Louisville at Miami - 2023 Matchup Preview

Louisville Cardinals at Miami Hurricanes

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Miami -1.5 (46.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Louisville 38 - Miami: 31 (ACC)

Cardinals (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (31 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 4.5 (#19)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.4 MPH
MIAMI is playing their 7th straight game
LOU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Miami -2.5 (SP+ MIAMI -1)
Projected Score: LOU: 26 - MIAMI: 29 (65)
MIAMI Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
LOU Travel: 905 miles

Hurricanes (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (8 - 7)
Avg Score : 44 - 25 (48 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.8 - 4.2 (#30)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LOU Players
MIAMI Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisville's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Louisville vs Georgia Tech	-7.0	49.5	W 39 - 34	O	N
Thu 9/7	Louisville vs Murray State	-43.5	55.5	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Louisville vs Indiana	-10.0	51.0	W 21 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Louisville vs Boston College	-14.0	53.0	W 56 - 28	O	Y
Fri 9/29	Louisville at NC State	-3.5	56.5	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/7	Louisville vs Notre Dame	+6.5	53.0	W 33 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Louisville at Pittsburgh	-7.5	44.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Louisville vs Duke	-5.0	47.0	W 23 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Louisville vs Virginia Tech	-9.5	48.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Thu 11/9	Louisville vs Virginia	-20.5	49.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisville at Miami	+1.5	46.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Louisville vs Kentucky	-7.5	47.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/2	Louisville vs Florida State	+3.5	51.0	L 6 - 16	U	N
Wed 12/27	Louisville vs USC	-4.5	58.0	L 28 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Miami's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Miami vs Miami (OH)	-16.5	45.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Miami vs Texas A&M	+3.0	50.5	W 48 - 33	O	Y
Thu 9/14	Miami vs Bethune-Cookman	-54.0	63.5	W 48 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/23	Miami at Temple	-23.0	46.5	W 41 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Miami vs Georgia Tech	-19.0	57.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/14	Miami at North Carolina	+2.5	57.5	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	Miami vs Clemson	+3.0	48.5	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Miami vs Virginia	-18.5	48.0	W 29 - 26	O	N
Sat 11/4	Miami at NC State	-6.5	44.0	L 6 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/11	Miami at Florida State	+14.5	50.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Miami vs Louisville	-1.5	46.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/24	Miami at Boston College	-13.5	50.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Miami vs Rutgers	+3.0	41.0	L 24 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	.19	41%	36.5	43%	3.18	201	41%	206	3.74	.07	40%	24.1	43%	38%	2.85	66	1.8	2.6
MIAMI	.13	44%	43.9	48%	3.09	128	42%	240	3.5	.15	41%	25.3	43%	40%	3.76	59.6	2.1	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MIAMI		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Offense	13	36.5	31.3	41.3%	3.74	1.8	20	407	201	206	5	55%	44%	43%	41%	15%	.19
MIAMI Defense	12	25.3	17	41.3%	3.76	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	40%	21%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Defense	13	24.1	25.2	40.3%	2.85	2.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	43%	38%	20%	.07
MIAMI Offense	12	43.9	47.8	44.3%	3.5	2.1	21	368	128	240	3.7	45%	54%	48%	42%	17%	.13

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisville	13	29:54	20.3	38%	40%	6.9	66	1.8	2.6	7.2	3.7	3	30
Miami	12	30:42	21.2	40%	41%	7	59.6	2.1	2.1	6.9	3.1	3	28.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Offense	13	55%	43%	39.9	201	5	25	.21	3.18	69%	10%	1.13
MIAMI Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.81	68%	14%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Defense	13	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.97	60%	14%	0.92
MIAMI Offense	12	45%	48%	34.5	128.1	3.7	12	.09	3.09	70%	11%	0.78

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Offense	13	44%	41%	16.8	28.3	205.5	7.3	12.3	13	12	.22	1.6	34%	31%	.37	5%	2.1
MIAMI Defense	12	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.21	1.8	32%	34%	.29	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Defense	13	48%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.16	1.6	33%	26%	.14	6%	2.1
MIAMI Offense	12	54%	42%	21.3	34.4	239.9	7	11.3	18	12	.2	1.5	31%	32%	.29	7%	1.8

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 10.32 #21
Louisville's Offense Rating: 19.18 #44
Louisville's Defense Rating: 2.79 #16
2023 Talent Rating: 706.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Louisville's 2023 Expected Record: 9.50 - 4.50
Louisville's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 10.32 Miami: 13.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 10.8 Miami: 11.7

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 13.3 #22
Miami's Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.26 #41
2023 Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 64 #11
Miami's 2023 Expected Record: 8.80 - 4.20
Miami's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Louisville's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Miami 29
Louisville 26

Projected Total Points: 65

Miami Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Miami's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Louisville	45	Miami	52	Miami	Miami -4.5	Miami	61.5	Over
2023	11/18	Miami	31	Louisville	38	Louisville	Miami -1.5	Louisville	46.5	Over
2020	09/19	Louisville	34	Miami	47	Miami	Miami -2.5	Miami	65.5	Over
2019	11/09	Miami	52	Louisville	27	Miami	Miami -6.5	Miami	49.0	Over
2014	09/01	Louisville	31	Miami	13	Louisville	Louisville -5.5	Louisville	55.5	Under
2013	12/28	Louisville	36	Miami	9	Louisville	Louisville -5.5	Louisville	60.0	Under
2006	09/16	Louisville	31	Miami	7	Louisville
2004	10/14	Miami	41	Louisville	38	Miami

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Miami	4	3	4 Overs
Louisville	4	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 3	3 - 3	3 - 1	0 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 5	3 - 3	2 - 0	1 - 3

(#21) Louisville Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.32 #21
Offense Rating: 19.18 #44
Defense Rating: 2.79 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 706.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Expected Record: 9.50 - 4.50

Team Profile

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Louisville Ratings Matchup Miami

Power #21

#22

Off #44

#42

Def #16

#41

Talent #46

#15

SP+ #24

#22

SP+ Off #40

#32

SP+ Def #26

#36

Rematch from Week 12
Miami -1.5 (46.5)
Louisville won at Miami this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Louisville last year (52-45)
Louisville beat Miami in 2023 (38-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 75° - Wind: 12 mph

Team Information
Injuries: LOU | MIAMI
Depth Chart: LOU | MIAMI
Rosters: LOU | MIAMI

(#22) Miami Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.3 #22
Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Defense Rating: 7.26 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36
Talent Rating: 976.00 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 64 #11
Expected Record: 8.80 - 4.20

Team Profile

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Louisville's OC Brian Brohm

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Duane Martin	3	16	1	5.3	14
Kevin Coleman Jr.	4	11	0	2.8	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kevin Coleman Jr.	69	844	5	12.2	80
Ahmari Huggins-Bruce	17	230	0	13.5	58
William Fowles	2	29	0	14.5	19
Duane Martin	2	17	0	8.5	11

View Louisville's Full Roster

Louisville's DC Ron English

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
M.J. Griffin	63	2	1	0	2
Ryheem Craig	49	6	2	1	0
Josh Minkins	45	2	0	0	4
Ashton Gillotte	43	10	5	10	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Ashton Gillotte	43	10	5	10
Ramon Puryear	34	4	3	6
Ryheem Craig	49	6	2	1
Kameron Wilson	10	3	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Quincy Riley	33	3	0	9
Josh Minkins	45	2	0	4
M.J. Griffin	63	2	1	2

Miami's OC Shannon Dawson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tyler Van Dyke	43	68	63%	422	1	0	6.2
Jacurri Brown	34	66	52%	387	1	4	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brashard Smith	234	1330	14	5.7	71
Henry Parrish Jr.	131	693	10	5.3	42
Jacurri Brown	53	401	4	7.6	67
Donald Chaney Jr.	50	178	3	3.6	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Restrepo	69	1127	11	16.3	77
Jacolby George	53	752	8	14.2	49
Elijah Arroyo	35	590	7	16.9	74
Brashard Smith	39	327	4	8.4	33

View Miami's Full Roster

Miami's DC Lance Guidry

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Francisco Mauigoa (Tr)	96	11	2	5	5
Corey Flagg Jr.	81	5	1	1	0
Nyjalik Kelly	53	10	6	1	1
Jared Harrison-Hunte	40	8	7	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jahfari Harvey	30	13	8	9	1
Jared Harrison-Hunte	40	8	7	5	0
Nyjalik Kelly	53	10	6	1	1
Chantz Williams	18	7	4	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daryl Porter Jr.	28	0	0	2	7
Francisco Mauigoa (Tr)	96	11	2	5	5
Chantz Williams	18	7	4	1	4