Auburn at Texas A&M Game Matchup
Auburn logo Auburn Tigers at Texas A&M AggiesTexas A&M logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Texas A&M -9.5 (51.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Texas A&M 27 - Auburn: 10  (SEC)

 
Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (17 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 94.8° (48% Hum)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
TA&M 2nd straight Home Game
TA&M is playing their 4th straight game
AUB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -10.5   (SP+ TA&M -7)
Projected Score: AUB: 19 - TA&M: 30 (51)
TA&M Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
AUB Travel: 653 miles
Aggies (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Elijah Robinson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 22 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 3.4 (#18)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Auburn's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Auburn vs Massachusetts-35.052.0W 59 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Auburn at California-5.055.5W 14 - 10UN
Sat 9/16 Auburn vs Samford-37.562.0W 45 - 13UN
Sat 9/23 Auburn at Texas A&M+9.551.0L 10 - 27UN
Sat 9/30 Auburn vs Georgia+14.044.5L 20 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Auburn at LSU+11.060.0L 18 - 48ON
Sat 10/21 Auburn vs Ole Miss+6.555.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Auburn vs Mississippi State-6.540.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 11/4 Auburn at Vanderbilt-12.550.0W 31 - 15UY
Sat 11/11 Auburn at Arkansas+2.546.5W 48 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Auburn vs New Mexico State-25.548.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 11/25 Auburn vs Alabama+14.048.0L 24 - 27OY
Sat 12/30 Auburn vs Maryland-4.047.5L 13 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas A&M vs New Mexico-37.548.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/9 Texas A&M at Miami-3.050.5L 33 - 48ON
Sat 9/16 Texas A&M vs UL Monroe-36.553.5W 47 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Texas A&M vs Auburn-9.551.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-6.553.5W 34 - 22OY
Sat 10/7 Texas A&M vs Alabama+2.545.0L 20 - 26ON
Sat 10/14 Texas A&M at Tennessee+3.054.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-17.051.5W 30 - 17UN
Sat 11/4 Texas A&M at Ole Miss+3.052.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/11 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-16.540.5W 51 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Texas A&M vs Abilene Christian-40.554.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 11/25 Texas A&M at LSU+10.567.5L 30 - 42ON
Wed 12/27 Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State+4.056.0L 23 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB.239%27.843%3.0120633%1733.74.1842%21.349%36%4.5757.31.81.5
TA&M.1440%30.445%3.0314236%2193.78.1240%22.243%35%3.0449.11.51.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1227.81739%3.741.8183792061735.159%40%43%33%19%.2
TA&M Defense1222.215.140%3.041.9 - - - - - 60%40%43%35%16%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1221.322.542.2%4.571.5 - - - - - 49%51%49%36%15%.18
TA&M Offense1230.430.740.1%3.781.5193621422194.746%54%45%36%19%.14

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1230:1318.136%59%7.557.31.81.55.22.2129.3
Texas A&M1227:5019.436%36%6.349.11.51.95.51.6127.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1259%43%40.7205.85.125.253.0186%13%1.24
TA&M Defense1260%43% - - - - .113.0876%10%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1249%49% - - - - .233.1476%10%1
TA&M Offense1246%45%30.6142.34.712.143.0369%11%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1240%33%13.325.7172.76.713912.141.837%27%.255%2.2
TA&M Defense1240%35% - - - - - - 4.141.635%27%.275%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1251%36% - - - - - - 6.131.534%32%.356%2.1
TA&M Offense1254%36%18.332.6219.46.712186.181.634%28%.267%2.2

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 6.28 #32
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Auburn's Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
2023 Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #15
Auburn's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Auburn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 6.28   Texas A&M: 17.675

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 8.1   Texas A&M: 15.4




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 17.675 #13
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
2023 Talent Rating: 1314.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 75 #4
Texas A&M's 2023 Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40
Texas A&M's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.5

Auburn's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 30
Auburn 19

Projected Total Points: 51
Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Texas A&M's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Auburn43Texas A&M41AuburnTexas A&M -2.5Auburn47.0Over
202309/23Texas A&M27Auburn10Texas A&MTexas A&M -9.5Texas A&M51.0Under
202211/12Auburn13Texas A&M10AuburnAuburn -1.5Auburn48.0Under
202111/06Texas A&M20Auburn3Texas A&MTexas A&M -4.5Texas A&M49.5Under
202012/05Auburn20Texas A&M31Texas A&MTexas A&M -6.0Texas A&M49.0Over
201909/21Texas A&M20Auburn28AuburnTexas A&M -4Auburn48.5Under
201811/03Auburn28Texas A&M24AuburnAuburn -3.5Auburn47.0Over
201711/04Texas A&M27Auburn42AuburnAuburn -15NA51.5Over
201609/17Auburn16Texas A&M29Texas A&MAuburn -4Texas A&M55.5Under
201511/07Texas A&M10Auburn26AuburnTexas A&M -8.5Auburn58.5Under
201411/08Auburn38Texas A&M41Texas A&MAuburn -14.5Texas A&M0
201310/19Texas A&M41Auburn45AuburnTexas A&M -12Auburn0
201210/27Auburn21Texas A&M63Texas A&M
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M654 Overs
Auburn766 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 85 - 64 - 51 - 1
Road Teams8 - 56 - 51 - 15 - 4

(#32) Auburn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.28 #32
Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24
Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #15
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Team Profile






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Auburn     Ratings Matchup     Texas A&M
Power #32
#13
Off #70
#63
Def #44
#9
Talent #23
#3
SP+ #36
#15
SP+ Off #65
#20
SP+ Def #24
#15

Rematch from Week 4
Texas A&M -9.5 (51.0)
Texas A&M won vs Auburn this year (27-10)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Texas A&M last year (43-41)
Texas A&M beat Auburn in 2023 (27-10)
Auburn beat Texas A&M in 2022 (13-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 95° - Wind: 14 mph


Team Information
Injuries: AUB | TA&M
Depth Chart: AUB | TA&M
Rosters: AUB | TA&M
(#13) Texas A&M Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 17.675 #13
Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15
Talent Rating: 1314.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 75 #4
Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40

Team Profile






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Auburn's OC Philip Montgomery
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Payton Thorne (Tr)19931763%27132198.6
Robby Ashford233272%3242010.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jarquez Hunter187120186.450
Payton Thorne (Tr)11228322.531
Robby Ashford4122725.538
Ja'Varrius Johnson440010.020
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Kelly53869416.471
Malcolm Johnson Jr.49573311.750
Rivaldo Fairweather (Tr)31372212.043
Tyler Fromm25249210.030

View Auburn's Full Roster
Auburn's DC Ron Roberts
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Kaufman744164
Jalen McLeod (Tr)5614821
Eugene Asante444270
Austin Keys (Tr)392042
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen McLeod (Tr)5614821
Eugene Asante444270
Donovan Kaufman744164
Cam Riley374101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colton Hood231006
Donovan Kaufman744164
Austin Keys (Tr)392042

Texas A&M's OC Bobby Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Johnson121963%71013.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahdae Walker (Tr)31204.06
Max Johnson61011.716
Jordan Anthony (Tr)2703.54
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Evan Stewart48613512.869
Jahdae Walker (Tr)29345211.940
Jordan Anthony (Tr)8111113.927
Moose Muhammad III65529.220

View Texas A&M's Full Roster
Texas A&M's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jardin Gilbert522102
Walter Nolen4713642
Lebbeus Overton423291
Fadil Diggs4213731
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fadil Diggs4213731
Walter Nolen4713642
Lebbeus Overton423291
Shemar Turner366211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deuce Harmon282006
Tony Grimes (Tr)200015
Kent Robinson334204