Louisville at Indiana - 2023 Matchup Preview

Louisville Cardinals vs Indiana Hoosiers

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Louisville -10 (51.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Louisville 21 - Indiana: 14

Cardinals (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 4.5 (#19)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

IND 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Louisville -17.5 (SP+ LOU -18)
Projected Score: LOU: 35 - IND: 17 (52)
LOU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
LOU Travel: 110 miles

Hoosiers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tom Allen (31 - 42)
Avg Score : 42 - 12 (49 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LOU Players
IND Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisville's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Louisville vs Georgia Tech	-7.0	49.5	W 39 - 34	O	N
Thu 9/7	Louisville vs Murray State	-43.5	55.5	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Louisville vs Indiana	-10.0	51.0	W 21 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Louisville vs Boston College	-14.0	53.0	W 56 - 28	O	Y
Fri 9/29	Louisville at NC State	-3.5	56.5	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/7	Louisville vs Notre Dame	+6.5	53.0	W 33 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Louisville at Pittsburgh	-7.5	44.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Louisville vs Duke	-5.0	47.0	W 23 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Louisville vs Virginia Tech	-9.5	48.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Thu 11/9	Louisville vs Virginia	-20.5	49.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisville at Miami	+1.5	46.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Louisville vs Kentucky	-7.5	47.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/2	Louisville vs Florida State	+3.5	51.0	L 6 - 16	U	N
Wed 12/27	Louisville vs USC	-4.5	58.0	L 28 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Indiana's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Indiana vs Ohio State	+30.0	59.0	L 3 - 23	U	Y
Fri 9/8	Indiana vs Indiana State	-31.0	44.0	W 41 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Indiana vs Louisville	+10.0	51.0	L 14 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Indiana vs Akron	-16.5	45.5	W 29 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/30	Indiana at Maryland	+14.5	50.0	L 17 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Indiana at Michigan	+33.5	45.5	L 7 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/21	Indiana vs Rutgers	+6.0	39.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/28	Indiana at Penn State	+31.0	45.0	L 24 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Indiana vs Wisconsin	+9.5	45.0	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Indiana at Illinois	+4.5	43.5	L 45 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Indiana vs Michigan State	-3.5	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/25	Indiana at Purdue	+2.5	55.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	.19	41%	29.9	43%	3.18	201	41%	206	3.74	.07	40%	21.2	43%	38%	2.85	66	1.8	2.6
IND	.08	37%	41.6	40%	2.91	111	35%	217	3.39	.19	44%	11.7	39%	50%	3.94	45.6	1.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
IND		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Offense	13	29.9	23	41.3%	3.74	1.8	20	407	201	206	5	55%	44%	43%	41%	15%	.19
IND Defense	12	11.7	8.4	43.5%	3.94	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	39%	50%	14%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Defense	13	21.2	25.5	40.3%	2.85	2.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	43%	38%	20%	.07
IND Offense	12	41.6	49.1	37%	3.39	1.5	19	328	111	217	3.4	40%	60%	40%	35%	20%	.08

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisville	13	29:54	20.3	38%	40%	6.9	66	1.8	2.6	7.2	3.7	3	30
Indiana	12	25:38	19.2	34%	39%	5	45.6	1.5	1.2	5.3	1.7	2	27.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Offense	13	55%	43%	39.9	201	5	25	.21	3.18	69%	10%	1.13
IND Defense	12	54%	39%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.93	62%	9%	0.86

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Defense	13	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.97	60%	14%	0.92
IND Offense	12	40%	40%	33	110.8	3.4	15	.13	2.91	85%	12%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Offense	13	44%	41%	16.8	28.3	205.5	7.3	12.3	13	12	.22	1.6	34%	31%	.37	5%	2.1
IND Defense	12	46%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.41	1.5	29%	34%	.31	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Defense	13	48%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.16	1.6	33%	26%	.14	6%	2.1
IND Offense	12	60%	35%	21.7	40.2	217.4	5.4	10	16	13	.07	1.3	35%	21%	.08	8%	2

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 10.32 #21
Louisville's Offense Rating: 19.18 #44
Louisville's Defense Rating: 2.79 #16
2023 Talent Rating: 744.16 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Louisville's 2023 Expected Record: 9.50 - 4.50
Louisville's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 10.32 Indiana: -7.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 10.8 Indiana: -7.4

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: -7.07 #98
Indiana's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Indiana's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 677.57 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #41
Indiana's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Indiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #103
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Louisville 35
Indiana 17

Projected Total Points: 52

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 49.1
Defense: 11.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.4

Indiana's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Indiana	14	Louisville	21	Louisville -10	Indiana	51.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Indiana	0	1	0 Overs
Louisville	1	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#21) LOU at (#98) IND

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LOU	IND
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#21	#98
SP+SP+	#24	#90
Perf GradeGrade	#35	#101
OffenseOff	#41	#96
DefenseDef	#23	#104
Spec TeamsST	#98	#83
TalentTal	#29	#47
Blue ChipsBC%	#38	#41

Louisville Injury Report

Indiana Injury Report

Louisville on Offense


CategoryCat	LOU Off	IND Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#41	#104
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#44	#114
SP+SP+	#40	#72
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisville Run Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	IND Def
Run GameRun	#13	#34
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#88	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#64

Louisville Pass Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	IND Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#118
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#33	#132
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Indiana on Offense


CategoryCat	IND Off	LOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#96	#23
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#95	#16
SP+SP+	#103	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Indiana Run Game


CategoryCat	IND Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	#130	#33
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#50

Indiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	IND Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	#80	#62
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#104	#20
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
IND 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'23 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lucas Oil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Louisville 10.0 (51.0)
Louisville won at Indiana this year (21-14)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Indiana in 2023 (21-14)

LOU's OC Brian Brohm (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jack Plummer (Tr)	256	395	65%	3204	21	12	8.1
Brock Domann	5	5	100%	44	0	0	8.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jawhar Jordan	181	1128	13	6.2	74
Isaac Guerendo (Tr)	132	810	11	6.1	73
Maurice Turner	62	284	1	4.6	41
Keyjuan Brown	11	65	1	5.9	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamari Thrash (Tr)	63	858	6	13.6	85
Chris Bell	29	407	2	14.0	48
Kevin Coleman Jr.	24	332	2	13.8	58
Ahmari Huggins-Bruce	20	312	4	15.6	55

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Ron English (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
TJ Quinn	87	2	1	5	2
Devin Neal (Tr)	72	3	0	0	6
Cam'Ron Kelly	64	5	0	1	2
Jaylin Alderman	57	7	2	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ashton Gillotte	41	12	10	6	0
Mason Reiger	20	6	5	3	2
Ramon Puryear	19	6	4	3	0
Jared Dawson	13	4	3	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Quincy Riley	49	2	10
Jarvis Brownlee	30	1	6
Devin Neal (Tr)	72	3	6

IND's OC Walt Bell (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sorsby	135	236	57%	1582	15	5	6.7
Tayven Jackson (Tr)	78	128	61%	914	2	5	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trenten Howland	76	354	2	4.7	19
Josh Henderson	81	337	2	4.2	29
Brendan Sorsby	113	291	4	2.6	25
Jaylin Lucas	67	275	2	4.1	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Donaven McCulley	48	644	6	13.4	69
Dequece Carter (Tr)	27	395	3	14.6	90
Cam Camper	17	285	1	16.8	41
E.J. Williams (Tr)	23	276	0	12.0	27

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Matt Guerrieri (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aaron Casey	108	20	7	1	3
Louis Moore	84	1	0	0	1
Jacob Mangum-Farrar (Tr)	62	4	0	3	4
Phillip Dunnam	53	1	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aaron Casey	108	20	7	1	3
Lanell Carr (Tr)	33	9	5	2	2
Andre Carter (Tr)	49	11	2	3	3
Myles Jackson	25	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Phillip Dunnam	53	1	0	6
Jacob Mangum-Farrar (Tr)	62	4	3	4
Kobee Minor (Tr)	29	0	0	4