Iowa State at BYU Game Matchup

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (10:15 PM EST)
Iowa State -7.5 (40.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Iowa State 45 - BYU: 13 (Big 12)

Cyclones (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (47 - 42)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (25 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BYU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Iowa State -8 (SP+ ISU -12.5)
Projected Score: ISU: 26 - BYU: 18 (52)
ISU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ISU Travel: 944 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cougars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (59 - 34)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (34 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ISU Players
BYU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Iowa State vs Northern Iowa	-7.0	40.5	W 30 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Iowa State vs Iowa	+3.5	35.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/16	Iowa State at Ohio	-1.5	42.0	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/23	Iowa State vs Oklahoma State	-3.5	36.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Iowa State at Oklahoma	+19.5	48.5	L 20 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/7	Iowa State vs TCU	+6.5	52.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Iowa State at Cincinnati	+4.0	42.5	W 30 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Iowa State at Baylor	-3.0	47.0	W 30 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Iowa State vs Kansas	-2.5	53.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/11	Iowa State at BYU	-7.5	40.5	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Iowa State vs Texas	+7.5	43.5	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/25	Iowa State at Kansas State	+9.5	46.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Iowa State vs Memphis	-10.5	58.0	L 26 - 36	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

BYU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	BYU vs Sam Houston	-19.0	46.5	W 14 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/9	BYU vs Southern Utah	-30.5	46.5	W 41 - 16	O	N
Sat 9/16	BYU at Arkansas	+9.0	48.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/23	BYU at Kansas	+9.0	55.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Fri 9/29	BYU vs Cincinnati	-1.0	47.5	W 35 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	BYU at TCU	+5.0	52.5	L 11 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/21	BYU vs Texas Tech	+3.0	49.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/28	BYU at Texas	+20.5	48.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	BYU at West Virginia	+13.0	48.5	L 7 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/11	BYU vs Iowa State	+7.5	40.5	L 13 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/18	BYU vs Oklahoma	+24.5	58.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/25	BYU at Oklahoma State	+15.5	55.5	L 34 - 40	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	.12	39%	31.1	37%	2.57	107	42%	262	3.51	.11	40%	22.9	39%	41%	3.26	45.7	1.8	1.8
BYU	.3	46%	31.2	46%	3.33	176	46%	250	4.33	.25	48%	19.6	50%	47%	4.65	53.2	0.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BYU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Offense	12	31.1	24.8	39.2%	3.51	1.8	20	369	107	262	3.3	41%	58%	37%	42%	15%	.12
BYU Defense	13	19.6	18.5	48.3%	4.65	1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	50%	47%	13%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Defense	12	22.9	15.8	39.8%	3.26	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	39%	41%	17%	.11
BYU Offense	13	31.2	33.5	45.6%	4.33	0.8	22	426	176	250	5.2	52%	47%	46%	46%	13%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa State	12	32:07	20.4	42%	56%	5.6	45.7	1.8	1.8	5.3	1.5	0	27.5
BYU	13	29:09	21.9	45%	33%	5.7	53.2	0.8	1	3.7	1.2	3	27.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Offense	12	41%	37%	32.8	107.2	3.3	10	-.02	2.57	60%	10%	0.81
BYU Defense	13	53%	50%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.54	67%	7%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Defense	12	53%	39%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.86	70%	11%	0.75
BYU Offense	13	52%	46%	33.7	176.4	5.2	19	.23	3.33	69%	8%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Offense	12	58%	42%	26.1	39.9	261.8	6.6	10	19	15	.26	1.5	34%	32%	.31	5%	1.9
BYU Defense	13	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.31	1.5	26%	39%	.57	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Defense	12	45%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.24	1.4	31%	23%	.17	6%	1.9
BYU Offense	13	47%	46%	19.8	30.2	249.7	8.3	12.6	32	7	.4	1.7	30%	33%	.42	5%	2

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 4.48 #39
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
2023 Talent Rating: 782.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Iowa State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Iowa State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 4.48 BYU: -1.665

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 8.6 BYU: -3.7

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: -1.665 #89
BYU's Offense Rating: 10.78 #119
BYU's Defense Rating: 10.17 #74
2023 Talent Rating: 694.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #61
BYU's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
BYU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 #77
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #74
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.8

Iowa State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 26
BYU 18

Projected Total Points: 52

BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

BYU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	BYU	13	Iowa State	45	Iowa State	Iowa State -7.5	Iowa State	40.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
BYU	0	0	1 Overs
Iowa State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

(#39) Iowa State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.48 #39
Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18
Talent Rating: 782.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80

Team Profile

,
,

Iowa State Ratings Matchup BYU

Power #39

#89

Off #87

#119

Def #23

#74

Talent #32

#51

SP+ #34

#77

SP+ Off #70

#74

SP+ Def #18

#95

Rematch from Week 11
Iowa State 7.5 (40.5)
Iowa State won at BYU this year (45-13)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat BYU in 2023 (45-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 39° - Wind: 5 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ISU | BYU
Depth Chart: ISU | BYU
Rosters: ISU | BYU

(#89) BYU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.665 #89
Offense Rating: 10.78 #119
Defense Rating: 10.17 #74
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #95
Talent Rating: 694.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #61
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Team Profile

,
,

Iowa State's OC Nathan Scheelhaase

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaylin Noel	0	2	0%	0	0	0	0.0
Ryan Millmore	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Sanders	147	1064	9	7.2	75
Cartevious Norton	129	525	7	4.1	62
Jaylin Noel	9	38	0	4.2	12
Stevo Klotz	2	22	0	11.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylin Noel	81	1194	8	14.7	75
Jayden Higgins	87	1183	9	13.6	39
Eli Sanders	15	134	0	8.9	31
Stevo Klotz	8	89	1	11.1	28

View Iowa State's Full Roster

Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Beau Freyler	84	3	0	0	4
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5
Blake Thompson	60	3	0	0	3
Joey Petersen	46	6	2	9	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jefferson Adam	26	7	5	0	0
J.R. Singleton	32	5	4	7	1
Joey Petersen	46	6	2	9	0
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Purchase	35	4	0	0	6
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5
Myles Norwood	38	2	0	0	5

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hinckley Ropati	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hinckley Ropati	68	360	1	5.3	26
Enoch Nawahine	30	98	1	3.3	12
Darius Lassiter (Tr)	1	0	0	0.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darius Lassiter (Tr)	45	703	4	15.6	57
Keanu Hill	12	108	1	9.0	20
Dom Henry	6	80	0	13.3	19
Hinckley Ropati	5	76	1	15.2	30

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2
Jakob Robinson	43	5	0	2	5
Blake Mangelson	37	6	2	3	1
Isaiah Bagnah (Tr)	25	2	1	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Daley	14	6	3	1	0
Blake Mangelson	37	6	2	3	1
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2
Isaiah Bagnah (Tr)	25	2	1	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jakob Robinson	43	5	0	2	5
John Nelson	23	2	1	3	5
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2