Iowa State at Ohio Game Matchup

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Iowa State -1.5 (42.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Ohio 10 - Iowa State: 7

Cyclones (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (47 - 42)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (25 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Iowa State -3.5 (SP+ ISU -11)
Projected Score: ISU: 24 - OHIO: 21 (51)
ISU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
ISU Travel: 632 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bobcats (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (16 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 18 (34 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 3.2 (#15)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ISU Players
OHIO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Iowa State vs Northern Iowa	-7.0	40.5	W 30 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Iowa State vs Iowa	+3.5	35.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/16	Iowa State at Ohio	-1.5	42.0	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/23	Iowa State vs Oklahoma State	-3.5	36.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Iowa State at Oklahoma	+19.5	48.5	L 20 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/7	Iowa State vs TCU	+6.5	52.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Iowa State at Cincinnati	+4.0	42.5	W 30 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Iowa State at Baylor	-3.0	47.0	W 30 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Iowa State vs Kansas	-2.5	53.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/11	Iowa State at BYU	-7.5	40.5	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Iowa State vs Texas	+7.5	43.5	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/25	Iowa State at Kansas State	+9.5	46.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Iowa State vs Memphis	-10.5	58.0	L 26 - 36	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

Ohio's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Ohio at San Diego State	+2.0	48.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/2	Ohio vs Long Island University	-34.5	58.0	W 27 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Ohio at Florida Atlantic	+3.5	61.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ohio vs Iowa State	+1.5	42.0	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Ohio at Bowling Green	-13.0	45.0	W 38 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Ohio vs Kent State	-24.5	45.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Ohio at Northern Illinois	-5.5	45.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/21	Ohio vs Western Michigan	-16.5	52.0	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/28	Ohio vs Miami (OH)	-7.5	39.0	L 16 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Ohio at Buffalo	-9.5	45.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Wed 11/15	Ohio vs Central Michigan	-11.5	48.5	W 34 - 20	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Ohio at Akron	-13.5	41.5	W 25 - 14	U	N
Sat 12/16	Ohio vs Georgia Southern	+1.5	48.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	.12	39%	31.1	37%	2.57	107	42%	262	3.51	.11	40%	22.9	39%	41%	3.26	45.7	1.8	1.8
OHIO	.23	44%	29.3	42%	2.94	143	47%	278	3.83	.22	43%	18.1	41%	46%	3.82	44.1	0.9	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OHIO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Offense	12	31.1	24.8	39.2%	3.51	1.8	20	369	107	262	3.3	41%	58%	37%	42%	15%	.12
OHIO Defense	14	18.1	13.8	43.4%	3.82	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	41%	46%	18%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Defense	12	22.9	15.8	39.8%	3.26	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	39%	41%	17%	.11
OHIO Offense	14	29.3	33.7	44.3%	3.83	0.9	21	422	143	278	4.1	49%	50%	42%	47%	15%	.23

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa State	12	32:07	20.4	42%	56%	5.6	45.7	1.8	1.8	5.3	1.5	0	27.5
Ohio	14	32:09	20.7	42%	35%	4.9	44.1	0.9	2.2	5.9	2.6	1	31.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Offense	12	41%	37%	32.8	107.2	3.3	10	-.02	2.57	60%	10%	0.81
OHIO Defense	14	43%	41%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.87	66%	12%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Defense	12	53%	39%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.86	70%	11%	0.75
OHIO Offense	14	49%	42%	35.2	143.4	4.1	23	.11	2.94	73%	10%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Offense	12	58%	42%	26.1	39.9	261.8	6.6	10	19	15	.26	1.5	34%	32%	.31	5%	1.9
OHIO Defense	14	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.33	1.5	33%	33%	.37	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Defense	12	45%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.24	1.4	31%	23%	.17	6%	1.9
OHIO Offense	14	50%	47%	21.6	33.1	278.1	8.4	12.9	28	5	.37	1.6	32%	34%	.42	5%	2

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 4.48 #39
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
2023 Talent Rating: 782.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Iowa State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Iowa State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 4.48 Ohio: 3.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 8.6 Ohio: -2.2

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 3.225 #42
Ohio's Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Ohio's Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
2023 Talent Rating: 388.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Ohio's 2023 Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20
Ohio's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.8

Iowa State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 24
Ohio 21

Projected Total Points: 51

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.8

Ohio's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Ohio	10	Iowa State	7	Ohio	Iowa State -1.5	Ohio	42.0	Under
2022	09/17	Iowa State	43	Ohio	10	Iowa State	Iowa State -20	Iowa State	48.0	Over
2003	09/06	Iowa State	48	Ohio	20	Iowa State
2001	09/22	Ohio	28	Iowa State	31	Iowa State
2000	09/01	Iowa State	25	Ohio	15	Iowa State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio	1	1	1 Overs
Iowa State	4	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 4	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#39) Iowa State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.48 #39
Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18
Talent Rating: 782.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80

Team Profile

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Iowa State Ratings Matchup Ohio

Power #39

#42

Off #87

#68

Def #23

Talent #32

#118

SP+ #34

#74

SP+ Off #70

#115

SP+ Def #18

#13

Rematch from Week 3
Iowa State 1.5 (42.0)
Ohio won vs Iowa State this year (10-7)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Iowa State in 2023 (10-7)
Iowa State beat Ohio in 2022 (43-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 76°

Team Information
Injuries: ISU | OHIO
Depth Chart: ISU | OHIO
Rosters: ISU | OHIO

(#42) Ohio Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.225 #42
Offense Rating: 16.43 #68
Defense Rating: -0.96 #5
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 #74
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #115
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #13
Talent Rating: 388.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 9.80 - 3.20

Team Profile

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Iowa State's OC Nathan Scheelhaase

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaylin Noel	0	2	0%	0	0	0	0.0
Ryan Millmore	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Sanders	147	1064	9	7.2	75
Cartevious Norton	129	525	7	4.1	62
Jaylin Noel	9	38	0	4.2	12
Stevo Klotz	2	22	0	11.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylin Noel	81	1194	8	14.7	75
Jayden Higgins	87	1183	9	13.6	39
Eli Sanders	15	134	0	8.9	31
Stevo Klotz	8	89	1	11.1	28

View Iowa State's Full Roster

Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Beau Freyler	84	3	0	0	4
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5
Blake Thompson	60	3	0	0	3
Joey Petersen	46	6	2	9	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jefferson Adam	26	7	5	0	0
J.R. Singleton	32	5	4	7	1
Joey Petersen	46	6	2	9	0
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Purchase	35	4	0	0	6
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5
Myles Norwood	38	2	0	0	5

Ohio's OC Scott Isphording

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kurtis Rourke	222	320	69%	3042	29	5	9.5
CJ Harris	19	31	61%	184	0	1	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rickey Hunt	76	393	2	5.2	59
CJ Harris	18	49	0	2.7	13
Kurtis Rourke	46	-35	2	-0.8	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacoby Jones	22	327	2	14.9	40
Miles Cross	27	324	4	12.0	34
Aramoni Rhone	15	235	2	15.7	52
Will Kacmarek	8	86	0	10.8	32

View Ohio's Full Roster

Ohio's DC Spence Nowinsky

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Roman Parodie	51	0	0	0	10
Keye Thompson	28	2	0	1	1
Torrie Cox Jr.	26	1	0	0	4
Chris Mayfield	9	3	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Mayfield	9	3	1	2	0
Xander Karagosian	2	1	1	0	0
Roman Parodie	51	0	0	0	10
Keye Thompson	28	2	0	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Roman Parodie	51	0	0	10
Torrie Cox Jr.	26	1	0	4
Keye Thompson	28	2	1	1