Louisville at Pittsburgh Game Matchup
Louisville logo Louisville Cardinals at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (6:30 PM EDT)
Louisville -7.5 (44.5) (-290)  Open: -8.0 | 47.5
Pittsburgh 38 - Louisville: 21  (ACC)

 
Cardinals (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (31 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 4.5 (#19)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
Wind: 12.7 MPH
PITT coming off BYE
LOU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -12   (SP+ LOU -17.5)

Projected Score: LOU: 32 - PITT: 20 (62)
LOU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 344 miles
Panthers (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (63 - 43)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisville's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Louisville vs Georgia Tech-7.049.5W 39 - 34ON
Thu 9/7 Louisville vs Murray State-43.555.5W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/16 Louisville vs Indiana-10.051.0W 21 - 14UN
Sat 9/23 Louisville vs Boston College-14.053.0W 56 - 28OY
Fri 9/29 Louisville at NC State-3.556.5W 13 - 10UN
Sat 10/7 Louisville vs Notre Dame+6.553.0W 33 - 20UY
Sat 10/14 Louisville at Pittsburgh-7.544.5L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Louisville vs Duke-5.047.0W 23 - 0UY
Sat 11/4 Louisville vs Virginia Tech-9.548.5W 34 - 3UY
Thu 11/9 Louisville vs Virginia-20.549.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/18 Louisville at Miami+1.546.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/25 Louisville vs Kentucky-7.547.5L 31 - 38ON
Sat 12/2 Louisville vs Florida State+3.551.0L 6 - 16UN
Wed 12/27 Louisville vs USC-4.558.0L 28 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Pittsburgh vs Wofford-37.549.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati-6.544.5L 21 - 27ON
Sat 9/16 Pittsburgh at West Virginia+2.548.0L 6 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina+7.049.5L 24 - 41ON
Sat 9/30 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech-3.040.0L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Pittsburgh vs Louisville+7.544.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Pittsburgh at Wake Forest-3.045.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/28 Pittsburgh at Notre Dame+21.045.5L 7 - 58ON
Sat 11/4 Pittsburgh vs Florida State+21.550.0L 7 - 24UY
Sat 11/11 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-4.537.5L 13 - 28ON
Thu 11/16 Pittsburgh vs Boston College-1.047.0W 24 - 16UY
Sat 11/25 Pittsburgh at Duke+4.540.5L 19 - 30ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU.1941%36.543%3.1820141%2063.74.0740%24.143%38%2.85661.82.6
PITT.1843%32.946%3.2118341%2223.84.0636%28.436%37%3.6263.71.52.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1336.531.341.3%3.741.820407201206555%44%43%41%15%.19
PITT Defense1328.421.636.3%3.622.2 - - - - - 42%57%36%37%22%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1324.125.240.3%2.852.6 - - - - - 51%48%43%38%20%.07
PITT Offense1332.937.643.4%3.841.5214051832224.655%44%46%41%16%.18

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1329:5420.338%40%6.9661.82.67.23.7330
Pittsburgh1333:1421.539%50%7.463.71.52.26.43.6530.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1355%43%39.9201525.213.1869%10%1.13
PITT Defense1342%36% - - - - .082.6176%12%1.16
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1351%43% - - - - .042.9760%14%0.92
PITT Offense1355%46%40.2183.14.630.183.2178%10%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1344%41%16.828.3205.57.312.31312.221.634%31%.375%2.1
PITT Defense1357%37% - - - - - - 14.081.639%29%.2910%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1348%38% - - - - - - 15.161.633%26%.146%2.1
PITT Offense1344%41%17.230.2222.27.4131311.261.631%32%.316%1.9

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 10.32 #21
Louisville's Offense Rating: 19.18 #44
Louisville's Defense Rating: 2.79 #16
2023 Talent Rating: 706.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Louisville's 2023 Expected Record: 9.50 - 4.50
Louisville's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 10.32   Pittsburgh: -1.67

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 10.8   Pittsburgh: -6.9




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: -1.67 #72
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
2023 Talent Rating: 672.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Pittsburgh's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Pittsburgh's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Louisville's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 32
Pittsburgh 20


Projected Total Points: 62
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Pittsburgh's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Louisville37Pittsburgh9LouisvilleLouisville -7Louisville57.0Under
202310/14Pittsburgh38Louisville21PittsburghLouisville -7.5Pittsburgh44.5Over
202210/22Louisville24Pittsburgh10LouisvilleLouisville -1.5Louisville55.0Under
202009/26Pittsburgh23Louisville20PittsburghPittsburgh -3Push53.0Under
201511/21Pittsburgh45Louisville34PittsburghPittsburgh -1.5Pittsburgh48.5Over
201210/13Pittsburgh35Louisville45Louisville
201111/12Louisville14Pittsburgh21Pittsburgh
201010/30Pittsburgh20Louisville3Pittsburgh
200910/02Louisville10Pittsburgh35Pittsburgh
200811/08Pittsburgh41Louisville7Pittsburgh
200710/27Louisville24Pittsburgh17Louisville
200611/25Pittsburgh24Louisville48Louisville
200511/03Louisville42Pittsburgh20Louisville
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh722 Overs
Louisville623 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 44 - 03 - 01 - 0
Road Teams4 - 90 - 40 - 10 - 3

(#21) Louisville Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.32 #21
Offense Rating: 19.18 #44
Defense Rating: 2.79 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 706.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Expected Record: 9.50 - 4.50

Team Profile






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Louisville     Ratings Matchup     Pittsburgh
Power #21
#72
Off #44
#115
Def #16
#35
Talent #46
#57
SP+ #24
#86
SP+ Off #40
#106
SP+ Def #26
#58

Rematch from Week 7
Louisville 7.5 (44.5)
Pittsburgh won vs Louisville this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Pittsburgh last year (37-9)
Pittsburgh beat Louisville in 2023 (38-21)
Louisville beat Pittsburgh in 2022 (24-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 51° - Wind: 13 mph


Team Information
Injuries: LOU | PITT
Depth Chart: LOU | PITT
Rosters: LOU | PITT
(#72) Pittsburgh Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.67 #72
Offense Rating: 11.42 #115
Defense Rating: 6.46 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.6 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58
Talent Rating: 672.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10

Team Profile






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Louisville's OC Brian Brohm
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Duane Martin31615.314
Kevin Coleman Jr.41102.89
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Coleman Jr.69844512.280
Ahmari Huggins-Bruce17230013.558
William Fowles229014.519
Duane Martin21708.511

View Louisville's Full Roster
Louisville's DC Ron English
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
M.J. Griffin632102
Ryheem Craig496210
Josh Minkins452004
Ashton Gillotte43105100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Gillotte43105100
Ramon Puryear344360
Ryheem Craig496210
Kameron Wilson103220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Riley333009
Josh Minkins452004
M.J. Griffin632102

Pittsburgh's OC Frank Cignetti Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Christian Veilleux (Tr)16629157%204713117.0
Gavin Bartholomew010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Carter2220849.543
Christian Veilleux (Tr)287412.623
Gavin Bartholomew1202.02
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Konata Mumpfield52813515.646
Gavin Bartholomew3832948.721
Israel Polk2420108.419
Cole Mitchell11124211.340

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster
Pittsburgh's DC Randy Bates
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan McMillon (Tr)1151007
Brandon George806270
Rashad Battle351018
P.J. O'Brien331001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Samuel Okunlola307310
Dayon Hayes164200
Brandon George806270
Solomon Deshields232120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rashad Battle351018
Donovan McMillon (Tr)1151007
Daniel Carter00011