Auburn at California - 2023 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo Auburn Tigers at California Golden BearsCalifornia logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (10:30 PM EDT)
Auburn -5 (55.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Auburn 14 - California: 10

 
Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (24 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Auburn -5   (SP+ AUB -7)
Projected Score: AUB: 30 - CAL: 25 (56)
AUB Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
AUB Travel: 2093 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (32 - 37)
Avg Score : 30 - 33 (33 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Auburn's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Auburn vs Massachusetts-35.052.0W 59 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Auburn at California-5.055.5W 14 - 10UN
Sat 9/16 Auburn vs Samford-37.562.0W 45 - 13UN
Sat 9/23 Auburn at Texas A&M+9.551.0L 10 - 27UN
Sat 9/30 Auburn vs Georgia+14.044.5L 20 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Auburn at LSU+11.060.0L 18 - 48ON
Sat 10/21 Auburn vs Ole Miss+6.555.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Auburn vs Mississippi State-6.540.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 11/4 Auburn at Vanderbilt-12.550.0W 31 - 15UY
Sat 11/11 Auburn at Arkansas+2.546.5W 48 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Auburn vs New Mexico State-25.548.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 11/25 Auburn vs Alabama+14.048.0L 24 - 27OY
Sat 12/30 Auburn vs Maryland-4.047.5L 13 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
California's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 California at North Texas-5.053.5W 58 - 21OY
Sat 9/9 California vs Auburn+5.055.5L 10 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 California vs Idaho-14.552.5W 31 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 California at Washington+21.055.5L 32 - 59ON
Sat 9/30 California vs Arizona State-13.047.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/7 California vs Oregon State+7.551.0L 40 - 52ON
Sat 10/14 California at Utah+9.042.5L 14 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 California vs USC+10.567.5L 49 - 50OY
Sat 11/4 California at Oregon+26.561.5L 19 - 63ON
Sat 11/11 California vs Washington State-1.558.5W 42 - 39OY
Sat 11/18 California at Stanford-6.552.5W 27 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 California at UCLA+9.550.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 12/16 California vs Texas Tech+3.554.5L 14 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#93 (.14)41% (80)26.245% (44)3.01 (86)18937% (110)1623.99 (58)#48 (.15)40% (42)22.643% (72)37% (20)3.65 (56)43.81.51.4
CAL#61 (.21)41% (88)30.244% (59)3.39 (13)17338% (103)2184.12 (46)#87 (.21)45% (112)32.847% (103)44% (108)4.4 (118)44.82.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)40% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)41% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1326.224.241.3%3.991.5193511891624.856%43%45%37%16%.14
CAL Defense1332.832.245%4.42.2 - - - - - 47%52%47%44%16%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1322.62240%3.651.4 - - - - - 52%47%43%37%17%.15
CAL Offense1330.232.740.5%4.122.2213911732184.550%49%44%38%18%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1329:0318.533%50%5.543.81.51.45.52.1229.4
California1328:4021.439%52%5.544.82.22.24.51.9131.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1356% (20)45% (44)39.51894.822 (51).19 (47)3.01 (86)74% (69)11% (85)1.02 (58)
CAL Defense1347% (32)47% (103) - - - - .14 (67)3.1 (67)73% (66)9% (98)0.98 (55)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1352% (103)43% (72) - - - - .13 (63)2.95 (40)86% (126)10% (57)0.94 (39)
CAL Offense1350% (68)44% (59)38.2173.14.526 (30).24 (23)3.39 (13)75% (60)11% (86)1.11 (20)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1343% (114)37% (110)14.524.4162.26.711.218 (81)13 (97).12 (120)1.6 (74)32% (76)25% (117).14 (121)5% (41)1.9 (112)
CAL Defense1352% (103)44% (108) - - - - - - 12 (37).3 (88)1.5 (34)27% (129)35% (121).36 (91)7% (40)1.8 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1347% (30)37% (20) - - - - - - 12 (37).2 (33)1.8 (125)35% (22)31% (79).29 (57)7% (49)2.2 (97)
CAL Offense1349% (64)38% (103)19.833.4218.26.51122 (61)16 (121).21 (92)1.6 (49)33% (84)27% (96).33 (70)7% (97)2 (67)

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 6.28 #32
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Auburn's Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #15
Auburn's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Auburn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 6.28   California: 2.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 8.1   California: 1.1




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 2.1 #75
California's Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
California's Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
California's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
California's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.2
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Auburn's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 30
California 25


Total Points: 56

California Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.7
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2

California's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Auburn14California21CaliforniaAuburn -11.5California52.5Under
202309/09California10Auburn14AuburnAuburn -5California55.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California120 Overs
Auburn102 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 01 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#32) Auburn Info
Power Rating: 6.28 #32
Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #15
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70


Auburn has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Auburn Highlights
Auburn has Really Good Running Game (#11)
Auburn has a good pass defense (#64)

Auburn Deficiencies
Auburn offense is not Explosive (#125)
Auburn pass game is really bad (#25)
Auburn offense is bad on 3rd Downs

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCALAUB
OverallOver#77#39
OffenseOff#65#81
DefenseDef#76#14
Special TeamsST#101#39
PassingPass#63#76
RushingRush#22#31
Run BlockRBLK#87#51
Pass BlockPBLK#96#56
Route RunningWR Rt#38#102
TacklingTkl#102#19
Run DefenseR Def#102#18
Pass Rush DefPRush#32#64
Coverage DefCov#72#14

Rematch from Week 2
Auburn 5.0 (55.5)
Auburn won at California this year (14-10)

Previous Matchups
California beat Auburn last year (21-14)
Auburn beat California in 2023 (14-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AUB | CAL
Depth Chart: AUB | CAL
Rosters: AUB | CAL
(#75) California Info
Power Rating: 2.1 #75
Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70


California has won 1 straight
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

California Highlights
California has a top Offensive Line (#63)

California Deficiencies
California has a bad TO Margin (#28)
California Fumbles a Lot (#42)
California throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
California pass game is really bad (#68)
California Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
California Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
California has a bad defense (#32)
California has a bad red zone defense (#41)


  
Auburn's OC Philip Montgomery
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Payton Thorne (Tr)16226561%175516106.6
Robby Ashford142752%145225.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jarquez Hunter15990975.767
Payton Thorne (Tr)13451533.861
Damari Alston6432025.056
Brian Battie (Tr)5122714.524
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Rivaldo Fairweather (Tr)38394610.453
Ja'Varrius Johnson19347318.345
Jay Fair31324210.536
Caleb Burton (Tr)16226014.153

View Auburn's Full Roster
Auburn's DC Ron Roberts
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eugene Asante869551
Jalen McLeod (Tr)5011651
Larry Nixon III (Tr)503020
Keionte Scott422025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Harris4011711
Jalen McLeod (Tr)5011651
Eugene Asante869551
Cam Riley314331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D.J. James384009
Kayin Lee192016
Keionte Scott422025

California's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza15324363%170814107.0
Sam Jackson (Tr)519753%553525.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadyn Ott2451310125.366
Isaiah Ifanse (Tr)7036575.226
Ashton Stredick4220024.841
Jaivian Thomas1811016.127
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Hunter63709711.350
Trond Grizzell39590515.154
Jack Endries35408211.732
Taj Davis (Tr)38393310.327

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Peter Sirmon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick McMorris (Tr)886117
Kaleb Elarms-Orr873166
Craig Woodson804104
Cade Uluave677203
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Reese (Tr)339843
Xavier Carlton506552
Cade Uluave677203
Nathan Burrell233211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick McMorris (Tr)886117
Kaleb Elarms-Orr873166
Lu-Magia Hearns III270006