas State vs Iowa State-9.546.0L 35 - 42ON
Thu 12/28 Kansas State vs NC State-3.048.5W 28 - 19UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#57 (.21)37% (119)26.232% (132)2.34 (133)12041% (72)2453.72 (83)#32 (.13)39% (36)22.841% (46)39% (35)3.35 (27)43.50.81.5
KSU#34 (.28)47% (18)37.150% (14)3.33 (28)20544% (46)2415.11 (1)#46 (.15)38% (24)2138% (29)39% (27)2.98 (12)43.70.91.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)40% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)46% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Offense1326.22936.8%3.720.8163651202454.148%52%32%41%14%.21
KSU Defense132116.337.8%2.981.8 - - - - - 46%52%38%39%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Defense1322.822.739.2%3.351.5 - - - - - 48%50%41%39%16%.13
KSU Offense1337.143.947.3%5.110.924446205241553%47%50%44%12%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa State1329:0916.339%63%4.843.50.81.54.81.6130.2
Kansas State1331:5123.848%58%4.843.70.91.85.61.8130.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Offense1348% (87)32% (132)29.4119.94.116 (89).01 (126)2.34 (133)59% (130)9% (44)1.18 (5)
KSU Defense1346% (23)38% (29) - - - - .14 (68)2.82 (25)61% (12)11% (47)1.24 (130)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Defense1348% (43)41% (46) - - - - .05 (20)2.77 (20)68% (38)8% (123)0.9 (28)
KSU Offense1353% (43)50% (14)40.8205.2532 (10).27 (13)3.33 (28)75% (60)6% (5)0.99 (75)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Offense1352% (44)41% (72)18.529.32458.413.223 (51)8 (30).42 (25)1.8 (11)37% (132)30% (76).26 (91)5% (44)2 (100)
KSU Defense1352% (107)39% (27) - - - - - - 13 (26).22 (38)1.7 (95)35% (24)27% (23).23 (32)7% (45)2.2 (101)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Defense1350% (84)39% (35) - - - - - - 16 (9).28 (74)1.7 (116)34% (41)28% (35).23 (24)8% (9)2 (60)
KSU Offense1347% (88)44% (46)19.832.8241.27.312.230 (16)10 (56).31 (60)1.6 (80)29% (17)35% (25).46 (31)6% (50)2.1 (50)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 4.48 #39
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Iowa State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Iowa State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 4.48   Kansas State: 15.89

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 8.6   Kansas State: 15.4




Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 15.89 #16
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.70 #16
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 4.11 #22
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #61
Kansas State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
Kansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #8
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #39

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.7

Iowa State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 30
Iowa State 21


Total Points: 51

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 37.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.9
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

Kansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/23Kansas State21Iowa State24Iowa StateKansas State -2.5Iowa State51.5Under
202411/30Iowa State29Kansas State21Iowa StateIowa State -2.5Iowa State51.5Under
202311/25Kansas State35Iowa State42Iowa StateKansas State -9.5Iowa State46.0Over
202210/08Iowa State9Kansas State10Kansas StateKansas State -1NA45.0Under
202110/16Kansas State20Iowa State33Iowa StateIowa State -6.5Iowa State51.0Over
202011/21Iowa State45Kansas State0Iowa StateIowa State -13.5Iowa State48.0Under
201911/30Kansas State27Iowa State17Kansas StateIowa State -5.5Kansas State45.0Under
201811/24Iowa State42Kansas State38Iowa StateIowa State -10Kansas State41.0Over
201711/25Kansas State20Iowa State19Kansas StateKansas State -2.5Iowa State50.0Under
201610/29Iowa State26Kansas State31Kansas StateKansas State -6Iowa State50.5Over
201511/21Kansas State38Iowa State35Kansas StateKansas State -7Iowa State50.5Over
201409/06Iowa State28Kansas State32Kansas StateKansas State -15.5Iowa State0
201311/02Kansas State41Iowa State7Kansas StateKansas State -14.5Kansas State0
201210/13Iowa State21Kansas State27Kansas State
201112/03Kansas State30Iowa State23Kansas State
201009/18Kansas State27Iowa State20Kansas State
200910/03Iowa State23Kansas State24Kansas State
200811/22Kansas State38Iowa State30Kansas State
200711/03Iowa State31Kansas State20Iowa State
200610/28Kansas State31Iowa State10Kansas State
200511/05Iowa State45Kansas State17Iowa State
200411/20Kansas State23Iowa State37Iowa State
200311/08Iowa State0Kansas State45Kansas State
200211/09Kansas State58Iowa State7Kansas State
200111/03Iowa State3Kansas State42Kansas State
200011/03Kansas State56Iowa State10Kansas State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas State1735 Overs
Iowa State996 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 116 - 63 - 53 - 1
Road Teams11 - 156 - 61 - 35 - 3

(#39) Iowa State Info
Power Rating: 4.48 #39
Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80


Iowa State has lost 1 straight
Iowa State has won 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Iowa State Highlights
Iowa State offense is explosive (#82)
Iowa State defense is really good in red zone (#50)
Iowa State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#78)
Iowa State Defensive Line is very good (#66)
Iowa State Secondary is very good (#38)
Iowa State has a great TO Margin (#82)
Iowa State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Iowa State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Iowa State Deficiencies
Iowa State offense is really bad (#56)
Iowa State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#68)
Iowa State run game is really bad (#94)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatKSUISU
OverallOver#26#43
OffenseOff#21#69
DefenseDef#55#30
Special TeamsST#55#32
PassingPass#47#27
RushingRush#11#55
Run BlockRBLK#18#99
Pass BlockPBLK#33#116
Route RunningWR Rt#30#25
TacklingTkl#105#75
Run DefenseR Def#81#21
Pass Rush DefPRush#85#95
Coverage DefCov#35#28

Rematch from Week 13
Kansas State -9.5 (46.0)
Iowa State won at Kansas State this year (42-35)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Kansas State last year (29-21)
Iowa State beat Kansas State in 2023 (42-35)
Kansas State beat Iowa State in 2022 (10-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ISU | KSU
Depth Chart: ISU | KSU
Rosters: ISU | KSU
(#16) Kansas State Info
Power Rating: 15.89 #16
Offense Rating: 23.70 #16
Defense Rating: 4.11 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #8
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #39
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #61
Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80


Kansas State has won 2 straight
Kansas State has won 6 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (6 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Kansas State Highlights
Kansas State has Really Good Running Game (#77)
Kansas State offense is efficent (#82)
Kansas State has a top Offensive Line (#78)
Kansas State offense is good in red zone (#76)
Kansas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Kansas State has a really good defense (#53)
Kansas State defense is really good in red zone (#106)
Kansas State has a good run defense (#48)
Kansas State has a good pass defense (#54)
Kansas State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#65)
Kansas State Defensive Line is very good (#23)
Kansas State has a great TO Margin (#107)
Kansas State commits very few Penalties (#30)
Kansas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Kansas State Deficiencies
Kansas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#100)


  
Iowa State's OC Nathan Scheelhaase
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht23136763%31202388.5
J.J. Kohl91182%23002.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Abu Sama III8461467.377
Eli Sanders10247744.729
Cartevious Norton8734333.949
Carson Hansen226703.012
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Higgins53983618.575
Jaylin Noel66820712.482
Benjamin Brahmer28352212.648
Daniel Jackson16260216.339

View Iowa State's Full Roster
Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Freyler1064105
Caleb Bacon607382
Myles Purchase5651014
Malik Verdon471004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.R. Singleton224480
Zach Lovett114360
Caleb Bacon607382
Trent Jones II193340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Purchase5651014
Jeremiah Cooper4520110
T.J. Tampa443017

Kansas State's OC Collin Klein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Howard21935861%264324107.4
Avery Johnson376656%479507.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Giddens2231226105.543
Treshaun Ward (Tr)12565155.252
Will Howard8036494.670
Avery Johnson5128875.630
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ben Sinnott49676613.844
Phillip Brooks III53589511.140
Jayce Brown27437316.246
DJ Giddens29323311.161

View Kansas State's Full Roster
Kansas State's DC Joe Klanderman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Sigle (Tr)633019
Austin Moore6313210
Kobe Savage574020
VJ Payne573003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalid Duke198620
Nate Matlack158421
Jevon Banks (Tr)92210
Cody Stufflebean193200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Sigle (Tr)633019
Jacob Parrish443109
Will Lee III422006