Kansas at Iowa State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Kansas logo   Kansas Jayhawks at Iowa State Cyclones  Iowa State logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Iowa State -2.5 (53.0) (-135)  Open: 0.0
Kansas 28 - Iowa State: 21  (Big 12)

 
Jayhawks (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (22 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Iowa State -0.5  (SP+ KU -0.5)
Projected Score: KU: 26 - ISU: 27 (53)
ISU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
KU Travel: 227 miles
Cyclones (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (47 - 42)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (32 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Kansas vs Missouri State-32.560.5W 48 - 17ON
Fri 9/8 Kansas vs Illinois-3.557.5W 34 - 23UY
Sat 9/16 Kansas at Nevada-28.558.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 9/23 Kansas vs BYU-9.055.5W 38 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Kansas at Texas+15.561.0L 14 - 40UN
Sat 10/7 Kansas vs UCF+2.065.0W 51 - 22OY
Sat 10/14 Kansas at Oklahoma State-3.054.0L 32 - 39ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Kansas vs Oklahoma+7.066.5W 38 - 33OY
Sat 11/4 Kansas at Iowa State+2.553.0W 28 - 21UY
Sat 11/11 Kansas vs Texas Tech-3.561.5L 13 - 16UN
Sat 11/18 Kansas vs Kansas State+7.060.5L 27 - 31UY
Sat 11/25 Kansas at Cincinnati-7.559.5W 49 - 16OY
Tue 12/26 Kansas vs UNLV-8.064.5W 49 - 36OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Iowa State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Iowa State vs Northern Iowa-7.040.5W 30 - 9UY
Sat 9/9 Iowa State vs Iowa+3.535.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/16 Iowa State at Ohio-1.542.0L 7 - 10UN
Sat 9/23 Iowa State vs Oklahoma State-3.536.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Iowa State at Oklahoma+19.548.5L 20 - 50ON
Sat 10/7 Iowa State vs TCU+6.552.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 10/14 Iowa State at Cincinnati+4.042.5W 30 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Iowa State at Baylor-3.047.0W 30 - 18OY
Sat 11/4 Iowa State vs Kansas-2.553.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/11 Iowa State at BYU-7.540.5W 45 - 13OY
Sat 11/18 Iowa State vs Texas+7.543.5L 16 - 26UN
Sat 11/25 Iowa State at Kansas State+9.546.0W 42 - 35OY
Fri 12/29 Iowa State vs Memphis-10.558.0L 26 - 36ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU.3445%28.142%3.1818449%2544.46.2847%26.850%45%4.0146.51.51.8
ISU.1239%27.437%2.5710742%2623.51.1140%20.239%41%3.2645.71.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ISU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Offense1328.121.844.8%4.461.5204381842545.452%48%42%49%13%.34
ISU Defense1220.218.839.8%3.261.8 - - - - - 53%45%39%41%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Defense1326.833.247.4%4.011.8 - - - - - 54%45%50%45%12%.28
ISU Offense1227.432.339.2%3.511.8203691072623.341%58%37%42%15%.12

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas1328:5020.351%47%5.346.51.51.84.41.8129.9
Iowa State1232:0720.442%56%5.645.71.81.85.31.5027.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Offense1352%42%34.3183.55.429.23.1874%8%1.11
ISU Defense1253%39% - - - - .022.8670%11%0.75
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Defense1354%50% - - - - .283.4977%7%0.98
ISU Offense1241%37%32.8107.23.310-.022.5760%10%0.81

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Offense1348%49%18.628.5254.48.913.7328.531.831%39%.65%2.1
ISU Defense1245%41% - - - - - - 7.241.431%23%.176%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Defense1345%45% - - - - - - 12.351.529%37%.475%1.9
ISU Offense1258%42%26.139.9261.86.6101915.261.534%32%.315%1.9

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 7.75  #27
Kansas's Offense Rating: 26.78  #8
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.15  #98
2023 Talent Rating: 632.68  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #69
Kansas's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
Kansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3  #31
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #22
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 7.75   Iowa State: 9.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 9.3   Iowa State: 8.6




Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 9.04  #39
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.54  #87
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 4.14  #23
2023 Talent Rating: 638.87  #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #59
Iowa State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Iowa State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6  #34
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5  #70
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2  #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Kansas's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 27
Kansas 26

Projected Total Points: 53
Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Iowa State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Iowa State38Kansas14Iowa State -3Iowa State55.5Under
202411/09Kansas45Iowa State36Iowa State -2.5Kansas50.5Over
202311/04Iowa State21Kansas28Iowa State -2.5Kansas53.0Under
202210/01Kansas14Iowa State11Iowa State -3.5Kansas59.0Under
202110/02Iowa State59Kansas7Iowa State -34.5Iowa State57.5Over
202010/31Kansas22Iowa State52Iowa State -28.5Iowa State0
201911/23Iowa State41Kansas31Iowa State -26.5Kansas58.0Over
201811/03Kansas3Iowa State27Iowa State -18.5Iowa State46.0Under
201710/14Iowa State45Kansas0Iowa State -22.5Iowa State63.0Under
201611/12Kansas24Iowa State31Iowa State -11.5Kansas54.5Over
201510/03Iowa State38Kansas13Iowa State -14.5Iowa State59.5Under
201411/08Kansas34Iowa State14Iowa State -4Kansas0
201311/23Iowa State34Kansas0Iowa State -5Iowa State0
201211/17Kansas23Iowa State51
201111/05Iowa State13Kansas10
201010/30Iowa State28Kansas16
200910/10Kansas41Iowa State36
200810/04Iowa State33Kansas35
200711/17Kansas45Iowa State7
200611/04Iowa State10Kansas41
200511/26Kansas24Iowa State21
200410/30Iowa State13Kansas7
200311/22Kansas36Iowa State7
200208/31Iowa State45Kansas3
200111/17Kansas7Iowa State49
200011/17Iowa State38Kansas17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa State1674 Overs
Kansas1066 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams18 - 89 - 45 - 24 - 2
Road Teams8 - 184 - 92 - 42 - 5

(#27) KU at (#39) ISU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKUISU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #27 #39
SP+SP+ #31 #34
Perf GradeGrade #16 #54
OffenseOff #9 #79
DefenseDef #54 #36
Spec TeamsST #10 #35
TalentTal #62 #60
Blue ChipsBC% #69 #59
Kansas on Offense
CategoryCat
KU OffISU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #9 #36
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #8 #23
SP+SP+ #22 #18
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kansas Run Game
CategoryCat
KU OffISU Def
Run GameRun #48 #24
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #24 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #85
Kansas Pass Game
CategoryCat
KU OffISU Def
Pass GamePass #20 #33
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #21 #128
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Iowa State on Offense
CategoryCatISU OffKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #79 #54
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #87 #98
SP+SP+ #70 #58
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Iowa State Run Game
CategoryCat
ISU OffKU Def
Run GameRun #78 #80
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #131 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #82
Iowa State Pass Game
CategoryCatISU OffKU Def
Pass GamePass #34 #28
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #133 #89
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

KU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Iowa State -2.5 (53.0)
Kansas won at Iowa State this year (28-21)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Kansas last year (38-14)
Kansas beat Iowa State in 2024 (45-36)
Kansas beat Iowa State in 2023 (28-21)

  
KU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jason Bean12419962%213018710.7
Jalon Daniels567575%705519.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Neal2031280166.375
Daniel Hishaw Jr.12162685.229
Jason Bean4728236.050
Dylan McDuffie (Tr)4525345.636
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lawrence Arnold44782617.880
Quentin Skinner29587220.249
Luke Grimm33555616.860
Mason Fairchild27451316.759

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenny Logan Jr.865006
Austin Booker (Tr)5512801
JB Brown (Tr)545212
Rich Miller523202
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Booker (Tr)5512801
Jereme Robinson236556
JB Brown (Tr)545212
Rich Miller523202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ra'Mello Dotson341118
Kenny Logan Jr.865006
Jereme Robinson236556

ISU's OC Nathan Scheelhaase (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht23136763%31202388.5
J.J. Kohl91182%23002.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Abu Sama III8461467.377
Eli Sanders10247744.729
Cartevious Norton8734333.949
Carson Hansen226703.012
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Higgins53983618.575
Jaylin Noel66820712.482
Benjamin Brahmer28352212.648
Daniel Jackson16260216.339

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Freyler1064105
Caleb Bacon607382
Myles Purchase5651014
Malik Verdon471004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.R. Singleton224480
Zach Lovett114360
Caleb Bacon607382
Trent Jones II193340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Purchase5651014
Jeremiah Cooper4520110
T.J. Tampa443017