Georgia at Auburn - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -14 (44.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Georgia 27 - Auburn: 20 (SEC)

Bulldogs (13 - 1) (5 - 8 - 1)
Coach Kirby Smart (84 - 15)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (33 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11.8 - 2.2 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AUB is playing their 5th straight game
UGA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Georgia -16 (SP+ UGA -21.5)
Projected Score: UGA: 30 - AUB: 14 (44)
UGA Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
UGA Travel: 154 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (29 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UGA Players
AUB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Georgia vs UT Martin	-50.0	56.5	W 48 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/9	Georgia vs Ball State	-42.0	52.5	W 45 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/16	Georgia vs South Carolina	-27.0	54.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia vs UAB	-40.0	56.0	W 49 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/30	Georgia at Auburn	-14.0	44.5	W 27 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/7	Georgia vs Kentucky	-14.5	47.0	W 51 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Georgia at Vanderbilt	-32.5	55.0	W 37 - 20	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Georgia vs Florida	-14.0	50.0	W 43 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia vs Missouri	-15.0	56.5	W 30 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/11	Georgia vs Ole Miss	-11.0	59.0	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Georgia at Tennessee	-9.0	59.0	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Georgia at Georgia Tech	-23.0	59.5	W 31 - 23	U	N
Sat 12/2	Georgia vs Alabama	-5.0	56.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 12/30	Georgia vs Florida State	-23.5	47.0	W 63 - 3	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule

Auburn's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Auburn vs Massachusetts	-35.0	52.0	W 59 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Auburn at California	-5.0	55.5	W 14 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Auburn vs Samford	-37.5	62.0	W 45 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/23	Auburn at Texas A&M	+9.5	51.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/30	Auburn vs Georgia	+14.0	44.5	L 20 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Auburn at LSU	+11.0	60.0	L 18 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/21	Auburn vs Ole Miss	+6.5	55.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Auburn vs Mississippi State	-6.5	40.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Auburn at Vanderbilt	-12.5	50.0	W 31 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Auburn at Arkansas	+2.5	46.5	W 48 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Auburn vs New Mexico State	-25.5	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/25	Auburn vs Alabama	+14.0	48.0	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Auburn vs Maryland	-4.0	47.5	L 13 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA	#4 (.4)	53% (5)	40.1	51% (8)	3.34 (25)	191	54% (4)	305	5.02 (3)	#25 (.11)	38% (28)	15.6	45% (86)	34% (5)	3.45 (41)	42.9	1	1.2
AUB	#93 (.14)	41% (80)	26.2	45% (44)	3.01 (86)	189	37% (110)	162	3.99 (58)	#48 (.15)	40% (42)	22.6	43% (72)	37% (20)	3.65 (56)	43.8	1.5	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA	#37 (.24)	47% (25)		46% (46)	2.91 (91)	121	47% (16)	264	4.68 (12)	#49 (.14)	39% (32)		39% (34)	38% (37)	3.22 (19)	51.1	1.3	1.4
AUB	#42 (.24)	45% (40)		48% (21)	3.32 (23)	166	42% (67)	264	3.42 (110)	#21 (.09)	38% (20)		38% (19)	38% (34)	3.35 (25)	49.3	1.8	1.1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Offense	14	40.1	33.3	52.5%	5.02	1	26	496	191	305	5.3	49%	51%	51%	54%	12%	.4
AUB Defense	13	22.6	21.9	40%	3.65	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	37%	17%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Defense	14	15.6	18.3	38.2%	3.45	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	45%	34%	16%	.11
AUB Offense	13	26.2	29.4	41.3%	3.99	1.5	19	351	189	162	4.8	56%	43%	45%	37%	16%	.14

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia	14	33:27	26	55%	73%	4.4	42.9	1	1.2	4.9	2	2	29.2
Auburn	13	29:03	18.5	33%	50%	5.5	43.8	1.5	1.4	5.5	2.1	2	29.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Offense	14	49% (74)	51% (8)	35.8	191.1	5.3	40 (1)	.31 (5)	3.34 (25)	75% (58)	7% (19)	1.04 (46)
AUB Defense	13	52% (103)	43% (72)	-	-	-	-	.13 (63)	2.95 (40)	86% (126)	10% (57)	0.94 (39)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Defense	14	45% (12)	45% (86)	-	-	-	-	.16 (85)	3.02 (51)	66% (26)	9% (94)	1.03 (86)
AUB Offense	13	56% (20)	45% (44)	39.5	189	4.8	22 (51)	.19 (47)	3.01 (86)	74% (69)	11% (85)	1.02 (58)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Offense	14	51% (52)	54% (4)	23.4	32.6	305.3	9.4	13	29 (18)	7 (21)	.52 (7)	1.4 (120)	25% (5)	45% (2)	.7 (3)	5% (17)	2 (93)
AUB Defense	13	47% (30)	37% (20)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.2 (33)	1.8 (125)	35% (22)	31% (79)	.29 (57)	7% (49)	2.2 (97)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Defense	14	54% (119)	34% (5)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.08 (6)	1.5 (37)	35% (35)	24% (7)	.14 (5)	7% (35)	2 (49)
AUB Offense	13	43% (114)	37% (110)	14.5	24.4	162.2	6.7	11.2	18 (81)	13 (97)	.12 (120)	1.6 (74)	32% (76)	25% (117)	.14 (121)	5% (41)	1.9 (112)

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 22.16 #4
Georgia's Offense Rating: 28.78 #4
Georgia's Defense Rating: 5.15 #27
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 78% #3
Georgia's 2023 Expected Record: 11.80 - 2.20
Georgia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.5 #2
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #5
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.0 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 22.16 Auburn: 9.69

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 29.5 Auburn: 8.1

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Auburn's Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #15
Auburn's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Auburn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 40.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.3
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

Georgia's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia 30
Auburn 14

Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia 20
Auburn 19

Total Points: 39

Based on Entire Season
Georgia 29
Auburn 22

Total Points: 51

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.9

Auburn's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Auburn	10	Georgia	20	Georgia -4.5	Georgia	45.5	Under
2024	10/05	Georgia	31	Auburn	13	Georgia -21	Auburn	50.0	Under
2023	09/30	Auburn	20	Georgia	27	Georgia -14	Auburn	44.5	Over
2022	10/08	Georgia	42	Auburn	10	Georgia -27.5	Georgia	49.5	Over
2021	10/09	Auburn	10	Georgia	34	Georgia -14.5	Georgia	45.5	Under
2020	10/03	Georgia	27	Auburn	6	Georgia -8	Georgia	44.5	Under
2019	11/16	Auburn	14	Georgia	21	Georgia -3	Georgia	42.5	Under
2018	11/10	Georgia	27	Auburn	10	Georgia -12.5	Georgia	52.5	Under
2017	12/02	Auburn	7	Georgia	28	Georgia -1.5	Georgia	48.0	Under
2017	11/11	Auburn	40	Georgia	17	Georgia -2.5	Auburn	48.0	Over
2016	11/12	Georgia	13	Auburn	7	Auburn -8	Georgia	51.0	Under
2015	11/14	Auburn	13	Georgia	20	Georgia -2	Georgia	53.0	Under
2014	11/15	Georgia	34	Auburn	7	Georgia -2	Georgia	0
2013	11/16	Auburn	43	Georgia	38	Auburn -3	Auburn	0
2012	11/10	Auburn	0	Georgia	38
2011	11/12	Georgia	45	Auburn	7
2010	11/13	Auburn	49	Georgia	31
2009	11/14	Georgia	31	Auburn	24
2008	11/15	Auburn	13	Georgia	17
2007	11/10	Georgia	45	Auburn	20
2006	11/11	Auburn	15	Georgia	37
2005	11/12	Georgia	30	Auburn	31
2004	11/13	Auburn	24	Georgia	6
2003	11/15	Georgia	26	Auburn	7
2001	11/10	Georgia	17	Auburn	24
2000	11/10	Auburn	29	Georgia	26

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Auburn	7	4	3 Overs
Georgia	19	10	9 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 11	8 - 6	5 - 1	3 - 5
Road Teams	11 - 15	6 - 8	5 - 3	1 - 5

(#4) UGA at (#32) AUB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UGA	AUB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#4	#32
SP+SP+	#2	#36
Perf GradeGrade	#3	#47
OffenseOff	#3	#94
DefenseDef	#14	#18
Spec TeamsST	#6	#46
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#3	#15

Georgia Injury Report

Auburn Injury Report

Georgia on Offense


CategoryCat	UGA Off	AUB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#3	#18
SuccessSuc	#5	#42
ExplosiveExp	#91	#84
PPAPPA	#4	#48
PowerPwr	#4	#44
SP+SP+	#5	#24
Pts POPPO	#3	#56
HavocHav	#12	#51

Georgia Run Game


CategoryCat	UGA Off	AUB Def
Run GameRun	#13	#21
Run SuccessRSuc	#8	#72
Run ExplRExp	#46	#39
PPAExp	#5	#63
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	#25	#40
Stuff RateStuff	#53	#51
TackleTak	-	#21

Georgia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UGA Off	AUB Def
Pass GamePass	#4	#16
Pass SuccessPSuc	#4	#20
Pass ExplPExl	#120	#125
PPAExp	#7	#33
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#10	#81
F7 HavocF7	#19	#57
DB HavocDB	#17	#49

Auburn on Offense


CategoryCat	AUB Off	UGA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#14
SuccessSuc	#80	#28
ExplosiveExp	#100	#49
PPAPPA	#93	#25
PowerPwr	#70	#27
SP+SP+	#65	#5
Pts POPPO	#58	#41
HavocHav	#70	#67

Auburn Run Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	UGA Def
Run GameRun	#46	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	#44	#86
Run ExplRExp	#58	#86
PPAExp	#47	#85
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	#86	#51
Stuff RateStuff	#94	#29
TackleTak	-	#1

Auburn Pass Game


CategoryCat	AUB Off	UGA Def
Pass GamePass	#91	#9
Pass SuccessPSuc	#110	#5
Pass ExplPExl	#74	#37
PPAExp	#120	#6
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#64	#44
F7 HavocF7	#85	#94
DB HavocDB	#41	#35

Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'23 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 87° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Georgia 14.0 (44.5)
Georgia won at Auburn this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Georgia beat Auburn last year (31-13)
Georgia beat Auburn in 2023 (27-20)
Georgia beat Auburn in 2022 (42-10)

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Beck	302	417	72%	3941	24	6	9.5
Gunner Stockton	12	19	63%	148	2	1	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daijun Edwards	164	881	13	5.4	62
Kendall Milton	121	790	14	6.5	51
Roderick Robinson II	24	196	2	8.2	36
Cash Jones	22	161	1	7.3	57

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brock Bowers	56	714	6	12.8	49
Dominic Lovett (Tr)	54	613	4	11.4	55
Marcus Rosemy	34	535	4	15.7	50
Ladd McConkey	30	478	2	15.9	54

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Will Muschamp (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tykee Smith	70	9	2	2	2
Smael Mondon Jr.	68	5	2	2	1
Javon Bullard	56	1	0	0	5
Malaki Starks	52	0	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalon Walker	20	6	5	1	0
Mykel Williams	16	7	5	0	2
Jamon Dumas-Johnson	34	6	4	1	2
Tykee Smith	70	9	2	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Kamari Lassiter	37	4	1	8
Malaki Starks	52	0	0	7
Javon Bullard	56	1	0	5

AUB's OC Philip Montgomery (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Payton Thorne (Tr)	162	265	61%	1755	16	10	6.6
Robby Ashford	14	27	52%	145	2	2	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jarquez Hunter	159	909	7	5.7	67
Payton Thorne (Tr)	134	515	3	3.8	61
Damari Alston	64	320	2	5.0	56
Brian Battie (Tr)	51	227	1	4.5	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rivaldo Fairweather (Tr)	38	394	6	10.4	53
Ja'Varrius Johnson	19	347	3	18.3	45
Jay Fair	31	324	2	10.5	36
Caleb Burton (Tr)	16	226	0	14.1	53

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC Ron Roberts (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eugene Asante	86	9	5	5	1
Jalen McLeod (Tr)	50	11	6	5	1
Larry Nixon III (Tr)	50	3	0	2	0
Keionte Scott	42	2	0	2	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcus Harris	40	11	7	1	1
Jalen McLeod (Tr)	50	11	6	5	1
Eugene Asante	86	9	5	5	1
Cam Riley	31	4	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
D.J. James	38	4	0	9
Kayin Lee	19	2	1	6
Keionte Scott	42	2	2	5