Auburn vs Maryland Game Matchup

Saturday, December 30th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Auburn -4.0 (47.5) (-140) Open: -2.5 | 50.0
Maryland 31 - Auburn: 13 (TransPerfect Music City Bowl)

Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (17 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Maryland -0.5 (SP+ MD -1)
Projected Score: AUB: 24 - MD: 24 (52)
AUB Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
AUB Travel: 651 miles, 1 hrs behind

Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (24 - 28)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (26 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 5.1 (#46)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
AUB Players
MD Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Auburn's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Auburn vs Massachusetts	-35.0	52.0	W 59 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Auburn at California	-5.0	55.5	W 14 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Auburn vs Samford	-37.5	62.0	W 45 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/23	Auburn at Texas A&M	+9.5	51.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/30	Auburn vs Georgia	+14.0	44.5	L 20 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Auburn at LSU	+11.0	60.0	L 18 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/21	Auburn vs Ole Miss	+6.5	55.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Auburn vs Mississippi State	-6.5	40.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Auburn at Vanderbilt	-12.5	50.0	W 31 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Auburn at Arkansas	+2.5	46.5	W 48 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Auburn vs New Mexico State	-25.5	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/25	Auburn vs Alabama	+14.0	48.0	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Auburn vs Maryland	-4.0	47.5	L 13 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Maryland's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Maryland vs Towson	-38.5	55.5	W 38 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/9	Maryland vs Charlotte	-24.5	50.0	W 38 - 20	O	N
Fri 9/15	Maryland vs Virginia	-16.5	48.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Maryland at Michigan State	-7.0	52.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Maryland vs Indiana	-14.5	50.0	W 44 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Maryland at Ohio State	+17.0	56.5	L 17 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/14	Maryland vs Illinois	-13.5	52.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Maryland at Northwestern	-14.0	48.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Maryland vs Penn State	+8.5	50.5	L 15 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/11	Maryland at Nebraska	-1.5	41.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Maryland vs Michigan	+17.5	50.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Maryland at Rutgers	-2.0	45.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Maryland vs Auburn	+4.0	47.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB	.2	39%	27.8	43%	3.01	206	33%	173	3.74	.18	42%	21.3	49%	36%	4.57	57.3	1.8	1.5
MD	.19	41%	23.7	42%	2.95	141	41%	260	4.19	.1	40%	30.4	41%	40%	3.44	71.1	1.2	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AUB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MD		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Offense	12	27.8	17	39%	3.74	1.8	18	379	206	173	5.1	59%	40%	43%	33%	19%	.2
MD Defense	13	30.4	25.6	40.2%	3.44	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	40%	15%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AUB Defense	12	21.3	22.5	42.2%	4.57	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	49%	36%	15%	.18
MD Offense	13	23.7	25.9	41%	4.19	1.2	20	402	141	260	3.9	46%	53%	42%	41%	17%	.19

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Auburn	12	30:13	18.1	36%	59%	7.5	57.3	1.8	1.5	5.2	2.2	1	29.3
Maryland	13	31:06	20.2	42%	61%	7.8	71.1	1.2	1.6	4.8	1.8	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Offense	12	59%	43%	40.7	205.8	5.1	25	.25	3.01	86%	13%	1.24
MD Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.94	76%	9%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AUB Defense	12	49%	49%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.14	76%	10%	1
MD Offense	13	46%	42%	36.1	141.3	3.9	23	.13	2.95	66%	12%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Offense	12	40%	33%	13.3	25.7	172.7	6.7	13	9	12	.14	1.8	37%	27%	.25	5%	2.2
MD Defense	13	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.16	1.4	32%	28%	.2	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AUB Defense	12	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.13	1.5	34%	32%	.35	6%	2.1
MD Offense	13	53%	41%	22.6	34.3	260.2	7.6	11.5	21	8	.25	1.6	32%	25%	.23	5%	2.2

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 6.28 #32
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Auburn's Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
2023 Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #15
Auburn's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Auburn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 6.28 Maryland: 7.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 8.1 Maryland: 9.2

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 7.93 #31
Maryland's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Maryland's Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
2023 Talent Rating: 860.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #33
Maryland's 2023 Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10
Maryland's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.5

Auburn's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Maryland 24
Auburn 24

Projected Total Points: 52

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.9
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Maryland's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/30	Maryland	31	Auburn	13	Maryland	Auburn -4.0	Maryland	47.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Maryland	1	1	0 Overs
Auburn	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

Auburn Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	City Bowl	Auburn vs Maryland	-4.0	47.5	L 13 - 31
2021	Birmingham Bowl	Auburn vs Houston	-2.0	51.5	L 13 - 17
2020	Citrus Bowl	Auburn vs Northwestern	+3.5	43.5	L 19 - 35
2019	Outback Bowl	Auburn vs Minnesota	-7.0	54.0	L 24 - 31
2018	City Bowl	Auburn vs Purdue	-3.5	58.5	W 63 - 14
2017	Peach Bowl	Auburn vs UCF	-9.5	67.0	L 27 - 34

Maryland Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	City Bowl	Maryland vs Auburn	+4.0	47.5	W 31 - 13
2022	Mayo Bowl	Maryland vs NC State	+2.5	45.0	W 16 - 12
2021	Pinstripe Bowl	Maryland vs Virginia Tech	-4.0	55.0	W 54 - 10

(#32) Auburn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.28 #32
Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24
Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52% #15
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Team Profile

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Auburn has played in 5 Bowls in the last 5 years (1 - 4)
Auburn has played in 22 Bowls since 2000 (10 - 12)

Auburn Ratings Matchup Maryland

Power #32

#31

Off #70

#48

Def #44

#40

Talent #23

#18

SP+ #36

#33

SP+ Off #65

#50

SP+ Def #24

#20

Rematch from Week 1
Auburn 4.0 (47.5)
Maryland won vs Auburn this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
Maryland beat Auburn in 2023 (31-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nissan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 41° - Wind: 12 mph

Team Information
Injuries: AUB | MD
Depth Chart: AUB | MD
Rosters: AUB | MD

(#31) Maryland Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.93 #31
Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20
Talent Rating: 860.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #33
Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10

Team Profile

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Maryland has played in 3 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 0)
Maryland has played in 13 Bowls since 2000 (8 - 5)

Auburn's OC Philip Montgomery

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Payton Thorne (Tr)	199	317	63%	2713	21	9	8.6
Robby Ashford	23	32	72%	324	2	0	10.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jarquez Hunter	187	1201	8	6.4	50
Payton Thorne (Tr)	112	283	2	2.5	31
Robby Ashford	41	227	2	5.5	38
Ja'Varrius Johnson	4	40	0	10.0	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omari Kelly	53	869	4	16.4	71
Malcolm Johnson Jr.	49	573	3	11.7	50
Rivaldo Fairweather (Tr)	31	372	2	12.0	43
Tyler Fromm	25	249	2	10.0	30

View Auburn's Full Roster

Auburn's DC Ron Roberts

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Kaufman	74	4	1	6	4
Jalen McLeod (Tr)	56	14	8	2	1
Eugene Asante	44	4	2	7	0
Austin Keys (Tr)	39	2	0	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen McLeod (Tr)	56	14	8	2	1
Eugene Asante	44	4	2	7	0
Donovan Kaufman	74	4	1	6	4
Cam Riley	37	4	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colton Hood	23	1	0	0	6
Donovan Kaufman	74	4	1	6	4
Austin Keys (Tr)	39	2	0	4	2

Maryland's OC Josh Gattis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Antwain Littleton II	93	305	1	3.3	37
Colby McDonald	29	150	0	5.2	22
Tai Felton	2	23	0	11.5	19
Kaden Prather (Tr)	1	-1	0	-1.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tai Felton	96	1124	9	11.7	75
Kaden Prather (Tr)	56	624	4	11.1	33
Corey Dyches	17	181	1	10.6	28
Antwain Littleton II	16	134	1	8.4	20

View Maryland's Full Roster

Maryland's DC Brian Williams

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	7	0	1	2
Jaishawn Barham	66	4	1	5	2
Dante Trader Jr.	59	0	0	0	4
Gavin Gibson	52	7	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quashon Fuller	28	4	2	0	1
Taizse Johnson	12	3	2	0	0
Jaishawn Barham	66	4	1	5	2
Tamarcus Cooley	39	3	1	2	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tamarcus Cooley	39	3	1	2	6
Dante Trader Jr.	59	0	0	0	4
Gavin Gibson	52	7	0	1	3