Northern Iowa at Iowa State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Northern Iowa Panthers at Iowa State Cyclones

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Iowa State -7 (40.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Iowa State 30 - Northern Iowa: 9

Panthers (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 31 (7 - 31 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Iowa State -9 (SP+ ISU -9)
ISU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%

Cyclones (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (47 - 42)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (32 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNI Players
ISU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northern Iowa's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Northern Iowa at Iowa State	+7.0	40.5	L 9 - 30	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Iowa's Schedule

Iowa State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Iowa State vs Northern Iowa	-7.0	40.5	W 30 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Iowa State vs Iowa	+3.5	35.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/16	Iowa State at Ohio	-1.5	42.0	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/23	Iowa State vs Oklahoma State	-3.5	36.0	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Iowa State at Oklahoma	+19.5	48.5	L 20 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/7	Iowa State vs TCU	+6.5	52.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Iowa State at Cincinnati	+4.0	42.5	W 30 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Iowa State at Baylor	-3.0	47.0	W 30 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Iowa State vs Kansas	-2.5	53.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/11	Iowa State at BYU	-7.5	40.5	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Iowa State vs Texas	+7.5	43.5	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/25	Iowa State at Kansas State	+9.5	46.0	W 42 - 35	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Iowa State vs Memphis	-10.5	58.0	L 26 - 36	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNI		0%	7	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	31	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ISU	.12	39%	27.4	37%	2.57	107	42%	262	3.51	.11	40%	20.2	39%	41%	3.26	45.7	1.8	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNI		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ISU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNI Offense	1	7	7	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ISU Defense	12	20.2	18.8	39.8%	3.26	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	39%	41%	17%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNI Defense	1	31	31	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ISU Offense	12	27.4	32.3	39.2%	3.51	1.8	20	369	107	262	3.3	41%	58%	37%	42%	15%	.12

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northern Iowa	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Iowa State	12	32:07	20.4	42%	56%	5.6	45.7	1.8	1.8	5.3	1.5	0	27.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNI Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
ISU Defense	12	53%	39%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.86	70%	11%	0.75

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNI Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
ISU Offense	12	41%	37%	32.8	107.2	3.3	10	-.02	2.57	60%	10%	0.81

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNI Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ISU Defense	12	45%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.24	1.4	31%	23%	.17	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNI Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ISU Offense	12	58%	42%	26.1	39.9	261.8	6.6	10	19	15	.26	1.5	34%	32%	.31	5%	1.9

Northern Iowa's Power Ratings
Northern Iowa's Power Rating: NR
Northern Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 184.63 #142
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Iowa's 2023 Expected Record: -
Northern Iowa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Iowa: Iowa State: 9.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Iowa: Iowa State: 8.6

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 9.04 #39
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 14.54 #87
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 4.14 #23
2023 Talent Rating: 638.87 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Iowa State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Iowa State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #34
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #70
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Northern Iowa Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Northern Iowa's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 25
Northern Iowa 16

Projected Total Points: 42

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Iowa State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/02	Iowa State	30	Northern Iowa	9	Iowa State -7	Iowa State	40.5	Under
2021	09/04	Iowa State	16	Northern Iowa	10	Iowa State -28.5	Northern Iowa	50.0	Under
2019	08/31	Iowa State	29	Northern Iowa	26	Iowa State -23.5	Northern Iowa	41.5	Over
2017	09/02	Iowa State	42	Northern Iowa	24	Iowa State -10	Iowa State	0
2016	09/03	Iowa State	20	Northern Iowa	25	Iowa State -11	Northern Iowa	0
2015	09/05	Iowa State	31	Northern Iowa	7	Iowa State -8.5	Iowa State	0
2013	08/31	Iowa State	20	Northern Iowa	28	Iowa State -5.5	Northern Iowa	0
2011	09/03	Iowa State	20	Northern Iowa	19
2010	09/25	Iowa State	27	Northern Iowa	0
2007	09/08	Iowa State	13	Northern Iowa	24
2006	09/30	Iowa State	28	Northern Iowa	27
2004	09/04	Iowa State	23	Northern Iowa	0
2003	08/30	Iowa State	17	Northern Iowa	10
2001	09/08	Iowa State	45	Northern Iowa	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa State	11	3	1 Overs
Northern Iowa	3	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 3	3 - 4	3 - 4	0 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 11	4 - 3	0 - 0	4 - 3

(#) UNI at (#39) ISU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNI	ISU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#39
SP+SP+	NR	#34
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#54
OffenseOff	NR	#79
DefenseDef	NR	#36
Spec TeamsST	NR	#35
TalentTal	#142	#60
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#59

Northern Iowa Injury Report

Iowa State Injury Report

Northern Iowa on Offense


CategoryCat	UNI Off	ISU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#36
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	#23
SP+SP+	NR	#18
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northern Iowa Run Game


CategoryCat	UNI Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#24
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#85

Northern Iowa Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNI Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#33
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#128
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Iowa State on Offense


CategoryCat	ISU Off	UNI Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#79	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#87	NR
SP+SP+	#70	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa State Run Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	UNI Def
Run GameRun	#78	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#131	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Iowa State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ISU Off	UNI Def
Pass GamePass	#34	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#133	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

UNI 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Iowa State -7.0 (40.5)
Iowa State won vs Northern Iowa this year (30-9)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Northern Iowa in 2023 (30-9)

UNI's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Aiden Dunne	4	11	36%	39	0	1	3.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Harrison Bey-Buie	127	487	5	3.8	20
Tye Edwards	27	143	3	5.3	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Derek Anderson	20	184	2	9.2	24
Harrison Bey-Buie	8	55	0	6.9	18
Aiden Dunne	2	9	0	4.5	5
Tye Edwards	1	-4	0	-4.0	0

View Northern Iowa's Full Roster

UNI's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jahsiah Galvan	50	2	1	2
Mo Olowo	10	0	0	1
Tucker Langenberg	5	0	0	0
Cannon Butler	0	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jahsiah Galvan	50	2	1	2
Mo Olowo	10	0	0	1
Tucker Langenberg	5	0	0	0
Cannon Butler	0	0	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jahsiah Galvan	50	2	1	2
Mo Olowo	10	0	0	1
Tucker Langenberg	5	0	0	0

ISU's OC Nathan Scheelhaase (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Rocco Becht	231	367	63%	3120	23	8	8.5
J.J. Kohl	9	11	82%	23	0	0	2.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Abu Sama III	84	614	6	7.3	77
Eli Sanders	102	477	4	4.7	29
Cartevious Norton	87	343	3	3.9	49
Carson Hansen	22	67	0	3.0	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Higgins	53	983	6	18.5	75
Jaylin Noel	66	820	7	12.4	82
Benjamin Brahmer	28	352	2	12.6	48
Daniel Jackson	16	260	2	16.3	39

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Beau Freyler	106	4	1	0	5
Caleb Bacon	60	7	3	8	2
Myles Purchase	56	5	1	0	14
Malik Verdon	47	1	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.R. Singleton	22	4	4	8	0
Zach Lovett	11	4	3	6	0
Caleb Bacon	60	7	3	8	2
Trent Jones II	19	3	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Purchase	56	5	1	0	14
Jeremiah Cooper	45	2	0	1	10
T.J. Tampa	44	3	0	1	7