Texas at Iowa State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Texas logo (#8)Texas Longhorns at Iowa State Cyclones(#12)Iowa State logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (8:00 PM EST)
Texas -7.5 (43.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Texas 26 - Iowa State: 16  (Big 12)

 
Longhorns (12 - 2) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (16 - 12)
Avg Score : 36 - 19 (32 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TEX 2nd straight Road Game
ISU is playing their 4th straight game
TEX is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas -11   (SP+ TEX -16)

Projected Score: TEX: 29 - ISU: 18 (47)
TEX Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TEX Travel: 842 miles
Cyclones (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (47 - 42)
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (24 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas vs Rice-35.559.0W 37 - 10UN
Sat 9/9 Texas at Alabama+7.053.0W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/16 Texas vs Wyoming-31.048.5W 31 - 10UN
Sat 9/23 Texas at Baylor-17.549.5W 38 - 6UY
Sat 9/30 Texas vs Kansas-15.561.0W 40 - 14UY
Sat 10/7 Texas vs Oklahoma-4.062.0L 30 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Texas at Houston-24.060.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/28 Texas vs BYU-20.548.5W 35 - 6UY
Sat 11/4 Texas vs Kansas State-4.049.5W 33 - 30ON
Sat 11/11 Texas at TCU-13.056.0W 29 - 26UN
Sat 11/18 Texas at Iowa State-7.543.5W 26 - 16UY
Fri 11/24 Texas vs Texas Tech-16.553.5W 57 - 7OY
Sat 12/2 Texas vs Oklahoma State-14.055.0W 49 - 21OY
Mon 1/1 Texas vs Washington-3.061.5L 31 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Iowa State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Iowa State vs Northern Iowa-7.040.5W 30 - 9UY
Sat 9/9 Iowa State vs Iowa+3.535.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 9/16 Iowa State at Ohio-1.542.0L 7 - 10UN
Sat 9/23 Iowa State vs Oklahoma State-3.536.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Iowa State at Oklahoma+19.548.5L 20 - 50ON
Sat 10/7 Iowa State vs TCU+6.552.5W 27 - 14UY
Sat 10/14 Iowa State at Cincinnati+4.042.5W 30 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Iowa State at Baylor-3.047.0W 30 - 18OY
Sat 11/4 Iowa State vs Kansas-2.553.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/11 Iowa State at BYU-7.540.5W 45 - 13OY
Sat 11/18 Iowa State vs Texas+7.543.5L 16 - 26UN
Sat 11/25 Iowa State at Kansas State+9.546.0W 42 - 35OY
Fri 12/29 Iowa State vs Memphis-10.558.0L 26 - 36ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#33 (.28)45% (43)35.842% (81)3.19 (54)17648% (16)2663.84 (75)#15 (.1)36% (14)18.933% (5)38% (26)3.43 (38)47.51.11.6
ISU#57 (.21)37% (119)26.232% (132)2.34 (133)12041% (72)2453.72 (83)#32 (.13)39% (36)22.841% (46)39% (35)3.35 (27)43.50.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)40% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)46% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Offense1435.831.644.7%3.841.1214421762664.949%51%42%48%14%.28
ISU Defense1322.822.939.2%3.351.5 - - - - - 48%50%41%39%16%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Defense1418.919.235.9%3.431.6 - - - - - 41%58%33%38%19%.1
ISU Offense1326.223.936.8%3.720.8163651202454.148%52%32%41%14%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas1429:3121.439%63%5.947.51.11.65.42.1531
Iowa State1329:0916.339%63%4.843.50.81.54.81.6130.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Offense1449% (80)42% (81)35.6175.64.926 (30).21 (35)3.19 (54)64% (121)8% (33)1.13 (14)
ISU Defense1348% (43)41% (46) - - - - .05 (20)2.77 (20)68% (38)8% (123)0.9 (28)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Defense1441% (4)33% (5) - - - - -.06 (4)2.45 (5)54% (2)11% (37)0.79 (5)
ISU Offense1348% (87)32% (132)29.4119.94.116 (89).01 (126)2.34 (133)59% (130)9% (44)1.18 (5)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Offense1451% (50)48% (16)20.930.9266.48.612.724 (41)9 (40).35 (38)1.5 (102)30% (32)34% (32).45 (32)5% (46)2.1 (52)
ISU Defense1350% (84)39% (35) - - - - - - 16 (9).28 (74)1.7 (116)34% (41)28% (35).23 (24)8% (9)2 (60)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Defense1458% (131)38% (26) - - - - - - 16 (9).24 (52)1.7 (92)36% (20)28% (31).27 (42)8% (15)2.1 (87)
ISU Offense1352% (44)41% (72)18.529.32458.413.223 (51)8 (30).42 (25)1.8 (11)37% (132)30% (76).26 (91)5% (44)2 (100)

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 15.87 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 15.87   Iowa State: 9.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 24.6   Iowa State: 8.6




Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 9.04 #39
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Iowa State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Iowa State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Texas Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.6
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.2

Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 29
Iowa State 18


Total Points: 47

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.9

Iowa State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Iowa State16Texas26TexasTexas -7.5Texas43.5Under
202210/15Texas24Iowa State21TexasTexas -15.5Iowa State48.5Under
202111/06Iowa State30Texas7Iowa StateIowa State -6Iowa State59.5Under
202011/27Texas20Iowa State23Iowa StateIowa State -2Iowa State58.0Under
201911/16Iowa State23Texas21Iowa StateIowa State -7Texas64.5Under
201811/17Texas24Iowa State10TexasTexas -2.5Texas49.5Under
201709/28Iowa State7Texas17TexasTexas -5Texas61.5Under
201610/15Texas27Iowa State6TexasTexas -13.5Texas69.0Under
201510/31Iowa State24Texas0Iowa StateTexas -9.5Iowa State50.0Under
201410/18Texas48Iowa State45TexasTexas -11Iowa State0
201310/03Iowa State30Texas31TexasTexas -7.5Iowa State0
201211/10Texas33Iowa State7Texas
201110/01Iowa State14Texas37Texas
201010/23Texas21Iowa State28Iowa State
200710/13Iowa State3Texas56Texas
200609/23Texas37Iowa State14Texas
200310/18Iowa State19Texas40Texas
200210/26Texas21Iowa State10Texas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa State560 Overs
Texas1359 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 85 - 63 - 32 - 3
Road Teams8 - 106 - 53 - 23 - 3

(#11) Texas Info
Power Rating: 15.87 #11
Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40


Texas has won 4 straight
Texas has won 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 0 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Texas Highlights
Texas has Really Good Running Game (#47)
Texas has a really good defense (#25)
Texas has a good run defense (#38)
Texas has a good pass defense (#24)
Texas Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#31)
Texas Defensive Line is very good (#16)
Texas Secondary is very good (#26)
Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Texas Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatISUTEX
OverallOver#43#8
OffenseOff#69#15
DefenseDef#30#13
Special TeamsST#32#4
PassingPass#27#19
RushingRush#55#17
Run BlockRBLK#99#44
Pass BlockPBLK#116#3
Route RunningWR Rt#25#12
TacklingTkl#75#68
Run DefenseR Def#21#5
Pass Rush DefPRush#95#15
Coverage DefCov#28#49

Rematch from Week 12
Texas 7.5 (43.5)
Texas won at Iowa State this year (26-16)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Iowa State in 2023 (26-16)
Texas beat Iowa State in 2022 (24-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TEX | ISU
Depth Chart: TEX | ISU
Rosters: TEX | ISU
(#39) Iowa State Info
Power Rating: 9.04 #39
Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80


Iowa State has won 1 straight
Iowa State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Iowa State Highlights
Iowa State offense is explosive (#82)
Iowa State defense is really good in red zone (#50)
Iowa State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#78)
Iowa State Defensive Line is very good (#66)
Iowa State Secondary is very good (#38)
Iowa State has a great TO Margin (#82)
Iowa State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Iowa State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Iowa State Deficiencies
Iowa State offense is really bad (#56)
Iowa State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#68)
Iowa State run game is really bad (#94)


  
Texas's OC Kyle Flood
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Quinn Ewers27239469%34792268.8
Maalik Murphy407156%477336.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonathon Brooks1871139106.167
CJ Baxter Jr.13865954.854
Jaydon Blue6539836.169
Keilan Robinson12134311.257
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Worthy751014513.554
Adonai Mitchell (Tr)558451115.462
Ja'Tavion Sanders45682215.250
Jordan Whittington42505112.041

View Texas's Full Roster
Texas's DC Jeff Choate
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylan Ford9611162
Anthony Hill Jr.668532
Jahdae Barron554005
Michael Taaffe453012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hill Jr.668532
Ethan Burke399520
Byron Murphy II268560
Barryn Sorrell3443110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jerrin Thompson371007
Terrance Brooks200005
Jahdae Barron554005

Iowa State's OC Nathan Scheelhaase
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht23136763%31202388.5
J.J. Kohl91182%23002.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Abu Sama III8461467.377
Eli Sanders10247744.729
Cartevious Norton8734333.949
Carson Hansen226703.012
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Higgins53983618.575
Jaylin Noel66820712.482
Benjamin Brahmer28352212.648
Daniel Jackson16260216.339

View Iowa State's Full Roster
Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Freyler1064105
Caleb Bacon607382
Myles Purchase5651014
Malik Verdon471004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.R. Singleton224480
Zach Lovett114360
Caleb Bacon607382
Trent Jones II193340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Purchase5651014
Jeremiah Cooper4520110
T.J. Tampa443017