Auburn at Arkansas Game Matchup

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (4:00 PM EST)
Arkansas -2.5 (46.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Auburn 48 - Arkansas: 10 (SEC)

Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (17 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AUB 2nd straight Road Game
AUB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Auburn -1.5 (SP+ AUB -5.5)
Projected Score: AUB: 25 - ARK: 23 (52)
ARK Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
AUB Travel: 550 miles

Razorbacks (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (24 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#75)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AUB Players
ARK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Auburn's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Auburn vs Massachusetts	-35.0	52.0	W 59 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Auburn at California	-5.0	55.5	W 14 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Auburn vs Samford	-37.5	62.0	W 45 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/23	Auburn at Texas A&M	+9.5	51.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/30	Auburn vs Georgia	+14.0	44.5	L 20 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Auburn at LSU	+11.0	60.0	L 18 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/21	Auburn vs Ole Miss	+6.5	55.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Auburn vs Mississippi State	-6.5	40.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Auburn at Vanderbilt	-12.5	50.0	W 31 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Auburn at Arkansas	+2.5	46.5	W 48 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Auburn vs New Mexico State	-25.5	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/25	Auburn vs Alabama	+14.0	48.0	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Auburn vs Maryland	-4.0	47.5	L 13 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Arkansas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Arkansas vs Western Carolina	-38.0	61.0	W 56 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Arkansas vs Kent State	-38.0	57.5	W 28 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	Arkansas vs BYU	-9.0	48.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/23	Arkansas at LSU	+17.5	55.0	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+6.5	53.5	L 22 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/7	Arkansas at Ole Miss	+13.0	61.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Arkansas at Alabama	+19.0	45.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Arkansas vs Mississippi State	-6.5	46.5	L 3 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Arkansas at Florida	+4.5	50.0	W 39 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Arkansas vs Auburn	-2.5	46.5	L 10 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/18	Arkansas vs Florida International	-27.5	49.5	W 44 - 20	O	N
Fri 11/24	Arkansas vs Missouri	+9.5	53.5	L 14 - 48	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB	.2	39%	27.8	43%	3.01	206	33%	173	3.74	.18	42%	21.3	49%	36%	4.57	57.3	1.8	1.5
ARK	.26	46%	30.9	48%	3.23	237	43%	234	4.18	.25	43%	25	45%	41%	3.65	55.6	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Offense	12	27.8	17	39%	3.74	1.8	18	379	206	173	5.1	59%	40%	43%	33%	19%	.2
ARK Defense	13	25	28.7	42.5%	3.65	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	41%	16%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Defense	12	21.3	22.5	42.2%	4.57	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	49%	36%	15%	.18
ARK Offense	13	30.9	23.7	45.6%	4.18	1.4	24	471	237	234	5.1	60%	40%	48%	43%	15%	.26

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Auburn	12	30:13	18.1	36%	59%	7.5	57.3	1.8	1.5	5.2	2.2	1	29.3
Arkansas	13	30:22	23.9	46%	45%	6.4	55.6	1.4	1.7	5.6	3	1	31.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Offense	12	59%	43%	40.7	205.8	5.1	25	.25	3.01	86%	13%	1.24
ARK Defense	13	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.04	76%	10%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Defense	12	49%	49%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.14	76%	10%	1
ARK Offense	13	60%	48%	46.6	237.3	5.1	27	.14	3.23	71%	11%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Offense	12	40%	33%	13.3	25.7	172.7	6.7	13	9	12	.14	1.8	37%	27%	.25	5%	2.2
ARK Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.32	1.8	34%	34%	.5	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Defense	12	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.13	1.5	34%	32%	.35	6%	2.1
ARK Offense	13	40%	43%	17.7	27.4	233.9	8.5	13.2	26	7	.46	1.9	30%	36%	.51	5%	2.1

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 6.28 #32
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Auburn's Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
2023 Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #15
Auburn's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Auburn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 6.28 Arkansas: 5.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 8.1 Arkansas: 2.7

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 5.49 #47
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
2023 Talent Rating: 808.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 30 #25
Arkansas's 2023 Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00
Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.5

Auburn's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Auburn 25
Arkansas 23

Projected Total Points: 52

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.7

Arkansas's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Auburn	14	Arkansas	24	Arkansas	Auburn -2.5	Arkansas	53.5	Under
2023	11/11	Arkansas	10	Auburn	48	Auburn	Arkansas -2.5	Auburn	46.5	Over
2022	10/29	Auburn	27	Arkansas	41	Arkansas	Arkansas -4	Arkansas	60.0	Over
2021	10/16	Arkansas	23	Auburn	38	Auburn	Arkansas -4.5	Auburn	54.0	Over
2020	10/10	Auburn	30	Arkansas	28	Auburn	Auburn -13.5	Arkansas	46.0	Over
2019	10/19	Arkansas	10	Auburn	51	Auburn	Auburn -20.5	Auburn	56.0	Over
2018	09/22	Auburn	34	Arkansas	3	Auburn	Auburn -30	Auburn	57.5	Under
2017	10/21	Arkansas	20	Auburn	52	Auburn	Auburn -17	Auburn	51.0	Over
2016	10/22	Auburn	56	Arkansas	3	Auburn	Auburn -17	Auburn	53.0	Over
2015	10/24	Arkansas	54	Auburn	46	Arkansas	Arkansas -4	Arkansas	55.0	Over
2014	08/30	Auburn	45	Arkansas	21	Auburn	Auburn -21	Auburn	0
2013	11/02	Arkansas	17	Auburn	35	Auburn	Auburn -8	Auburn	0
2012	10/06	Auburn	7	Arkansas	24	Arkansas
2011	10/08	Arkansas	38	Auburn	14	Arkansas
2010	10/16	Auburn	65	Arkansas	43	Auburn
2009	10/10	Arkansas	44	Auburn	23	Arkansas
2008	10/11	Auburn	22	Arkansas	25	Arkansas
2007	10/13	Arkansas	7	Auburn	9	Auburn
2006	10/07	Auburn	10	Arkansas	27	Arkansas
2005	10/15	Arkansas	17	Auburn	34	Auburn
2004	10/16	Auburn	38	Arkansas	20	Auburn
2003	10/11	Arkansas	3	Auburn	10	Auburn
2002	10/12	Auburn	17	Arkansas	38	Arkansas
2001	10/27	Arkansas	42	Auburn	17	Arkansas
2000	10/27	Auburn	21	Arkansas	19	Auburn

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas	10	4	8 Overs
Auburn	15	8	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 14	4 - 8	4 - 4	0 - 4
Road Teams	14 - 11	8 - 4	4 - 0	4 - 4

(#32) Auburn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.28 #32
Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24
Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #15
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Team Profile

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Auburn Ratings Matchup Arkansas

Power #32

#47

Off #70

#65

Def #44

#55

Talent #23

#28

SP+ #36

#58

SP+ Off #65

#57

SP+ Def #24

#69

Rematch from Week 11
Arkansas -2.5 (46.5)
Auburn won at Arkansas this year (48-10)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas beat Auburn last year (24-14)
Auburn beat Arkansas in 2023 (48-10)
Arkansas beat Auburn in 2022 (41-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 63° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: AUB | ARK
Depth Chart: AUB | ARK
Rosters: AUB | ARK

(#47) Arkansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.49 #47
Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 808.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 30 #25
Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00

Team Profile

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Auburn's OC Philip Montgomery

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Payton Thorne (Tr)	199	317	63%	2713	21	9	8.6
Robby Ashford	23	32	72%	324	2	0	10.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jarquez Hunter	187	1201	8	6.4	50
Payton Thorne (Tr)	112	283	2	2.5	31
Robby Ashford	41	227	2	5.5	38
Ja'Varrius Johnson	4	40	0	10.0	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omari Kelly	53	869	4	16.4	71
Malcolm Johnson Jr.	49	573	3	11.7	50
Rivaldo Fairweather (Tr)	31	372	2	12.0	43
Tyler Fromm	25	249	2	10.0	30

View Auburn's Full Roster

Auburn's DC Ron Roberts

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Kaufman	74	4	1	6	4
Jalen McLeod (Tr)	56	14	8	2	1
Eugene Asante	44	4	2	7	0
Austin Keys (Tr)	39	2	0	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen McLeod (Tr)	56	14	8	2	1
Eugene Asante	44	4	2	7	0
Donovan Kaufman	74	4	1	6	4
Cam Riley	37	4	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colton Hood	23	1	0	0	6
Donovan Kaufman	74	4	1	6	4
Austin Keys (Tr)	39	2	0	4	2

Arkansas's OC Kenny Guiton

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jacolby Criswell	186	320	58%	2459	15	6	7.7
KJ Jefferson	64	108	59%	1012	7	4	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raheim Sanders	183	881	11	4.8	66
Isaiah Augustave	85	384	4	4.5	37
KJ Jefferson	61	193	2	3.2	23
Jacolby Criswell	71	103	3	1.5	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Andrew Armstrong (Tr)	78	1140	1	14.6	43
Isaac Teslaa (Tr)	28	545	3	19.5	75
Raheim Sanders	27	316	2	11.7	43
Tyrone Broden Jr.	15	197	1	13.1	22

View Arkansas's Full Roster

Arkansas's DC Travis Williams

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Paul Jr.	87	12	4	9	4
Mani Powell	58	9	4	4	0
Jordan Crook	57	4	0	0	2
Jayden Johnson	55	4	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Landon Jackson	49	10	7	9	3
Chris Paul Jr.	87	12	4	9	4
Mani Powell	58	9	4	4	0
Eric Gregory	43	5	3	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Lorando Johnson (Tr)	13	1	0	10
Jayden Johnson	55	4	1	5
Jaylen Lewis	43	2	0	5