Iowa State at Oklahoma - 2023 Matchup Preview
Iowa State logo (#12)Iowa State Cyclones at Oklahoma Sooners(#11)Oklahoma logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma -19.5 (48.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Oklahoma 50 - Iowa State: 20  (Big 12)

 
Cyclones (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (47 - 42)
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OKLA is playing their 5th straight game
ISU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma -13.5   (SP+ OKLA -8)

Projected Score: ISU: 20 - OKLA: 34 (54)
OKLA Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
ISU Travel: 513 miles
Sooners (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 42 - 24 (52 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 2.1 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Iowa State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Iowa State vs Northern Iowa-7.040.5W 30 - 9UY
Sat 9/9 Iowa State vs Iowa+3.535.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/16 Iowa State at Ohio-1.542.0L 7 - 10UN
Sat 9/23 Iowa State vs Oklahoma State-3.536.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Iowa State at Oklahoma+19.548.5L 20 - 50ON
Sat 10/7 Iowa State vs TCU+6.552.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 10/14 Iowa State at Cincinnati+4.042.5W 30 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Iowa State at Baylor-3.047.0W 30 - 18OY
Sat 11/4 Iowa State vs Kansas-2.553.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/11 Iowa State at BYU-7.540.5W 45 - 13OY
Sat 11/18 Iowa State vs Texas+7.543.5L 16 - 26UN
Sat 11/25 Iowa State at Kansas State+9.546.0W 42 - 35OY
Fri 12/29 Iowa State vs Memphis-10.558.0L 26 - 36ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Oklahoma's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Oklahoma vs Arkansas State-36.057.5W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/9 Oklahoma vs SMU-16.568.5W 28 - 11UY
Sat 9/16 Oklahoma at Tulsa-28.058.5W 66 - 17OY
Sat 9/23 Oklahoma at Cincinnati-13.058.0W 20 - 6UY
Sat 9/30 Oklahoma vs Iowa State-19.548.5W 50 - 20OY
Sat 10/7 Oklahoma vs Texas+4.062.0W 34 - 30OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Oklahoma vs UCF-17.067.5W 31 - 29UN
Sat 10/28 Oklahoma at Kansas-7.066.5L 33 - 38ON
Sat 11/4 Oklahoma at Oklahoma State-6.061.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/11 Oklahoma vs West Virginia-13.559.5W 59 - 20OY
Sat 11/18 Oklahoma at BYU-24.558.5W 31 - 24UN
Fri 11/24 Oklahoma vs TCU-12.566.5W 69 - 45OY
Thu 12/28 Oklahoma vs Arizona+2.559.5L 24 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#57 (.21)37% (119)26.232% (132)2.34 (133)12041% (72)2453.72 (83)#32 (.13)39% (36)22.841% (46)39% (35)3.35 (27)43.50.81.5
OKLA#9 (.34)50% (8)41.748% (22)3.11 (67)18252% (6)3254.56 (18)#27 (.12)39% (32)23.539% (31)39% (36)3.36 (28)58.21.52
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)40% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)46% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
OKLA#123 (.06)39% (113)43% (85)2.99 (81)14435% (122)1553.39 (112)#12 (.07)36% (5)33% (2)39% (55)3.47 (34)421.51.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Offense1326.22936.8%3.720.8163651202454.148%52%32%41%14%.21
OKLA Defense1323.520.838.5%3.362 - - - - - 45%54%39%39%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Defense1322.822.739.2%3.351.5 - - - - - 48%50%41%39%16%.13
OKLA Offense1341.751.750.1%4.561.5255071823254.649%51%48%52%13%.34

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa State1329:0916.339%63%4.843.50.81.54.81.6130.2
Oklahoma1329:0325.549%68%6.858.21.526.41.4529.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Offense1348% (87)32% (132)29.4119.94.116 (89).01 (126)2.34 (133)59% (130)9% (44)1.18 (5)
OKLA Defense1345% (15)39% (31) - - - - .05 (22)2.65 (11)47% (1)10% (59)1.06 (98)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Defense1348% (43)41% (46) - - - - .05 (20)2.77 (20)68% (38)8% (123)0.9 (28)
OKLA Offense1349% (73)48% (22)40.1182.24.632 (10).16 (62)3.11 (67)85% (3)8% (27)0.95 (95)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Offense1352% (44)41% (72)18.529.32458.413.223 (51)8 (30).42 (25)1.8 (11)37% (132)30% (76).26 (91)5% (44)2 (100)
OKLA Defense1354% (120)39% (36) - - - - - - 20 (2).2 (26)1.7 (114)36% (13)31% (86).33 (75)7% (41)2.3 (124)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Defense1350% (84)39% (35) - - - - - - 16 (9).28 (74)1.7 (116)34% (41)28% (35).23 (24)8% (9)2 (60)
OKLA Offense1351% (54)52% (6)23.834.8324.89.313.634 (9)9 (40).55 (6)1.6 (47)29% (27)38% (12).46 (27)5% (34)2.1 (39)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 4.48 #39
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Iowa State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Iowa State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 4.48   Oklahoma: 20.015

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 8.6   Oklahoma: 16.4




Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 20.015 #7
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 3.74 #19
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Oklahoma's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10
Oklahoma's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.7

Iowa State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oklahoma 34
Iowa State 20


Total Points: 54

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 41.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 51.7
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Oklahoma's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Oklahoma50Iowa State20OklahomaOklahoma -19.5Oklahoma48.5Over
202210/29Iowa State13Oklahoma27OklahomaOklahoma -1.5Oklahoma58.0Under
202111/20Oklahoma28Iowa State21OklahomaOklahoma -3Oklahoma59.0Under
202010/03Iowa State37Oklahoma30Iowa StateOklahoma -8Iowa State61.5Over
202012/19Iowa State21Oklahoma27OklahomaOklahoma -5.5Oklahoma59.5Under
201911/09Oklahoma42Iowa State41OklahomaOklahoma -14.5Iowa State69.0Over
201809/15Iowa State27Oklahoma37OklahomaOklahoma -18.5Iowa State54.5Over
201710/07Oklahoma31Iowa State38Iowa StateOklahoma -30.5Iowa State62.0Over
201611/03Iowa State24Oklahoma34OklahomaOklahoma -19.5Iowa State71.0Under
201511/07Oklahoma52Iowa State16OklahomaOklahoma -26Oklahoma57.0Over
201411/01Iowa State14Oklahoma59OklahomaOklahoma -16.5Oklahoma0
201311/16Oklahoma48Iowa State10OklahomaOklahoma -21Oklahoma0
201211/03Iowa State20Oklahoma35Oklahoma
201111/26Oklahoma26Iowa State6Oklahoma
201010/16Oklahoma52Iowa State0Oklahoma
200710/20Iowa State7Oklahoma17Oklahoma
200610/14Oklahoma34Iowa State9Oklahoma
200310/04Iowa State7Oklahoma53Oklahoma
200210/19Oklahoma49Iowa State3Oklahoma
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma1776 Overs
Iowa State254 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 97 - 54 - 23 - 3
Road Teams9 - 105 - 73 - 32 - 4

(#39) Iowa State Info
Power Rating: 4.48 #39
Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80


Iowa State has won 1 straight
Iowa State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Iowa State Highlights
Iowa State offense is explosive (#82)
Iowa State defense is really good in red zone (#50)
Iowa State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#78)
Iowa State Defensive Line is very good (#66)
Iowa State Secondary is very good (#38)
Iowa State has a great TO Margin (#82)
Iowa State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Iowa State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Iowa State Deficiencies
Iowa State offense is really bad (#56)
Iowa State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#68)
Iowa State run game is really bad (#94)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOKLAISU
OverallOver#20#43
OffenseOff#18#69
DefenseDef#33#30
Special TeamsST#21#32
PassingPass#6#27
RushingRush#30#55
Run BlockRBLK#75#99
Pass BlockPBLK#38#116
Route RunningWR Rt#9#25
TacklingTkl#58#75
Run DefenseR Def#26#21
Pass Rush DefPRush#47#95
Coverage DefCov#55#28

Rematch from Week 5
Oklahoma -19.5 (48.5)
Oklahoma won vs Iowa State this year (50-20)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma beat Iowa State in 2023 (50-20)
Oklahoma beat Iowa State in 2022 (27-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ISU | OKLA
Depth Chart: ISU | OKLA
Rosters: ISU | OKLA
(#7) Oklahoma Info
Power Rating: 20.015 #7
Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Defense Rating: 3.74 #19
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10


Oklahoma has won 4 straight
Oklahoma has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Oklahoma Highlights
Oklahoma is Undefeated at Home

Oklahoma offense is efficent (#36)
Oklahoma offense is good in red zone (#19)
Oklahoma offense is good on 3rd downs
Oklahoma defense is really good in red zone (#7)
Oklahoma Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#85)
Oklahoma Defensive Line is very good (#55)
Oklahoma defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Oklahoma Deficiencies
Oklahoma Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Oklahoma Commits a Lot of Penalties (#38)
Oklahoma does not Sack the QB (#47)
Oklahoma gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#111)


  
Iowa State's OC Nathan Scheelhaase
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht23136763%31202388.5
J.J. Kohl91182%23002.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Abu Sama III8461467.377
Eli Sanders10247744.729
Cartevious Norton8734333.949
Carson Hansen226703.012
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Higgins53983618.575
Jaylin Noel66820712.482
Benjamin Brahmer28352212.648
Daniel Jackson16260216.339

View Iowa State's Full Roster
Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Freyler1064105
Caleb Bacon607382
Myles Purchase5651014
Malik Verdon471004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.R. Singleton224480
Zach Lovett114360
Caleb Bacon607382
Trent Jones II193340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Purchase5651014
Jeremiah Cooper4520110
T.J. Tampa443017

Oklahoma's OC Jeff Lebby
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dillon Gabriel26638469%36603069.5
Jackson Arnold446964%563438.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Sawchuk12074496.264
Tawee Walker10251375.030
Dillon Gabriel93373124.044
Marcus Major7830813.919
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Drake Stoops849621011.560
Nic Anderson387981021.063
Jalil Farooq45694215.449
Andrel Anthony Jr.27429115.955

View Oklahoma's Full Roster
Oklahoma's DC Todd Bates
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Danny Stutsman8714213
Billy Bowman603003
Jaren Kanak586240
Kip Lewis574110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Downs267560
Marcus Stripling63310
Kendel Dolby495244
Danny Stutsman8714213
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Woodi Washington423017
Kendel Dolby495244
Peyton Bowen321114