Boston College at Louisville Game Matchup

Boston College Eagles at Louisville Cardinals

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Louisville -14 (53.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Louisville 56 - Boston College: 28 (ACC)

Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (16 - 22)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LOU is playing their 4th straight game
BC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -17 (SP+ LOU -16)
Projected Score: BC: 19 - LOU: 36 (56)
LOU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
BC Travel: 819 miles

Cardinals (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 4.5 (#19)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BC Players
LOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boston College vs Northern Illinois	-8.0	50.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/9	Boston College vs Holy Cross	-10.0	52.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/16	Boston College vs Florida State	+25.5	48.0	L 29 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Boston College at Louisville	+14.0	53.0	L 28 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/30	Boston College vs Virginia	-5.0	52.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/7	Boston College at Army	+2.5	47.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Boston College at Georgia Tech	+5.5	57.0	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Boston College vs UConn	-14.5	49.0	W 21 - 14	U	N
Fri 11/3	Boston College at Syracuse	+3.0	51.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+2.5	48.5	L 22 - 48	O	N
Thu 11/16	Boston College at Pittsburgh	+1.0	47.0	L 16 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/24	Boston College vs Miami	+13.5	50.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
Thu 12/28	Boston College vs SMU	+13.5	49.0	W 23 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Louisville's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Louisville vs Georgia Tech	-7.0	49.5	W 39 - 34	O	N
Thu 9/7	Louisville vs Murray State	-43.5	55.5	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Louisville vs Indiana	-10.0	51.0	W 21 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Louisville vs Boston College	-14.0	53.0	W 56 - 28	O	Y
Fri 9/29	Louisville at NC State	-3.5	56.5	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/7	Louisville vs Notre Dame	+6.5	53.0	W 33 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Louisville at Pittsburgh	-7.5	44.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Louisville vs Duke	-5.0	47.0	W 23 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Louisville vs Virginia Tech	-9.5	48.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Thu 11/9	Louisville vs Virginia	-20.5	49.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisville at Miami	+1.5	46.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Louisville vs Kentucky	-7.5	47.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/2	Louisville vs Florida State	+3.5	51.0	L 6 - 16	U	N
Wed 12/27	Louisville vs USC	-4.5	58.0	L 28 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	.12	37%	28.2	36%	2.23	64	38%	247	3.25	.19	42%	23.8	44%	42%	4.28	48.5	2.2	1.3
LOU	.19	41%	36.5	43%	3.18	201	41%	206	3.74	.07	40%	24.1	43%	38%	2.85	66	1.8	2.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	12	28.2	22.4	36.5%	3.25	2.2	17	311	64	247	2.1	37%	62%	36%	38%	25%	.12
LOU Defense	13	24.1	21.3	40.3%	2.85	2.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	43%	38%	20%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	12	23.8	28.8	42.4%	4.28	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	44%	42%	20%	.19
LOU Offense	13	36.5	41.8	41.3%	3.74	1.8	20	407	201	206	5	55%	44%	43%	41%	15%	.19

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	12	29:15	16.8	33%	44%	6	48.5	2.2	1.3	6.8	2.2	0	28.5
Louisville	13	29:54	20.3	38%	40%	6.9	66	1.8	2.6	7.2	3.7	3	30

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	12	37%	36%	30.3	64	2.1	6	-.04	2.23	68%	17%	0.88
LOU Defense	13	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.97	60%	14%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	12	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.03	78%	13%	0.99
LOU Offense	13	55%	43%	39.9	201	5	25	.21	3.18	69%	10%	1.13

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	12	62%	38%	21.8	36.7	247.1	6.7	11.3	21	14	.27	1.7	38%	27%	.34	8%	2.3
LOU Defense	13	48%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.16	1.6	33%	26%	.14	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	12	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.29	1.5	33%	30%	.37	7%	2.1
LOU Offense	13	44%	41%	16.8	28.3	205.5	7.3	12.3	13	12	.22	1.6	34%	31%	.37	5%	2.1

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -3.41 #82
Boston College's Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Boston College's Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
2023 Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Boston College's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Boston College's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -3.41 Louisville: 13.06

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -4.9 Louisville: 10.8

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 13.06 #21
Louisville's Offense Rating: 19.18 #44
Louisville's Defense Rating: 2.79 #16
2023 Talent Rating: 706.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #38
Louisville's 2023 Expected Record: 9.50 - 4.50
Louisville's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Boston College's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Louisville 36
Boston College 19

Projected Total Points: 56

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Louisville's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/25	Boston College	27	Louisville	31	Louisville	Louisville -7.0	Boston College	54.0	Over
2023	09/23	Louisville	56	Boston College	28	Louisville	Louisville -14	Louisville	53.0	Over
2022	10/01	Boston College	34	Louisville	33	Boston College	Louisville -13.5	Boston College	48.5	Over
2021	10/23	Louisville	28	Boston College	14	Louisville	Louisville -4	Louisville	57.5	Under
2020	11/28	Boston College	34	Louisville	27	Boston College	Boston College -1	Boston College	57.0	Over
2019	10/05	Louisville	41	Boston College	39	Louisville	Louisville -3.5	Boston College	61.0	Over
2018	10/13	Boston College	38	Louisville	20	Boston College	Boston College -11	Boston College	56.5	Over
2017	10/14	Louisville	42	Boston College	45	Boston College	Louisville -20	Boston College	60.0	Over
2016	11/05	Boston College	7	Louisville	52	Louisville	Louisville -24.5	Louisville	52.0	Over
2015	10/24	Louisville	17	Boston College	14	Louisville	Louisville -8.5	Boston College	37.0	Under
2014	11/08	Boston College	19	Louisville	38	Louisville	Louisville -2.5	Louisville	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisville	7	4	8 Overs
Boston College	4	7	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 4	6 - 5	4 - 3	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 7	5 - 6	2 - 2	3 - 4

(#82) Boston College Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.41 #82
Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78
Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50

Team Profile

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Boston College Ratings Matchup Louisville

Power #82

#21

Off #56

#44

Def #120

#16

Talent #37

#46

SP+ #81

#24

SP+ Off #83

#40

SP+ Def #78

#26

Rematch from Week 4
Louisville -14.0 (53.0)
Louisville won vs Boston College this year (56-28)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Boston College last year (31-27)
Louisville beat Boston College in 2023 (56-28)
Boston College beat Louisville in 2022 (34-33)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 82° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: BC | LOU
Depth Chart: BC | LOU
Rosters: BC | LOU

(#21) Louisville Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.06 #21
Offense Rating: 19.18 #44
Defense Rating: 2.79 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 706.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #38
Expected Record: 9.50 - 4.50

Team Profile

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Boston College's OC Steve Shimko

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kye Robichaux (Tr)	175	744	10	4.3	41
Pat Garwo III	55	246	5	4.5	25
Cam Barfield	33	158	0	4.8	21
Jaden Williams	1	9	0	9.0	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Williams	57	807	7	14.2	70
Taji Johnson	19	215	2	11.3	34
Cam Barfield	7	55	0	7.9	18
Pat Garwo III	11	48	0	4.4	13

View Boston College's Full Roster

Boston College's DC Aazaar Abdul-Rahim

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1
Kameron Arnold	40	0	0	0	1
Cameron Horsley	40	7	0	2	3
Neto Okpala	32	3	0	7	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1
Joe Marinaro	27	2	2	2	2
Shitta Sillah	30	6	1	0	1
Josh Hardy	1	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Horsley	40	7	0	2	3
Joe Marinaro	27	2	2	2	2
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1

Louisville's OC Brian Brohm

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Duane Martin	3	16	1	5.3	14
Kevin Coleman Jr.	4	11	0	2.8	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kevin Coleman Jr.	69	844	5	12.2	80
Ahmari Huggins-Bruce	17	230	0	13.5	58
William Fowles	2	29	0	14.5	19
Duane Martin	2	17	0	8.5	11

View Louisville's Full Roster

Louisville's DC Ron English

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
M.J. Griffin	63	2	1	0	2
Ryheem Craig	49	6	2	1	0
Josh Minkins	45	2	0	0	4
Ashton Gillotte	43	10	5	10	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Ashton Gillotte	43	10	5	10
Ramon Puryear	34	4	3	6
Ryheem Craig	49	6	2	1
Kameron Wilson	10	3	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Quincy Riley	33	3	0	9
Josh Minkins	45	2	0	4
M.J. Griffin	63	2	1	2