Memphis at Iowa State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Friday, December 29th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Iowa State -10.5 (58.0) (-340) Open: -7.0 | 57.5
Memphis 36 - Iowa State: 26 (AutoZone Liberty Bowl)

Tigers (10 - 3) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (24 - 16)
Avg Score : 39 - 29 (42 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Iowa State -5.5 (SP+ ISU -6)
Projected Score: MEM: 25 - ISU: 31 (56)
ISU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
MEM Travel: 0 miles

Cyclones (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (47 - 42)
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (24 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
MEM Players
ISU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Memphis's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Memphis vs Bethune-Cookman	-49.0	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/9	Memphis at Arkansas State	-21.0	57.0	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Thu 9/14	Memphis vs Navy	-12.5	47.0	W 28 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/23	Memphis vs Missouri	+6.5	52.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/30	Memphis vs Boise State	-3.0	58.0	W 35 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Memphis vs Tulane	+4.5	54.5	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/21	Memphis at UAB	-7.5	61.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Memphis at North Texas	-6.5	70.0	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/4	Memphis vs South Florida	-13.5	68.5	W 59 - 50	O	N
Sat 11/11	Memphis at Charlotte	-9.5	51.5	W 44 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Memphis vs SMU	+9.5	64.5	L 34 - 38	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Memphis at Temple	-13.5	63.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Memphis at Iowa State	+10.5	58.0	W 36 - 26	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

Iowa State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Iowa State vs Northern Iowa	-7.0	40.5	W 30 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Iowa State vs Iowa	+3.5	35.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/16	Iowa State at Ohio	-1.5	42.0	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/23	Iowa State vs Oklahoma State	-3.5	36.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Iowa State at Oklahoma	+19.5	48.5	L 20 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/7	Iowa State vs TCU	+6.5	52.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Iowa State at Cincinnati	+4.0	42.5	W 30 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Iowa State at Baylor	-3.0	47.0	W 30 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Iowa State vs Kansas	-2.5	53.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/11	Iowa State at BYU	-7.5	40.5	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Iowa State vs Texas	+7.5	43.5	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/25	Iowa State at Kansas State	+9.5	46.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Iowa State vs Memphis	-10.5	58.0	L 26 - 36	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM	#18 (.3)	47% (23)	39.4	47% (33)	2.96 (98)	152	47% (22)	306	4.6 (16)	#82 (.2)	44% (90)	28.8	44% (82)	44% (103)	4.12 (99)	41.2	1.2	1.5
ISU	#57 (.21)	37% (119)	26.2	32% (132)	2.34 (133)	120	41% (72)	245	3.72 (83)	#32 (.13)	39% (36)	22.8	41% (46)	39% (35)	3.35 (27)	43.5	0.8	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM	#23 (.27)	44% (57)		46% (40)	3.27 (31)	175	41% (71)	270	4.66 (14)	#87 (.19)	40% (47)		40% (45)	40% (62)	4.05 (96)	48	0.6	1.9
ISU	#62 (.2)	40% (99)		40% (106)	2.83 (102)	150	41% (77)	236	4.23 (37)	#79 (.18)	43% (81)		46% (101)	38% (41)	3.44 (29)	25.9	1.1	1.5

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Offense	13	39.4	42	46.6%	4.6	1.2	23	458	152	306	4.6	43%	57%	47%	47%	13%	.3
ISU Defense	13	22.8	22.9	39.2%	3.35	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	41%	39%	16%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Defense	13	28.8	25.2	43.7%	4.12	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	44%	16%	.2
ISU Offense	13	26.2	23.9	36.8%	3.72	0.8	16	365	120	245	4.1	48%	52%	32%	41%	14%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Memphis	13	31:08	22.7	45%	64%	4.1	41.2	1.2	1.5	5.1	1.6	3	31.2
Iowa State	13	29:09	16.3	39%	63%	4.8	43.5	0.8	1.5	4.8	1.6	1	30.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Offense	13	43% (111)	47% (33)	33	152	4.6	31 (17)	.17 (57)	2.96 (98)	66% (117)	8% (25)	1.03 (52)
ISU Defense	13	48% (43)	41% (46)	-	-	-	-	.05 (20)	2.77 (20)	68% (38)	8% (123)	0.9 (28)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Defense	13	49% (56)	44% (82)	-	-	-	-	.17 (92)	2.98 (46)	62% (15)	9% (92)	1.08 (105)
ISU Offense	13	48% (87)	32% (132)	29.4	119.9	4.1	16 (89)	.01 (126)	2.34 (133)	59% (130)	9% (44)	1.18 (5)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Offense	13	57% (19)	47% (22)	24.7	37	306.5	8.3	12.4	33 (11)	10 (56)	.42 (22)	1.6 (50)	27% (8)	39% (7)	.62 (5)	6% (49)	2.2 (23)
ISU Defense	13	50% (84)	39% (35)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.28 (74)	1.7 (116)	34% (41)	28% (35)	.23 (24)	8% (9)	2 (60)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Defense	13	50% (78)	44% (103)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.28 (75)	1.7 (88)	30% (112)	32% (93)	.3 (65)	7% (38)	2.2 (99)
ISU Offense	13	52% (44)	41% (72)	18.5	29.3	245	8.4	13.2	23 (51)	8 (30)	.42 (25)	1.8 (11)	37% (132)	30% (76)	.26 (91)	5% (44)	2 (100)

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 4.64 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Memphis's Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Memphis's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Memphis's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 4.64 Iowa State: 9.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 2.8 Iowa State: 8.6

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 9.04 #39
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Iowa State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Iowa State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 42
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Memphis's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 11 - 2
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 31
Memphis 25

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Memphis 27
Iowa State 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Memphis 32
Iowa State 26

Total Points: 58

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.9

Iowa State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/29	Iowa State	26	Memphis	36	Iowa State -10.5	Memphis	58.0	Over
2017	12/30	Memphis	20	Iowa State	21	Memphis -3.5	Iowa State	67.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa State	1	1	1 Overs
Memphis	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

Memphis Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Liberty Bowl	Memphis vs Iowa State	+10.5	58.0	W 36 - 26
2022	Responder Bowl	Memphis vs Utah State	-8.0	57.0	W 38 - 10
2020	Montgomery Bowl	Memphis vs Florida Atlantic	-9.0	52.5	W 25 - 10
2019	Cotton Bowl	Memphis vs Penn State	+7.0	59.5	L 39 - 53
2018	Birmingham Bowl	Memphis vs Wake Forest	-2.0	71.0	L 34 - 37
2017	N/A	Memphis vs Iowa State	-3.5	67.5	L 20 - 21

Iowa State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Liberty Bowl	Iowa State vs Memphis	-10.5	58.0	L 26 - 36
2021	It Bowl	Iowa State vs Clemson	+1.5	44.0	L 13 - 20
2020	Fiesta Bowl	Iowa State vs Oregon	-4.5	57.5	W 34 - 17
2019	World Bowl	Iowa State vs Notre Dame	+4.0	55.0	L 9 - 33
2018	Alamo Bowl	Iowa State vs Washington State	+2.5	56.5	L 26 - 28
2017	N/A	Iowa State vs Memphis	+3.5	67.5	W 21 - 20

(#36) MEM at (#39) ISU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MEM	ISU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#36	#39
SP+SP+	#57	#34
Perf GradeGrade	#41	#54
OffenseOff	#22	#79
DefenseDef	#97	#36
Spec TeamsST	#103	#35
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#63	#59

Memphis Injury Report

Iowa State Injury Report

Memphis on Offense


CategoryCat	MEM Off	ISU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#22	#36
SuccessSuc	#23	#36
ExplosiveExp	#18	#88
PPAPPA	#18	#32
PowerPwr	#24	#23
SP+SP+	#14	#18
Pts POPPO	#16	#27
HavocHav	#23	#76

Memphis Run Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	#82	#24
Run SuccessRSuc	#33	#46
Run ExplRExp	#52	#28
PPAExp	#57	#20
Run BlockR Blk	#26	-
OL YdsOLY	#98	#20
Stuff RateStuff	#93	#20
TackleTak	-	#85

Memphis Pass Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	#15	#33
Pass SuccessPSuc	#22	#35
Pass ExplPExl	#50	#116
PPAExp	#22	#74
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#18	#128
F7 HavocF7	#25	#123
DB HavocDB	#49	#9

Iowa State on Offense


CategoryCat	ISU Off	MEM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#79	#97
SuccessSuc	#119	#90
ExplosiveExp	#1	#108
PPAPPA	#57	#82
PowerPwr	#87	#71
SP+SP+	#70	#112
Pts POPPO	#83	#99
HavocHav	#35	#66

Iowa State Run Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	MEM Def
Run GameRun	#78	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	#132	#82
Run ExplRExp	#5	#105
PPAExp	#126	#92
Run BlockR Blk	#131	-
OL YdsOLY	#133	#46
Stuff RateStuff	#133	#24
TackleTak	-	#134

Iowa State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	MEM Def
Pass GamePass	#34	#105
Pass SuccessPSuc	#72	#103
Pass ExplPExl	#11	#88
PPAExp	#25	#75
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#133	#74
F7 HavocF7	#44	#92
DB HavocDB	#44	#38

Program Comparison
ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

MEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 39° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Iowa State -10.5 (58.0)
Memphis won at Iowa State this year (36-26)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat Iowa State in 2023 (36-26)

MEM's OC Tim Cramsey (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Seth Henigan	318	476	67%	3883	32	9	8.2
Tevin Carter	3	5	60%	101	1	1	20.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Blake Watson (Tr)	192	1152	14	6.0	69
Sutton Smith	63	305	2	4.8	26
Seth Henigan	94	274	5	2.9	24
Brandon Thomas	46	172	9	3.7	42

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roc Taylor	69	1083	4	15.7	85
DeMeer Blankumsee (Tr)	53	901	7	17.0	70
Blake Watson (Tr)	53	485	3	9.2	63
Joseph Scates	33	414	6	12.5	54

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Matt Barnes (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin (Tr)	94	17	3	3	2
Geoff Cantin-Arku	79	5	1	1	2
Simeon Blair (Tr)	63	5	0	2	5
Cameron Smith	57	0	0	2	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin (Tr)	94	17	3	3	2
Gregory Rubin	52	3	3	1	3
Keveionta Spears	17	4	2	1	1
Jaylon Allen	41	7	2	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
DeAgo Brumfeld	42	3	1	10
Cameron Smith	57	0	2	6
Simeon Blair (Tr)	63	5	2	5

ISU's OC Nathan Scheelhaase (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Rocco Becht	231	367	63%	3120	23	8	8.5
J.J. Kohl	9	11	82%	23	0	0	2.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Abu Sama III	84	614	6	7.3	77
Eli Sanders	102	477	4	4.7	29
Cartevious Norton	87	343	3	3.9	49
Carson Hansen	22	67	0	3.0	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Higgins	53	983	6	18.5	75
Jaylin Noel	66	820	7	12.4	82
Benjamin Brahmer	28	352	2	12.6	48
Daniel Jackson	16	260	2	16.3	39

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Beau Freyler	106	4	1	0	5
Caleb Bacon	60	7	3	8	2
Myles Purchase	56	5	1	0	14
Malik Verdon	47	1	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.R. Singleton	22	4	4	8	0
Zach Lovett	11	4	3	6	0
Caleb Bacon	60	7	3	8	2
Trent Jones II	19	3	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Purchase	56	5	1	0	14
Jeremiah Cooper	45	2	0	1	10
T.J. Tampa	44	3	0	1	7