Kansas State at Kansas - 2023 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo   Kansas State Wildcats at Kansas Jayhawks  Kansas logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Kansas State -7.0 (60.5) (-350)  Open: -6.0 | 55.5
Kansas State 31 - Kansas: 27  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (32 - 21)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
KU 2nd straight Home Game
KU is playing their 4th straight game
KSU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Kansas State -2.5  (SP+ KSU -6)

Projected Score: KSU: 30 - KU: 28 (58)
KSU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
KSU Travel: 74 miles
Jayhawks (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (33 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Kansas State vs Southeast Missouri State-28.556.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/9 Kansas State vs Troy-15.050.0W 42 - 13OY
Sat 9/16 Kansas State at Missouri-3.548.0L 27 - 30ON
Sat 9/23 Kansas State vs UCF-6.053.5W 44 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6 Kansas State at Oklahoma State-11.553.5L 21 - 29UN
Sat 10/14 Kansas State at Texas Tech+1.057.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Kansas State vs TCU-5.560.0W 41 - 3UY
Sat 10/28 Kansas State vs Houston-17.561.0W 41 - 0UY
Sat 11/4 Kansas State at Texas+4.049.5L 30 - 33OY
Sat 11/11 Kansas State vs Baylor-20.555.5W 59 - 25OY
Sat 11/18 Kansas State at Kansas-7.060.5W 31 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Kansas State vs Iowa State-9.546.0L 35 - 42ON
Thu 12/28 Kansas State vs NC State-3.048.5W 28 - 19UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Kansas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Kansas vs Missouri State-32.560.5W 48 - 17ON
Fri 9/8 Kansas vs Illinois-3.557.5W 34 - 23UY
Sat 9/16 Kansas at Nevada-28.558.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 9/23 Kansas vs BYU-9.055.5W 38 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Kansas at Texas+15.561.0L 14 - 40UN
Sat 10/7 Kansas vs UCF+2.065.0W 51 - 22OY
Sat 10/14 Kansas at Oklahoma State-3.054.0L 32 - 39ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Kansas vs Oklahoma+7.066.5W 38 - 33OY
Sat 11/4 Kansas at Iowa State+2.553.0W 28 - 21UY
Sat 11/11 Kansas vs Texas Tech-3.561.5L 13 - 16UN
Sat 11/18 Kansas vs Kansas State+7.060.5L 27 - 31UY
Sat 11/25 Kansas at Cincinnati-7.559.5W 49 - 16OY
Tue 12/26 Kansas vs UNLV-8.064.5W 49 - 36OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU.2543%29.444%3.1920842%2114.18.1439%26.742%38%3.5842.90.92.1
KU.3445%28.142%3.1818449%2544.46.2847%26.850%45%4.0146.51.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1429.430.843%4.180.9204192082115.157%43%44%42%12%.25
KU Defense1326.822.147.4%4.011.8 - - - - - 54%45%50%45%12%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense1426.726.439.3%3.582.1 - - - - - 48%50%42%38%15%.14
KU Offense1328.132.644.8%4.461.5204381842545.452%48%42%49%13%.34

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1431:4320.139%59%5.342.90.92.14.92.1331.3
Kansas1328:5020.351%47%5.346.51.51.84.41.8129.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1457%44%40.6208.35.132.213.1966%8%1.1
KU Defense1354%50% - - - - .283.4977%7%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1448%42% - - - - .143.2160%9%0.95
KU Offense1352%42%34.3183.55.429.23.1874%8%1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1443%42%17.327.7210.57.612.2216.291.730%34%.514%2.2
KU Defense1345%45% - - - - - - 12.351.529%37%.475%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1450%38% - - - - - - 16.231.732%27%.156%2
KU Offense1348%49%18.628.5254.48.913.7328.531.831%39%.65%2.1

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 11.38  #16
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.70  #16
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 4.11  #22
2023 Talent Rating: 616.00  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 5%  #61
Kansas State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
Kansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4  #15
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #8
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #39

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 11.38   Kansas: 11.025

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 15.4   Kansas: 9.3




Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 11.025  #27
Kansas's Offense Rating: 26.78  #8
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.15  #98
2023 Talent Rating: 632.68  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #69
Kansas's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
Kansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3  #31
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #22
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Kansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 30
Kansas 28


Projected Total Points: 58
Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Kansas's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Kansas17Kansas State42Kansas -3.5Kansas State55.5Over
202410/26Kansas State29Kansas27Kansas State -10Kansas56.5Under
202311/18Kansas27Kansas State31Kansas State -7.0Kansas60.5Under
202211/26Kansas State47Kansas27Kansas State -11.5Kansas State62.0Over
202111/06Kansas10Kansas State35Kansas State -24Kansas State56.0Under
202010/24Kansas State55Kansas14Kansas State -19.5Kansas State46.0Over
201911/02Kansas10Kansas State38Kansas State -4.5Kansas State54.0Under
201811/10Kansas State21Kansas17Kansas State -9Kansas45.5Under
201710/28Kansas20Kansas State30Kansas State -24.5Kansas55.0Under
201611/26Kansas State34Kansas19Kansas State -24.5Kansas51.0Over
201511/28Kansas14Kansas State45Kansas State -21.5Kansas State53.5Over
201411/29Kansas State51Kansas13Kansas State -28.5Kansas State0
201311/30Kansas10Kansas State31Kansas State -16.5Kansas State0
201210/06Kansas State56Kansas16
201110/22Kansas21Kansas State59
201010/14Kansas7Kansas State59
200911/07Kansas State17Kansas10
200811/01Kansas52Kansas State21
200710/06Kansas State24Kansas30
200611/18Kansas39Kansas State20
200510/08Kansas State12Kansas3
200410/09Kansas31Kansas State28
200310/25Kansas State42Kansas6
200211/02Kansas0Kansas State64
200110/27Kansas State40Kansas6
200010/06Kansas13Kansas State52
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas455 Overs
Kansas State2286 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 125 - 83 - 42 - 4
Road Teams12 - 148 - 54 - 24 - 3

(#16) KSU at (#27) KU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKSUKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #16 #27
SP+SP+ #15 #31
Perf GradeGrade #32 #16
OffenseOff #23 #9
DefenseDef #68 #54
Spec TeamsST #69 #10
TalentTal #68 #62
Blue ChipsBC% #61 #69
Kansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
KSU OffKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #23 #54
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #16 #98
SP+SP+ #8 #58
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
KSU OffKU Def
Run GameRun #15 #80
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #82
Kansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
KSU OffKU Def
Pass GamePass #61 #28
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #37 #89
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kansas on Offense
CategoryCatKU OffKSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #9 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #8 #22
SP+SP+ #22 #39
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kansas Run Game
CategoryCat
KU OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #48 #95
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #24 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #123
Kansas Pass Game
CategoryCatKU OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #20 #42
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #21 #114
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
KU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average P4

KSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Kansas State 7.0 (60.5)
Kansas State won at Kansas this year (31-27)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Kansas last year (42-17)
Kansas State beat Kansas in 2024 (29-27)
Kansas State beat Kansas in 2023 (31-27)

  
KSU's OC Collin Klein (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Howard21935861%264324107.4
Avery Johnson376656%479507.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Giddens2231226105.543
Treshaun Ward (Tr)12565155.252
Will Howard8036494.670
Avery Johnson5128875.630
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ben Sinnott49676613.844
Phillip Brooks III53589511.140
Jayce Brown27437316.246
DJ Giddens29323311.161

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Sigle (Tr)633019
Austin Moore6313210
Kobe Savage574020
VJ Payne573003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalid Duke198620
Nate Matlack158421
Jevon Banks (Tr)92210
Cody Stufflebean193200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Sigle (Tr)633019
Jacob Parrish443109
Will Lee III422006

KU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jason Bean12419962%213018710.7
Jalon Daniels567575%705519.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Neal2031280166.375
Daniel Hishaw Jr.12162685.229
Jason Bean4728236.050
Dylan McDuffie (Tr)4525345.636
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lawrence Arnold44782617.880
Quentin Skinner29587220.249
Luke Grimm33555616.860
Mason Fairchild27451316.759

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenny Logan Jr.865006
Austin Booker (Tr)5512801
JB Brown (Tr)545212
Rich Miller523202
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Booker (Tr)5512801
Jereme Robinson236556
JB Brown (Tr)545212
Rich Miller523202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ra'Mello Dotson341118
Kenny Logan Jr.865006
Jereme Robinson236556