Louisville at Miami - 2023 Matchup Preview
Louisville logo Louisville Cardinals at Miami Hurricanes(#4)Miami logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Miami -1.5 (46.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Louisville 38 - Miami: 31  (ACC)

 
Cardinals (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (24 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 4.5 (#19)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MIAMI is playing their 7th straight game
LOU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Miami -2.5   (SP+ MIAMI -1)

Projected Score: LOU: 24 - MIAMI: 26 (50)
MIAMI Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
LOU Travel: 905 miles
Hurricanes (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (8 - 7)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (35 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.8 - 4.2 (#30)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisville's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Louisville vs Georgia Tech-7.049.5W 39 - 34ON
Thu 9/7 Louisville vs Murray State-43.555.5W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/16 Louisville vs Indiana-10.051.0W 21 - 14UN
Sat 9/23 Louisville vs Boston College-14.053.0W 56 - 28OY
Fri 9/29 Louisville at NC State-3.556.5W 13 - 10UN
Sat 10/7 Louisville vs Notre Dame+6.553.0W 33 - 20UY
Sat 10/14 Louisville at Pittsburgh-7.544.5L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Louisville vs Duke-5.047.0W 23 - 0UY
Sat 11/4 Louisville vs Virginia Tech-9.548.5W 34 - 3UY
Thu 11/9 Louisville vs Virginia-20.549.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/18 Louisville at Miami+1.546.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/25 Louisville vs Kentucky-7.547.5L 31 - 38ON
Sat 12/2 Louisville vs Florida State+3.551.0L 6 - 16UN
Wed 12/27 Louisville vs USC-4.558.0L 28 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Miami's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Miami vs Miami (OH)-16.545.0W 38 - 3UY
Sat 9/9 Miami vs Texas A&M+3.050.5W 48 - 33OY
Thu 9/14 Miami vs Bethune-Cookman-54.063.5W 48 - 7UN
Sat 9/23 Miami at Temple-23.046.5W 41 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Miami vs Georgia Tech-19.057.0L 20 - 23UN
Sat 10/14 Miami at North Carolina+2.557.5L 31 - 41ON
Sat 10/21 Miami vs Clemson+3.048.5W 28 - 20UY
Sat 10/28 Miami vs Virginia-18.548.0W 29 - 26ON
Sat 11/4 Miami at NC State-6.544.0L 6 - 20UN
Sat 11/11 Miami at Florida State+14.550.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 11/18 Miami vs Louisville-1.546.5L 31 - 38ON
Fri 11/24 Miami at Boston College-13.550.5W 45 - 20OY
Thu 12/28 Miami vs Rutgers+3.041.0L 24 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU#46 (.23)48% (11)30.751% (12)3.07 (80)17947% (26)2364.04 (53)#12 (.08)36% (13)21.335% (14)37% (16)3.9 (77)48.61.41.4
MIAMI#37 (.27)43% (52)31.543% (64)3.35 (24)17344% (43)2583.99 (56)#37 (.14)39% (31)22.838% (27)39% (38)4.53 (125)57.81.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)48% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)40% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)56% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)38% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1430.72448.4%4.041.4214151792364.751%48%51%47%16%.23
MIAMI Defense1322.821.438.5%4.531.4 - - - - - 47%52%38%39%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1421.326.335.8%3.91.4 - - - - - 47%53%35%37%19%.08
MIAMI Offense1331.534.643.3%3.991.7224311732585.147%52%43%44%14%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1432:1320.837%54%5.648.61.41.45.42.3130.8
Miami1331:5221.941%52%6.157.81.71.462.6229.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1451% (57)51% (12)38.1178.54.731 (17).2 (43)3.07 (80)73% (78)10% (64)0.93 (101)
MIAMI Defense1347% (36)38% (27) - - - - .07 (28)2.65 (12)70% (45)12% (27)1 (71)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1447% (26)35% (14) - - - - -.01 (14)2.4 (3)68% (37)12% (26)1 (68)
MIAMI Offense1347% (96)43% (64)33.8173.25.124 (41).2 (44)3.35 (24)82% (10)8% (21)1.03 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1448% (74)47% (26)1929.1236.48.112.422 (61)12 (85).3 (64)1.6 (82)26% (6)37% (18).45 (33)6% (74)2.1 (42)
MIAMI Defense1352% (102)39% (38) - - - - - - 12 (37).22 (41)1.6 (60)33% (47)28% (33).3 (62)5% (104)2.2 (111)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1453% (111)37% (16) - - - - - - 13 (26).19 (23)1.8 (123)37% (7)23% (3).24 (35)7% (32)2.4 (131)
MIAMI Offense1352% (42)44% (43)21.833.62587.711.923 (51)14 (107).39 (28)1.6 (55)30% (36)32% (63).36 (60)6% (91)2 (87)

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 10.32 #21
Louisville's Offense Rating: 19.18 #44
Louisville's Defense Rating: 2.79 #16
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Louisville's 2023 Expected Record: 9.50 - 4.50
Louisville's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 10.32   Miami: 13.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 10.8   Miami: 11.7




Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 13.3 #22
Miami's Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Miami's Defense Rating: 7.26 #41
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 64 #11
Miami's 2023 Expected Record: 8.80 - 4.20
Miami's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

Louisville's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 26
Louisville 24


Total Points: 50

Miami Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.6
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Miami's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Louisville45Miami52MiamiMiami -4.5Miami61.5Over
202311/18Miami31Louisville38LouisvilleMiami -1.5Louisville46.5Over
202009/19Louisville34Miami47MiamiMiami -2.5Miami65.5Over
201911/09Miami52Louisville27MiamiMiami -6.5Miami49.0Over
201409/01Louisville31Miami13LouisvilleLouisville -5.5Louisville55.5Under
201312/28Louisville36Miami9LouisvilleLouisville -5.5Louisville60.0Under
200609/16Louisville31Miami7Louisville
200410/14Miami41Louisville38Miami
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami434 Overs
Louisville432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 33 - 33 - 10 - 2
Road Teams3 - 53 - 32 - 01 - 3

(#21) Louisville Info
Power Rating: 10.32 #21
Offense Rating: 19.18 #44
Defense Rating: 2.79 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Expected Record: 9.50 - 4.50


Louisville has won 3 straight
Louisville has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 1 (1 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Louisville Highlights
Louisville has Really Good Running Game (#113)
Louisville offense is efficent (#77)
Louisville has a really good defense (#17)
Louisville has a good run defense (#25)
Louisville has a good pass defense (#17)
Louisville Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#69)
Louisville Defensive Line is very good (#70)
Louisville Front 7 is disruptive (#46)
Louisville defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville offense is not Explosive (#6)
Louisville Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#132)
Louisville gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#11)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMIAMILOU
OverallOver#10#29
OffenseOff#13#38
DefenseDef#18#19
Special TeamsST#74#77
PassingPass#20#31
RushingRush#22#10
Run BlockRBLK#29#66
Pass BlockPBLK#11#30
Route RunningWR Rt#17#60
TacklingTkl#45#44
Run DefenseR Def#16#29
Pass Rush DefPRush#19#18
Coverage DefCov#43#50

Rematch from Week 12
Miami -1.5 (46.5)
Louisville won at Miami this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Louisville last year (52-45)
Louisville beat Miami in 2023 (38-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LOU | MIAMI
Depth Chart: LOU | MIAMI
Rosters: LOU | MIAMI
(#22) Miami Info
Power Rating: 13.3 #22
Offense Rating: 19.30 #42
Defense Rating: 7.26 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #36
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 64 #11
Expected Record: 8.80 - 4.20


Miami has lost 2 straight
Miami has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 2 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Miami Highlights
Miami has a top Offensive Line (#31)
Miami Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Miami has a good run defense (#9)
Miami Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#61)
Miami Defensive Line is very good (#14)
Miami Front 7 is disruptive (#33)

Miami Deficiencies
Miami has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Miami throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Miami has a bad red zone defense (#72)


  
Louisville's OC Brian Brohm
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Plummer (Tr)25639565%320421128.1
Brock Domann55100%44008.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jawhar Jordan1811128136.274
Isaac Guerendo (Tr)132810116.173
Maurice Turner6228414.641
Keyjuan Brown116515.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamari Thrash (Tr)63858613.685
Chris Bell29407214.048
Kevin Coleman Jr.24332213.858
Ahmari Huggins-Bruce20312415.655

View Louisville's Full Roster
Louisville's DC Ron English
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Quinn872152
Devin Neal (Tr)723006
Cam'Ron Kelly645012
Jaylin Alderman577202
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Gillotte41121060
Mason Reiger206532
Ramon Puryear196430
Jared Dawson134311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Riley4920010
Jarvis Brownlee301006
Devin Neal (Tr)723006

Miami's OC Shannon Dawson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tyler Van Dyke21933366%270319128.1
Emory Williams447162%470316.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Henry Parrish Jr.10062566.338
Mark Fletcher Jr.10551454.954
Donald Chaney Jr.9447825.129
Ajay Allen (Tr)7036155.230
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Restrepo851092612.848
Jacolby George57864815.285
Colbie Young47563512.057
Brashard Smith22263212.054

View Miami's Full Roster
Miami's DC Lance Guidry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Francisco Mauigoa (Tr)7817863
James Williams721024
Kamren Kinchens523105
Corey Flagg Jr.477030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Francisco Mauigoa (Tr)7817863
Rueben Bain Jr.4212841
Branson Deen (Tr)154320
Wesley Bissainthe417220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamren Kinchens523105
Daryl Porter Jr.210014
James Williams721024