Oklahoma State at Iowa State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Oklahoma State logo Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones(#12)Iowa State logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Iowa State -3.5 (36.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Iowa State 34 - Oklahoma State: 27  (Big 12)

 
Cowboys (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (158 - 76)
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (30 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 8.4 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ISU is playing their 4th straight game
OKST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Iowa State -6.5   (SP+ ISU -3)

Projected Score: OKST: 19 - ISU: 26 (45)
ISU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
OKST Travel: 446 miles
Cyclones (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (47 - 42)
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (24 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oklahoma State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Oklahoma State vs Central Arkansas-25.559.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/9 Oklahoma State at Arizona State-2.553.5W 27 - 15UY
Sat 9/16 Oklahoma State vs South Alabama-7.049.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 9/23 Oklahoma State at Iowa State+3.536.0L 27 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State+11.553.5W 29 - 21UY
Sat 10/14 Oklahoma State vs Kansas+3.054.0W 39 - 32OY
Sat 10/21 Oklahoma State at West Virginia+3.048.0W 48 - 34OY
Sat 10/28 Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati-7.053.0W 45 - 13OY
Sat 11/4 Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma+6.061.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Oklahoma State at UCF-2.563.5L 3 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 Oklahoma State at Houston-6.556.5W 43 - 30OY
Sat 11/25 Oklahoma State vs BYU-15.555.5W 40 - 34ON
Sat 12/2 Oklahoma State vs Texas+14.055.0L 21 - 49ON
Wed 12/27 Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M-4.056.0W 31 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Iowa State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Iowa State vs Northern Iowa-7.040.5W 30 - 9UY
Sat 9/9 Iowa State vs Iowa+3.535.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/16 Iowa State at Ohio-1.542.0L 7 - 10UN
Sat 9/23 Iowa State vs Oklahoma State-3.536.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Iowa State at Oklahoma+19.548.5L 20 - 50ON
Sat 10/7 Iowa State vs TCU+6.552.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 10/14 Iowa State at Cincinnati+4.042.5W 30 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Iowa State at Baylor-3.047.0W 30 - 18OY
Sat 11/4 Iowa State vs Kansas-2.553.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/11 Iowa State at BYU-7.540.5W 45 - 13OY
Sat 11/18 Iowa State vs Texas+7.543.5L 16 - 26UN
Sat 11/25 Iowa State at Kansas State+9.546.0W 42 - 35OY
Fri 12/29 Iowa State vs Memphis-10.558.0L 26 - 36ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST#69 (.19)43% (53)29.642% (78)2.84 (115)15545% (33)2773.92 (63)#116 (.26)40% (43)28.639% (33)42% (71)4.22 (107)41.41.61.6
ISU#57 (.21)37% (119)26.232% (132)2.34 (133)12041% (72)2453.72 (83)#32 (.13)39% (36)22.841% (46)39% (35)3.35 (27)43.50.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)43% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)47% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)40% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)46% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Offense1429.629.643.3%3.921.6224321552774.842%57%42%45%14%.19
ISU Defense1322.822.939.2%3.351.5 - - - - - 48%50%41%39%16%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OKST Defense1428.631.640.1%4.221.6 - - - - - 50%50%39%42%15%.26
ISU Offense1326.223.936.8%3.720.8163651202454.148%52%32%41%14%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oklahoma State1429:5621.638%55%541.41.61.65.71.8130.3
Iowa State1329:0916.339%63%4.843.50.81.54.81.6130.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Offense1442% (118)42% (78)32.1155.24.829 (22).14 (78)2.84 (115)65% (120)7% (9)1.1 (22)
ISU Defense1348% (43)41% (46) - - - - .05 (20)2.77 (20)68% (38)8% (123)0.9 (28)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OKST Defense1450% (63)39% (33) - - - - .15 (74)3 (49)76% (87)11% (48)1.17 (123)
ISU Offense1348% (87)32% (132)29.4119.94.116 (89).01 (126)2.34 (133)59% (130)9% (44)1.18 (5)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Offense1457% (15)45% (33)24.640.7276.56.811.318 (81)16 (121).27 (71)1.5 (113)31% (55)34% (36).34 (66)7% (101)1.9 (114)
ISU Defense1350% (84)39% (35) - - - - - - 16 (9).28 (74)1.7 (116)34% (41)28% (35).23 (24)8% (9)2 (60)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OKST Defense1450% (74)42% (71) - - - - - - 12 (37).4 (119)1.9 (131)36% (11)28% (32).29 (52)4% (127)2.3 (122)
ISU Offense1352% (44)41% (72)18.529.32458.413.223 (51)8 (30).42 (25)1.8 (11)37% (132)30% (76).26 (91)5% (44)2 (100)

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: -0.67 #67
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Oklahoma State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40
Oklahoma State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: -0.67   Iowa State: 9.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: 5.9   Iowa State: 8.6




Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 9.04 #39
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Iowa State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Iowa State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.6

Oklahoma State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 26
Oklahoma State 19


Total Points: 45

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.9

Iowa State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Iowa State34Oklahoma State27Iowa StateIowa State -3.5Iowa State36.0Over
202211/12Oklahoma State20Iowa State14Oklahoma StateIowa State -2.5Oklahoma State47.5Under
202110/23Iowa State24Oklahoma State21Iowa StateIowa State -7.5Oklahoma State47.0Under
202010/24Oklahoma State24Iowa State21Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -3.0Push54.0Under
201910/26Iowa State27Oklahoma State34Oklahoma StateIowa State -11.5Oklahoma State64.5Under
201810/06Oklahoma State42Iowa State48Iowa StateOklahoma State -10Iowa State55.0Over
201711/11Iowa State42Oklahoma State49Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -7.5Iowa State61.0Over
201610/08Oklahoma State38Iowa State31Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -16.5Iowa State68.5Over
201511/14Iowa State31Oklahoma State35Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -13.5Iowa State56.5Over
201410/04Oklahoma State37Iowa State20Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -17Push0
201310/26Iowa State27Oklahoma State58Oklahoma StateOklahoma State -14Oklahoma State0
201210/20Oklahoma State31Iowa State10Oklahoma State
201111/18Iowa State37Oklahoma State31Iowa State
200911/07Iowa State8Oklahoma State34Oklahoma State
200811/01Oklahoma State59Iowa State17Oklahoma State
200510/22Iowa State37Oklahoma State10Iowa State
200410/02Oklahoma State36Iowa State7Oklahoma State
200110/20Iowa State28Oklahoma State14Iowa State
200010/13Oklahoma State26Iowa State33Iowa State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa State755 Overs
Oklahoma State1244 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 74 - 51 - 43 - 1
Road Teams7 - 125 - 41 - 34 - 1

(#67) Oklahoma State Info
Power Rating: -0.67 #67
Offense Rating: 14.94 #82
Defense Rating: 10.18 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #31
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40


Oklahoma State has lost 1 straight
Oklahoma State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Oklahoma State Highlights

Oklahoma State Deficiencies
Oklahoma State has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Oklahoma State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Oklahoma State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#97)
Oklahoma State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#125)
Oklahoma State has a bad red zone defense (#112)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatISUOKST
OverallOver#43#48
OffenseOff#69#39
DefenseDef#30#75
Special TeamsST#32#16
PassingPass#27#40
RushingRush#55#23
Run BlockRBLK#99#78
Pass BlockPBLK#116#31
Route RunningWR Rt#25#34
TacklingTkl#75#69
Run DefenseR Def#21#73
Pass Rush DefPRush#95#49
Coverage DefCov#28#86

Rematch from Week 4
Iowa State -3.5 (36.0)
Iowa State won vs Oklahoma State this year (34-27)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Oklahoma State in 2023 (34-27)
Oklahoma State beat Iowa State in 2022 (20-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: OKST | ISU
Depth Chart: OKST | ISU
Rosters: OKST | ISU
(#39) Iowa State Info
Power Rating: 9.04 #39
Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80


Iowa State has lost 2 straight
Iowa State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Iowa State Highlights
Iowa State offense is explosive (#82)
Iowa State defense is really good in red zone (#50)
Iowa State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#78)
Iowa State Defensive Line is very good (#66)
Iowa State Secondary is very good (#38)
Iowa State has a great TO Margin (#82)
Iowa State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Iowa State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Iowa State Deficiencies
Iowa State offense is really bad (#56)
Iowa State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#68)
Iowa State run game is really bad (#94)


  
Oklahoma State's OC Kasey Dunn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alan Bowman (Tr)30450161%346015146.9
Gunnar Gundy213462%202105.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ollie Gordon2851731216.175
Jaden Nixon5019713.934
Elijah Collins (Tr)3014224.726
Gunnar Gundy154913.321
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brennan Presley10098869.929
Rashod Owens63895514.245
Leon Johnson III (Tr)33539116.367
Jaden Bray30382212.745

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster
Oklahoma State's DC Jim Bob Clements
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nickolas Martin14016680
Kendal Daniels1056201
Trey Rucker1004001
Collin Oliver7316695
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nickolas Martin14016680
Collin Oliver7316695
Anthony Goodlow (Tr)427310
Nathan Latu315330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Oliver7316695
Dylahn McKinney380005
Korie Black171005

Iowa State's OC Nathan Scheelhaase
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht23136763%31202388.5
J.J. Kohl91182%23002.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Abu Sama III8461467.377
Eli Sanders10247744.729
Cartevious Norton8734333.949
Carson Hansen226703.012
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Higgins53983618.575
Jaylin Noel66820712.482
Benjamin Brahmer28352212.648
Daniel Jackson16260216.339

View Iowa State's Full Roster
Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Freyler1064105
Caleb Bacon607382
Myles Purchase5651014
Malik Verdon471004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.R. Singleton224480
Zach Lovett114360
Caleb Bacon607382
Trent Jones II193340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Purchase5651014
Jeremiah Cooper4520110
T.J. Tampa443017