Iowa at Iowa State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Iowa logo Iowa Hawkeyes at Iowa State Cyclones(#16)Iowa State logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Iowa -3.5 (35.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Iowa 20 - Iowa State: 13

 
Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (189 - 115)
Avg Score : 15 - 15 (12 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 7.4 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ISU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Iowa State -5   (SP+ ISU -1)

Projected Score: IOWA: 16 - ISU: 21 (37)
IOWA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
IOWA Travel: 110 miles
Cyclones (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (47 - 42)
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (24 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Iowa's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Iowa vs Utah State-24.043.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 9/9 Iowa at Iowa State-3.535.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 9/16 Iowa vs Western Michigan-28.543.5W 41 - 10OY
Sat 9/23 Iowa at Penn State+14.038.5L 0 - 31UN
Sat 9/30 Iowa vs Michigan State-10.036.5W 26 - 16ON
Sat 10/7 Iowa vs Purdue-2.538.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 10/14 Iowa at Wisconsin+8.033.5W 15 - 6UY
Sat 10/21 Iowa vs Minnesota-3.030.5L 10 - 12UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Iowa vs Northwestern-4.530.5W 10 - 7UN
Sat 11/11 Iowa vs Rutgers+2.527.5W 22 - 0UY
Sat 11/18 Iowa vs Illinois-2.533.5W 15 - 13UN
Fri 11/24 Iowa at Nebraska+3.025.5W 13 - 10UY
Sat 12/2 Iowa vs Michigan+23.535.0L 0 - 26UN
Mon 1/1 Iowa vs Tennessee+4.537.0L 0 - 35UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Iowa State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Iowa State vs Northern Iowa-7.040.5W 30 - 9UY
Sat 9/9 Iowa State vs Iowa+3.535.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/16 Iowa State at Ohio-1.542.0L 7 - 10UN
Sat 9/23 Iowa State vs Oklahoma State-3.536.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Iowa State at Oklahoma+19.548.5L 20 - 50ON
Sat 10/7 Iowa State vs TCU+6.552.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 10/14 Iowa State at Cincinnati+4.042.5W 30 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Iowa State at Baylor-3.047.0W 30 - 18OY
Sat 11/4 Iowa State vs Kansas-2.553.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/11 Iowa State at BYU-7.540.5W 45 - 13OY
Sat 11/18 Iowa State vs Texas+7.543.5L 16 - 26UN
Sat 11/25 Iowa State at Kansas State+9.546.0W 42 - 35OY
Fri 12/29 Iowa State vs Memphis-10.558.0L 26 - 36ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA#133 (-.04)33% (133)15.433% (131)2.47 (132)10934% (124)1142.86 (126)#2 (-.01)34% (5)14.835% (11)34% (6)2.65 (4)281.41.1
ISU#57 (.21)37% (119)26.232% (132)2.34 (133)12041% (72)2453.72 (83)#32 (.13)39% (36)22.841% (46)39% (35)3.35 (27)43.50.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)44% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)46% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)40% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)46% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Offense1415.41232.9%2.861.4122231091143.456%43%33%34%19%-.04
ISU Defense1322.822.939.2%3.351.5 - - - - - 48%50%41%39%16%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Defense1414.81534.2%2.651.1 - - - - - 45%53%35%34%16%-.01
ISU Offense1326.223.936.8%3.720.8163651202454.148%52%32%41%14%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa1426:2912.131%50%3.3281.41.14.91.9231.2
Iowa State1329:0916.339%63%4.843.50.81.54.81.6130.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense1456% (23)33% (131)32.1108.73.411 (123)-.08 (133)2.47 (132)66% (113)12% (105)0.82 (129)
ISU Defense1348% (43)41% (46) - - - - .05 (20)2.77 (20)68% (38)8% (123)0.9 (28)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense1445% (17)35% (11) - - - - -.05 (5)2.8 (21)71% (53)9% (88)0.72 (1)
ISU Offense1348% (87)32% (132)29.4119.94.116 (89).01 (126)2.34 (133)59% (130)9% (44)1.18 (5)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense1443% (113)34% (124)11.523.1114.459.99 (126)9 (40).08 (125)1.4 (124)34% (99)21% (131).05 (133)7% (112)1.7 (128)
ISU Defense1350% (84)39% (35) - - - - - - 16 (9).28 (74)1.7 (116)34% (41)28% (35).23 (24)8% (9)2 (60)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense1453% (113)34% (6) - - - - - - 10 (67).08 (5)1.4 (8)37% (8)25% (13).12 (3)7% (36)1.7 (4)
ISU Offense1352% (44)41% (72)18.529.32458.413.223 (51)8 (30).42 (25)1.8 (11)37% (132)30% (76).26 (91)5% (44)2 (100)

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: -0.08 #61
Iowa's Offense Rating: 3.02 #133
Iowa's Defense Rating: -2.19 #3
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Iowa's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 7.40
Iowa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #127
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: -0.08   Iowa State: 9.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 8.1   Iowa State: 8.6




Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 9.04 #39
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Iowa State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Iowa State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Iowa Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 15

Iowa's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 21
Iowa 16


Total Points: 37

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.9

Iowa State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Iowa State16Iowa13Iowa StateIowa State -3.0Push43.0Under
202409/07Iowa19Iowa State20Iowa StateIowa -3Iowa State35.0Over
202309/09Iowa State13Iowa20IowaIowa -3.5Iowa35.5Under
202209/10Iowa7Iowa State10Iowa StateIowa -3.5Iowa State39.0Under
202109/11Iowa State17Iowa27IowaIowa State -4Iowa45.0Under
201909/14Iowa State17Iowa18IowaIowa -1.5Iowa State42.5Under
201809/08Iowa13Iowa State3IowaIowa -3.5Iowa47.0Under
201709/09Iowa State41Iowa44IowaIowa -3.5Iowa State48.5Over
201609/10Iowa42Iowa State3IowaIowa -18Iowa49.0Under
201509/12Iowa State17Iowa31IowaIowa -4Iowa48.0Push
201409/13Iowa17Iowa State20Iowa StateIowa -15.5Iowa State0
201309/14Iowa State21Iowa27IowaIowa -3Iowa0
201209/08Iowa6Iowa State9Iowa State
201109/10Iowa State44Iowa41Iowa State
201009/11Iowa35Iowa State7Iowa
200909/12Iowa State3Iowa35Iowa
200809/13Iowa17Iowa State5Iowa
200709/15Iowa State15Iowa13Iowa State
200609/16Iowa27Iowa State17Iowa
200509/10Iowa State23Iowa3Iowa State
200409/11Iowa17Iowa State10Iowa
200309/13Iowa State21Iowa40Iowa
200209/14Iowa31Iowa State36Iowa State
200111/24Iowa State17Iowa14Iowa State
200009/15Iowa14Iowa State24Iowa State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa State1152 Overs
Iowa1467 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 144 - 72 - 42 - 3
Road Teams14 - 117 - 43 - 24 - 2

(#61) Iowa Info
Power Rating: -0.08 #61
Offense Rating: 3.02 #133
Defense Rating: -2.19 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #127
Defense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #2
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Expected Record: 6.60 - 7.40


Iowa has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 4 - 1 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Iowa Highlights
Iowa has a really good defense (#30)
Iowa defense does not give up big plays (#5)
Iowa defense is really good in red zone (#76)
Iowa has a good run defense (#31)
Iowa has a good pass defense (#40)
Iowa Defensive Line is very good (#74)
Iowa commits very few Penalties (#1)

Iowa Deficiencies
Iowa has a really bad Offense
Iowa Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Iowa Can Not Run the Ball (#24)
Iowa offense is really bad (#45)
Iowa offense is not Explosive (#130)
Iowa Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#1)
Iowa offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#35)
Iowa run game is really bad (#23)
Iowa pass game is really bad (#114)
Iowa offense is bad on 3rd Downs

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatISUIOWA
OverallOver#43#42
OffenseOff#69#115
DefenseDef#30#4
Special TeamsST#32#5
PassingPass#27#115
RushingRush#55#99
Run BlockRBLK#99#57
Pass BlockPBLK#116#83
Route RunningWR Rt#25#115
TacklingTkl#75#3
Run DefenseR Def#21#1
Pass Rush DefPRush#95#36
Coverage DefCov#28#2

Rematch from Week 2
Iowa 3.5 (35.5)
Iowa won at Iowa State this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Iowa last year (20-19)
Iowa beat Iowa State in 2023 (20-13)
Iowa State beat Iowa in 2022 (10-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: IOWA | ISU
Depth Chart: IOWA | ISU
Rosters: IOWA | ISU
(#39) Iowa State Info
Power Rating: 9.04 #39
Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80


Iowa State has won 1 straight
Iowa State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Iowa State Highlights
Iowa State offense is explosive (#82)
Iowa State defense is really good in red zone (#50)
Iowa State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#78)
Iowa State Defensive Line is very good (#66)
Iowa State Secondary is very good (#38)
Iowa State has a great TO Margin (#82)
Iowa State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Iowa State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Iowa State Deficiencies
Iowa State offense is really bad (#56)
Iowa State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#68)
Iowa State run game is really bad (#94)


  
Iowa's OC Brian Ferentz
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Deacon Hill (Tr)12225149%1152584.6
Cade McNamara (Tr)469051%505435.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Leshon Williams17082114.882
Kaleb Johnson11746334.067
Jaziun Patterson5820623.659
Kamari Moulton279323.418
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Erick All (Tr)21299314.234
Nico Ragaini3125508.229
Kaleb Brown2221519.831
Addison Ostrenga3119226.219

View Iowa's Full Roster
Iowa's DC Phil Parker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Higgins1715233
Nick Jackson (Tr)1108472
Sebastian Castro678018
Quinn Schulte653004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joe Evans46149105
Nick Jackson (Tr)1108472
Yahya Black505424
Logan Lee556313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermari Harris421008
Sebastian Castro678018
Joe Evans46149105

Iowa State's OC Nathan Scheelhaase
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht23136763%31202388.5
J.J. Kohl91182%23002.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Abu Sama III8461467.377
Eli Sanders10247744.729
Cartevious Norton8734333.949
Carson Hansen226703.012
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Higgins53983618.575
Jaylin Noel66820712.482
Benjamin Brahmer28352212.648
Daniel Jackson16260216.339

View Iowa State's Full Roster
Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Freyler1064105
Caleb Bacon607382
Myles Purchase5651014
Malik Verdon471004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.R. Singleton224480
Zach Lovett114360
Caleb Bacon607382
Trent Jones II193340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Purchase5651014
Jeremiah Cooper4520110
T.J. Tampa443017