Louisville at Georgia Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview
Louisville logo   Louisville Cardinals vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets  Georgia Tech logo
Friday, September 1st 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Louisville -7 (49.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Louisville 39 - Georgia Tech: 34  (Aflac Kickoff)

 
Cardinals (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 4.5 (#19)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Louisville -10  (SP+ LOU -12)
Projected Score: LOU: 31 - GT: 21 (52)
LOU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 317 miles
Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Key (5 - 6)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (39 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 6.9 (#73)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisville's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Louisville vs Georgia Tech-7.049.5W 39 - 34ON
Thu 9/7 Louisville vs Murray State-43.555.5W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/16 Louisville vs Indiana-10.051.0W 21 - 14UN
Sat 9/23 Louisville vs Boston College-14.053.0W 56 - 28OY
Fri 9/29 Louisville at NC State-3.556.5W 13 - 10UN
Sat 10/7 Louisville vs Notre Dame+6.553.0W 33 - 20UY
Sat 10/14 Louisville at Pittsburgh-7.544.5L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Louisville vs Duke-5.047.0W 23 - 0UY
Sat 11/4 Louisville vs Virginia Tech-9.548.5W 34 - 3UY
Thu 11/9 Louisville vs Virginia-20.549.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/18 Louisville at Miami+1.546.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/25 Louisville vs Kentucky-7.547.5L 31 - 38ON
Sat 12/2 Louisville vs Florida State+3.551.0L 6 - 16UN
Wed 12/27 Louisville vs USC-4.558.0L 28 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Georgia Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Georgia Tech vs Louisville+7.049.5L 34 - 39OY
Sat 9/9 Georgia Tech vs South Carolina State-44.053.5W 48 - 13ON
Sat 9/16 Georgia Tech at Ole Miss+17.061.5L 23 - 48ON
Sat 9/23 Georgia Tech at Wake Forest+3.558.5W 30 - 16UY
Sat 9/30 Georgia Tech vs Bowling Green-21.049.5L 27 - 38ON
Sat 10/7 Georgia Tech at Miami+19.057.0W 23 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Georgia Tech vs Boston College-5.557.0L 23 - 38ON
Sat 10/28 Georgia Tech vs North Carolina+12.065.5W 46 - 42OY
Sat 11/4 Georgia Tech at Virginia+2.057.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 11/11 Georgia Tech at Clemson+17.555.5L 21 - 42ON
Sat 11/18 Georgia Tech vs Syracuse-6.551.5W 31 - 22OY
Sat 11/25 Georgia Tech vs Georgia+23.059.5L 23 - 31UY
Fri 12/22 Georgia Tech vs UCF+6.066.5W 30 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU.1941%29.943%3.1820141%2063.74.0740%21.243%38%2.85661.82.6
GT.0536%32.237%2.9613336%1923.25.1743%2548%39%3.1552.71.12.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
GT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1329.92341.3%3.741.820407201206555%44%43%41%15%.19
GT Defense122522.543.4%3.152.3 - - - - - 52%46%48%39%17%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1321.225.540.3%2.852.6 - - - - - 51%48%43%38%20%.07
GT Offense1232.238.736.3%3.251.1183251331923.849%50%37%36%21%.05

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1329:5420.338%40%6.9661.82.67.23.7330
Georgia Tech1228:1817.731%38%5.852.71.12.36.32.3126.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1355%43%39.9201525.213.1869%10%1.13
GT Defense1252%48% - - - - .223.3970%11%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1351%43% - - - - .042.9760%14%0.92
GT Offense1249%37%35.51333.813.132.9666%14%1.13

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1344%41%16.828.3205.57.312.31312.221.634%31%.375%2.1
GT Defense1246%39% - - - - - - 11.171.530%32%.275%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1348%38% - - - - - - 15.161.633%26%.146%2.1
GT Offense1250%36%18.331.8192.26.110.5109.031.438%27%.277%2

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 10.32  #21
Louisville's Offense Rating: 19.18  #44
Louisville's Defense Rating: 2.79  #16
2023 Talent Rating: 744.16  #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 14%  #38
Louisville's 2023 Expected Record: 9.50 - 4.50
Louisville's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8  #24
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #40
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 10.32   Georgia Tech: 0.315

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 10.8   Georgia Tech: -1.3




Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 0.315  #50
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 20.16  #35
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 12.77  #100
2023 Talent Rating: 710.85  #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 12  #41
Georgia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90
Georgia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3  #69
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7  #45
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3  #93

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 31
Georgia Tech 21


Projected Total Points: 52
Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Georgia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Louisville31Georgia Tech19Louisville -9.5Louisville56.0Under
202309/01Georgia Tech34Louisville39Louisville -7Georgia Tech49.5Over
202010/09Georgia Tech46Louisville27Louisville -4Georgia Tech62.0Over
201810/05Louisville31Georgia Tech66Georgia Tech -5.5Georgia Tech56.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Georgia Tech233 Overs
Louisville211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 23 - 11 - 02 - 1
Road Teams2 - 21 - 31 - 20 - 1

(#21) LOU at (#50) GT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLOUGT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #21 #50
SP+SP+ #24 #69
Perf GradeGrade #35 #69
OffenseOff #41 #51
DefenseDef #23 #94
Spec TeamsST #98 #64
TalentTal #29 #36
Blue ChipsBC% #38 #41
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCat
LOU OffGT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #41 #94
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #44 #100
SP+SP+ #40 #93
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffGT Def
Run GameRun #13 #114
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #88 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #46
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffGT Def
Pass GamePass #39 #38
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #33 #80
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Georgia Tech on Offense
CategoryCatGT OffLOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #51 #23
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #35 #16
SP+SP+ #45 #26
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Georgia Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
GT OffLOU Def
Run GameRun #22 #33
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #67 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #50
Georgia Tech Pass Game
CategoryCatGT OffLOU Def
Pass GamePass #57 #62
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #71 #20
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
GT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top G5

LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'23 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Louisville 7.0 (49.5)
Louisville won at Georgia Tech this year (39-34)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Georgia Tech in 2024 (31-19)
Louisville beat Georgia Tech in 2023 (39-34)

  
LOU's OC Brian Brohm (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Plummer (Tr)25639565%320421128.1
Brock Domann55100%44008.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jawhar Jordan1811128136.274
Isaac Guerendo (Tr)132810116.173
Maurice Turner6228414.641
Keyjuan Brown116515.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamari Thrash (Tr)63858613.685
Chris Bell29407214.048
Kevin Coleman Jr.24332213.858
Ahmari Huggins-Bruce20312415.655

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Ron English (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Quinn872152
Devin Neal (Tr)723006
Cam'Ron Kelly645012
Jaylin Alderman577202
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Gillotte41121060
Mason Reiger206532
Ramon Puryear196430
Jared Dawson134311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Riley4920010
Jarvis Brownlee301006
Devin Neal (Tr)723006

GT's OC Buster Faulkner (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Haynes King (Tr)22636762%284227167.7
Zach Pyron4850%21012.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamal Haynes174105976.167
Haynes King (Tr)120737106.171
Dontae Smith10050445.070
Trevion Cooley (Tr)6427434.323
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Singleton Jr.44664515.158
Malik Rutherford46502410.955
Dominick Blaylock (Tr)21337216.053
Christian Leary (Tr)25309212.444

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Kevin Sherrer (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford761120
Miles Brooks651006
Clayton Powell-Lee621002
Jaylon King590009
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Kennard4911610
Paul Moala5710342
Andre White213300
D'Quan Douse323200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylon King590009
KJ Wallace392117
Miles Brooks651006