Massachusetts at Auburn Game Matchup
Massachusetts logo Massachusetts Minutemen at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Auburn -35 (52.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Auburn 59 - Massachusetts: 14

 
Minutemen (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Don Brown (2 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (18 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Auburn -24   (SP+ AUB -26)
Projected Score: UMASS: 15 - AUB: 39 (54)
AUB Win prob: 99% | Cover: 47%
UMASS Travel: 978 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (33 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Massachusetts's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Massachusetts at New Mexico State+7.045.5W 41 - 30OY
Sat 9/2 Massachusetts at Auburn+35.052.0L 14 - 59ON
Sat 9/9 Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)+7.045.0L 28 - 41ON
Sat 9/16 Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan+7.050.0L 17 - 19UY
Sat 9/23 Massachusetts vs New Mexico-3.548.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 9/30 Massachusetts vs Arkansas State-2.555.5L 28 - 52ON
Sat 10/7 Massachusetts vs Toledo+19.055.5L 24 - 41OY
Sat 10/14 Massachusetts at Penn State+42.055.0L 0 - 63ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Massachusetts at Army+10.049.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 11/4 Massachusetts vs Merrimack-16.557.5W 31 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Massachusetts at Liberty+26.564.5L 25 - 49OY
Sat 11/25 Massachusetts vs UConn-2.551.0L 18 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Auburn's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Auburn vs Massachusetts-35.052.0W 59 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Auburn at California-5.055.5W 14 - 10UN
Sat 9/16 Auburn vs Samford-37.562.0W 45 - 13UN
Sat 9/23 Auburn at Texas A&M+9.551.0L 10 - 27UN
Sat 9/30 Auburn vs Georgia+14.044.5L 20 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Auburn at LSU+11.060.0L 18 - 48ON
Sat 10/21 Auburn vs Ole Miss+6.555.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Auburn vs Mississippi State-6.540.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 11/4 Auburn at Vanderbilt-12.550.0W 31 - 15UY
Sat 11/11 Auburn at Arkansas+2.546.5W 48 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Auburn vs New Mexico State-25.548.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 11/25 Auburn vs Alabama+14.048.0L 24 - 27OY
Sat 12/30 Auburn vs Maryland-4.047.5L 13 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS.0132%22.534%2.815031%1172.26.240%35.542%38%3.666.21.61.6
AUB.239%27.843%3.0120633%1733.74.1842%21.349%36%4.5757.31.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1222.517.832.4%2.261.6152671501173.560%39%34%31%20%.01
AUB Defense1221.320.842.2%4.571.5 - - - - - 49%51%49%36%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense1235.538.840.1%3.61.6 - - - - - 60%39%42%38%20%.2
AUB Offense1227.833.139%3.741.8183792061735.159%40%43%33%19%.2

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1231:5514.628%48%7.666.21.61.66.11.6127.5
Auburn1230:1318.136%59%7.557.31.81.55.22.2129.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1260%34%43.3150.33.510.032.869%14%0.93
AUB Defense1249%49% - - - - .233.1476%10%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1260%42% - - - - .183.1770%13%1.14
AUB Offense1259%43%40.7205.85.125.253.0186%13%1.24

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1239%31%11.323.1116.95.110.3414.011.637%19%.16%2.1
AUB Defense1251%36% - - - - - - 6.131.534%32%.356%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1239%38% - - - - - - 9.291.933%28%.287%2.3
AUB Offense1240%33%13.325.7172.76.713912.141.837%27%.255%2.2

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -11.09 #121
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
2023 Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Massachusetts's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -11.09   Auburn: 9.69

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -17.7   Auburn: 8.1




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Auburn's Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
2023 Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #15
Auburn's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Auburn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

Massachusetts's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 39
Massachusetts 15

Projected Total Points: 54
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Auburn's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Auburn59Massachusetts14AuburnAuburn -35Auburn52.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn111 Overs
Massachusetts000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#121) Massachusetts Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.09 #121
Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Team Profile






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Massachusetts     Ratings Matchup     Auburn
Power #121
#32
Off #59
#70
Def #129
#44
Talent #108
#23
SP+ #125
#36
SP+ Off #99
#65
SP+ Def #124
#24

Rematch from Week 1
Auburn -35.0 (52.0)
Auburn won vs Massachusetts this year (59-14)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Massachusetts in 2023 (59-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 85° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UMASS | AUB
Depth Chart: UMASS | AUB
Rosters: UMASS | AUB
(#32) Auburn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24
Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #15
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Team Profile






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Massachusetts's OC Steve Casula
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taisun Phommachanh (Tr)13223456%1590866.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kay'Ron Adams13364924.963
Taisun Phommachanh (Tr)10731733.033
Gregory DeRosiers3122837.446
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gregory DeRosiers2117548.325
Kay'Ron Adams158505.716
George Johnson108508.513
Jackson Manning1606.06

View Massachusetts's Full Roster
Massachusetts's DC Keith Dudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Rudolph612003
Jordan Mahoney191004
Michael Oppong81000
Isaiah Rutherford81004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Rudolph612003
Jordan Mahoney191004
Michael Oppong81000
Isaiah Rutherford81004
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Mahoney191004
Isaiah Rutherford81004
Tyler Rudolph612003

Auburn's OC Philip Montgomery
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Payton Thorne (Tr)19931763%27132198.6
Robby Ashford233272%3242010.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jarquez Hunter187120186.450
Payton Thorne (Tr)11228322.531
Robby Ashford4122725.538
Ja'Varrius Johnson440010.020
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Kelly53869416.471
Malcolm Johnson Jr.49573311.750
Rivaldo Fairweather (Tr)31372212.043
Tyler Fromm25249210.030

View Auburn's Full Roster
Auburn's DC Ron Roberts
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Kaufman744164
Jalen McLeod (Tr)5614821
Eugene Asante444270
Austin Keys (Tr)392042
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen McLeod (Tr)5614821
Eugene Asante444270
Donovan Kaufman744164
Cam Riley374101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Colton Hood231006
Donovan Kaufman744164
Austin Keys (Tr)392042