Auburn at Texas A&M - 2023 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo (#22)Auburn Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies(#10)Texas A&M logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -9.5 (51.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Texas A&M 27 - Auburn: 10  (SEC)

 
Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (24 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TA&M 2nd straight Home Game
TA&M is playing their 4th straight game
AUB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -10.5   (SP+ TA&M -7)

Projected Score: AUB: 20 - TA&M: 31 (51)
TA&M Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
AUB Travel: 653 miles
Aggies (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Elijah Robinson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (38 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 3.4 (#18)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Auburn's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Auburn vs Massachusetts-35.052.0W 59 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Auburn at California-5.055.5W 14 - 10UN
Sat 9/16 Auburn vs Samford-37.562.0W 45 - 13UN
Sat 9/23 Auburn at Texas A&M+9.551.0L 10 - 27UN
Sat 9/30 Auburn vs Georgia+14.044.5L 20 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Auburn at LSU+11.060.0L 18 - 48ON
Sat 10/21 Auburn vs Ole Miss+6.555.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Auburn vs Mississippi State-6.540.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 11/4 Auburn at Vanderbilt-12.550.0W 31 - 15UY
Sat 11/11 Auburn at Arkansas+2.546.5W 48 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Auburn vs New Mexico State-25.548.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 11/25 Auburn vs Alabama+14.048.0L 24 - 27OY
Sat 12/30 Auburn vs Maryland-4.047.5L 13 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas A&M vs New Mexico-37.548.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/9 Texas A&M at Miami-3.050.5L 33 - 48ON
Sat 9/16 Texas A&M vs UL Monroe-36.553.5W 47 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Texas A&M vs Auburn-9.551.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-6.553.5W 34 - 22OY
Sat 10/7 Texas A&M vs Alabama+2.545.0L 20 - 26ON
Sat 10/14 Texas A&M at Tennessee+3.054.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-17.051.5W 30 - 17UN
Sat 11/4 Texas A&M at Ole Miss+3.052.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/11 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-16.540.5W 51 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Texas A&M vs Abilene Christian-40.554.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 11/25 Texas A&M at LSU+10.567.5L 30 - 42ON
Wed 12/27 Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State+4.056.0L 23 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#93 (.14)41% (80)26.245% (44)3.01 (86)18937% (110)1623.99 (58)#48 (.15)40% (42)22.643% (72)37% (20)3.65 (56)43.81.51.4
TA&M#42 (.24)43% (54)33.344% (58)3.02 (85)13643% (58)2714.15 (44)#21 (.1)37% (20)22.134% (7)40% (46)2.76 (6)45.51.11
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
TA&M#54 (.21)45% (41)46% (38)3.29 (27)18543% (58)1883.63 (93)#67 (.16)38% (23)40% (38)37% (22)3.03 (9)60.711.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1326.224.241.3%3.991.5193511891624.856%43%45%37%16%.14
TA&M Defense1322.112.337%2.761 - - - - - 47%52%34%40%22%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1322.62240%3.651.4 - - - - - 52%47%43%37%17%.15
TA&M Offense1333.337.943.2%4.151.1224071362713.948%51%44%43%14%.24

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1329:0318.533%50%5.543.81.51.45.52.1229.4
Texas A&M1331:2422.143%60%5.945.51.117.43.2235.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1356% (20)45% (44)39.51894.822 (51).19 (47)3.01 (86)74% (69)11% (85)1.02 (58)
TA&M Defense1347% (35)34% (7) - - - - -.03 (9)2.46 (6)61% (13)15% (4)0.99 (67)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1352% (103)43% (72) - - - - .13 (63)2.95 (40)86% (126)10% (57)0.94 (39)
TA&M Offense1348% (84)44% (58)35.1136.23.923 (46).14 (76)3.02 (85)78% (33)9% (50)0.94 (97)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1343% (114)37% (110)14.524.4162.26.711.218 (81)13 (97).12 (120)1.6 (74)32% (76)25% (117).14 (121)5% (41)1.9 (112)
TA&M Defense1352% (99)40% (46) - - - - - - 9 (87).28 (77)1.7 (98)38% (3)26% (22).18 (11)7% (33)2.2 (118)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1347% (30)37% (20) - - - - - - 12 (37).2 (33)1.8 (125)35% (22)31% (79).29 (57)7% (49)2.2 (97)
TA&M Offense1351% (48)43% (58)21.132.7270.88.312.924 (41)9 (40).35 (41)1.7 (23)31% (60)33% (46).46 (26)5% (31)2.3 (17)

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 6.28 #32
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Auburn's Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #15
Auburn's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Auburn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 6.28   Texas A&M: 17.675

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 8.1   Texas A&M: 15.4




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 17.675 #13
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 75 #4
Texas A&M's 2023 Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40
Texas A&M's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.2
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Auburn's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 31
Auburn 20


Total Points: 51

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.3

Texas A&M's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Auburn43Texas A&M41AuburnTexas A&M -2.5Auburn47.0Over
202309/23Texas A&M27Auburn10Texas A&MTexas A&M -9.5Texas A&M51.0Under
202211/12Auburn13Texas A&M10AuburnAuburn -1.5Auburn48.0Under
202111/06Texas A&M20Auburn3Texas A&MTexas A&M -4.5Texas A&M49.5Under
202012/05Auburn20Texas A&M31Texas A&MTexas A&M -6.0Texas A&M49.0Over
201909/21Texas A&M20Auburn28AuburnTexas A&M -4Auburn48.5Under
201811/03Auburn28Texas A&M24AuburnAuburn -3.5Auburn47.0Over
201711/04Texas A&M27Auburn42AuburnAuburn -15NA51.5Over
201609/17Auburn16Texas A&M29Texas A&MAuburn -4Texas A&M55.5Under
201511/07Texas A&M10Auburn26AuburnTexas A&M -8.5Auburn58.5Under
201411/08Auburn38Texas A&M41Texas A&MAuburn -14.5Texas A&M0
201310/19Texas A&M41Auburn45AuburnTexas A&M -12Auburn0
201210/27Auburn21Texas A&M63Texas A&M
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M654 Overs
Auburn766 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 85 - 64 - 51 - 1
Road Teams8 - 56 - 51 - 15 - 4

(#32) Auburn Info
Power Rating: 6.28 #32
Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #15
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70


Auburn has won 3 straight
Auburn has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Auburn Highlights
Auburn has Really Good Running Game (#11)
Auburn has a good pass defense (#64)

Auburn Deficiencies
Auburn offense is not Explosive (#125)
Auburn pass game is really bad (#25)
Auburn offense is bad on 3rd Downs

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTA&MAUB
OverallOver#14#39
OffenseOff#29#81
DefenseDef#17#14
Special TeamsST#27#39
PassingPass#15#76
RushingRush#66#31
Run BlockRBLK#35#51
Pass BlockPBLK#82#56
Route RunningWR Rt#16#102
TacklingTkl#84#19
Run DefenseR Def#14#18
Pass Rush DefPRush#22#64
Coverage DefCov#39#14

Rematch from Week 4
Texas A&M -9.5 (51.0)
Texas A&M won vs Auburn this year (27-10)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Texas A&M last year (43-41)
Texas A&M beat Auburn in 2023 (27-10)
Auburn beat Texas A&M in 2022 (13-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AUB | TA&M
Depth Chart: AUB | TA&M
Rosters: AUB | TA&M
(#13) Texas A&M Info
Power Rating: 17.675 #13
Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 75 #4
Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40


Texas A&M has won 1 straight
Texas A&M has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas A&M Highlights
Texas A&M does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#70)

Texas A&M Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Texas A&M has a really good defense (#36)
Texas A&M defense is really good in red zone (#116)
Texas A&M has a good run defense (#25)
Texas A&M Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#48)
Texas A&M Defensive Line is very good (#28)
Texas A&M Front 7 is disruptive (#38)
Texas A&M has a great TO Margin (#28)

Texas A&M Deficiencies
Texas A&M gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#124)


  
Auburn's OC Philip Montgomery
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Payton Thorne (Tr)16226561%175516106.6
Robby Ashford142752%145225.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jarquez Hunter15990975.767
Payton Thorne (Tr)13451533.861
Damari Alston6432025.056
Brian Battie (Tr)5122714.524
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Rivaldo Fairweather (Tr)38394610.453
Ja'Varrius Johnson19347318.345
Jay Fair31324210.536
Caleb Burton (Tr)16226014.153

View Auburn's Full Roster
Auburn's DC Ron Roberts
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eugene Asante869551
Jalen McLeod (Tr)5011651
Larry Nixon III (Tr)503020
Keionte Scott422025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Harris4011711
Jalen McLeod (Tr)5011651
Eugene Asante869551
Cam Riley314331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D.J. James384009
Kayin Lee192016
Keionte Scott422025

Texas A&M's OC Bobby Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Johnson11819062%1452957.6
Conner Weigman8211969%979828.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Amari Daniels10553265.179
Le'Veon Moss9648455.036
Rueben Owens10138533.828
Jaylen Henderson (Tr)4110422.522
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ainias Smith53795215.042
Jahdae Walker (Tr)35590216.940
Evan Stewart38514413.544
Noah Thomas29359512.434

View Texas A&M's Full Roster
Texas A&M's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edgerrin Cooper83191092
Taurean York749350
Demani Richardson593143
Bryce Anderson568334
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edgerrin Cooper83191092
Shemar Turner319530
Fadil Diggs3611462
Walter Nolen368401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deuce Harmon181007
Josh DeBerry (Tr)395117
Tyreek Chappell211006