Memphis at Iowa State Game Matchup

Friday, December 29th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Iowa State -10.5 (58.0) (-340) Open: -7.0 | 57.5
Memphis 36 - Iowa State: 26 (AutoZone Liberty Bowl)

Tigers (10 - 3) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (24 - 16)
Avg Score : 36 - 24 (34 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Iowa State -5.5 (SP+ ISU -6)
Projected Score: MEM: 26 - ISU: 32 (57)
ISU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
MEM Travel: 516 miles

Cyclones (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (47 - 42)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (34 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
MEM Players
ISU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Memphis's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Memphis vs Bethune-Cookman	-49.0	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/9	Memphis at Arkansas State	-21.0	57.0	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Thu 9/14	Memphis vs Navy	-12.5	47.0	W 28 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/23	Memphis vs Missouri	+6.5	52.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/30	Memphis vs Boise State	-3.0	58.0	W 35 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Memphis vs Tulane	+4.5	54.5	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/21	Memphis at UAB	-7.5	61.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Memphis at North Texas	-6.5	70.0	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/4	Memphis vs South Florida	-13.5	68.5	W 59 - 50	O	N
Sat 11/11	Memphis at Charlotte	-9.5	51.5	W 44 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Memphis vs SMU	+9.5	64.5	L 34 - 38	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Memphis at Temple	-13.5	63.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Memphis at Iowa State	+10.5	58.0	W 36 - 26	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

Iowa State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Iowa State vs Northern Iowa	-7.0	40.5	W 30 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Iowa State vs Iowa	+3.5	35.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/16	Iowa State at Ohio	-1.5	42.0	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/23	Iowa State vs Oklahoma State	-3.5	36.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Iowa State at Oklahoma	+19.5	48.5	L 20 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/7	Iowa State vs TCU	+6.5	52.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Iowa State at Cincinnati	+4.0	42.5	W 30 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Iowa State at Baylor	-3.0	47.0	W 30 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Iowa State vs Kansas	-2.5	53.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/11	Iowa State at BYU	-7.5	40.5	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Iowa State vs Texas	+7.5	43.5	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/25	Iowa State at Kansas State	+9.5	46.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Iowa State vs Memphis	-10.5	58.0	L 26 - 36	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM	.2	44%	35.7	44%	2.9	142	45%	280	4.16	.18	43%	23.8	41%	46%	4.34	36.9	1.2	2.1
ISU	.12	39%	31.1	37%	2.57	107	42%	262	3.51	.11	40%	22.9	39%	41%	3.26	45.7	1.8	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ISU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Offense	13	35.7	33.5	44.3%	4.16	1.2	23	422	142	280	3.8	47%	52%	44%	45%	16%	.2
ISU Defense	12	22.9	18.1	39.8%	3.26	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	39%	41%	17%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MEM Defense	13	23.8	34	43%	4.34	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	41%	46%	14%	.18
ISU Offense	12	31.1	34.1	39.2%	3.51	1.8	20	369	107	262	3.3	41%	58%	37%	42%	15%	.12

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Memphis	13	30:50	22.5	45%	54%	4.1	36.9	1.2	2.1	4.6	1.6	4	31.3
Iowa State	12	32:07	20.4	42%	56%	5.6	45.7	1.8	1.8	5.3	1.5	0	27.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Offense	13	47%	44%	37.9	142.4	3.8	30	.12	2.9	74%	10%	0.93
ISU Defense	12	53%	39%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.86	70%	11%	0.75

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MEM Defense	13	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.96	70%	8%	0.89
ISU Offense	12	41%	37%	32.8	107.2	3.3	10	-.02	2.57	60%	10%	0.81

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Offense	13	52%	45%	22.4	35	280.1	8	12.5	23	8	.31	1.5	30%	33%	.39	6%	2.2
ISU Defense	12	45%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.24	1.4	31%	23%	.17	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MEM Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.3	1.5	32%	36%	.43	6%	1.9
ISU Offense	12	58%	42%	26.1	39.9	261.8	6.6	10	19	15	.26	1.5	34%	32%	.31	5%	1.9

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 4.64 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Memphis's Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
2023 Talent Rating: 596.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Memphis's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Memphis's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 4.64 Iowa State: 9.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 2.8 Iowa State: 8.6

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 9.04 #39
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
2023 Talent Rating: 782.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Iowa State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Iowa State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Memphis's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 32
Memphis 26

Projected Total Points: 57

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1

Iowa State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/29	Iowa State	26	Memphis	36	Memphis	Iowa State -10.5	Memphis	58.0	Over
2017	12/30	Memphis	20	Iowa State	21	Iowa State	Memphis -3.5	Iowa State	67.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa State	1	1	1 Overs
Memphis	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

Memphis Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Liberty Bowl	Memphis vs Iowa State	+10.5	58.0	W 36 - 26
2022	Responder Bowl	Memphis vs Utah State	-8.0	57.0	W 38 - 10
2020	Montgomery Bowl	Memphis vs Florida Atlantic	-9.0	52.5	W 25 - 10
2019	Cotton Bowl	Memphis vs Penn State	+7.0	59.5	L 39 - 53
2018	Birmingham Bowl	Memphis vs Wake Forest	-2.0	71.0	L 34 - 37
2017	N/A	Memphis vs Iowa State	-3.5	67.5	L 20 - 21

Iowa State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Liberty Bowl	Iowa State vs Memphis	-10.5	58.0	L 26 - 36
2021	It Bowl	Iowa State vs Clemson	+1.5	44.0	L 13 - 20
2020	Fiesta Bowl	Iowa State vs Oregon	-4.5	57.5	W 34 - 17
2019	World Bowl	Iowa State vs Notre Dame	+4.0	55.0	L 9 - 33
2018	Alamo Bowl	Iowa State vs Washington State	+2.5	56.5	L 26 - 28
2017	N/A	Iowa State vs Memphis	+3.5	67.5	W 21 - 20

(#36) Memphis Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.64 #36
Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Talent Rating: 596.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90

Team Profile

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Memphis has played in 6 Bowls in the last 5 years (4 - 2)
Memphis has played in 15 Bowls since 2000 (7 - 8)

Memphis Ratings Matchup Iowa State

Power #36

#39

Off #24

#87

Def #71

#23

Talent #74

#32

SP+ #57

#34

SP+ Off #14

#70

SP+ Def #112

#18

Rematch from Week 1
Iowa State -10.5 (58.0)
Memphis won at Iowa State this year (36-26)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat Iowa State in 2023 (36-26)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 39° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: MEM | ISU
Depth Chart: MEM | ISU
Rosters: MEM | ISU

(#39) Iowa State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.04 #39
Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18
Talent Rating: 782.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80

Team Profile

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,

Iowa State has played in 6 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 4)
Iowa State has played in 15 Bowls since 2000 (6 - 9)

Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Seth Henigan	309	477	65%	3502	25	6	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jevyon Ducker	148	719	7	4.9	86
Brandon Thomas	57	335	9	5.9	57
Seth Henigan	80	190	1	2.4	23
Roc Taylor	2	5	0	2.5	4

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roc Taylor	66	950	2	14.4	48
DeMeer Blankumsee (Tr)	45	677	6	15.0	89
Kobe Drake	39	484	1	12.4	29
Jevyon Ducker	15	110	0	7.3	31

View Memphis's Full Roster

Memphis's DC Matt Barnes

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin (Tr)	110	16	7	10	4
Gregory Rubin	74	6	0	3	8
Davion Ross	51	2	0	2	11
Cameron Smith	24	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin (Tr)	110	16	7	10	4
Cormontae Hamilton	6	1	1	3	1
Zy Brockington	11	1	1	0	0
Cameron Smith	24	2	0	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davion Ross	51	2	0	2	11
Gregory Rubin	74	6	0	3	8
Chandler Martin (Tr)	110	16	7	10	4

Iowa State's OC Nathan Scheelhaase

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaylin Noel	0	2	0%	0	0	0	0.0
Ryan Millmore	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Sanders	147	1064	9	7.2	75
Cartevious Norton	129	525	7	4.1	62
Jaylin Noel	9	38	0	4.2	12
Stevo Klotz	2	22	0	11.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylin Noel	81	1194	8	14.7	75
Jayden Higgins	87	1183	9	13.6	39
Eli Sanders	15	134	0	8.9	31
Stevo Klotz	8	89	1	11.1	28

View Iowa State's Full Roster

Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Beau Freyler	84	3	0	0	4
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5
Blake Thompson	60	3	0	0	3
Joey Petersen	46	6	2	9	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jefferson Adam	26	7	5	0	0
J.R. Singleton	32	5	4	7	1
Joey Petersen	46	6	2	9	0
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Purchase	35	4	0	0	6
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5
Myles Norwood	38	2	0	0	5