Ole Miss at Auburn - 2023 Matchup Preview
Ole Miss logo (#13)Ole Miss Rebels at Auburn Tigers(#22)Auburn logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Ole Miss -6.5 (55.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ole Miss 28 - Auburn: 21  (SEC)

 
Rebels (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (22 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MISS coming off BYE
Our Line: Ole Miss -4   (SP+ MISS -8)

Projected Score: MISS: 29 - AUB: 25 (53)
MISS Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
MISS Travel: 263 miles
Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (29 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Ole Miss vs Mercer-35.059.5W 73 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Ole Miss at Tulane-8.064.0W 37 - 20UY
Sat 9/16 Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech-17.061.5W 48 - 23OY
Sat 9/23 Ole Miss at Alabama+7.056.0L 10 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Ole Miss vs LSU+3.067.0W 55 - 49OY
Sat 10/7 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-13.061.5W 27 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Ole Miss at Auburn-6.555.5W 28 - 21UY
Sat 10/28 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-24.062.0W 33 - 7UY
Sat 11/4 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M-3.052.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 11/11 Ole Miss at Georgia+11.059.0L 17 - 52ON
Sat 11/18 Ole Miss vs UL Monroe-35.559.5W 35 - 3UN
Thu 11/23 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-11.056.0W 17 - 7UN
Sat 12/30 Ole Miss vs Penn State+5.553.0W 38 - 25OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Auburn's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Auburn vs Massachusetts-35.052.0W 59 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Auburn at California-5.055.5W 14 - 10UN
Sat 9/16 Auburn vs Samford-37.562.0W 45 - 13UN
Sat 9/23 Auburn at Texas A&M+9.551.0L 10 - 27UN
Sat 9/30 Auburn vs Georgia+14.044.5L 20 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Auburn at LSU+11.060.0L 18 - 48ON
Sat 10/21 Auburn vs Ole Miss+6.555.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Auburn vs Mississippi State-6.540.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 11/4 Auburn at Vanderbilt-12.550.0W 31 - 15UY
Sat 11/11 Auburn at Arkansas+2.546.5W 48 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Auburn vs New Mexico State-25.548.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 11/25 Auburn vs Alabama+14.048.0L 24 - 27OY
Sat 12/30 Auburn vs Maryland-4.047.5L 13 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#30 (.28)44% (44)35.144% (54)2.94 (100)17645% (31)2864.72 (13)#68 (.18)42% (62)22.543% (74)41% (54)3.64 (55)59.10.51.4
AUB#93 (.14)41% (80)26.245% (44)3.01 (86)18937% (110)1623.99 (58)#48 (.15)40% (42)22.643% (72)37% (20)3.65 (56)43.81.51.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1335.121.844.4%4.720.5234621762864.354%45%44%45%15%.28
AUB Defense1322.621.940%3.651.4 - - - - - 52%47%43%37%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense1322.524.841.6%3.641.4 - - - - - 50%49%43%41%18%.18
AUB Offense1326.229.441.3%3.991.5193511891624.856%43%45%37%16%.14

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1327:4323.537%69%7.259.10.51.45.92.6129
Auburn1329:0318.533%50%5.543.81.51.45.52.1229.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1354% (37)44% (54)41.1176.54.329 (22).17 (60)2.94 (100)70% (95)11% (80)1.05 (44)
AUB Defense1352% (103)43% (72) - - - - .13 (63)2.95 (40)86% (126)10% (57)0.94 (39)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense1350% (62)43% (74) - - - - .14 (70)3.21 (96)86% (127)11% (30)0.98 (58)
AUB Offense1356% (20)45% (44)39.51894.822 (51).19 (47)3.01 (86)74% (69)11% (85)1.02 (58)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1345% (97)45% (31)19.730.4285.69.414.526 (31)6 (14).45 (17)1.7 (21)32% (72)33% (55).43 (39)5% (22)2.2 (28)
AUB Defense1347% (30)37% (20) - - - - - - 12 (37).2 (33)1.8 (125)35% (22)31% (79).29 (57)7% (49)2.2 (97)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense1349% (70)41% (54) - - - - - - 13 (26).26 (59)1.6 (79)32% (65)27% (26).23 (31)7% (43)2 (35)
AUB Offense1343% (114)37% (110)14.524.4162.26.711.218 (81)13 (97).12 (120)1.6 (74)32% (76)25% (117).14 (121)5% (41)1.9 (112)

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 11.28 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 36% #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 11.28   Auburn: 9.69

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 16.0   Auburn: 8.1




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Auburn's Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #15
Auburn's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Auburn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 29
Auburn 25


Total Points: 53

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.9

Auburn's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21Auburn21Ole Miss28Ole MissOle Miss -6.5Ole Miss55.5Under
202210/15Ole Miss48Auburn34Ole MissOle Miss -15.5Auburn55.5Over
202110/30Auburn31Ole Miss20AuburnAuburn -3Auburn67.5Under
202010/24Ole Miss28Auburn35AuburnAuburn -3.5Auburn74.0Under
201911/02Auburn20Ole Miss14AuburnAuburn -17Ole Miss53.5Under
201810/20Ole Miss16Auburn31AuburnAuburn -5Auburn64.0Under
201710/07Auburn44Ole Miss23AuburnAuburn -21.5Ole Miss55.5Over
201610/29Ole Miss29Auburn40AuburnAuburn -2Auburn65.5Over
201510/31Auburn19Ole Miss27Ole MissOle Miss -6Ole Miss57.5Under
201411/01Ole Miss31Auburn35AuburnOle Miss -3Auburn0
201310/05Auburn30Ole Miss22AuburnOle Miss -2Auburn0
201210/13Ole Miss41Auburn20Ole Miss
201110/29Auburn41Ole Miss23Auburn
201010/30Ole Miss31Auburn51Auburn
200910/31Auburn33Ole Miss20Auburn
200811/01Ole Miss17Auburn7Ole Miss
200710/27Auburn17Ole Miss3Auburn
200610/28Ole Miss17Auburn23Auburn
200510/29Auburn27Ole Miss3Auburn
200410/30Ole Miss14Auburn35Auburn
200311/08Auburn20Ole Miss24Ole Miss
200211/02Ole Miss24Auburn31Auburn
200109/08Auburn27Ole Miss21Auburn
200009/08Ole Miss27Auburn35Auburn
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn1873 Overs
Ole Miss646 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 122 - 91 - 41 - 5
Road Teams12 - 129 - 25 - 14 - 1

(#18) Ole Miss Info
Power Rating: 11.28 #18
Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 36% #21
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90


Ole Miss has won 2 straight
Ole Miss has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Ole Miss Highlights
Ole Miss offense is explosive (#79)
Ole Miss offense is good in red zone (#24)
Ole Miss Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Ole Miss Front 7 is disruptive (#125)
Ole Miss has a great TO Margin (#82)
Ole Miss defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Ole Miss Deficiencies
Ole Miss Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Ole Miss Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#67)
Ole Miss Does Not Stuff Runs (#131)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatAUBMISS
OverallOver#39#19
OffenseOff#81#16
DefenseDef#14#51
Special TeamsST#39#11
PassingPass#76#5
RushingRush#31#7
Run BlockRBLK#51#64
Pass BlockPBLK#56#75
Route RunningWR Rt#102#14
TacklingTkl#19#34
Run DefenseR Def#18#70
Pass Rush DefPRush#64#34
Coverage DefCov#14#59

Rematch from Week 8
Ole Miss 6.5 (55.5)
Ole Miss won at Auburn this year (28-21)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Auburn in 2023 (28-21)
Ole Miss beat Auburn in 2022 (48-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MISS | AUB
Depth Chart: MISS | AUB
Rosters: MISS | AUB
(#32) Auburn Info
Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #15
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70


Auburn has lost 3 straight
Auburn has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Auburn Highlights
Auburn has Really Good Running Game (#11)
Auburn has a good pass defense (#64)

Auburn Deficiencies
Auburn offense is not Explosive (#125)
Auburn pass game is really bad (#25)
Auburn offense is bad on 3rd Downs


  
Ole Miss's OC John David Baker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaxson Dart23335965%33642359.4
Spencer Sanders (Tr)192966%278309.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinshon Judkins2711158154.340
Ulysses Bentley IV9554045.743
Jaxson Dart11939183.368
Matt Jones127926.636
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Harris (Tr)54985818.256
Dayton Wade55830415.158
Jordan Watkins53741314.068
Caden Prieskorn (Tr)30449415.037

View Ole Miss's Full Roster
Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Washington832002
Ashanti Cistrunk (Tr)715310
John Saunders Jr.652014
Daijahn Anthony613008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Ivey4612642
Cedric Johnson4076123
Suntarine Perkins386411
Isaac Ukwu (Tr)305432
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daijahn Anthony613008
Zamari Walton (Tr)384006
Deantre Prince365105

Auburn's OC Philip Montgomery
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Payton Thorne (Tr)16226561%175516106.6
Robby Ashford142752%145225.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jarquez Hunter15990975.767
Payton Thorne (Tr)13451533.861
Damari Alston6432025.056
Brian Battie (Tr)5122714.524
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Rivaldo Fairweather (Tr)38394610.453
Ja'Varrius Johnson19347318.345
Jay Fair31324210.536
Caleb Burton (Tr)16226014.153

View Auburn's Full Roster
Auburn's DC Ron Roberts
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eugene Asante869551
Jalen McLeod (Tr)5011651
Larry Nixon III (Tr)503020
Keionte Scott422025
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Harris4011711
Jalen McLeod (Tr)5011651
Eugene Asante869551
Cam Riley314331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D.J. James384009
Kayin Lee192016
Keionte Scott422025