Auburn at Texas A&M - 2023 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo   Auburn Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies  Texas A&M logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -9.5 (51.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Texas A&M 27 - Auburn: 10  (SEC)

 
Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TA&M 2nd straight Home Game
TA&M is playing their 4th straight game
AUB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -10.5  (SP+ TA&M -7)
Projected Score: AUB: 20 - TA&M: 31 (51)
TA&M Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
AUB Travel: 653 miles
Aggies (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Jimbo Fisher (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 3.4 (#18)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Auburn's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Auburn vs Massachusetts-35.052.0W 59 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Auburn at California-5.055.5W 14 - 10UN
Sat 9/16 Auburn vs Samford-37.562.0W 45 - 13UN
Sat 9/23 Auburn at Texas A&M+9.551.0L 10 - 27UN
Sat 9/30 Auburn vs Georgia+14.044.5L 20 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Auburn at LSU+11.060.0L 18 - 48ON
Sat 10/21 Auburn vs Ole Miss+6.555.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Auburn vs Mississippi State-6.540.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 11/4 Auburn at Vanderbilt-12.550.0W 31 - 15UY
Sat 11/11 Auburn at Arkansas+2.546.5W 48 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Auburn vs New Mexico State-25.548.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 11/25 Auburn vs Alabama+14.048.0L 24 - 27OY
Sat 12/30 Auburn vs Maryland-4.047.5L 13 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas A&M vs New Mexico-37.548.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/9 Texas A&M at Miami-3.050.5L 33 - 48ON
Sat 9/16 Texas A&M vs UL Monroe-36.553.5W 47 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Texas A&M vs Auburn-9.551.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-6.553.5W 34 - 22OY
Sat 10/7 Texas A&M vs Alabama+2.545.0L 20 - 26ON
Sat 10/14 Texas A&M at Tennessee+3.054.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-17.051.5W 30 - 17UN
Sat 11/4 Texas A&M at Ole Miss+3.052.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/11 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-16.540.5W 51 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Texas A&M vs Abilene Christian-40.554.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 11/25 Texas A&M at LSU+10.567.5L 30 - 42ON
Wed 12/27 Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State+4.056.0L 23 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB.239%26.843%3.0120633%1733.74.1842%20.749%36%4.5757.31.81.5
TA&M.1440%33.845%3.0314236%2193.78.1240%2143%35%3.0449.11.51.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1226.827.239%3.741.8183792061735.159%40%43%33%19%.2
TA&M Defense122115.340%3.041.9 - - - - - 60%40%43%35%16%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1220.726.642.2%4.571.5 - - - - - 49%51%49%36%15%.18
TA&M Offense1233.831.140.1%3.781.5193621422194.746%54%45%36%19%.14

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1230:1318.136%59%7.557.31.81.55.22.2129.3
Texas A&M1227:5019.436%36%6.349.11.51.95.51.6127.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1259%43%40.7205.85.125.253.0186%13%1.24
TA&M Defense1260%43% - - - - .113.0876%10%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1249%49% - - - - .233.1476%10%1
TA&M Offense1246%45%30.6142.34.712.143.0369%11%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1240%33%13.325.7172.76.713912.141.837%27%.255%2.2
TA&M Defense1240%35% - - - - - - 4.141.635%27%.275%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1251%36% - - - - - - 6.131.534%32%.356%2.1
TA&M Offense1254%36%18.332.6219.46.712186.181.634%28%.267%2.2

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 6.28  #32
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.07  #70
Auburn's Defense Rating: 7.76  #44
2023 Talent Rating: 770.94  #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 52%  #15
Auburn's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Auburn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1  #36
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #65
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 6.28   Texas A&M: 17.675

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 8.1   Texas A&M: 15.4




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 17.675  #13
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 16.69  #63
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.57  #9
2023 Talent Rating: 925.92  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 75  #4
Texas A&M's 2023 Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40
Texas A&M's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4  #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #20
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7  #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.6

Auburn's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 31
Auburn 20

Projected Total Points: 51
Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Texas A&M's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Texas A&M16Auburn10Texas A&M -6.5Auburn51.5Under
202411/23Auburn43Texas A&M41Texas A&M -2.5Auburn47.0Over
202309/23Texas A&M27Auburn10Texas A&M -9.5Texas A&M51.0Under
202211/12Auburn13Texas A&M10Auburn -1.5Auburn48.0Under
202111/06Texas A&M20Auburn3Texas A&M -4.5Texas A&M49.5Under
202012/05Auburn20Texas A&M31Texas A&M -6.0Texas A&M49.0Over
201909/21Texas A&M20Auburn28Texas A&M -4Auburn48.5Under
201811/03Auburn28Texas A&M24Auburn -3.5Auburn47.0Over
201711/04Texas A&M27Auburn42Auburn -15NA51.5Over
201609/17Auburn16Texas A&M29Auburn -4Texas A&M55.5Under
201511/07Texas A&M10Auburn26Texas A&M -8.5Auburn58.5Under
201411/08Auburn38Texas A&M41Auburn -14.5Texas A&M0
201310/19Texas A&M41Auburn45Texas A&M -12Auburn0
201210/27Auburn21Texas A&M63
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M754 Overs
Auburn777 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 85 - 74 - 61 - 1
Road Teams8 - 67 - 51 - 16 - 4

(#32) AUB at (#13) TA&M
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAUBTA&M
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #32 #13
SP+SP+ #36 #15
Perf GradeGrade #47 #18
OffenseOff #94 #32
DefenseDef #18 #21
Spec TeamsST #46 #27
TalentTal #18 #4
Blue ChipsBC% #15 #4
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCat
AUB OffTA&M Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #94 #21
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #70 #9
SP+SP+ #65 #15
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffTA&M Def
Run GameRun #46 #17
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #64 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #98
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePass #91 #48
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #64 #25
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas A&M on Offense
CategoryCatTA&M OffAUB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #32 #18
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #63 #44
SP+SP+ #20 #24
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas A&M Run Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffAUB Def
Run GameRun #93 #21
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #21
Texas A&M Pass Game
CategoryCatTA&M OffAUB Def
Pass GamePass #16 #16
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #95 #81
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Texas A&M -9.5 (51.0)
Texas A&M won vs Auburn this year (27-10)

Previous Matchups
Texas A&M beat Auburn last year (16-10)
Auburn beat Texas A&M in 2024 (43-41)
Texas A&M beat Auburn in 2023 (27-10)

  
AUB's OC Philip Montgomery (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Payton Thorne (Tr)16226561%175516106.6
Robby Ashford142752%145225.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jarquez Hunter15990975.767
Payton Thorne (Tr)13451533.861
Damari Alston6432025.056
Brian Battie (Tr)5122714.524
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Rivaldo Fairweather (Tr)38394610.453
Ja'Varrius Johnson19347318.345
Jay Fair31324210.536
Caleb Burton (Tr)16226014.153

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC Ron Roberts (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eugene Asante869551
Jalen McLeod (Tr)5011651
Larry Nixon III (Tr)503020
Keionte Scott422025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Harris4011711
Jalen McLeod (Tr)5011651
Eugene Asante869551
Cam Riley314331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D.J. James384009
Kayin Lee192016
Keionte Scott422025

TA&M's OC Bobby Petrino (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Johnson11819062%1452957.6
Conner Weigman8211969%979828.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Amari Daniels10553265.179
Le'Veon Moss9648455.036
Rueben Owens10138533.828
Jaylen Henderson (Tr)4110422.522
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ainias Smith53795215.042
Jahdae Walker (Tr)35590216.940
Evan Stewart38514413.544
Noah Thomas29359512.434

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC D. J. Durkin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edgerrin Cooper83191092
Taurean York749350
Demani Richardson593143
Bryce Anderson568334
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edgerrin Cooper83191092
Shemar Turner319530
Fadil Diggs3611462
Walter Nolen368401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deuce Harmon181007
Josh DeBerry (Tr)395117
Tyreek Chappell211006