Troy at Kansas State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kansas State -15 (50.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Kansas State 42 - Troy: 13

Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (13 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (23 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#13)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

KSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Kansas State -8 (SP+ KSU -5)
Projected Score: TROY: 22 - KSU: 30 (55)
KSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
TROY Travel: 786 miles

Wildcats (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (32 - 21)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (33 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TROY Players
KSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Troy's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Troy vs Stephen F. Austin	-26.0	48.0	W 48 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/9	Troy at Kansas State	+15.0	50.0	L 13 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/16	Troy vs James Madison	-2.5	46.5	L 14 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/23	Troy vs Western Kentucky	-3.5	57.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Troy at Georgia State	+1.0	50.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Troy vs Arkansas State	-15.5	52.0	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Troy at Army	-6.5	41.5	W 19 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Troy at Texas State	-6.5	53.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Thu 11/2	Troy vs South Alabama	-5.5	44.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Troy at UL Monroe	-23.5	47.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Troy vs Louisiana	-17.5	47.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/25	Troy at Southern Miss	-16.5	48.5	W 35 - 17	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Troy vs App State	-6.5	51.5	W 49 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/23	Troy vs Duke	-7.0	44.0	L 10 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule

Kansas State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Kansas State vs Southeast Missouri State	-28.5	56.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Kansas State vs Troy	-15.0	50.0	W 42 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Kansas State at Missouri	-3.5	48.0	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/23	Kansas State vs UCF	-6.0	53.5	W 44 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6	Kansas State at Oklahoma State	-11.5	53.5	L 21 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/14	Kansas State at Texas Tech	+1.0	57.0	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Kansas State vs TCU	-5.5	60.0	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Kansas State vs Houston	-17.5	61.0	W 41 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Kansas State at Texas	+4.0	49.5	L 30 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Kansas State vs Baylor	-20.5	55.5	W 59 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Kansas State at Kansas	-7.0	60.5	W 31 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/25	Kansas State vs Iowa State	-9.5	46.0	L 35 - 42	O	N
Thu 12/28	Kansas State vs NC State	-3.0	48.5	W 28 - 19	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY	.15	40%	26	40%	2.93	116	41%	243	3.45	.08	40%	28.4	42%	38%	3.04	49.9	1.5	2.1
KSU	.25	43%	30.8	44%	3.19	208	42%	211	4.18	.14	39%	23.4	42%	38%	3.58	42.9	0.9	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Offense	14	26	22.7	39.7%	3.45	1.5	20	359	116	243	3.3	49%	49%	40%	41%	16%	.15
KSU Defense	14	23.4	16.5	39.3%	3.58	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	42%	38%	15%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TROY Defense	14	28.4	34.3	39.7%	3.04	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	38%	16%	.08
KSU Offense	14	30.8	33	43%	4.18	0.9	20	419	208	211	5.1	57%	43%	44%	42%	12%	.25

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Troy	14	30:25	19.5	32%	67%	5.4	49.9	1.5	2.1	5.6	2.9	1	29.7
Kansas State	14	31:43	20.1	39%	59%	5.3	42.9	0.9	2.1	4.9	2.1	3	31.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Offense	14	49%	40%	35.5	116.1	3.3	21	.07	2.93	73%	11%	0.93
KSU Defense	14	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.21	60%	9%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TROY Defense	14	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.09	72%	10%	0.89
KSU Offense	14	57%	44%	40.6	208.3	5.1	32	.21	3.19	66%	8%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Offense	14	49%	41%	17.9	28.6	242.6	8.5	13.5	20	15	.29	1.7	31%	29%	.2	5%	1.9
KSU Defense	14	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.23	1.7	32%	27%	.15	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TROY Defense	14	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.1	1.4	32%	26%	.16	6%	2.1
KSU Offense	14	43%	42%	17.3	27.7	210.5	7.6	12.2	21	6	.29	1.7	30%	34%	.51	4%	2.2

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 5.08 #35
Troy's Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Troy's Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
2023 Talent Rating: 344.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Troy's 2023 Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00
Troy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy: 5.08 Kansas State: 15.89

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 10.4 Kansas State: 15.4

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 15.89 #16
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.70 #16
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 4.11 #22
2023 Talent Rating: 710.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #61
Kansas State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
Kansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #8
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #39

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Troy Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.3

Troy's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas State 30
Troy 22

Projected Total Points: 55

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.5

Kansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Kansas State	42	Troy	13	Kansas State	Kansas State -15	Kansas State	50.0	Over
2003	08/30	Kansas State	41	Troy	5	Kansas State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kansas State	2	1	1 Overs
Troy	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#35) Troy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.08 #35
Offense Rating: 16.62 #64
Defense Rating: 1.67 #14
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #34
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 344.00 #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 10.00 - 4.00

Team Profile

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Troy Ratings Matchup Kansas State

Power #35

#16

Off #64

#16

Def #14

#22

Talent #123

#44

SP+ #26

#15

SP+ Off #34

SP+ Def #26

#39

Rematch from Week 2
Kansas State -15.0 (50.0)
Kansas State won vs Troy this year (42-13)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Troy in 2023 (42-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 84°

Team Information
Injuries: TROY | KSU
Depth Chart: TROY | KSU
Rosters: TROY | KSU

(#16) Kansas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.89 #16
Offense Rating: 23.70 #16
Defense Rating: 4.11 #22
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #8
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #39
Talent Rating: 710.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #61
Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80

Team Profile

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Troy's OC Joe Craddock

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JD Sherrod	2	7	29%	18	0	0	2.6
Landon Parker (Tr)	1	3	33%	29	0	0	9.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
JD Sherrod	13	67	0	5.2	30
Jabre Barber	8	26	0	3.3	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jabre Barber	38	381	2	10.0	58
Landon Parker (Tr)	27	350	0	13.0	33

View Troy's Full Roster

Troy's DC Greg Gasparato

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jayden McDonald	125	10	4	8	3
Keyshawn Swanson	63	2	0	0	2
Damaje Yancey	49	4	2	0	8
Jack Tchienchou	47	1	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
T.J. Jackson	40	14	7	1	0
Jayden McDonald	125	10	4	8	3
Damaje Yancey	49	4	2	0	8
Caleb Ransaw	31	3	1	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Damaje Yancey	49	4	2	0	8
Jayden McDonald	125	10	4	8	3
Keyshawn Swanson	63	2	0	0	2

Kansas State's OC Collin Klein

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Will Howard	309	423	73%	4010	35	10	9.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DJ Giddens	205	1343	7	6.6	66
Shane Porter	97	648	5	6.7	79
Treshaun Ward (Tr)	77	406	2	5.3	36
Will Howard	105	226	7	2.2	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Treshaun Ward (Tr)	15	268	4	17.9	59
DJ Giddens	21	258	1	12.3	53
Jadon Jackson	15	207	1	13.8	60
Shane Porter	16	91	0	5.7	13

View Kansas State's Full Roster

Kansas State's DC Joe Klanderman

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marques Sigle (Tr)	60	7	0	0	3
Austin Moore	59	7	2	6	1
Kobe Savage	57	3	0	0	1
Jacob Parrish	50	3	0	4	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brendan Mott	45	11	8	5	0
Nate Matlack	23	7	5	8	3
Jevon Banks (Tr)	21	5	2	4	2
Austin Moore	59	7	2	6	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Will Lee III	42	1	0	10
Jacob Parrish	50	3	4	7
Keenan Garber	29	1	0	5