Iowa State at BYU - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (10:15 PM EST)
Iowa State -7.5 (40.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Iowa State 45 - BYU: 13 (Big 12)

Cyclones (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (47 - 42)
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BYU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Iowa State -8 (SP+ ISU -12.5)
Projected Score: ISU: 26 - BYU: 18 (44)
ISU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ISU Travel: 944 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cougars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (59 - 34)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (26 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ISU Players
BYU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Iowa State vs Northern Iowa	-7.0	40.5	W 30 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Iowa State vs Iowa	+3.5	35.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/16	Iowa State at Ohio	-1.5	42.0	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/23	Iowa State vs Oklahoma State	-3.5	36.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Iowa State at Oklahoma	+19.5	48.5	L 20 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/7	Iowa State vs TCU	+6.5	52.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Iowa State at Cincinnati	+4.0	42.5	W 30 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Iowa State at Baylor	-3.0	47.0	W 30 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Iowa State vs Kansas	-2.5	53.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/11	Iowa State at BYU	-7.5	40.5	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Iowa State vs Texas	+7.5	43.5	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/25	Iowa State at Kansas State	+9.5	46.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Iowa State vs Memphis	-10.5	58.0	L 26 - 36	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

BYU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	BYU vs Sam Houston	-19.0	46.5	W 14 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/9	BYU vs Southern Utah	-30.5	46.5	W 41 - 16	O	N
Sat 9/16	BYU at Arkansas	+9.0	48.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/23	BYU at Kansas	+9.0	55.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Fri 9/29	BYU vs Cincinnati	-1.0	47.5	W 35 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	BYU at TCU	+5.0	52.5	L 11 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/21	BYU vs Texas Tech	+3.0	49.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/28	BYU at Texas	+20.5	48.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	BYU at West Virginia	+13.0	48.5	L 7 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/11	BYU vs Iowa State	+7.5	40.5	L 13 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/18	BYU vs Oklahoma	+24.5	58.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/25	BYU at Oklahoma State	+15.5	55.5	L 34 - 40	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	#57 (.21)	37% (119)	26.2	32% (132)	2.34 (133)	120	41% (72)	245	3.72 (83)	#32 (.13)	39% (36)	22.8	41% (46)	39% (35)	3.35 (27)	43.5	0.8	1.5
BYU	#120 (.08)	36% (125)	23.1	37% (126)	2.97 (94)	104	36% (115)	205	3.96 (61)	#88 (.21)	44% (97)	29.8	44% (75)	45% (117)	3.59 (50)	43	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	#62 (.2)	40% (99)		40% (106)	2.83 (102)	150	41% (77)	236	4.23 (37)	#79 (.18)	43% (81)		46% (101)	38% (41)	3.44 (29)	25.9	1.1	1.5
BYU	#51 (.22)	45% (44)		47% (30)	3.23 (37)	148	43% (59)	216	3.73 (88)	#41 (.13)	41% (65)		46% (99)	37% (28)	3.79 (68)	37	1.4	2.1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Offense	13	26.2	29	36.8%	3.72	0.8	16	365	120	245	4.1	48%	52%	32%	41%	14%	.21
BYU Defense	12	29.8	22.2	44%	3.59	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	45%	15%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Defense	13	22.8	22.7	39.2%	3.35	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	41%	39%	16%	.13
BYU Offense	12	23.1	25.7	35.9%	3.96	1.6	17	310	104	205	3.5	45%	54%	37%	36%	21%	.08

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa State	13	29:09	16.3	39%	63%	4.8	43.5	0.8	1.5	4.8	1.6	1	30.2
BYU	12	28:19	16.8	29%	50%	5.3	43	1.6	1.7	4.2	0.9	2	29.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Offense	13	48% (87)	32% (132)	29.4	119.9	4.1	16 (89)	.01 (126)	2.34 (133)	59% (130)	9% (44)	1.18 (5)
BYU Defense	12	49% (57)	44% (75)	-	-	-	-	.19 (96)	3.35 (114)	66% (28)	8% (124)	1 (70)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Defense	13	48% (43)	41% (46)	-	-	-	-	.05 (20)	2.77 (20)	68% (38)	8% (123)	0.9 (28)
BYU Offense	12	45% (101)	37% (126)	30	104.3	3.5	15 (100)	.06 (115)	2.97 (94)	76% (49)	12% (120)	1.05 (42)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Offense	13	52% (44)	41% (72)	18.5	29.3	245	8.4	13.2	23 (51)	8 (30)	.42 (25)	1.8 (11)	37% (132)	30% (76)	.26 (91)	5% (44)	2 (100)
BYU Defense	12	50% (75)	45% (117)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.29 (81)	1.5 (44)	32% (56)	37% (127)	.56 (131)	7% (39)	2 (43)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Defense	13	50% (84)	39% (35)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.28 (74)	1.7 (116)	34% (41)	28% (35)	.23 (24)	8% (9)	2 (60)
BYU Offense	12	54% (30)	36% (115)	18.3	33	205.4	6.2	11.2	17 (85)	9 (40)	.13 (118)	1.7 (45)	36% (128)	23% (126)	.13 (123)	8% (127)	2.2 (29)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 4.48 #39
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Iowa State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Iowa State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 4.48 BYU: -1.665

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 8.6 BYU: -3.7

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: -1.665 #89
BYU's Offense Rating: 10.78 #119
BYU's Defense Rating: 10.17 #74
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #61
BYU's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
BYU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 #77
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #74
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.7

Iowa State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 26
BYU 18

Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa State 26
BYU 18

Total Points: 44

Based on Entire Season
Iowa State 27
BYU 24

Total Points: 51

BYU Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.2

BYU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Iowa State	27	BYU	41	Iowa State -2.5	BYU	48.5	Over
2023	11/11	BYU	13	Iowa State	45	Iowa State -7.5	Iowa State	40.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
BYU	1	1	2 Overs
Iowa State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#39) ISU at (#89) BYU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ISU	BYU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#39	#89
SP+SP+	#34	#77
Perf GradeGrade	#54	#117
OffenseOff	#79	#106
DefenseDef	#36	#125
Spec TeamsST	#35	#74
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#59	#61

Iowa State Injury Report

BYU Injury Report

Iowa State on Offense


CategoryCat	ISU Off	BYU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#79	#125
SuccessSuc	#119	#97
ExplosiveExp	#1	#53
PPAPPA	#57	#88
PowerPwr	#87	#74
SP+SP+	#70	#95
Pts POPPO	#83	#50
HavocHav	#35	#106

Iowa State Run Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	BYU Def
Run GameRun	#78	#117
Run SuccessRSuc	#132	#75
Run ExplRExp	#5	#70
PPAExp	#126	#96
Run BlockR Blk	#131	-
OL YdsOLY	#133	#114
Stuff RateStuff	#133	#102
TackleTak	-	#124

Iowa State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	BYU Def
Pass GamePass	#34	#119
Pass SuccessPSuc	#72	#117
Pass ExplPExl	#11	#44
PPAExp	#25	#81
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#133	#100
F7 HavocF7	#44	#124
DB HavocDB	#44	#39

BYU on Offense


CategoryCat	BYU Off	ISU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#106	#36
SuccessSuc	#125	#36
ExplosiveExp	#20	#88
PPAPPA	#120	#32
PowerPwr	#119	#23
SP+SP+	#74	#18
Pts POPPO	#61	#27
HavocHav	#127	#76

BYU Run Game


CategoryCat	BYU Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	#126	#24
Run SuccessRSuc	#126	#46
Run ExplRExp	#42	#28
PPAExp	#115	#20
Run BlockR Blk	#90	-
OL YdsOLY	#94	#20
Stuff RateStuff	#35	#20
TackleTak	-	#85

BYU Pass Game


CategoryCat	BYU Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	#100	#33
Pass SuccessPSuc	#115	#35
Pass ExplPExl	#45	#116
PPAExp	#118	#74
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#19	#128
F7 HavocF7	#120	#123
DB HavocDB	#127	#9

Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Down to Top G5

ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 39° - Wind: 5 mph

Rematch from Week 11
Iowa State 7.5 (40.5)
Iowa State won at BYU this year (45-13)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat BYU in 2023 (45-13)

ISU's OC Nathan Scheelhaase (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Rocco Becht	231	367	63%	3120	23	8	8.5
J.J. Kohl	9	11	82%	23	0	0	2.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Abu Sama III	84	614	6	7.3	77
Eli Sanders	102	477	4	4.7	29
Cartevious Norton	87	343	3	3.9	49
Carson Hansen	22	67	0	3.0	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Higgins	53	983	6	18.5	75
Jaylin Noel	66	820	7	12.4	82
Benjamin Brahmer	28	352	2	12.6	48
Daniel Jackson	16	260	2	16.3	39

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Beau Freyler	106	4	1	0	5
Caleb Bacon	60	7	3	8	2
Myles Purchase	56	5	1	0	14
Malik Verdon	47	1	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.R. Singleton	22	4	4	8	0
Zach Lovett	11	4	3	6	0
Caleb Bacon	60	7	3	8	2
Trent Jones II	19	3	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Purchase	56	5	1	0	14
Jeremiah Cooper	45	2	0	1	10
T.J. Tampa	44	3	0	1	7

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kedon Slovis (Tr)	153	266	58%	1716	12	6	6.5
Jake Retzlaff	63	125	50%	648	3	3	5.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LJ Martin	109	518	4	4.8	55
Aidan Robbins (Tr)	101	485	1	4.8	36
Jake Retzlaff	51	116	3	2.3	19
Miles Davis	16	78	0	4.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chase Roberts	42	573	5	13.6	59
Isaac Rex	34	422	3	12.4	65
Darius Lassiter (Tr)	29	365	4	12.6	47
Kody Epps	21	259	0	12.3	30

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Max Tooley	92	5	1	0	2
AJ Vongphachanh (Tr)	85	6	0	5	1
Ethan Slade	60	2	0	0	3
Crew Wakley (Tr)	59	4	0	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Batty	54	8	6	6	0
Max Tooley	92	5	1	0	2
Isaiah Bagnah (Tr)	27	2	1	1	0
Eddie Heckard (Tr)	47	5	1	0	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jakob Robinson	59	1	0	0	7
Crew Wakley (Tr)	59	4	0	1	6
Eddie Heckard (Tr)	47	5	1	0	6