Iowa State at Oklahoma - 2023 Matchup Preview

(#14)Iowa State Cyclones at Oklahoma Sooners(#7)

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma -19.5 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Oklahoma 50 - Iowa State: 20 (Big 12)

Cyclones (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (47 - 42)
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

OKLA is playing their 5th straight game
ISU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Oklahoma -13.5 (SP+ OKLA -8)
Projected Score: ISU: 18 - OKLA: 31 (49)
OKLA Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
ISU Travel: 513 miles

Sooners (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 42 - 24 (52 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 2.1 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ISU Players
OKLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Iowa State vs Northern Iowa	-7.0	40.5	W 30 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Iowa State vs Iowa	+3.5	35.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/16	Iowa State at Ohio	-1.5	42.0	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/23	Iowa State vs Oklahoma State	-3.5	36.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Iowa State at Oklahoma	+19.5	48.5	L 20 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/7	Iowa State vs TCU	+6.5	52.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Iowa State at Cincinnati	+4.0	42.5	W 30 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Iowa State at Baylor	-3.0	47.0	W 30 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Iowa State vs Kansas	-2.5	53.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/11	Iowa State at BYU	-7.5	40.5	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Iowa State vs Texas	+7.5	43.5	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/25	Iowa State at Kansas State	+9.5	46.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Iowa State vs Memphis	-10.5	58.0	L 26 - 36	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

Oklahoma's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oklahoma vs Arkansas State	-36.0	57.5	W 73 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Oklahoma vs SMU	-16.5	68.5	W 28 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oklahoma at Tulsa	-28.0	58.5	W 66 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Oklahoma at Cincinnati	-13.0	58.0	W 20 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Oklahoma vs Iowa State	-19.5	48.5	W 50 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Oklahoma vs Texas	+4.0	62.0	W 34 - 30	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Oklahoma vs UCF	-17.0	67.5	W 31 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/28	Oklahoma at Kansas	-7.0	66.5	L 33 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Oklahoma at Oklahoma State	-6.0	61.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	Oklahoma vs West Virginia	-13.5	59.5	W 59 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Oklahoma at BYU	-24.5	58.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/24	Oklahoma vs TCU	-12.5	66.5	W 69 - 45	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Oklahoma vs Arizona	+2.5	59.5	L 24 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	#57 (.21)	37% (119)	26.2	32% (132)	2.34 (133)	120	41% (72)	245	3.72 (83)	#32 (.13)	39% (36)	22.8	41% (46)	39% (35)	3.35 (27)	43.5	0.8	1.5
OKLA	#9 (.34)	50% (8)	41.7	48% (22)	3.11 (67)	182	52% (6)	325	4.56 (18)	#27 (.12)	39% (32)	23.5	39% (31)	39% (36)	3.36 (28)	58.2	1.5	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	#62 (.2)	40% (99)		40% (106)	2.83 (102)	150	41% (77)	236	4.23 (37)	#79 (.18)	43% (81)		46% (101)	38% (41)	3.44 (29)	25.9	1.1	1.5
OKLA	#123 (.06)	39% (113)		43% (85)	2.99 (81)	144	35% (122)	155	3.39 (112)	#12 (.07)	36% (5)		33% (2)	39% (55)	3.47 (34)	42	1.5	1.6

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Offense	13	26.2	29	36.8%	3.72	0.8	16	365	120	245	4.1	48%	52%	32%	41%	14%	.21
OKLA Defense	13	23.5	20.8	38.5%	3.36	2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	39%	39%	17%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Defense	13	22.8	22.7	39.2%	3.35	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	41%	39%	16%	.13
OKLA Offense	13	41.7	51.7	50.1%	4.56	1.5	25	507	182	325	4.6	49%	51%	48%	52%	13%	.34

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa State	13	29:09	16.3	39%	63%	4.8	43.5	0.8	1.5	4.8	1.6	1	30.2
Oklahoma	13	29:03	25.5	49%	68%	6.8	58.2	1.5	2	6.4	1.4	5	29.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Offense	13	48% (87)	32% (132)	29.4	119.9	4.1	16 (89)	.01 (126)	2.34 (133)	59% (130)	9% (44)	1.18 (5)
OKLA Defense	13	45% (15)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	.05 (22)	2.65 (11)	47% (1)	10% (59)	1.06 (98)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Defense	13	48% (43)	41% (46)	-	-	-	-	.05 (20)	2.77 (20)	68% (38)	8% (123)	0.9 (28)
OKLA Offense	13	49% (73)	48% (22)	40.1	182.2	4.6	32 (10)	.16 (62)	3.11 (67)	85% (3)	8% (27)	0.95 (95)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Offense	13	52% (44)	41% (72)	18.5	29.3	245	8.4	13.2	23 (51)	8 (30)	.42 (25)	1.8 (11)	37% (132)	30% (76)	.26 (91)	5% (44)	2 (100)
OKLA Defense	13	54% (120)	39% (36)	-	-	-	-	-	-	20 (2)	.2 (26)	1.7 (114)	36% (13)	31% (86)	.33 (75)	7% (41)	2.3 (124)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Defense	13	50% (84)	39% (35)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.28 (74)	1.7 (116)	34% (41)	28% (35)	.23 (24)	8% (9)	2 (60)
OKLA Offense	13	51% (54)	52% (6)	23.8	34.8	324.8	9.3	13.6	34 (9)	9 (40)	.55 (6)	1.6 (47)	29% (27)	38% (12)	.46 (27)	5% (34)	2.1 (39)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 4.48 #39
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Iowa State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Iowa State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 4.48 Oklahoma: 20.015

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 8.6 Oklahoma: 16.4

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 20.015 #7
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 3.74 #19
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Oklahoma's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10
Oklahoma's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.7

Iowa State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma 31
Iowa State 18

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Oklahoma 24
Iowa State 14

Total Points: 38

Based on Entire Season
Oklahoma 35
Iowa State 25

Total Points: 60

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 41.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 51.7
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Oklahoma's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	Oklahoma	50	Iowa State	20	Oklahoma -19.5	Oklahoma	48.5	Over
2022	10/29	Iowa State	13	Oklahoma	27	Oklahoma -1.5	Oklahoma	58.0	Under
2021	11/20	Oklahoma	28	Iowa State	21	Oklahoma -3	Oklahoma	59.0	Under
2020	10/03	Iowa State	37	Oklahoma	30	Oklahoma -8	Iowa State	61.5	Over
2020	12/19	Iowa State	21	Oklahoma	27	Oklahoma -5.5	Oklahoma	59.5	Under
2019	11/09	Oklahoma	42	Iowa State	41	Oklahoma -14.5	Iowa State	69.0	Over
2018	09/15	Iowa State	27	Oklahoma	37	Oklahoma -18.5	Iowa State	54.5	Over
2017	10/07	Oklahoma	31	Iowa State	38	Oklahoma -30.5	Iowa State	62.0	Over
2016	11/03	Iowa State	24	Oklahoma	34	Oklahoma -19.5	Iowa State	71.0	Under
2015	11/07	Oklahoma	52	Iowa State	16	Oklahoma -26	Oklahoma	57.0	Over
2014	11/01	Iowa State	14	Oklahoma	59	Oklahoma -16.5	Oklahoma	0
2013	11/16	Oklahoma	48	Iowa State	10	Oklahoma -21	Oklahoma	0
2012	11/03	Iowa State	20	Oklahoma	35
2011	11/26	Oklahoma	26	Iowa State	6
2010	10/16	Oklahoma	52	Iowa State	0
2007	10/20	Iowa State	7	Oklahoma	17
2006	10/14	Oklahoma	34	Iowa State	9
2003	10/04	Iowa State	7	Oklahoma	53
2002	10/19	Oklahoma	49	Iowa State	3

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma	17	7	6 Overs
Iowa State	2	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 9	7 - 5	4 - 2	3 - 3
Road Teams	9 - 10	5 - 7	3 - 3	2 - 4

(#39) ISU at (#7) OKLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ISU	OKLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#39	#7
SP+SP+	#34	#13
Perf GradeGrade	#54	#25
OffenseOff	#79	#20
DefenseDef	#36	#40
Spec TeamsST	#35	#21
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#59	#5

Iowa State Injury Report

Oklahoma Injury Report

Iowa State on Offense


CategoryCat	ISU Off	OKLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#79	#40
SuccessSuc	#119	#32
ExplosiveExp	#1	#124
PPAPPA	#57	#27
PowerPwr	#87	#19
SP+SP+	#70	#33
Pts POPPO	#83	#28
HavocHav	#35	#46

Iowa State Run Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	OKLA Def
Run GameRun	#78	#30
Run SuccessRSuc	#132	#31
Run ExplRExp	#5	#98
PPAExp	#126	#22
Run BlockR Blk	#131	-
OL YdsOLY	#133	#11
Stuff RateStuff	#133	#1
TackleTak	-	#67

Iowa State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	OKLA Def
Pass GamePass	#34	#70
Pass SuccessPSuc	#72	#36
Pass ExplPExl	#11	#114
PPAExp	#25	#26
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#133	#58
F7 HavocF7	#44	#59
DB HavocDB	#44	#41

Oklahoma on Offense


CategoryCat	OKLA Off	ISU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#20	#36
SuccessSuc	#8	#36
ExplosiveExp	#55	#88
PPAPPA	#9	#32
PowerPwr	#8	#23
SP+SP+	#7	#18
Pts POPPO	#18	#27
HavocHav	#18	#76

Oklahoma Run Game


CategoryCat	OKLA Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	#44	#24
Run SuccessRSuc	#22	#46
Run ExplRExp	#95	#28
PPAExp	#62	#20
Run BlockR Blk	#100	-
OL YdsOLY	#67	#20
Stuff RateStuff	#90	#20
TackleTak	-	#85

Oklahoma Pass Game


CategoryCat	OKLA Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	#7	#33
Pass SuccessPSuc	#6	#35
Pass ExplPExl	#47	#116
PPAExp	#6	#74
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#43	#128
F7 HavocF7	#27	#123
DB HavocDB	#34	#9

Program Comparison
OKLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'23 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 88° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Oklahoma -19.5 (48.5)
Oklahoma won vs Iowa State this year (50-20)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma beat Iowa State in 2023 (50-20)
Oklahoma beat Iowa State in 2022 (27-13)

ISU's OC Nathan Scheelhaase (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Rocco Becht	231	367	63%	3120	23	8	8.5
J.J. Kohl	9	11	82%	23	0	0	2.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Abu Sama III	84	614	6	7.3	77
Eli Sanders	102	477	4	4.7	29
Cartevious Norton	87	343	3	3.9	49
Carson Hansen	22	67	0	3.0	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Higgins	53	983	6	18.5	75
Jaylin Noel	66	820	7	12.4	82
Benjamin Brahmer	28	352	2	12.6	48
Daniel Jackson	16	260	2	16.3	39

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Beau Freyler	106	4	1	0	5
Caleb Bacon	60	7	3	8	2
Myles Purchase	56	5	1	0	14
Malik Verdon	47	1	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.R. Singleton	22	4	4	8	0
Zach Lovett	11	4	3	6	0
Caleb Bacon	60	7	3	8	2
Trent Jones II	19	3	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Purchase	56	5	1	0	14
Jeremiah Cooper	45	2	0	1	10
T.J. Tampa	44	3	0	1	7

OKLA's OC Jeff Lebby (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dillon Gabriel	266	384	69%	3660	30	6	9.5
Jackson Arnold	44	69	64%	563	4	3	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gavin Sawchuk	120	744	9	6.2	64
Tawee Walker	102	513	7	5.0	30
Dillon Gabriel	93	373	12	4.0	44
Marcus Major	78	308	1	3.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Drake Stoops	84	962	10	11.5	60
Nic Anderson	38	798	10	21.0	63
Jalil Farooq	45	694	2	15.4	49
Andrel Anthony Jr.	27	429	1	15.9	55

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

OKLA's DC Todd Bates (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Danny Stutsman	87	14	2	1	3
Billy Bowman	60	3	0	0	3
Jaren Kanak	58	6	2	4	0
Kip Lewis	57	4	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Downs	26	7	5	6	0
Marcus Stripling	6	3	3	1	0
Kendel Dolby	49	5	2	4	4
Danny Stutsman	87	14	2	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Woodi Washington	42	3	0	1	7
Kendel Dolby	49	5	2	4	4
Peyton Bowen	32	1	1	1	4