Samford at Auburn - 2023 Matchup Preview
Samford logo Samford Bulldogs at Auburn Tigers(#24)Auburn logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Auburn -37.5 (62.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Auburn 45 - Samford: 13

 
Bulldogs (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 45 (13 - 45 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Auburn -9.5  (SP+ AUB -8)
AUB Win prob: 100% | Cover: 35%
Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (29 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Samford's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 Samford at Auburn+37.562.0L 13 - 45UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Samford's Schedule
Auburn's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Auburn vs Massachusetts-35.052.0W 59 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Auburn at California-5.055.5W 14 - 10UN
Sat 9/16 Auburn vs Samford-37.562.0W 45 - 13UN
Sat 9/23 Auburn at Texas A&M+9.551.0L 10 - 27UN
Sat 9/30 Auburn vs Georgia+14.044.5L 20 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Auburn at LSU+11.060.0L 18 - 48ON
Sat 10/21 Auburn vs Ole Miss+6.555.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Auburn vs Mississippi State-6.540.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 11/4 Auburn at Vanderbilt-12.550.0W 31 - 15UY
Sat 11/11 Auburn at Arkansas+2.546.5W 48 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Auburn vs New Mexico State-25.548.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 11/25 Auburn vs Alabama+14.048.0L 24 - 27OY
Sat 12/30 Auburn vs Maryland-4.047.5L 13 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAM0%130%000%000%450%0%0000
AUB#93 (.14)41% (80)26.245% (44)3.01 (86)18937% (110)1623.99 (58)#48 (.15)40% (42)22.643% (72)37% (20)3.65 (56)43.81.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAM Offense113130%00000000%0%0%0%0%
AUB Defense1322.621.940%3.651.4 - - - - - 52%47%43%37%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAM Defense145450%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
AUB Offense1326.229.441.3%3.991.5193511891624.856%43%45%37%16%.14

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Samford10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Auburn1329:0318.533%50%5.543.81.51.45.52.1229.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAM Offense10%0%000000%0%0
AUB Defense1352% (103)43% (72) - - - - .13 (63)2.95 (40)86% (126)10% (57)0.94 (39)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAM Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
AUB Offense1356% (20)45% (44)39.51894.822 (51).19 (47)3.01 (86)74% (69)11% (85)1.02 (58)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAM Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
AUB Defense1347% (30)37% (20) - - - - - - 12 (37).2 (33)1.8 (125)35% (22)31% (79).29 (57)7% (49)2.2 (97)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAM Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
AUB Offense1343% (114)37% (110)14.524.4162.26.711.218 (81)13 (97).12 (120)1.6 (74)32% (76)25% (117).14 (121)5% (41)1.9 (112)

Samford's Power Ratings
Samford's Power Rating: NR
Samford's Offense Rating: NR
Samford's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating:  #165
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Samford's 2023 Expected Record: -
Samford's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Samford's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Samford's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Samford:    Auburn: 9.69

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Samford:    Auburn: 8.1




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 9.69  #32
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.07  #70
Auburn's Defense Rating: 7.76  #44
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 52  #15
Auburn's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Auburn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1  #36
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #65
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Samford Scoring
Offense: 13 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense on Road: 45

Samford's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 35
Samford 26

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Auburn 46
Samford 20

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Auburn 37
Samford 18

Total Points: 55
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.9

Auburn's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Auburn45Samford13Auburn -37.5Samford62.0Under
201911/23Auburn52Samford0Auburn -45.5Auburn64.0Under
201411/22Auburn31Samford7Auburn -38.5Samford0
201111/19Auburn35Samford16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn410 Overs
Samford022 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 42 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#NR) SAM at (#32) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSAMAUB
Power RatePwrNR #32
SP+SP+NR #36
Perf GradeGradeNR #47
OffenseOffNR #94
DefenseDefNR #18
Spec TeamsSTNR #46
TalentTal #165 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #15
Samford on Offense
CategoryCat
SAM OffAUB Def
Perf GradePerfNR #18
SuccessSucNR #42
ExplosiveExpNR #84
PPAPPANR #48
PowerPwrNR #44
SP+SP+NR #24
Pts POPPONR #56
HavocHavNR #51
Samford Run Game
CategoryCat
SAM OffAUB Def
Run GameRunNR #21
Run SuccessRSucNR #72
Run ExplRExpNR #39
PPAExpNR #63
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #40
Stuff RateStuffNR #51
TackleTak -  #21
Samford Pass Game
CategoryCat
SAM OffAUB Def
Pass GamePassNR #16
Pass SuccessPSucNR #20
Pass ExplPExlNR #125
PPAExpNR #33
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #81
F7 HavocF7NR #57
DB HavocDBNR #49
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCatAUB OffSAM Def
Perf GradePerf #94NR
SuccessSuc #80NR
ExplosiveExp #100NR
PPAPPA #93NR
PowerPwr #70NR
SP+SP+ #65NR
Pts POPPO #58NR
HavocHav #70NR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffSAM Def
Run GameRun #46NR
Run SuccessRSuc #44NR
Run ExplRExp #58NR
PPAExp #47NR
Run BlockR Blk #64 -
OL YdsOLY #86NR
Stuff RateStuff #94NR
TackleTak - NR
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCatAUB OffSAM Def
Pass GamePass #91NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #110NR
Pass ExplPExl #74NR
PPAExp #120NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #64NR
F7 HavocF7 #85NR
DB HavocDB #41NR
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

SAM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 78°
Rematch from Week 3
Auburn -37.5 (62.0)
Auburn won vs Samford this year (45-13)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Samford in 2023 (45-13)

  
SAM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Samford's Full Roster

SAM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kourtlan Marsh151002
Noah Martin111000
Dontae Pollard51000
Johnny Johnson40000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kourtlan Marsh151002
Noah Martin111000
Dontae Pollard51000
Johnny Johnson40000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kourtlan Marsh151002
Jaden Mosley30001
Noah Martin111000

AUB's OC Philip Montgomery (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Payton Thorne (Tr)16226561%175516106.6
Robby Ashford142752%145225.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jarquez Hunter15990975.767
Payton Thorne (Tr)13451533.861
Damari Alston6432025.056
Brian Battie (Tr)5122714.524
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Rivaldo Fairweather (Tr)38394610.453
Ja'Varrius Johnson19347318.345
Jay Fair31324210.536
Caleb Burton (Tr)16226014.153

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC Ron Roberts (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eugene Asante869551
Jalen McLeod (Tr)5011651
Larry Nixon III (Tr)503020
Keionte Scott422025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Harris4011711
Jalen McLeod (Tr)5011651
Eugene Asante869551
Cam Riley314331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D.J. James384009
Kayin Lee192016
Keionte Scott422025