Iowa State at Cincinnati Game Matchup

Iowa State Cyclones at Cincinnati Bearcats

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -4 (42.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Iowa State 30 - Cincinnati: 10 (Big 12)

Cyclones (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (47 - 42)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (25 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 15 MPH
CIN coming off BYE
ISU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Iowa State -9 (SP+ ISU -16)
Projected Score: ISU: 27 - CIN: 18 (52)
CIN Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ISU Travel: 518 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bearcats (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (27 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ISU Players
CIN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Iowa State vs Northern Iowa	-7.0	40.5	W 30 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Iowa State vs Iowa	+3.5	35.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/16	Iowa State at Ohio	-1.5	42.0	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/23	Iowa State vs Oklahoma State	-3.5	36.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Iowa State at Oklahoma	+19.5	48.5	L 20 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/7	Iowa State vs TCU	+6.5	52.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Iowa State at Cincinnati	+4.0	42.5	W 30 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Iowa State at Baylor	-3.0	47.0	W 30 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Iowa State vs Kansas	-2.5	53.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/11	Iowa State at BYU	-7.5	40.5	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Iowa State vs Texas	+7.5	43.5	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/25	Iowa State at Kansas State	+9.5	46.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Iowa State vs Memphis	-10.5	58.0	L 26 - 36	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

Cincinnati's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Cincinnati vs Eastern Kentucky	-21.5	57.5	W 66 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Cincinnati at Pittsburgh	+6.5	44.5	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-14.5	44.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/23	Cincinnati vs Oklahoma	+13.0	58.0	L 6 - 20	U	N
Fri 9/29	Cincinnati at BYU	+1.0	47.5	L 27 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Cincinnati vs Iowa State	-4.0	42.5	L 10 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/21	Cincinnati vs Baylor	-2.5	51.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/28	Cincinnati at Oklahoma State	+7.0	53.0	L 13 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/4	Cincinnati vs UCF	+3.5	59.5	L 26 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Cincinnati at Houston	+3.5	53.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Cincinnati at West Virginia	+4.5	52.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Cincinnati vs Kansas	+7.5	59.5	L 16 - 49	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	.12	39%	31.1	37%	2.57	107	42%	262	3.51	.11	40%	22.9	39%	41%	3.26	45.7	1.8	1.8
CIN	.18	40%	25.2	39%	3.01	130	41%	243	3.8	.09	37%	24.6	40%	35%	3.52	64.4	1.1	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Offense	12	31.1	24.8	39.2%	3.51	1.8	20	369	107	262	3.3	41%	58%	37%	42%	15%	.12
CIN Defense	13	24.6	18.8	37.2%	3.52	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	40%	35%	20%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Defense	12	22.9	15.8	39.8%	3.26	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	39%	41%	17%	.11
CIN Offense	13	25.2	26.7	39.5%	3.8	1.1	19	372	130	243	4	46%	53%	39%	41%	17%	.18

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa State	12	32:07	20.4	42%	56%	5.6	45.7	1.8	1.8	5.3	1.5	0	27.5
Cincinnati	13	28:14	18.5	36%	65%	7.5	64.4	1.1	1.8	6.7	2.7	3	29.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Offense	12	41%	37%	32.8	107.2	3.3	10	-.02	2.57	60%	10%	0.81
CIN Defense	13	54%	40%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.01	82%	13%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Defense	12	53%	39%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.86	70%	11%	0.75
CIN Offense	13	46%	39%	32.8	129.7	4	19	.1	3.01	68%	10%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Offense	12	58%	42%	26.1	39.9	261.8	6.6	10	19	15	.26	1.5	34%	32%	.31	5%	1.9
CIN Defense	13	45%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.12	1.6	34%	28%	.3	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Defense	12	45%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.24	1.4	31%	23%	.17	6%	1.9
CIN Offense	13	53%	41%	19.2	32.1	242.7	7.6	12.7	22	8	.28	1.6	35%	32%	.37	6%	1.9

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 4.48 #39
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
2023 Talent Rating: 782.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Iowa State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Iowa State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 4.48 Cincinnati: -2.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 8.6 Cincinnati: -7.2

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: -2.32 #80
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
2023 Talent Rating: 688.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Cincinnati's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Cincinnati's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.8

Iowa State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 27
Cincinnati 18

Projected Total Points: 52

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Cincinnati's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	Iowa State	34	Cincinnati	17	Iowa State	Iowa State -7	Iowa State	52.5	Under
2023	10/14	Cincinnati	10	Iowa State	30	Iowa State	Cincinnati -4	Iowa State	42.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Cincinnati	0	0	0 Overs
Iowa State	2	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#39) Iowa State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.48 #39
Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18
Talent Rating: 782.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80

Team Profile

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Iowa State Ratings Matchup Cincinnati

Power #39

#80

Off #87

#45

Def #23

#117

Talent #32

#52

SP+ #34

#88

SP+ Off #70

#95

SP+ Def #18

#82

Rematch from Week 7
Cincinnati -4.0 (42.5)
Iowa State won at Cincinnati this year (30-10)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Cincinnati last year (34-17)
Iowa State beat Cincinnati in 2023 (30-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 61° - Wind: 15 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ISU | CIN
Depth Chart: ISU | CIN
Rosters: ISU | CIN

(#80) Cincinnati Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.32 #80
Offense Rating: 18.94 #45
Defense Rating: 14.72 #117
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 688.00 #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60

Team Profile

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Iowa State's OC Nathan Scheelhaase

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaylin Noel	0	2	0%	0	0	0	0.0
Ryan Millmore	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Sanders	147	1064	9	7.2	75
Cartevious Norton	129	525	7	4.1	62
Jaylin Noel	9	38	0	4.2	12
Stevo Klotz	2	22	0	11.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylin Noel	81	1194	8	14.7	75
Jayden Higgins	87	1183	9	13.6	39
Eli Sanders	15	134	0	8.9	31
Stevo Klotz	8	89	1	11.1	28

View Iowa State's Full Roster

Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Beau Freyler	84	3	0	0	4
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5
Blake Thompson	60	3	0	0	3
Joey Petersen	46	6	2	9	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jefferson Adam	26	7	5	0	0
J.R. Singleton	32	5	4	7	1
Joey Petersen	46	6	2	9	0
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Purchase	35	4	0	0	6
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5
Myles Norwood	38	2	0	0	5

Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Prater	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Corey Kiner	204	1153	4	5.7	46
Myles Montgomery	51	293	3	5.7	25
Victor Dawson	7	63	0	9.0	47

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xzavier Henderson (Tr)	58	735	4	12.7	42
Chamon Metayer	32	306	5	9.6	29
Payten Singletary	17	197	2	11.6	34
Corey Kiner	15	105	0	7.0	14

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

Cincinnati's DC Bryan Brown

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
George Udo (Tr)	78	2	1	1	1
Deshawn Pace	61	4	0	0	1
Derrick Shepard	34	1	0	0	0
Cecil Doggette Jr.	32	7	3	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eric Phillips	19	5	3	6	0
Cecil Doggette Jr.	32	7	3	3	0
Dion Hunter	8	1	1	1	0
Todd Bumphis	8	1	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Todd Bumphis	8	1	1	0	3
Oliver Bridges	15	1	0	0	2
George Udo (Tr)	78	2	1	1	1