Kansas State at Texas - 2023 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo Kansas State Wildcats at Texas Longhorns(#8)Texas logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Texas -4 (49.5) (-180)  Open: -9.5
Texas 33 - Kansas State: 30  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (32 - 21)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (29 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TEX 2nd straight Home Game
KSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas -9.5   (SP+ TEX -9)

Projected Score: KSU: 22 - TEX: 31 (53)
TEX Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
KSU Travel: 620 miles
Longhorns (12 - 2) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (16 - 12)
Avg Score : 36 - 19 (39 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Kansas State vs Southeast Missouri State-28.556.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/9 Kansas State vs Troy-15.050.0W 42 - 13OY
Sat 9/16 Kansas State at Missouri-3.548.0L 27 - 30ON
Sat 9/23 Kansas State vs UCF-6.053.5W 44 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6 Kansas State at Oklahoma State-11.553.5L 21 - 29UN
Sat 10/14 Kansas State at Texas Tech+1.057.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Kansas State vs TCU-5.560.0W 41 - 3UY
Sat 10/28 Kansas State vs Houston-17.561.0W 41 - 0UY
Sat 11/4 Kansas State at Texas+4.049.5L 30 - 33OY
Sat 11/11 Kansas State vs Baylor-20.555.5W 59 - 25OY
Sat 11/18 Kansas State at Kansas-7.060.5W 31 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Kansas State vs Iowa State-9.546.0L 35 - 42ON
Thu 12/28 Kansas State vs NC State-3.048.5W 28 - 19UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas vs Rice-35.559.0W 37 - 10UN
Sat 9/9 Texas at Alabama+7.053.0W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/16 Texas vs Wyoming-31.048.5W 31 - 10UN
Sat 9/23 Texas at Baylor-17.549.5W 38 - 6UY
Sat 9/30 Texas vs Kansas-15.561.0W 40 - 14UY
Sat 10/7 Texas vs Oklahoma-4.062.0L 30 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Texas at Houston-24.060.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/28 Texas vs BYU-20.548.5W 35 - 6UY
Sat 11/4 Texas vs Kansas State-4.049.5W 33 - 30ON
Sat 11/11 Texas at TCU-13.056.0W 29 - 26UN
Sat 11/18 Texas at Iowa State-7.543.5W 26 - 16UY
Fri 11/24 Texas vs Texas Tech-16.553.5W 57 - 7OY
Sat 12/2 Texas vs Oklahoma State-14.055.0W 49 - 21OY
Mon 1/1 Texas vs Washington-3.061.5L 31 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#34 (.28)47% (18)37.150% (14)3.33 (28)20544% (46)2415.11 (1)#46 (.15)38% (24)2138% (29)39% (27)2.98 (12)43.70.91.8
TEX#33 (.28)45% (43)35.842% (81)3.19 (54)17648% (16)2663.84 (75)#15 (.1)36% (14)18.933% (5)38% (26)3.43 (38)47.51.11.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1337.129.447.3%5.110.924446205241553%47%50%44%12%.28
TEX Defense1418.912.835.9%3.431.6 - - - - - 41%58%33%38%19%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense13212837.8%2.981.8 - - - - - 46%52%38%39%17%.15
TEX Offense1435.838.844.7%3.841.1214421762664.949%51%42%48%14%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1331:5123.848%58%4.843.70.91.85.61.8130.4
Texas1429:3121.439%63%5.947.51.11.65.42.1531
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1353% (43)50% (14)40.8205.2532 (10).27 (13)3.33 (28)75% (60)6% (5)0.99 (75)
TEX Defense1441% (4)33% (5) - - - - -.06 (4)2.45 (5)54% (2)11% (37)0.79 (5)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1346% (23)38% (29) - - - - .14 (68)2.82 (25)61% (12)11% (47)1.24 (130)
TEX Offense1449% (80)42% (81)35.6175.64.926 (30).21 (35)3.19 (54)64% (121)8% (33)1.13 (14)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1347% (88)44% (46)19.832.8241.27.312.230 (16)10 (56).31 (60)1.6 (80)29% (17)35% (25).46 (31)6% (50)2.1 (50)
TEX Defense1458% (131)38% (26) - - - - - - 16 (9).24 (52)1.7 (92)36% (20)28% (31).27 (42)8% (15)2.1 (87)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1352% (107)39% (27) - - - - - - 13 (26).22 (38)1.7 (95)35% (24)27% (23).23 (32)7% (45)2.2 (101)
TEX Offense1451% (50)48% (16)20.930.9266.48.612.724 (41)9 (40).35 (38)1.5 (102)30% (32)34% (32).45 (32)5% (46)2.1 (52)

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 11.38 #16
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.70 #16
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 4.11 #22
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #61
Kansas State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
Kansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #8
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #39

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 11.38   Texas: 22.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 15.4   Texas: 24.6




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 22.735 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 37.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Kansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 31
Kansas State 22


Total Points: 53

Texas Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.8

Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Texas33Kansas State30TexasTexas -4Kansas State49.5Over
202211/05Kansas State27Texas34TexasTexas -3Texas54.5Over
202111/26Texas22Kansas State17TexasTexas -3Texas54.5Under
202012/05Kansas State31Texas69TexasTexas -7Texas53.5Over
201911/09Texas27Kansas State24TexasTexas -7.5Kansas State57.5Under
201809/29Kansas State14Texas19TexasTexas -8.5Kansas State48.5Under
201710/07Texas40Kansas State34TexasTexas -5.5Texas47.0Over
201610/22Kansas State24Texas21Kansas StateKansas State -3Push54.0Under
201510/24Texas23Kansas State9TexasTexas -3.5Texas46.5Under
201410/25Kansas State23Texas0Kansas StateKansas State -13Kansas State0
201309/21Texas31Kansas State21TexasTexas -7Texas0
201212/01Kansas State42Texas24Kansas State
201111/19Texas13Kansas State17Kansas State
201011/06Kansas State39Texas14Kansas State
200709/29Texas21Kansas State41Kansas State
200611/11Kansas State45Texas42Kansas State
200310/04Texas24Kansas State20Texas
200210/19Kansas State14Texas17Texas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas1164 Overs
Kansas State745 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 66 - 45 - 21 - 2
Road Teams6 - 124 - 62 - 12 - 5

(#16) Kansas State Info
Power Rating: 11.38 #16
Offense Rating: 23.70 #16
Defense Rating: 4.11 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #8
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #39
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #61
Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80


Kansas State has won 3 straight
Kansas State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Kansas State Highlights
Kansas State has Really Good Running Game (#77)
Kansas State offense is efficent (#82)
Kansas State has a top Offensive Line (#78)
Kansas State offense is good in red zone (#76)
Kansas State offense is good on 3rd downs
Kansas State has a really good defense (#53)
Kansas State defense is really good in red zone (#106)
Kansas State has a good run defense (#48)
Kansas State has a good pass defense (#54)
Kansas State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#65)
Kansas State Defensive Line is very good (#23)
Kansas State has a great TO Margin (#107)
Kansas State commits very few Penalties (#30)
Kansas State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Kansas State Deficiencies
Kansas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#100)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTEXKSU
OverallOver#8#26
OffenseOff#15#21
DefenseDef#13#55
Special TeamsST#4#55
PassingPass#19#47
RushingRush#17#11
Run BlockRBLK#44#18
Pass BlockPBLK#3#33
Route RunningWR Rt#12#30
TacklingTkl#68#105
Run DefenseR Def#5#81
Pass Rush DefPRush#15#85
Coverage DefCov#49#35

Rematch from Week 10
Texas -4.0 (49.5)
Texas won vs Kansas State this year (33-30)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Kansas State in 2023 (33-30)
Texas beat Kansas State in 2022 (34-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KSU | TEX
Depth Chart: KSU | TEX
Rosters: KSU | TEX
(#11) Texas Info
Power Rating: 22.735 #11
Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40


Texas has won 2 straight
Texas has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas Highlights
Texas is Undefeated at Home

Texas has Really Good Running Game (#47)
Texas has a really good defense (#25)
Texas has a good run defense (#38)
Texas has a good pass defense (#24)
Texas Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#31)
Texas Defensive Line is very good (#16)
Texas Secondary is very good (#26)
Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Texas Deficiencies


  
Kansas State's OC Collin Klein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Howard21935861%264324107.4
Avery Johnson376656%479507.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Giddens2231226105.543
Treshaun Ward (Tr)12565155.252
Will Howard8036494.670
Avery Johnson5128875.630
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ben Sinnott49676613.844
Phillip Brooks III53589511.140
Jayce Brown27437316.246
DJ Giddens29323311.161

View Kansas State's Full Roster
Kansas State's DC Joe Klanderman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Sigle (Tr)633019
Austin Moore6313210
Kobe Savage574020
VJ Payne573003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalid Duke198620
Nate Matlack158421
Jevon Banks (Tr)92210
Cody Stufflebean193200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Sigle (Tr)633019
Jacob Parrish443109
Will Lee III422006

Texas's OC Kyle Flood
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Quinn Ewers27239469%34792268.8
Maalik Murphy407156%477336.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonathon Brooks1871139106.167
CJ Baxter Jr.13865954.854
Jaydon Blue6539836.169
Keilan Robinson12134311.257
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Worthy751014513.554
Adonai Mitchell (Tr)558451115.462
Ja'Tavion Sanders45682215.250
Jordan Whittington42505112.041

View Texas's Full Roster
Texas's DC Jeff Choate
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylan Ford9611162
Anthony Hill Jr.668532
Jahdae Barron554005
Michael Taaffe453012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hill Jr.668532
Ethan Burke399520
Byron Murphy II268560
Barryn Sorrell3443110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jerrin Thompson371007
Terrance Brooks200005
Jahdae Barron554005