New Mexico State at Auburn Game Matchup
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Aggies at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (4:00 PM EST)
Auburn -25.5 (48.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
New Mexico State 31 - Auburn: 10

 
Aggies (10 - 5) (11 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jerry Kill (9 - 8)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 5.6 (#20)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NMSU 2nd straight Road Game
AUB is playing their 6th straight game
NMSU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Auburn -9   (SP+ AUB -7)
Projected Score: NMSU: 21 - AUB: 30 (54)
AUB Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
NMSU Travel: 1237 miles, 1 hrs behind
Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (33 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 New Mexico State vs Massachusetts-7.045.5L 30 - 41ON
Sat 9/2 New Mexico State vs Western Illinois-21.055.0W 58 - 21OY
Sat 9/9 New Mexico State at Liberty+9.054.5L 17 - 33UN
Sat 9/16 New Mexico State at New Mexico+2.552.0W 27 - 17UY
Sat 9/23 New Mexico State at Hawai'i+4.054.5L 17 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4 New Mexico State vs Florida International-6.549.5W 34 - 17OY
Wed 10/11 New Mexico State vs Sam Houston-4.543.0W 27 - 13UY
Wed 10/18 New Mexico State at UTEP-3.048.5W 28 - 7UY
Tue 10/24 New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech+3.055.0W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee-3.055.5W 13 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 New Mexico State at Western Kentucky+4.555.5W 38 - 29OY
Sat 11/18 New Mexico State at Auburn+25.548.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State-2.048.5W 20 - 17UY
Fri 12/1 New Mexico State at Liberty+10.554.0L 35 - 49ON
Sat 12/16 New Mexico State vs Fresno State-3.052.5L 10 - 37UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Auburn's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Auburn vs Massachusetts-35.052.0W 59 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Auburn at California-5.055.5W 14 - 10UN
Sat 9/16 Auburn vs Samford-37.562.0W 45 - 13UN
Sat 9/23 Auburn at Texas A&M+9.551.0L 10 - 27UN
Sat 9/30 Auburn vs Georgia+14.044.5L 20 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Auburn at LSU+11.060.0L 18 - 48ON
Sat 10/21 Auburn vs Ole Miss+6.555.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Auburn vs Mississippi State-6.540.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 11/4 Auburn at Vanderbilt-12.550.0W 31 - 15UY
Sat 11/11 Auburn at Arkansas+2.546.5W 48 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Auburn vs New Mexico State-25.548.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 11/25 Auburn vs Alabama+14.048.0L 24 - 27OY
Sat 12/30 Auburn vs Maryland-4.047.5L 13 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU.1838%21.640%2.8816236%1694.18.1643%36.347%40%3.8657.41.41.2
AUB.239%27.843%3.0120633%1733.74.1842%21.349%36%4.5757.31.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1321.612.637.7%4.181.4173311621694.656%43%40%36%19%.18
AUB Defense1221.320.842.2%4.571.5 - - - - - 49%51%49%36%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1336.338.443%3.861.2 - - - - - 53%46%47%40%17%.16
AUB Offense1227.833.139%3.741.8183792061735.159%40%43%33%19%.2

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1328:5116.639%73%6.557.41.41.25.52.1128.7
Auburn1230:1318.136%59%7.557.31.81.55.22.2129.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1356%40%34.9161.64.624.132.8884%11%1.08
AUB Defense1249%49% - - - - .233.1476%10%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1353%47% - - - - .173.1178%11%0.9
AUB Offense1259%43%40.7205.85.125.253.0186%13%1.24

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1343%36%12.223.5169.27.213.81813.251.935%30%.328%2
AUB Defense1251%36% - - - - - - 6.131.534%32%.356%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1346%40% - - - - - - 7.211.530%30%.376%2
AUB Offense1240%33%13.325.7172.76.713912.141.837%27%.255%2.2

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: 0.03 #60
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 252.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
New Mexico State's 2023 Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60
New Mexico State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: 0.03   Auburn: 9.69

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: 1.0   Auburn: 8.1




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Auburn's Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
2023 Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #15
Auburn's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Auburn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4

New Mexico State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 5
Record vs Spread: 11 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 30
New Mexico State 21

Projected Total Points: 54
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Auburn's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Auburn10New Mexico State31New Mexico StateAuburn -25.5New Mexico State48.5Under
201211/03Auburn42New Mexico State7Auburn
200709/22Auburn55New Mexico State20Auburn
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn200 Overs
New Mexico State111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#60) New Mexico State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.03 #60
Offense Rating: 23.21 #17
Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #75
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #46
Talent Rating: 252.00 #128
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 9.40 - 5.60

Team Profile






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New Mexico State     Ratings Matchup     Auburn
Power #60
#32
Off #17
#70
Def #77
#44
Talent #128
#23
SP+ #62
#36
SP+ Off #75
#65
SP+ Def #46
#24

Rematch from Week 12
Auburn -25.5 (48.5)
New Mexico State won at Auburn this year (31-10)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico State beat Auburn in 2023 (31-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 70° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | AUB
Depth Chart: NMSU | AUB
Rosters: NMSU | AUB
(#32) Auburn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24
Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #15
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Team Profile






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New Mexico State's OC Tim Beck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia17729859%22932047.7
Eli Stowers (Tr)1250%17108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Star Thomas21387174.144
Diego Pavia19380084.136
Ahmonte Watkins166604.124
Jordin Parker355018.336
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Stowers (Tr)49638513.041
Ta'ir Brooks22367416.768
Jonathan Brady34366310.830
Kordell David18191010.638

View New Mexico State's Full Roster
New Mexico State's DC Nate Dreiling
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Vincent (Tr)1171012
Myles Rowser (Tr)984124
Keyshaun Elliott644221
Dylan Early480002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Buddha Peleti206461
Denver Warren213311
Keyshaun Elliott644221
Jeremiah Vessel101100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi McLean441004
Myles Rowser (Tr)984124
Keonte Glinton (Tr)341003

Auburn's OC Philip Montgomery
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Payton Thorne (Tr)19931763%27132198.6
Robby Ashford233272%3242010.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jarquez Hunter187120186.450
Payton Thorne (Tr)11228322.531
Robby Ashford4122725.538
Ja'Varrius Johnson440010.020
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Kelly53869416.471
Malcolm Johnson Jr.49573311.750
Rivaldo Fairweather (Tr)31372212.043
Tyler Fromm25249210.030

View Auburn's Full Roster
Auburn's DC Ron Roberts
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Kaufman744164
Jalen McLeod (Tr)5614821
Eugene Asante444270
Austin Keys (Tr)392042
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen McLeod (Tr)5614821
Eugene Asante444270
Donovan Kaufman744164
Cam Riley374101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colton Hood231006
Donovan Kaufman744164
Austin Keys (Tr)392042