Kentucky at Louisville Game Matchup

Kentucky Wildcats at Louisville Cardinals

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Louisville -7.5 (47.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Kentucky 38 - Louisville: 31

Wildcats (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (69 - 59)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (18 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UK 2nd straight Road Game
LOU is playing their 5th straight game
UK is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -6.5 (SP+ LOU -2)
Projected Score: UK: 22 - LOU: 29 (51)
LOU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UK Travel: 69 miles

Cardinals (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 4.5 (#19)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UK Players
LOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Kentucky vs Ball State	-25.0	49.0	W 44 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky	-35.0	62.5	W 28 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/16	Kentucky vs Akron	-25.0	48.5	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Kentucky at Vanderbilt	-13.5	50.0	W 45 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Kentucky vs Florida	-1.0	44.0	W 33 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Kentucky at Georgia	+14.5	47.0	L 13 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/14	Kentucky vs Missouri	-1.5	50.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Kentucky vs Tennessee	+4.0	50.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Kentucky at Mississippi State	-5.5	44.5	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Kentucky vs Alabama	+10.0	45.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Kentucky at South Carolina	+2.5	52.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/25	Kentucky at Louisville	+7.5	47.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Kentucky vs Clemson	+3.5	44.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Louisville's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Louisville vs Georgia Tech	-7.0	49.5	W 39 - 34	O	N
Thu 9/7	Louisville vs Murray State	-43.5	55.5	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Louisville vs Indiana	-10.0	51.0	W 21 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Louisville vs Boston College	-14.0	53.0	W 56 - 28	O	Y
Fri 9/29	Louisville at NC State	-3.5	56.5	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/7	Louisville vs Notre Dame	+6.5	53.0	W 33 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Louisville at Pittsburgh	-7.5	44.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Louisville vs Duke	-5.0	47.0	W 23 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Louisville vs Virginia Tech	-9.5	48.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Thu 11/9	Louisville vs Virginia	-20.5	49.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisville at Miami	+1.5	46.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Louisville vs Kentucky	-7.5	47.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 12/2	Louisville vs Florida State	+3.5	51.0	L 6 - 16	U	N
Wed 12/27	Louisville vs USC	-4.5	58.0	L 28 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	.11	40%	20.6	43%	3	116	37%	208	3.23	.07	37%	22.1	38%	37%	3.15	39.5	1.5	1.5
LOU	.19	41%	36.5	43%	3.18	201	41%	206	3.74	.07	40%	24.1	43%	38%	2.85	66	1.8	2.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Offense	13	20.6	18	39.8%	3.23	1.5	18	325	116	208	3.3	51%	48%	43%	37%	18%	.11
LOU Defense	13	24.1	21.3	40.3%	2.85	2.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	43%	38%	20%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Defense	13	22.1	31	37.2%	3.15	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	38%	37%	14%	.07
LOU Offense	13	36.5	41.8	41.3%	3.74	1.8	20	407	201	206	5	55%	44%	43%	41%	15%	.19

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kentucky	13	33:08	17.6	34%	62%	5.7	39.5	1.5	1.5	4	1.5	2	27.5
Louisville	13	29:54	20.3	38%	40%	6.9	66	1.8	2.6	7.2	3.7	3	30

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Offense	13	51%	43%	35.6	116.2	3.3	9	.05	3	65%	13%	0.78
LOU Defense	13	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.97	60%	14%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Defense	13	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.91	62%	8%	1
LOU Offense	13	55%	43%	39.9	201	5	25	.21	3.18	69%	10%	1.13

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Offense	13	48%	37%	17.2	26.8	208.5	7.8	12.1	21	13	.23	1.9	34%	28%	.22	6%	2
LOU Defense	13	48%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.16	1.6	33%	26%	.14	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Defense	13	46%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.14	1.5	34%	26%	.18	6%	2.1
LOU Offense	13	44%	41%	16.8	28.3	205.5	7.3	12.3	13	12	.22	1.6	34%	31%	.37	5%	2.1

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 3.64 #43
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
2023 Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37% #20
Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 3.64 Louisville: 13.06

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 9.3 Louisville: 10.8

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 13.06 #21
Louisville's Offense Rating: 19.18 #44
Louisville's Defense Rating: 2.79 #16
2023 Talent Rating: 706.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #38
Louisville's 2023 Expected Record: 9.50 - 4.50
Louisville's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Louisville 29
Kentucky 22

Projected Total Points: 51

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Louisville's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Kentucky	14	Louisville	41	Louisville	Louisville -3.5	Louisville	48.5	Over
2023	11/25	Louisville	31	Kentucky	38	Kentucky	Louisville -7.5	Kentucky	47.5	Over
2022	11/26	Kentucky	26	Louisville	13	Kentucky	Kentucky -3.5	Kentucky	42.5	Under
2021	11/27	Louisville	21	Kentucky	52	Kentucky	Louisville -3	Kentucky	58.0	Over
2019	11/30	Kentucky	45	Louisville	13	Kentucky	Kentucky -3.5	Kentucky	51.0	Over
2018	11/24	Louisville	10	Kentucky	56	Kentucky	Kentucky -17	Kentucky	53.0	Over
2017	11/25	Kentucky	17	Louisville	44	Louisville	Louisville -10	Louisville	68.0	Under
2016	11/26	Louisville	38	Kentucky	41	Kentucky	Louisville -26	Kentucky	70.5	Over
2015	11/28	Kentucky	24	Louisville	38	Louisville	Louisville -4	Louisville	51.5	Over
2014	11/29	Louisville	44	Kentucky	40	Louisville	Louisville -14	Kentucky	0
2013	09/14	Kentucky	13	Louisville	27	Louisville	Louisville -10.5	Louisville	0
2012	09/02	Louisville	32	Kentucky	14	Louisville
2011	09/17	Kentucky	17	Louisville	24	Louisville
2010	09/04	Louisville	16	Kentucky	23	Kentucky
2009	09/19	Kentucky	31	Louisville	27	Kentucky
2008	08/31	Louisville	2	Kentucky	27	Kentucky
2007	09/15	Kentucky	40	Louisville	34	Kentucky
2006	09/03	Louisville	59	Kentucky	28	Louisville
2005	09/04	Kentucky	24	Louisville	31	Louisville
2004	09/05	Louisville	28	Kentucky	0	Louisville
2003	08/31	Kentucky	24	Louisville	40	Louisville
2002	09/01	Louisville	17	Kentucky	22	Kentucky
2001	09/01	Kentucky	10	Louisville	36	Louisville
2000	09/01	Louisville	40	Kentucky	34	Louisville

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisville	13	4	7 Overs
Kentucky	11	7	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 15	2 - 9	2 - 4	0 - 5
Road Teams	15 - 9	9 - 2	5 - 0	4 - 2

(#43) Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.64 #43
Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37% #20
Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Team Profile

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Kentucky Ratings Matchup Louisville

Power #43

#21

Off #60

#44

Def #72

#16

Talent #25

#46

SP+ #31

#24

SP+ Off #44

#40

SP+ Def #33

#26

Rematch from Week 13
Louisville -7.5 (47.5)
Kentucky won at Louisville this year (38-31)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Kentucky last year (41-14)
Kentucky beat Louisville in 2023 (38-31)
Kentucky beat Louisville in 2022 (26-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 47°

Team Information
Injuries: UK | LOU
Depth Chart: UK | LOU
Rosters: UK | LOU

(#21) Louisville Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.06 #21
Offense Rating: 19.18 #44
Defense Rating: 2.79 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #24
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #40
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 706.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #38
Expected Record: 9.50 - 4.50

Team Profile

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Kentucky's OC Liam Coen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Deuce Hogan	6	18	33%	31	0	2	1.7
Wilson Berry	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Demie Sumo	129	586	5	4.5	22
Deuce Hogan	4	-3	0	-0.8	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Demie Sumo	20	154	0	7.7	18
Shamar Porter	6	113	3	18.8	39
Izayah Cummings	3	33	0	11.0	19
Ardell Banks	2	20	0	10.0	13

View Kentucky's Full Roster

Kentucky's DC Brad White

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zion Childress	55	6	1	6	2
Deone Walker	37	5	2	0	2
Tre'Vonn Rybka	34	5	3	2	1
Elijah Reed	32	2	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keaten Wade	20	7	4	1	0
J.J. Weaver	31	7	4	4	1
Tre'Vonn Rybka	34	5	3	2	1
Octavious Oxendine	20	5	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Reed	32	2	0	1	4
Maxwell Hairston	19	1	1	0	4
D'Eryk Jackson	32	4	1	0	3

Louisville's OC Brian Brohm

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Duane Martin	3	16	1	5.3	14
Kevin Coleman Jr.	4	11	0	2.8	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kevin Coleman Jr.	69	844	5	12.2	80
Ahmari Huggins-Bruce	17	230	0	13.5	58
William Fowles	2	29	0	14.5	19
Duane Martin	2	17	0	8.5	11

View Louisville's Full Roster

Louisville's DC Ron English

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
M.J. Griffin	63	2	1	0	2
Ryheem Craig	49	6	2	1	0
Josh Minkins	45	2	0	0	4
Ashton Gillotte	43	10	5	10	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Ashton Gillotte	43	10	5	10
Ramon Puryear	34	4	3	6
Ryheem Craig	49	6	2	1
Kameron Wilson	10	3	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Quincy Riley	33	3	0	9
Josh Minkins	45	2	0	4
M.J. Griffin	63	2	1	2