Kansas State at Missouri - 2023 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo Kansas State Wildcats at Missouri Tigers(#25)Missouri logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kansas State -3.5 (48.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Missouri 30 - Kansas State: 27

 
Wildcats (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (32 - 21)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (29 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MIZ 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Missouri -4  (SP+ MIZ -2)
Projected Score: KSU: 21 - MIZ: 25 (47)
KSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
KSU Travel: 229 miles
Tigers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (20 - 19)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (33 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Kansas State vs Southeast Missouri State-28.556.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/9 Kansas State vs Troy-15.050.0W 42 - 13OY
Sat 9/16 Kansas State at Missouri-3.548.0L 27 - 30ON
Sat 9/23 Kansas State vs UCF-6.053.5W 44 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6 Kansas State at Oklahoma State-11.553.5L 21 - 29UN
Sat 10/14 Kansas State at Texas Tech+1.057.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Kansas State vs TCU-5.560.0W 41 - 3UY
Sat 10/28 Kansas State vs Houston-17.561.0W 41 - 0UY
Sat 11/4 Kansas State at Texas+4.049.5L 30 - 33OY
Sat 11/11 Kansas State vs Baylor-20.555.5W 59 - 25OY
Sat 11/18 Kansas State at Kansas-7.060.5W 31 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Kansas State vs Iowa State-9.546.0L 35 - 42ON
Thu 12/28 Kansas State vs NC State-3.048.5W 28 - 19UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Missouri's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Missouri vs South Dakota-27.044.5W 35 - 10ON
Sat 9/9 Missouri vs Middle Tennessee-21.047.5W 23 - 19UN
Sat 9/16 Missouri vs Kansas State+3.548.0W 30 - 27OY
Sat 9/23 Missouri vs Memphis-6.552.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Missouri at Vanderbilt-14.053.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/7 Missouri vs LSU+6.063.5L 39 - 49ON
Sat 10/14 Missouri at Kentucky+1.550.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Missouri vs South Carolina-7.557.5W 34 - 12UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Missouri at Georgia+15.056.5L 21 - 30UY
Sat 11/11 Missouri vs Tennessee+1.058.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 Missouri vs Florida-12.556.5W 33 - 31ON
Fri 11/24 Missouri at Arkansas-9.553.5W 48 - 14OY
Fri 12/29 Missouri vs Ohio State+4.051.0W 14 - 3UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#34 (.28)47% (18)37.150% (14)3.33 (28)20544% (46)2415.11 (1)#46 (.15)38% (24)2138% (29)39% (27)2.98 (12)43.70.91.8
MIZ#21 (.29)46% (26)32.545% (48)3.06 (82)17248% (13)2614.51 (22)#47 (.15)37% (19)20.835% (13)39% (30)3.93 (81)54.20.71.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1337.129.447.3%5.110.924446205241553%47%50%44%12%.28
MIZ Defense1320.822.136.8%3.931.5 - - - - - 46%54%35%39%19%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense13212837.8%2.981.8 - - - - - 46%52%38%39%17%.15
MIZ Offense1332.532.946.1%4.510.7224331722614.554%46%45%48%13%.29

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1331:5123.848%58%4.843.70.91.85.61.8130.4
Missouri1330:2421.543%73%7.254.20.71.56.12.8128.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1353% (43)50% (14)40.8205.2532 (10).27 (13)3.33 (28)75% (60)6% (5)0.99 (75)
MIZ Defense1346% (18)35% (13) - - - - .08 (33)2.74 (17)71% (56)13% (11)1.06 (97)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1346% (23)38% (29) - - - - .14 (68)2.82 (25)61% (12)11% (47)1.24 (130)
MIZ Offense1354% (40)45% (48)38.2171.84.525 (37).18 (50)3.06 (82)75% (52)9% (46)0.97 (84)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1347% (88)44% (46)19.832.8241.27.312.230 (16)10 (56).31 (60)1.6 (80)29% (17)35% (25).46 (31)6% (50)2.1 (50)
MIZ Defense1354% (118)39% (30) - - - - - - 9 (87).23 (46)1.6 (58)36% (21)25% (15).18 (12)6% (64)1.9 (19)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1352% (107)39% (27) - - - - - - 13 (26).22 (38)1.7 (95)35% (24)27% (23).23 (32)7% (45)2.2 (101)
MIZ Offense1346% (93)48% (13)1928.9261.2913.723 (51)7 (21).44 (18)1.7 (42)31% (46)36% (21).46 (29)5% (16)2 (69)

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 11.38  #16
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.70  #16
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 4.11  #22
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5%  #61
Kansas State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
Kansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4  #15
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #8
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #39

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 11.38   Missouri: 17.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 15.4   Missouri: 17.8




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 17.615  #14
Missouri's Offense Rating: 24.36  #15
Missouri's Defense Rating: 7.05  #38
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 23  #30
Missouri's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Missouri's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8  #12
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1  #11
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9  #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 37.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Kansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 25
Kansas State 21

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Kansas State 18
Missouri 17

Total Points: 35

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 29
Kansas State 27

Total Points: 56
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.9
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Missouri's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Missouri30Kansas State27Kansas State -3.5Missouri48.0Over
202209/10Kansas State40Missouri12Kansas State -7Kansas State52.5Under
201110/08Kansas State24Missouri17
201011/13Missouri38Kansas State28
200911/14Kansas State12Missouri38
200811/08Missouri41Kansas State24
200711/17Kansas State32Missouri49
200610/21Missouri41Kansas State21
200511/19Kansas State36Missouri28
200411/06Missouri24Kansas State35
200311/22Kansas State24Missouri14
200111/24Kansas State24Missouri3
200011/17Missouri24Kansas State28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri611 Overs
Kansas State711 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 42 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams4 - 90 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#16) KSU at (#14) MIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKSUMIZ
Power RatePwr #16 #14
SP+SP+ #15 #12
Perf GradeGrade #32 #19
OffenseOff #23 #14
DefenseDef #68 #49
Spec TeamsST #69 #67
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #61 #30
Kansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
KSU OffMIZ Def
Perf GradePerf #23 #49
SuccessSuc #18 #19
ExplosiveExp #98 #102
PPAPPA #34 #47
PowerPwr #16 #38
SP+SP+ #8 #23
Pts POPPO #1 #81
HavocHav #9 #19
Kansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
KSU OffMIZ Def
Run GameRun #15 #78
Run SuccessRSuc #14 #13
Run ExplRExp #75 #97
PPAExp #13 #33
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLY #28 #17
Stuff RateStuff #69 #14
TackleTak -  #72
Kansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
KSU OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePass #61 #56
Pass SuccessPSuc #46 #30
Pass ExplPExl #80 #58
PPAExp #60 #46
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #37 #35
F7 HavocF7 #5 #11
DB HavocDB #50 #64
Missouri on Offense
CategoryCatMIZ OffKSU Def
Perf GradePerf #14 #68
SuccessSuc #26 #24
ExplosiveExp #63 #127
PPAPPA #21 #46
PowerPwr #15 #22
SP+SP+ #11 #39
Pts POPPO #22 #12
HavocHav #24 #42
Missouri Run Game
CategoryCat
MIZ OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #53 #95
Run SuccessRSuc #48 #29
Run ExplRExp #84 #130
PPAExp #50 #68
Run BlockR Blk #5 -
OL YdsOLY #82 #25
Stuff RateStuff #120 #6
TackleTak -  #123
Missouri Pass Game
CategoryCatMIZ OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #18 #42
Pass SuccessPSuc #13 #27
Pass ExplPExl #42 #95
PPAExp #18 #38
Pass Block/RushP Blk #36 #114
F7 HavocF7 #46 #47
DB HavocDB #16 #45
Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

KSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 71° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Kansas State 3.5 (48.0)
Missouri won vs Kansas State this year (30-27)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Kansas State in 2023 (30-27)
Kansas State beat Missouri in 2022 (40-12)

  
KSU's OC Collin Klein (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Howard21935861%264324107.4
Avery Johnson376656%479507.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Giddens2231226105.543
Treshaun Ward (Tr)12565155.252
Will Howard8036494.670
Avery Johnson5128875.630
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ben Sinnott49676613.844
Phillip Brooks III53589511.140
Jayce Brown27437316.246
DJ Giddens29323311.161

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Sigle (Tr)633019
Austin Moore6313210
Kobe Savage574020
VJ Payne573003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalid Duke198620
Nate Matlack158421
Jevon Banks (Tr)92210
Cody Stufflebean193200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Sigle (Tr)633019
Jacob Parrish443109
Will Lee III422006

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brady Cook24336766%33022169.0
Sam Horn3650%54119.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cody Schrader2761617145.952
Brady Cook11331982.825
Nathaniel Peat7631734.219
Luther Burden III83804.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luther Burden III851205914.256
Theo Wease48661613.877
Mookie Cooper36447012.441
Marquis Johnson13383329.576

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Blake Baker (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylon Carlies645224
Joseph Charleston601034
Ty'Ron Hopper556363
Charles Hicks5311221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Robinson4314960
Johnny Walker4311690
Nyles Gaddy (Tr)224430
Ty'Ron Hopper556363
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kris Abrams-Draine5030112
Daylan Carnell516387
Jaylon Carlies645224