Kansas State at Oklahoma State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo Kansas State Wildcats at Oklahoma State CowboysOklahoma State logo
Friday, October 6th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Kansas State -11.5 (53.5) (-440)  Open: -11.0 | 55.0
Oklahoma State 29 - Kansas State: 21  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (32 - 21)
Avg Score : 37 - 21 (29 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
KSU coming off BYE
OKST coming off BYE
Our Line: Kansas State -8.5  (SP+ KSU -9.5)

Projected Score: KSU: 31 - OKST: 23 (54)
KSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
KSU Travel: 214 miles
Cowboys (10 - 4) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (158 - 76)
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (31 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.6 - 8.4 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Kansas State vs Southeast Missouri State-28.556.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/9 Kansas State vs Troy-15.050.0W 42 - 13OY
Sat 9/16 Kansas State at Missouri-3.548.0L 27 - 30ON
Sat 9/23 Kansas State vs UCF-6.053.5W 44 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6 Kansas State at Oklahoma State-11.553.5L 21 - 29UN
Sat 10/14 Kansas State at Texas Tech+1.057.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Kansas State vs TCU-5.560.0W 41 - 3UY
Sat 10/28 Kansas State vs Houston-17.561.0W 41 - 0UY
Sat 11/4 Kansas State at Texas+4.049.5L 30 - 33OY
Sat 11/11 Kansas State vs Baylor-20.555.5W 59 - 25OY
Sat 11/18 Kansas State at Kansas-7.060.5W 31 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Kansas State vs Iowa State-9.546.0L 35 - 42ON
Thu 12/28 Kansas State vs NC State-3.048.5W 28 - 19UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Oklahoma State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Oklahoma State vs Central Arkansas-25.559.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/9 Oklahoma State at Arizona State-2.553.5W 27 - 15UY
Sat 9/16 Oklahoma State vs South Alabama-7.049.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 9/23 Oklahoma State at Iowa State+3.536.0L 27 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6 Oklahoma State vs Kansas State+11.553.5W 29 - 21UY
Sat 10/14 Oklahoma State vs Kansas+3.054.0W 39 - 32OY
Sat 10/21 Oklahoma State at West Virginia+3.048.0W 48 - 34OY
Sat 10/28 Oklahoma State vs Cincinnati-7.053.0W 45 - 13OY
Sat 11/4 Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma+6.061.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Oklahoma State at UCF-2.563.5L 3 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 Oklahoma State at Houston-6.556.5W 43 - 30OY
Sat 11/25 Oklahoma State vs BYU-15.555.5W 40 - 34ON
Sat 12/2 Oklahoma State vs Texas+14.055.0L 21 - 49ON
Wed 12/27 Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M-4.056.0W 31 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#34 (.28)47% (18)37.150% (14)3.33 (28)20544% (46)2415.11 (1)#46 (.15)38% (24)2138% (29)39% (27)2.98 (12)43.70.91.8
OKST#69 (.19)43% (53)29.642% (78)2.84 (115)15545% (33)2773.92 (63)#116 (.26)40% (43)28.639% (33)42% (71)4.22 (107)41.41.61.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
OKST#52 (.21)43% (63)43% (86)2.79 (107)11444% (47)2654.22 (42)#131 (.34)46% (109)47% (107)44% (108)3.93 (82)43.21.81.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1337.129.447.3%5.110.924446205241553%47%50%44%12%.28
OKST Defense1428.624.340.1%4.221.6 - - - - - 50%50%39%42%15%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense13212837.8%2.981.8 - - - - - 46%52%38%39%17%.15
OKST Offense1429.630.643.3%3.921.6224321552774.842%57%42%45%14%.19

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1331:5123.848%58%4.843.70.91.85.61.8130.4
Oklahoma State1429:5621.638%55%541.41.61.65.71.8130.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1353% (43)50% (14)40.8205.2532 (10).27 (13)3.33 (28)75% (60)6% (5)0.99 (75)
OKST Defense1450% (63)39% (33) - - - - .15 (74)3 (49)76% (87)11% (48)1.17 (123)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1346% (23)38% (29) - - - - .14 (68)2.82 (25)61% (12)11% (47)1.24 (130)
OKST Offense1442% (118)42% (78)32.1155.24.829 (22).14 (78)2.84 (115)65% (120)7% (9)1.1 (22)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1347% (88)44% (46)19.832.8241.27.312.230 (16)10 (56).31 (60)1.6 (80)29% (17)35% (25).46 (31)6% (50)2.1 (50)
OKST Defense1450% (74)42% (71) - - - - - - 12 (37).4 (119)1.9 (131)36% (11)28% (32).29 (52)4% (127)2.3 (122)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1352% (107)39% (27) - - - - - - 13 (26).22 (38)1.7 (95)35% (24)27% (23).23 (32)7% (45)2.2 (101)
OKST Offense1457% (15)45% (33)24.640.7276.56.811.318 (81)16 (121).27 (71)1.5 (113)31% (55)34% (36).34 (66)7% (101)1.9 (114)

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 11.38  #16
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.70  #16
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 4.11  #22
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5%  #61
Kansas State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
Kansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4  #15
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #8
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #39

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 11.38   Oklahoma State: 5.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 15.4   Oklahoma State: 5.9




Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 5.115  #67
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 14.94  #82
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 10.18  #75
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11  #43
Oklahoma State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.60 - 8.40
Oklahoma State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9  #42
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #31
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #75

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 37.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Kansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 31
Oklahoma State 23


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Kansas State 30
Oklahoma State 21

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Kansas State 30
Oklahoma State 27

Total Points: 57
Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.6
Defense: 28.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

Oklahoma State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Oklahoma State6Kansas State14Kansas State -19.5Oklahoma State50.5Under
202409/28Kansas State42Oklahoma State20Kansas State -6Kansas State58.0Over
202310/06Oklahoma State29Kansas State21Kansas State -11.5Oklahoma State53.5Under
202210/29Kansas State48Oklahoma State0Kansas State -2.5Kansas State57.5Under
202109/25Oklahoma State31Kansas State20Oklahoma State -6Oklahoma State47.5Over
202011/07Kansas State18Oklahoma State20Oklahoma State -14Kansas State48.5Under
201909/28Oklahoma State26Kansas State13Oklahoma State -4Oklahoma State60.0Under
201810/13Kansas State31Oklahoma State12Oklahoma State -8Kansas State62.0Under
201711/18Oklahoma State40Kansas State45Oklahoma State -19.5Kansas State63.5Over
201611/05Kansas State37Oklahoma State43Kansas State -2.5Oklahoma State58.0Over
201510/03Oklahoma State36Kansas State34Oklahoma State -3.5Kansas State47.0Over
201411/01Kansas State48Oklahoma State14Kansas State -12.5Kansas State0
201310/05Oklahoma State33Kansas State29Oklahoma State -15Kansas State0
201211/03Kansas State44Oklahoma State30
201111/05Oklahoma State52Kansas State45
201010/30Kansas State14Oklahoma State24
200710/20Oklahoma State41Kansas State39
200610/07Kansas State31Oklahoma State27
200310/11Oklahoma State38Kansas State34
200210/12Kansas State44Oklahoma State9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oklahoma State1155 Overs
Kansas State986 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 59 - 45 - 44 - 0
Road Teams5 - 154 - 90 - 44 - 5

(#16) KSU at (#67) OKST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKSUOKST
Power RatePwr #16 #67
SP+SP+ #15 #42
Perf GradeGrade #32 #59
OffenseOff #23 #42
DefenseDef #68 #97
Spec TeamsST #69 #16
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #61 #43
Kansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
KSU OffOKST Def
Perf GradePerf #23 #97
SuccessSuc #18 #43
ExplosiveExp #98 #129
PPAPPA #34 #116
PowerPwr #16 #75
SP+SP+ #8 #75
Pts POPPO #1 #107
HavocHav #9 #98
Kansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
KSU OffOKST Def
Run GameRun #15 #86
Run SuccessRSuc #14 #33
Run ExplRExp #75 #123
PPAExp #13 #74
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLY #28 #49
Stuff RateStuff #69 #43
TackleTak -  #79
Kansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
KSU OffOKST Def
Pass GamePass #61 #106
Pass SuccessPSuc #46 #71
Pass ExplPExl #80 #131
PPAExp #60 #119
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #37 #61
F7 HavocF7 #5 #48
DB HavocDB #50 #127
Oklahoma State on Offense
CategoryCatOKST OffKSU Def
Perf GradePerf #42 #68
SuccessSuc #53 #24
ExplosiveExp #56 #127
PPAPPA #69 #46
PowerPwr #82 #22
SP+SP+ #31 #39
Pts POPPO #63 #12
HavocHav #26 #42
Oklahoma State Run Game
CategoryCat
OKST OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #33 #95
Run SuccessRSuc #78 #29
Run ExplRExp #22 #130
PPAExp #78 #68
Run BlockR Blk #104 -
OL YdsOLY #115 #25
Stuff RateStuff #112 #6
TackleTak -  #123
Oklahoma State Pass Game
CategoryCatOKST OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #52 #42
Pass SuccessPSuc #33 #27
Pass ExplPExl #113 #95
PPAExp #71 #38
Pass Block/RushP Blk #34 #114
F7 HavocF7 #9 #47
DB HavocDB #101 #45
Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

KSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 61° - Wind: 12 mph
Rematch from Week 6
Kansas State 11.5 (53.5)
Oklahoma State won vs Kansas State this year (29-21)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Oklahoma State last year (42-20)
Oklahoma State beat Kansas State in 2023 (29-21)
Kansas State beat Oklahoma State in 2022 (48-0)

  
KSU's OC Collin Klein (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Howard21935861%264324107.4
Avery Johnson376656%479507.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Giddens2231226105.543
Treshaun Ward (Tr)12565155.252
Will Howard8036494.670
Avery Johnson5128875.630
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ben Sinnott49676613.844
Phillip Brooks III53589511.140
Jayce Brown27437316.246
DJ Giddens29323311.161

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Sigle (Tr)633019
Austin Moore6313210
Kobe Savage574020
VJ Payne573003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khalid Duke198620
Nate Matlack158421
Jevon Banks (Tr)92210
Cody Stufflebean193200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques Sigle (Tr)633019
Jacob Parrish443109
Will Lee III422006

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alan Bowman (Tr)30450161%346015146.9
Gunnar Gundy213462%202105.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ollie Gordon2851731216.175
Jaden Nixon5019713.934
Elijah Collins (Tr)3014224.726
Gunnar Gundy154913.321
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brennan Presley10098869.929
Rashod Owens63895514.245
Leon Johnson III (Tr)33539116.367
Jaden Bray30382212.745

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Jim Bob Clements (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nickolas Martin14016680
Kendal Daniels1056201
Trey Rucker1004001
Collin Oliver7316695
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nickolas Martin14016680
Collin Oliver7316695
Anthony Goodlow (Tr)427310
Nathan Latu315330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Oliver7316695
Dylahn McKinney380005
Korie Black171005